College Basketball betting trends, odds and predictions for Thursday, November 23rd, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NCAAB Knowledge
Disney/Orlando Tournament
First road trip for Oregon State is a long one; Beavers are 2-1, losing by 9 to Wyoming, beating Long Beach/Southern Utah. Cowboys are shooting only 23.7% on arc- they’re #317 experience team, starting two frosh, two juniors. St John’s beat Nebraska by 23 and three other stiffs; this is their first road trip, too. Red Storm start three sophs- they’re #244 experience team that is playing pace #39, pretty fast. Big East favorites are 10-7 vs spread; Pac-12 underdogs are 4-3. Last 2+ years, Big East favorites are 6-7 vs spread when facing a Pac-12 team.
Central Florida is very close to home, will have crowd edge; Knights are 3-0, beating Mercer by 9 for their best win- they lost their best player Taylor for few weeks with an injury. UCF is shooting only 24.5% on arc, hasn’t forced many turnovers. Nebraska beat three stiffs and lost by 23 at St John’s; they start three juniors and a senior. Cornhuskers are shooting only 30.4% on arc. AAC favorites are 9-11 vs spread; Big 14 underdogs are 1-5. Last 2+ years, AAC teams are 9-7 vs spread when playing a Big 14 team.
Battle for Atlantis
Villanova is 4-0 but hasn’t played anyone in top 190 yet; Wildcats start a freshman, four juniors- they sleepwalked past WKU yesterday 66-58, making 7-22 on arc. Villanova played two kids 33-35:00. Tennessee had great win over Purdue; they played four guys 29:00+ in the OT game. Vols start three sophs, two juniors, have only one senior on their team- they’re forcing turnovers 24.5% of time. Big East favorites are 10-7 vs spread; SEC underdogs are 3-3. Last 2+ years, Big East teams are 7-4 vs spread when facing an SEC squad.
Arizona got upset by NC State last night, shooting 2-17 on arc in foulest where both teams took 35 FT’s. Wildcats beat three stiffs before this trip; they’re young, starting two freshmen- they played three guys 34:00+ last nite. SMU lost its first game after a 4-1 start; they used four kids 37:00+, basically played only six guys, one senior. Mustangs have made 39.7% of their 3’s- they’re #291 experience team, Pac-12 favorites are 13-15 vs spread; AAC underdogs are 4-2. Last 2+ years, AAC teams are 8-6 vs spread when playing a Pac-12 opponent.
NC State is 5-0 against the #342 schedule in country up to this point; Wolfpack have forced turnovers 27.2% of time (#6 in country) but how do they react after a stellar upset yesterday? State starts three seniors but their PG is a sophomore. Northern Iowa lost by 17 at North Carolina, won four in row since; Panthers play #335 pace in country, have made 42.3% of their 3’s so far this month. UNI starts a freshman, two sophs. ACC favorites are 22-11 vs spread; MVC underdogs are 8-4. Last 2+ years, ACC teams are 9-4 vs spread when playing an MVC opponent.
PK80, Portland
Arkansas scored 93 ppg in winning its first three games, beating Bucknell/Fresno St, both top 100 teams. Razorbacks are forcing turnovers 23.3% of time, while making 37.3% on arc- they’re #116 experience team in country. Oklahoma hasn’t played in eight days- they scored 108 points in each of first two games, beating stiffs by 19-39 points. Sooners are #302 experience team that made 42.6% of its 3’s so far. Big X favorites are 15-9 vs spread; SEC underdogs are 3-3. Last 2+ years, SEC teams are 24-15-1 vs spread when playing a Big X team.
Oregon jumped out to 30-9 lead, beat UConn 79-69 in 5th-place game in Maui Classic LY. Oregon will be the “home team” here, for sure; Ducks are 4-0 with only one win vs team that is ranked above #297. Oregon is #316 experience team in country, after losing four starters from LY’s Final Four team- they start a freshman, two sophs. UConn is 3-0 vs schedule #290 schedule; Huskies start two freshmen, two juniors. Pac-12 favorites are 13-15 vs spread; AAC underdogs are 4-2. Last 2+ years, AAC teams are 8-6 vs spread when playing a Pac-12 opponent.
Texas killed first three teams they’ve played (schedule #312); Longhorns are #10 in blocked shots %age, thanks to frosh big man Jones. Texas is shooting 60.4% on foul line, 27.4% on arc, a potential red flag. Butler has a new coach; they lost by 14 at Maryland, beat Princeton/Furman at home- their first four opponents shot 46.4% on arc against them. Bulldogs are starting two sophs and a freshman. Big East favorites are 10-7 vs spread; Big X underdogs are 0-2. Last 2+ years, Big East teams are 4-4 against the spread when playing Big X teams.
Florida hasn’t played anyone in top 200 yet; they’re 3-0, with lame 70-63 win over UNH in their last game, when they outscored Wildcats 31-9 on foul line. Gators start two juniors, two seniors, are expected to compete for SEC title. Stanford lost at home to Eastern Washington/UNC; Cardinal’s three wins are over teams ranked #163-233-239. Stanford starts three freshmen; will this stage be too big for them? SEC favorites are 7-3 vs spread away from home; Pac-12 underdogs are 4-3. Last 2+ years, Pac-12 teams are 14-3 vs spread when playing SEC squads.
Barclays Center, Brooklyn
Virginia is 4-0 with a quality 76-67 win at VCU; Cavaliers are playing slowest tempo in country, forcing turnovers 25.1% of time, while holding teams to 26% on arc. Vanderbilt lost 93-89 in OT at home to USC Sunday, after leading by 14 in first half; Vandy is 2-2, also losing at Belmont. Virginia starts two sophs, two seniors; Vandy starts two frosh, three seniors. ACC favorites are 22-11 vs spread; SEC underdogs are 3-3. Last 2+ years, SEC teams are 24-19 vs spread when playing an ACC team. ACC tourney is in this building in March, which is why Virginia is here.
Rhode Island is 2-1, with 88-81 loss at Nevada; Rams basically play six guys, starting four seniors- they lost star Matthews (wrist) for a while. Seton Hall is 4-0 with an 84-68 win against Indiana; Pirates they’ve forced turnovers 26.3% of time this season (#11 in country).- they start three seniors who’ve won 50 games the last 2+ seasons. Big East favorites are 10-7 vs spread; A-14 underdogs are 8-12. Last 2+ years, Big East teams are 13-5 vs spread when playing an A-14 opponent. Should be lot of fans for both sides in Brooklyn for this game.
Wooden Classic, Fullerton, CA
Washington State scored 81.3 ppg in winning its first three games, all against stiffs (schedule #339); Coogs start two sophs, two juniors- 6-7 junior Franks is shooting 61% behind arc so far. Long trip for St Joe’s team whose #2 scorer Kimble is out for year; Hawks are 2-1 against a decent schedule- they lost by 11 at Toledo, but beat UIC, Princeton. St Joe’s played seven guys last game, all for 23:00+. A-14 favorites are 7-13 vs spread; Pac-12 underdogs are 4-3. Last 2+ years, A-14 teams are 6-1 vs spread when playing a Pac-12 squad.
Orleans Arena, Las Vegas
Arizona State is off to a 4-0 start, with wins over San Diego State/Cal-Irvine; Sun Devils are making 40.4% of their 3’s, have #6 eFG% in country. ASU starts two seniors- they used four starters 34:00+ in last game. Kansas State is also 4-0, with Cal-Irvine its only victim ranked above #273 (schedule #338); Wildcats are forcing turnovers 29.7% of time, #1 in country. Big X favorites are 15-9 vs spread; Pac-12 underdogs are 4-3. Last 2+ years, Big X favorites are 7-6 vs spread when playing a Pac-12 team. K-State starts two sophs, three juniors.
Armadillosports.com