College Basketball betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, November 21st, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NCAAB Knowledge
Tex-Arlington scored 87 ppg in winning its first two games, over LMU by 5, at BYU by 14; Mavericks made 51.1% of their 3’s so far this year. UTA starts five seniors, plays two more off bench. Alabama is 3-0, beating Memphis by 12; Crimson Tide is shooting 45.8% from arc, 52% on foul line- they’re in bottom 10 in country in experience, Arlington is most experienced team in country. Last 2+ years, SEC teams are 13-4-1 vs spread when playing a Sun Belt team. SEC home favorites are 4-8 vs spread; Sun Belt road underdogs are 8-5.
Davidson scored 110-108 points in winning tis first two games, beating NC-Wilmington by 27 in their last game last Tuesday. Wildcats are making 45.3% of their 3’s, have #3 eFG% in country. Nevada is 4-0, beating A-14’s Rhode Island by 7 at home. Wolf Pack is making 43% of its 3’s; they’re a top 50 team in experience- they scored 88+ points in all four games so far. Last 2+ years, Big 14 teams are 8-7 vs spread when facing an A-14 squad. Mountain West home favorites are 9-4 vs spread; A-14 underdogs are 6-8 away from home.
Cayman Islands Tournament
Iowa got stunned 80-71 by UL-Lafayette yesterday; Hawkeyes trailed by 24 early in 2nd half. Iowa is 3-1 with its wins all against bottom 10 teams in country- only one of their guys played more than 28:00 yesterday. South Dakota State is 3-2 after losing by 12 to Wyoming yesterday; Jackrabbits played only one guy more than 28:00 Monday- their best player Daum was held to 10 points by Wyoming. Last 2+ years, Summit League teams are 11-5 vs spread when playing Big 14 opponents. Big 14 favorites are 17-11 vs spread; Summit underdogs are 8-10.
Wyoming is 3-0 with a win at Oregon State; Cowboys are forcing turnovers 22.6% of time while playing #23 pace in country- their best player Dalton has played 117 of 120:00 so far. Wyoming is shooting 38% on arc; they’ll get test from UL-Lafayette team that pressures on defense- their opponents have shortest average possession in country. ULL’s only loss was 94-76 at Ole Miss. Last 2+ years, Mountain West teams are 1-3 vs spread when playing Sun Belt foes. MW favorites are 12-6 vs spread; Sun Belt underdogs are 14-7.
Buffalo was outscored 27-11 on foul line in encouraging 73-67 loss to Cincinnati Monday; Bulls played three guys 35:00+. Buffalo is forcing turnovers 22.3% of time- they start four juniors and a sophomore. UAB is 3-1 after losing 63-50 to Richmond yesterday; Blazers were 4-23 on arc in game where only two of their guys played 30:00+. UAB hasn’t beaten a team ranked higher than #240. Last 2+ years, C-USA teams are 9-5 vs spread when facing a MAC squad. C-USA teams are 11-10 vs spread away from home; MAC teams are 9-8.
Richmond is off to a 1-2 start, scoring only 62.3 ppg; Spiders got their first win Monday- they’re shooting only 23.4% on arc to start season. Richmond is one of 15 least experienced teams in country, starting two sophs, two frosh. Cincinnati is 4-0 but yesterday was first time they played someone in top 270; Bearcats were 27-35 on foul line vs buffalo Monday. Cincy starts two juniors, two seniors, have edge in experience here. Last 2+ years, AAC teams are 11-7-1 vs spread when playing A-14 opponents. AAC favorites are 7-10 vs spread; A-14 underdogs are 6-9.
Maui Classic
Wichita State didn’t come to play Monday, was down 17 to Cal with 13:44 left, rallied and won by 10 over an extremely young Cal squad. Shockers are missing McDuffie, one of their best guys; they’re holding teams to 34.5% inside arc in their 3-0 start. Marquette lost by 15 at home to Purdue, beat VCU by 11 yesterday; Eagles were 13-36 arc Monday, 21-30 inside it- they start two sophs, two seniors. Last 2+ years, Big East teams are 8-6 vs spread if playing an ACC team. Big East teams are 5-3 vs spread away from home; AAC teams are 8-6.
VCU lost its last two games, by 9 to Virginia, by 11 to Marquette; they had travel issues on their way to Maui which cost them a day of prep time. Rams starts two sophs, three seniors- they gave up 49 points in 2nd half- only two of their guys played 30:00+. Cal Bears made 10-19 on arc, still lost by 10 to Wichita- Cal led by 17 with 13:44 left. Cal starts two frosh, play four more off bench; they’re #315 experience team in country. Last 2+ years, A-14 teams covered five of six games against Pac-12 teams. A-14 favorites are 7-12 vs speead; Pac-12 underdogs are 4-3.
LSU was down 9 with 5:11 left last nite, beat Michigan 77-75; Tigers have a really good freshman PG- they shot 69% inside arc vs Wolverines. LSU played three guys 30:00+. Notre Dame had glorified bye with win over D-II Chaminade Monday; Irish are 4-0, but DePaul is only top 200 team they’ve played. ND played four guys 30:00+ Monday- they start three seniors. Last 2+ years, SEC teams are 22-19 vs spread when playing an ACC opponent. ACC favorites are 8-4 vs spread away from home; SEC underdogs are 2-2 vs spread.
Brooklyn Tournament
Oklahoma State was 3-24 on arc, 12-22 on line in 72-55 loss to Texas Aggies Monday; Cowboys got 6-6 senior back last nite, but he was just 2-12 from floor in his ’18 debut. No OSU player played more than 28:00. Pitt is off to a terrible 1-3 start- they lost by 31 to Penn State yesterday. Panthers start two freshmen, two seniors; their only win was over UCSB by 8 -they lost to Nvy and Montana. Last 2+ years, Big X teams are 12-3 vs spread when facing ACC squads. Big X favorites are 15-8 vs spread; ACC underdogs are 2-3.
Texas A&M is 3-0, with all three wins by 17+ points, and one of those was over West Virginia. Aggies got 6-10 star Williams back Monday- he had 11 points, 9 boards off bench. A&M starts three juniors, two seniors. Penn State is 5-0 with #143 Montana their best victim so far; closest game they’ve played was 11 points. Nittany Lions are forcing turnovers 25.9% of time, they start three sophomores. Last 2+ years, Big 14 teams are 11-7-1 vs spread when playing SEC teams. SEC favorites are 7-3 vs spread away from home; Big 14 underdogs are 1-5.
College Basketball Hall of Fame Tournament
UCLA played eight guys in 100-89 loss to Creighton Monday; PG Holiday played 39:00, lot for a kid who was in China 10 days ago and is halfway across country again now. Losing two of the suspended kids have thinned their depth a lot. Wisconsin lost its last two games by 10-5 points to Xavier/Butler; Badgers played two guys 34:00+ yesterday- they start three juniors and two sophomores. Last 2+ years, Pac-12 teams are 5-2 vs spread when playing Big 14 teams. Pac-12 teams are 5-4 vs spread away from home; Big 14 teams are 4-7.
Creighton is 4-0 and scored 92+ points in all four games; Bluejays are playing #15 pace in country- they’re making 41.7% of their 3’s. They used three guys for 30-32:00 in yesterday’s 100-89 win over UCLA; Creighton starts two sophs, two juniors. Baylor beat three stiffs before beating Wisconsin by 5 Monday; Bears have a senior PG, start two other seniors- they outscored Badgers 22-12 on foul line last night. Last 2+ years, Big East teams are 4-3 vs spread when playing Big X foes. Big East teams are 5-3 vs spread away from home; Big X teams are 4-6.
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