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NBA Win Total Best Bets

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Win Total Best Bets
VegasInsider.com

The 2017-18 NBA season is here and it inevitably looks to be another Finals matchup between the Warriors and Cavaliers. However, plenty of big names moved around the league to help bolster the likes of Houston, Oklahoma City, and Boston, which could be contenders that could dethrone Golden State and Cleveland.

We polled our experts for the upcoming season to ask which squads are the best season win total plays in 2017-18.

Andy Iskoe believes the Timberwolves can finally get over the hump and cash their win total of 46½, “The Wolves have been assembling a quality roster over the past few seasons that is designed to be competitive for 3 to 5 seasons or more depending on health and personnel turnover. Coached by the highly respected Tom Thibodeau, who had success in Chicago before parting ways, ostensibly for 'philosophical differences', Minnesota is poised to have those moves pay off this season by making advances in the highly competitive Western Conference that is starting to see a not-so-gradual shift in power once you get by Golden State and San Antonio."

"It may be asking a lot for any team to improve by as many games as the oddsmakers are asking of the T-Wolves, who won just 31 games last season. But fates can turn quickly in the NBA as the Wolves fell from 40 wins four seasons ago to just 16 the following season, bouncing back to win 29 wins and then 31 last season. There are multiple All Star caliber players on this roster so an improvement of 16 games, while asking a lot, is achievable provided lengthy injuries are avoided (which is always the risk when going OVER season-long Totals).”

Another team expected to cash the OVER in the West is Utah, as Joe Nelson is high on this team in spite of a key offseason loss, “The Jazz jumped from 40-42 in 2015-16 to 51-31 in 2016-17, finishing fourth in the Western Conference and advancing to the Conference semifinals. Losing Gordon Hayward was a big blow, but Rudy Gobert is the centerpiece of a squad that allowed the fewest points in the NBA last season, at just 96.8 points per game. Ricky Rubio takes over at point guard and #13 pick Donovan Mitchell is capable of being an impact rookie in the backcourt as well."

"Rodney Hood figures to pick up Hayward’s lead scoring role, averaging 12.7 points per game last season with improved outside shooting numbers now entering his fourth season with Utah. Utah features one of the tougher home courts in the league going 29-12 last season in Salt Lake City and the Jazz have a chance to pick up some big wins early in the season with October games with some of those teams in major transitions including facing Minnesota, Oklahoma City, and the L.A. Clippers in three of the first four games.”

On the flip side, Oklahoma City picked up several stars in Paul George and Carmelo Anthony, but Don Anthony doesn’t believe lightning will strike for the Thunder, “Everyone is going to want to run and bet this over thinking they have an All-NBA team now with Westbrook, Anthony, and George. First off, it’s going to take a while for this team to gel and secondly, these are three players that need to be the go-to guy and who want the ball. This reminds me a lot of the Iverson and Anthony experiment in Denver. I can see this falling apart quickly if they go on a losing skid. Carmelo will pout and team chemistry will all but disappear. I believe the George wants to be in L.A. and he will just be playing this year out so even more reason to give up if things start going south. Thirty losses gets us the win here and having to play in the ultra-tough Western Conference, this is the best bet of the season.”

In the Eastern Conference, the Pistons seem to be ready to make a move, according to Marc Lawrence.

“Year 4 of the Stan Van Gundy era finds the Pistons looking to improve on Detroit’s regular season win totals of 32, 44, and 37 in Van Gundy’s first three seasons, respectively. The addition of former Celtics G Avery Bradley, along with highly anticipated improvement from promising second-year F Stanley Johnson, complimenting PG Reggie Jackson and C Andre Drummond finds the Pistons in a favorable position to get possibly get closer to the 44 win total rather than the first-year 32 victory season under Gundy. Value here from last year’s 45.5 posted win total.”

One Eastern team that could take a step backwards resides north of the border as Stephen Nover explains, “A number of teams in the Eastern Conference have gotten better. The Raptors have gotten worse. Deep inside the Toronto players realize they can't win the conference anymore let alone the division. They aren't a clutch team. That could affect their play.”

“The Raptors lost much of their depth and defense with DeMarre Carroll, Patrick Patterson, Cory Joseph and P.J. Tucker leaving. Serge Ibaka is on the downside of his career and Kyle Lowry is injury-prone and may be fat and happy after signing a three-year, $100 million dollar contract. Teams that rely on their backcourt to do the heavy lifting just don't go far.”

Below are the season win totals courtesy of Las Vegas Westgate SuperBook:

Atlanta Hawks 27.5
Boston Celtics 53.5
Brooklyn Nets 26.5
Charlotte Hornets 42.5
Chicago Bulls 22.5
Cleveland Cavaliers 54.5
Dallas Mavericks 35.5
Denver Nuggets 43.5
Detroit Pistons 38.5
Golden State Warriors 67.5
Houston Rockets 54.5
Indiana Pacers 30.5
Los Angeles Clippers 42.5
Los Angeles Lakers 32.5
Memphis Grizzlies 38.5
Miami Heat 42.5
Milwaukee Bucks 46.5
Minnesota Timberwolves 46.5
New Orleans Pelicans 40.5
New York Knicks 30.5
Oklahoma City Thunder 52.5
Orlando Magic 30.5
Philadelphia 76ers 40.5
Phoenix Suns 28.5
Portland Trail Blazers 40.5
Sacramento Kings 29
San Antonio Spurs 53.5
Toronto Raptors 47.5
Utah Jazz 38.5
Washington Wizards 48.5

 
Posted : October 16, 2017 1:46 pm
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