WNBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Sunday, September 17th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
WNBA Semifinals Prediction: Minnesota at Washington
By Nick Lagouretos
Bangthebook.com
In Game 3 of the first semifinal of the 2017 WNBA Playoffs, the sixth-seeded Washington Mystics (20-16) are hosting the top-seeded Minnesota Lynx (27-7), in a best of five series that will determine who will advance to the WNBA Finals to face the winner of the Los Angeles Sparks-Phoenix Mercury matchup.
In Game 2 on Thursday, Minnesota bounced back from a weak first quarter in order to achieve a back-to-back home victory with a 83-93 score that gives them a commanding 2-0 lead in the series before it moves to Washington for Game 3. They now need only one win in the next three games in order to advance to the WNBA Finals for a second straight season. Washington got in the game hard and managed to stun the hosts by getting an early 10-point lead in the first (29-19), but Minnesota managed to bounce back fast and almost evened the game by half (47-45). Minnesota continued their dominance in the whole second half and with a 36-48 score in that span, they gave the guests no chance. Fowles led Lynx with 25 points and 9 rebounds, followed by Moore with 22. For the Mystics, Delle Donne and Toliver had 25 points apiece, but no other player scored double digits.
This will be the 6th meeting between those two teams this season, with Minnesota having won all five previous matches. Washington are 12-6 at home, while Minnesota are 12-5 on the road. Minnesota are better both offensively, scoring a third-best 85.4 ppg to Washington’s 81.7, and defensively, allowing a league-best 74.2 ppg to Washington’s 81. They have better percentages both in field goals, shooting with a second-best of 47.8% to Washington’s 41.6% (third-worse), and in 3-pointers, shooting with a second-best 37% to Washington’s 31.7% (third-worse). Lynx are also better in assists, with a second-best 20.6 to Mystics’ 16.5 (second-worse), while Mystics are better in rebounding, grabbing a third-best 36.3 to Lynx’s 35.2, and are better in turnovers committed, with a league-best 12 to Lynx’s 14.3. This a do-or-die game of the Mystics in order to avoid being swept. Expect a close game so pick Washington in this one.
Prediction: Washington +5.5
WNBA Semifinals Prediction: Los Angeles at Phoenix
By Nick Lagouretos
Bangthebook.com
In Game 3 of the second semifinal of the 2017 WNBA Playoffs, the fifth-seeded Phoenix Mercury (20-16) are hosting the second-seeded and defending champions Los Angeles Sparks (26-8 ), in a best of five series that will determine who will advance to the WNBA Finals to face the winner of the Minnesota-Washington matchup.
In game 2 on Thursday, Sparks were once again dominating and after a slow start managed to get another easy home victory with a 72-86 score that gives them a commanding 2-0 lead before the series moves to Phoenix for game 3. They now need only one win in the next three games in order to advance to the WNBA finals. Los Angeles managed to build a small lead in the whole first half, leading by 3 in the first (19-22) and by 8 in the second (35-43). The guests stopped the defending champions from extending their lead in the third quarter, but Los Angeles finished the job in the fourth and with a 17-25 score in that span, they got away with an easy home victory. Parker had a monster game for the Sparks with 24 points, 13 rebounds, 6 assists, 3 blocks and 2 steals, while Taurasi bounced back for Mercury with 21 points.
This will be the 6th meeting between those two teams this season, with Los Angeles having won all five previous matches. Phoenix are 10-8 at home, while Los Angeles are 10-7 on the road. Los Angeles are better both offensively, scoring 83.5 ppg to Phoenix’s 81.9, and defensively, allowing a second-best 75.2 ppg to Phoenix’s 81.9. They also have better percentages both in field goals, shooting with a league-best 48% to Phoenix’s 44%, and in 3-pointers, shooting with 34.2% to Phoenix’s 33.9%. They are also better in assists made, with 18.5 to Phoenix’s 17.7, and they commit less turnovers per game, with 13.2 to Phoenix’s 13.9. Mercury are only better in rebounding, grabbing 32.1 to Sparks’ 31.3 (third-worse). This is a do-or-die game for Phoenix and they want to avoid being swept today, so expect a close game. Pick Phoenix in this one.
Prediction: Phoenix +4
MINNESOTA (29 - 7) at WASHINGTON (20 - 18) - 9/17/2017, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) on Sunday games this season.
MINNESOTA is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in the conference finals since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 312-370 ATS (-95.0 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 60-84 ATS (-32.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) against Western conference opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
WASHINGTON is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
WASHINGTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 7-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES (28 - 8 ) at PHOENIX (20 - 18) - 9/17/2017, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
LOS ANGELES is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in August or September games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a division game this season.
LOS ANGELES is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
LOS ANGELES is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
LOS ANGELES is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
LOS ANGELES is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LOS ANGELES is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
LOS ANGELES is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in the conference finals over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 9-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 9-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Washington is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
LOS ANGELES vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Los Angeles's last 10 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Los Angeles is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games
StatFox Super Situations
MINNESOTA at WASHINGTON
Play Against - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line (MINNESOTA) good 3PT shooting team (>=35%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=35%) after 15+ games, hot shooting team - 5 straight games making >=42% of their shots 29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units ) 3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )
LOS ANGELES at PHOENIX
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 revenging a loss versus opponent against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite 109-59 since 1997. ( 64.9% | 44.1 units ) 6-2 this year. ( 75.0% | 3.8 units )
LOS ANGELES at PHOENIX
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team 23-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 74.2% | 0.0 units ) 2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.0 units )