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WNBA Betting News and Notes Wednesday, September 6th, 2017

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(@blade)
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WNBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Wednesday, September 6th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites

 
Posted : September 4, 2017 1:56 pm
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WNBA Playoffs Cheat Sheet - First Round
VegasInsider.com

The first round of the WNBA playoffs begin on Wednesday with a single-elimination format. The winners of these games will travel to either No. 3 New York or No. 4 Connecticut for second round matchups on Sunday.

Those games will be single-elimination as well with the winners advancing to the semifinals against either No. 1 Minnesota or No. 2 Los Angeles for a five-game series.

No. 7 Dallas at No. 6 Washington

The Wings went 2-1 both straight up and against the spread versus the Mystics this season.

The road team went 3-0 in the three regular season encounters and the visitor has win eight straight meetings in this head-to-head series.

The ‘under’ went 2-1 in the three meetings this season and the low side cashed in both matchups from D.C.

Dallas went 6-11 SU as a visitor this season but managed to produce a winning record (9-8 ) at the betting counter.

The Wings saw the ‘over’ go 12-5 in their away games.

Washington went 11-6 SU and 9-8 ATS at home while the ‘over’ went 9-8.

The Mystics closed the season with a 2-5 (1-6 ATS) record and one of the losses came versus Dallas.

The Wings finished 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in the final two weeks of the season and the two losses came by a combined seven points.

Dallas went 9-9 versus the Eastern Conference this season while Washington was just 6-12 against the West.

Washington hasn’t had much success in the playoffs, going 4-16 overall since the 2002 postseason. They are a combined 1-4 in their most recent trips (2014, 2015) and bettors should note that the ‘over’ has gone 10-2 in the last 12 playoff battles.

This will be the first playoff game for the Wings since they moved the franchise to Dallas.

No. 8 Seattle at No. 5 Phoenix

Phoenix won and covered two of its three meetings against Seattle this season.

The Mercury won both of those games on the road, but the Storm earned a 98-89 win at Phoenix on Aug. 12 as a five-point road underdog.

Including those results, Phoenix is 7-3 in the last 10 encounters versus Seattle and the ‘over’ has gone 6-4 during this stretch.

Among the eight playoff teams, Seattle owns the worst road mark at 5-12 SU and 7-9-1 ATS.

The Storm did close the season with a 3-2 mark both SU and ATS as visitors and the offense helped that cause by averaging 95 points per game.

Phoenix went 9-8 SU and 8-10 ATS at Talking Stick Resort Arena this season.

After mired in a 2-7 slump, the Mercury ended the regular season with three straight wins and covers. The defense only allowed 69 PPG during this stretch, which helped the ‘under’ go 3-0.

Seattle stopped Chicago 85-50 last Sunday in their road finale, which snapped a three-game losing skid.

Phoenix went 2-0 in last year’s playoffs, winning both single-elimination games before getting swept by Minnesota in the semifinals.

Seattle dropped a 94-85 decision at Atlanta in the first round of last year’s playoffs.

 
Posted : September 4, 2017 1:57 pm
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WNBA Playoffs Prediction: Dallas Wings at Washington Mystics
By Nick Lagouretos
Bangthebook.com

In the first of the two round one games of the 2017 WNBA Playoffs, the sixth-seeded Washington Mystics (18-16), are hosting the seventh-seeded Dallas Wings (16-18 ), in a knock-out game that will determine who will advance to the quarterfinals to face the New York Liberty.

Washington Mystics finished the regular season with an 18-16 record (15-19 ATS) and were placed in the 6th place of the league. They have lost four of their last five matches (2-6 in their last 8 ) and in their last game they lost on the road against Minnesota with a 72-86 score. Elena Delle Donne leads the team in scoring with 19.7 ppg, 6.8 rebounds and 1.4 blocks. Emma Messeman adds 14.1 ppg and 5.7 rpg, while Kristi Toliver adds 11.9 ppg and a team high 3.4 assists per game.

Dallas Wings finished the regular season with a 16-18 record (18-16 ATS) and were placed in the 7th place of the league. In their last game they saw a two-game winning streak getting snapped by losing at home against New York with an 81-82 score. Skylar Diggins-Smith leads the team in scoring with 18.5 ppg, adding a team high 5.8 assists. She is followed by Glory Johnson with 14.9 ppg and a team high 9.1 rebounds per game.

This will be the fourth meeting between those two teams this season, with Dallas leading 2-1 wins and each team having won on the road. Washington are 11-6 at home, while Dallas are 6-11 on the road. Dallas are better offensively, scoring a league-best 86.1 ppg to Washington’s 81.7, while Washington are better defensively, allowing 81 ppg to Dallas’ league-low of 88.8. Washington have a better field goal percentage, shooting with a third-worse of 41.6% to Dallas’ league-low of 40.6%, while Dallas have a better 3-point percentage, shooting with 31.9% to Washington’s third-worse of 31.7%. Mystics are better in rebounding, grabbing a third-best 36.3 to Dallas’ 34.5, in assists made, with a third-worse of 16.4 to Dallas’ second-worse of 15.7, and commit the fewest turnovers in the league with 12.1 to Dallas’ 13.8. Dallas have won twice on the road against Washington already so expect a closer game than 6 points in favor of Mystics. Pick Dallas in this one.

Prediction: Dallas Wings +5

 
Posted : September 6, 2017 9:23 am
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WNBA Playoffs Prediction: Seattle Storm at Phoenix Mercury
By Nick Lagouretos
Bangthebook.com

In the second of the two round one games of the 2017 WNBA Playoffs, the fifth-seeded Phoenix Mercury (18-16), are hosting the eighth-seeded Seattle Storm (15-19), in a knock-out game that will determine who will advance to the quarterfinals to face the Connecticut Sun.

Phoenix Mercury finished the regular season with an 18-16 record and were placed in the 5th place of the league. They have three consecutive wins and in their last game they won at home against Atlanta with an 84-70 score. Brittney Griner leads the team in scoring with 21.9 ppg, adding team highs both in rebounding with 7.6 per game and in blocks with 2.5 per game. Diana Taurasi follows with 17.9 ppg, while Monique Currie adds 10.2 ppg.

Seattle Storm finished the regular season with a 15-19 record and were placed in the 8th and final playoff spot of the league. In their last game they snapped a three-game losing streak with a road victory against Chicago with an 85-80 score. Breanna Stewart leads the team in scoring with 19.9 ppg, adding a team high 8.7 rebounds per game. She is followed by Jewell Loyd with 17.7 ppg, 3.2 rpg and 3.4 assists, while Crystal Langhorne adds 12.4 ppg and 6.1 rpg.

This will be the fourth meeting between those two teams this season, with Phoenix leading 2-1 wins and each team having won on the road. Phoenix are 9-8 at home, while Seattle are 5-12 on the road. Seattle are better offensively, scoring 82.6 ppg to Phoenix’s 81.9, while Phoenix are better defensively, allowing 81.9 ppg to Seattle’s 82.6. Seattle have better percentages both in field goals, shooting with a third-best 47.3% to Phoenix’s 44% and in 3-pointers, shooting with a 36.3% to Phoenix’s 33.9%. Seattle also dish a third-best 20.2 assists per game, to Phoenix’s 17.6, while Phoenix are better in rebounding (32.1 to 31) and both teams commit almost the same number of turnovers (14.3 and 14.1). It is going to be a close game and Seattle have won on the road once already, so expect a closer game than 5 points. Pick Seattle in this one.

Prediction: Seattle Storm +4.5

 
Posted : September 6, 2017 9:24 am
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DALLAS (16 - 18 ) at WASHINGTON (18 - 16) - 9/6/2017, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 21-32 ATS (-14.2 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
WASHINGTON is 309-369 ATS (-96.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) against Western conference opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
WASHINGTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SEATTLE (15 - 19) at PHOENIX (18 - 16) - 9/6/2017, 10:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games on Wednesday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 38-62 ATS (-30.2 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.
SEATTLE is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
SEATTLE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-4 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-3 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : September 6, 2017 9:25 am
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DALLAS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Dallas's last 23 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Washington is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

SEATTLE vs. PHOENIX
Seattle is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Seattle is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
Phoenix is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Seattle

 
Posted : September 6, 2017 9:26 am
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StatFox Super Situations

DALLAS at WASHINGTON
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 playing with 2 days rest, in August or September games 64-30 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.1% | 31.0 units ) 9-5 this year. ( 64.3% | 3.5 units )

DALLAS at WASHINGTON
Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after a loss by 10 points or more 132-45 since 1997. ( 74.6% | 0.0 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

DALLAS at WASHINGTON
Play On - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (DALLAS) off a close home loss by 3 points or less, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days 42-16 since 1997. ( 72.4% | 24.4 units ) 0-4 this year. ( 0.0% | -4.4 units )

 
Posted : September 6, 2017 9:26 am
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