WNBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, August 22nd, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
Betting Recap - 8/14-8/20
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
League Betting Notes
Favorites went 9-4 straight up (SU)
Underdogs went 7-6 against the spread (ATS)
Road teams posted a 7-6 SU record
Road teams posted an 8-5 ATS record
The 'over' went 8-5
Team Betting Notes
The Dream's (10-20) nightmare continued last week as the club went 0-2. They did manage to cover on Saturday as they dropped a 90-86 decision at Dallas as five-point road underdogs. The losing streak has reached nine games and they are 1-8 ATS during this run. The ‘over’ went 2-0 last week.
After winning three straight games the previous week, the Sky (11-18) came back to earth last weekend at home. They were outgunned 115-103 by Los Angeles on Friday and embarrassed 103-66 on Sunday. Chicago went 0-2 ATS in both losses and the ‘over’ cashed in each game as well. Surprisingly, Chicago has played better on the road (7-7) than at home (4-11) this season.
Connecticut (19-10) played three games this past week and they posted a 2-1 record both SU and ATS. All three of the outcomes were decided by double digits and the ‘under’ went 2-1. The Sun complete their regular season home slate this week with games against the Wings and Sky before closing the year with three straight on the road.
Dallas (14-16) only played one game last week and they came away with a 90-86 home win over Atlanta. The Wings are fighting for a playoff spot and will begin their toughest test of the season this week with the first of three straight road games, all against Eastern Conference foes. The club brings a 3-0 ‘over’ run into this week’s action.
The Fever (9-21) entered the WNBA history books this past Friday as they were annihilated 111-52 at Minnesota. The 59-point margin broke the previous high of 46 points. The club has lost four straight and 14 of their last 16 games overall. They did manage to cover in Sunday’s road loss at Washington (82-87) and the ‘over’ is 4-1 in the last five games.
After dropping two of three, Los Angeles (21-8 ) finished up its five-game road trip with back-to-back wins and covers. The Sparks lit up the scoreboard with 95 and 115-point efforts. L.A. is only one game behind Minnesota for the top seed in the West and they finish the season with four of its final five contests at home.
Despite notching a record-breaking 111-52 win over Indiana on Friday, Minnesota (22-6) dropped two of three games last week and is 1-3 in its last four. The club plays three games this week, starting Tuesday versus Phoenix. Then the Lynx hit the road for games at San Antonio on Friday before a key matchup at Los Angeles on Sunday.
The Liberty (17-12) extended its winning streak to five games last week with a pair of wins and covers. The club was listed as an underdog in both contests and has been catching points in its last four games. The ‘under’ is on a 4-0-1 run and the defense is holding teams to 70.6 PPG during this run. New York has three games this week and two of them come against a pair of teams with losing record in Indiana and Chicago.
Phoenix (15-14) alternated wins and losses last week and that’s been the theme of the team lately. The Mercury haven’t won back-to-back games since late July and is 2-3 ATS over its last five games. The ‘over’ is on a 5-1 run and only one team was held under 80 points during this span. Phoenix plays three games this week and they’re against the top two clubs in the West (Minnesota, Los Angeles) plus Seattle, who is right on their tail in the standings.
The Stars (7-23) played one game last week and they just missed pulling off a major upset on Friday but they dropped a 79-78 decision to Seattle as 10-point underdogs. San Antonio has two games this week and it will likely be a double-digit underdog when it visits Los Angeles on Tuesday and hosts Minnesota on Friday.
Seattle (14-16) is making a serious push for the playoffs and it brings a four-game winning streak into this week. The Storm have gone 3-1 ATS during this run and the ‘over’ has also notched a 3-1 mark. The club plays three of its final four games on the road and Sunday’s matchup vs. Phoenix will be the home finale of the regular season.
WNBA Prediction: Phoenix Mercury at Minnesota Lynx
By Nick Lagouretos
Bangthebook.com
A battle between the first and the third best squads of the Western Conference takes place tonight, when the league leaders of Minnesota Lynx (22-6), are hosting the Phoenix Mercury (15-14), with both teams struggling lately and coming off defeats in their previous matchups.
Minnesota Lynx have the best record in the league since the start of the season with 22-6 (14-12-2) but their slump continues, having lost three of their last four matches. In their last game they lost on the road against New York with a 70-61 score. Sylvia Fowles leads the team in scoring with 19.9 ppg, adding team highs both in rebounds, with 10.13per game, and in blocks with 2.1 per game. She is followed by Maya Moore with 16.8 ppg, adding 5.5 rebounds and 3.4 assists.
Phoenix Mercury have a 15-14 record (13-15-1 ATS) and currently sit on the third place of the West. They have lost two of their last three matches and in their last game they lost on the road against Connecticut with a 94-66 score. Brittney Griner leads the team in scoring with 21.5 ppg, adding team highs both in rebounding with 8.1 per game and in blocks with 2.4 per game. Diana Taurasi follows with 18.9 ppg, while Monique Currie adds 10.9 ppg.
This will be the 4th meeting between those two teams this season, with Minnesota having won all three previous matchups. Minnesota are 12-2 at home, while Phoenix are 8-7 on the road. Minnesota are better both offensively, scoring a league third-best 84.5 ppg to Phoenix’s 82.9, and defensively, allowing a league-best 74.2 ppg to Phoenix’s 82.4. They also have better percentages both in field goals, shooting with a third-best 46.7% to Phoenix’s 43.8%, and in 3-pointers, shooting with 35.4% to Phoenix’s 33.4%. Lynx are second-best in assists made, with 20.3 to Mercury’s 17.7, grab more rebounds, with 35.5 to Mercury’s 32.4, while Mercury are only better in turnovers committed (13.9 to 14.3). Minnesota are the favorite for the win but their recent struggles indicate a much closer game than 11 points, so pick Phoenix in this one.
Prediction: Phoenix Mercury +7.5
WNBA Prediction: San Antonio Stars at Los Angeles Sparks
By Nick Lagouretos
Bangthebook.com
In the second All-Western showdown of the day, two teams sitting on opposite sides of the league table are clashing, when the defending champions of Los Angeles Sparks (21-8 ), are hosting the squad sitting on the bottom of the league table, the San Antonio Stars (7-23).
Los Angeles Sparks have a 21-8 record (17-12 ATS) and currently sit on the second place of the West and of the whole league, just 1½ games behind Minnesota. They are coming from back-to-back wins and in their last game they won on the road against Chicago in overtime with a 106-115 score. Nneka Ogwumike leads the team in scoring with 19.1 ppg, adding 7.6 rebounds per game. She is followed by Candace Parker with 17.2 ppg, adding a team high 8.5 rebounds per game and 4.3 assists.
San Antonio Stars have the worst record in the league with 7-23 (16-13-1 ATS) and they are trending downwards again, having lost two of their last three matches. In their last game they lost on the road against Seattle with a 79-78 score. Kayla McBride leads the team in scoring with 15.6 ppg and 4 rpg, followed by Isabelle Harrison with 11.9 ppg and a team high 6.5 rebounds per game. Moriah Jefferson adds 9.1 ppg and a team high 4.4 assists per game.
This will be the third meeting between those two teams this season, with Los Angeles having won both previous matchups. Los Angeles are 12-1 at home, while San Antonio are 1-13 on the road. Los Angeles are better both offensively, scoring 84.2 ppg to San Antonio’s league-low of 75.3, and defensively, allowing a second-best 77.3 ppg to San Antonio’s 81.7. Los Angeles have the best field goal percentage in the league, shooting with 47.7% to San Antonio’s 43.3%, while both teams have almost the same 3-point percentage, with 34.6% and 34.5%. Sparks are better in assists made, with 18.5 to Stars’ 17.6, while Stars are better in rebounding, grabbing 33.5 to Sparks’ third-worse of 31. Sparks are the absolute favorite for the win, but they have been only 2-6 ATS at home against San Antonio for the past years. Pick San Antonio in this one.
Prediction: San Antonio Stars +13.5
PHOENIX (15 - 14) at MINNESOTA (22 - 6) - 8/22/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
PHOENIX is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 11-5 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 13-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
11 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO (7 - 23) at LOS ANGELES (21 - 8 ) - 8/22/2017, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 3-18 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 6-25 ATS (-21.5 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 7-25 ATS (-20.5 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 64-92 ATS (-37.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 28-49 ATS (-25.9 Units) in home games on Tuesday since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 177-223 ATS (-68.3 Units) after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 91-122 ATS (-43.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 8-3 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 10-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Phoenix's last 14 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games at home
SAN ANTONIO vs. LOS ANGELES
San Antonio is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
San Antonio is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Los Angeles's last 9 games when playing at home against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 7 games when playing San Antonio
StatFox Super Situations
PHOENIX at MINNESOTA
Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, tired team - playing their 4th game in 7 days 55-24 since 1997. ( 69.6% | 28.6 units )
PHOENIX at MINNESOTA
Play Against - Underdogs vs the money line (PHOENIX) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season 200-67 since 1997. ( 74.9% | 0.0 units ) 10-3 this year. ( 76.9% | 0.0 units )
SAN ANTONIO at LOS ANGELES
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (LOS ANGELES) off an road win where they scored 85 or more points, in August or September games 59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )