WNBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Sunday, August 13th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
WNBA Betting Pick
By Allen Moody
Bangthebook.com
Just one game on the WNBA schedule today, but it’s an interesting one from a handicapping perspective, as the Los Angeles Storm visits the New York Liberty for an afternoon contest. The Sparks are favored by 2 and the total is 158, while my numbers make this one 81-79 in favor of Los Angeles.
Obviously this is a huge letdown game for Los Angeles, which defeated Minnesota 70-64 on Friday night and is the third game of a five-game road trip. The Sparks are obviously the better team, but how much did that win take out of them? The Minnesota game was more of a statement game than anything, as the Sparks have little chance to catch Minnesota in the standings. After defeating the Lynx last year to win the WNBA title, Los Angeles was defeated by Minnesota 88-77 on July 6, which was the first time the teams met this season. They also have a game in Los Angeles on Aug. 27.
The Sparks haven’t been anything special on the road this season and are 7-6 straight-up and against the spread. They have won four of their last five games, including an 87-74 home win over the Liberty on Aug. 4. The game was tied at the half before the Sparks took over in the second half and the Sparks also won the first meeting of the year between the two teams 90-75 in New York.
From a situational perspective, there isn’t a whole lot in this game. Teams who won their last game as a 5-point or more road underdog and are now road favorites are 8-12 since 2011, while teams who defeated Minnesota their last game have pretty much been a 50-50 proposition the past few years. The Sparks haven’t performed well off a win as an underdog, going 2-6 the past two-and-a-half seasons.
The Liberty can be a hard team to figure out at times. They do have a habit of playing close games, which can be a good thing or not depending on the opponent. They lost to Minnesota by 1 point on July 25 and then turned around and defeated a hapless Indiana team by a single point their next game, failing to cover the spread.
The last time Los Angeles played after a game with the Lynx they were defeated at Seattle as road favorites and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the same thing happen here, so will grab New York as home underdogs.
LOS ANGELES (19 - 7) at NEW YORK (14 - 12) - 8/13/2017, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 89-121 ATS (-44.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 5-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 5-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Los Angeles's last 11 games when playing on the road against New York
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
New York is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
New York is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
StatFox Super Situations
LOS ANGELES at NEW YORK
Play On - Any team (LOS ANGELES) good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less 47-19 since 1997. ( 71.2% | 26.1 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
LOS ANGELES at NEW YORK
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team 27-10 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.0% | 0.0 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )
LOS ANGELES at NEW YORK
Play On - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (NEW YORK) revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games 124-68 since 1997. ( 64.6% | 49.2 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )