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WNBA Betting News and Notes Saturday, August 12th, 2017

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(@blade)
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WNBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Saturday, August 12th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites

 
Posted : August 12, 2017 10:20 am
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WNBA Betting Picks
By Allen Moody
Bangthebook.com

We actually have a somewhat normal WNBA schedule tonight with four games, including the highest total we’ve so far this season, as Dallas visits Connecticut, where the Sun is favored by 10 with a total of 175.5. My numbers actually like the game to go over, calling for a 95-86 final, but in the games with the highest totals this season (174 and over) have gone 1-3 this season. The Sun have been tough in this situation this season, going 9-1 ATS with three or more days rest and 9-2 ATS when playing a team with a losing record. This is a bit of revenge game for the Sun, who lost at Dallas 96-82 earlier this season, so will tab Connecticut as our first play of the day in this one.

Indiana at Washington: The Mystics are favored by 6.5 with a total of 157 and Washington is short-handed once again, with Hill and Delle Donne out for this contest. So far, the Mystics have held their own without two of their star players and are on a 4-1 straight-up and ATS run, while the Fever are on a 1-6 run, with the lone victory somehow coming against Minnesota. Indiana is just 4-10 in totals when on the road this season.

Atlanta at San Antonio: The Dream is favored by 3 with a total of 157 and I actually have San Antonio winning the game 81-76. The Dream are coming off a loss last night against New York and then making the trip to San Antonio. This is the first time since the start of the 2011 season that a road favorite lost its previous game as a home favorite and played the following night. Atlanta has lost five in a row straight-up and the Stars have won their last three games at home, so not so sure the right team is favored in this one. Yes, it takes a bit of nerve to wager on San Antonio, but believe they are the right side in this one and will take the home underdog as play No. 2 tonight. There’s also been a bit of a tendency for teams playing back-to-back games to go over the total, so will tab the over as our third and final play of the day.

Seattle at Phoenix: The Mercury could have Britney Griner in the line-up today and she makes a huge difference. Phoenix is favored by 4 with a total of 164.5 and I made the Mercury 85-77 winners, but will give Griner a few games to get back into playing shape before looking at Phoenix.

 
Posted : August 12, 2017 10:22 am
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DALLAS (13 - 15) at CONNECTICUT (16 - 9) - 8/12/2017, 7:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 17-28 ATS (-13.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 17-28 ATS (-13.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.
CONNECTICUT is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CONNECTICUT is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
CONNECTICUT is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 4-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 4-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

INDIANA (9 - 18) at WASHINGTON (15 - 10) - 8/12/2017, 7:35 PM

Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
WASHINGTON is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 307-362 ATS (-91.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 33-56 ATS (-28.6 Units) in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

ATLANTA (10 - 17) at SAN ANTONIO (6 - 22) - 8/12/2017, 8:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SEATTLE (10 - 16) at PHOENIX (14 - 12) - 8/12/2017, 10:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
SEATTLE is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
SEATTLE is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
SEATTLE is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
SEATTLE is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : August 12, 2017 11:49 am
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DALLAS vs. CONNECTICUT
Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Connecticut
Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Connecticut is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

INDIANA vs. WASHINGTON
Indiana is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Indiana is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Indiana
Washington is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Indiana

ATLANTA vs. SAN ANTONIO
Atlanta is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Antonio
Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
San Antonio is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

SEATTLE vs. PHOENIX
Seattle is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Seattle is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games
Phoenix is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Phoenix is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

 
Posted : August 12, 2017 11:50 am
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StatFox Super Situations

DALLAS at CONNECTICUT
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (CONNECTICUT) good shooting team (43.5-46%) against an average shooting team (40.5-43.5%) after 15+ games 46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units ) 6-4 this year. ( 60.0% | 1.6 units )

SEATTLE at PHOENIX
Play On - Road underdogs (SEATTLE) off a road loss against opponent off an road win where they scored 85 or more points 44-17 since 1997. ( 72.1% | 25.3 units ) 3-3 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.3 units )

SEATTLE at PHOENIX
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (PHOENIX) off a road win, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% after 15 or more games 40-24 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.5% | 0.0 units ) 2-3 this year. ( 40.0% | 0.0 units )

 
Posted : August 12, 2017 11:51 am
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