Notifications
Clear all

MLB Betting News and Notes Wednesday, November 2nd, 2016

5 Posts
1 Users
0 Likes
1,990 Views
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Wednesday, November 2nd, 2016 from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : November 2, 2016 7:57 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

MLB Knowledge

Hendricks is 4-2, 1.92 in his last nine starts, 1-1, 2.45 in six postseason starts. Cubs won his last five road starts; this is his first road start this postseason.

Kluber is 7-1, 1.98 in his last nine starts, 4-1, 0.89 in five postseason starts; he has allowed one run in 12 IP in two starts in this series. Indians are 13-1 in his last 14 home starts.

Cubs are 10-6 in playoffs this year, 5-3 on road; Chicago is 10-2 in playoffs if they score a run. Obviously Chicago hasn’t been in World Series since 1945, Indians since 1997. Cleveland is 10-4 in playoffs, 5-2 at home- they’ve tossed five shutouts in postseason.

Maddon is 27-28 as a playoff manager, 14-11 with Cubs. he lost 2008 World Series with Rays. Francona won World Series with Boston in 2004, 2007; he is 38-22 as a postseason manager, 11-2 in World Series games.

Maddon-Francona faced each other as managers in Game 7 of ’08 ALCS; Rays won, with Jon Lester starting on the mound for the Red Sox.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : November 2, 2016 7:59 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

CHICAGO CUBS (113 - 64) at CLEVELAND (104 - 71) - 8:05 PM

KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. COREY KLUBER (R)

Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1601-1687 (-259.2 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1544-1600 (-234.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1178-1252 (-195.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 24-23 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 104-71 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 58-30 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 98-67 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 74-42 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 10-4 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in playoff games this season.
CLEVELAND is 57-39 (+15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 33-21 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 28-12 (+14.1 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 129-76 (+27.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KLUBER is 35-34 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KLUBER is 14-17 (-10.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-3 (+1.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

KYLE HENDRICKS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
HENDRICKS is 0-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.848.
His team's record is 0-1 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

COREY KLUBER vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
KLUBER is 2-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 0.92 and a WHIP of 0.712.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

CHI CUBS vs. CLEVELAND
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home

StatFox Super Situations

CHICAGO CUBS at CLEVELAND
Play On - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing against opponent starting a pitcher who is working on 3 or less days rest 54-27 since 1997. ( 66.7% | 28.2 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

CHICAGO CUBS at CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 25-13 (+15.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. The average score was: CLEVELAND (3.7) , OPPONENT (3.1)

Chicago at Cleveland
Hendricks: CHICAGO CUBS are 9-14 SU in road games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors
Kluber: CLEVELAND is 20-7 SU after 2 or more consecutive losses

 
Posted : November 2, 2016 10:23 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

World Series Game 7 Betting Preview
Covers.com

Chicago Cubs at Cleveland Indians (+100, 7)

A longstanding drought will end for either the Chicago Cubs or Cleveland Indians on Wednesday night while the other team will be flooded with heartbreak. The visiting Cubs forced a decisive Game 7 with Tuesday’s 9-3 victory and are aiming to win their first World Series title since 1908 while the Indians are trying to break a rut that dates back to 1948.

Chicago recovered from a 3-1 deficit to win the last two games but has yet to solve Cleveland ace Corey Kluber, who is looking to become the first starting pitcher since Detroit’s Mickey Lolich in 1968 to record three victories in a single World Series. Chicago shortstop Addison Russell (age 22) is coming off his own sterling performance as he became the second youngest player to hit a grand slam (behind New York Yankees legend Mickey Mantle) and matched the Series record of six RBIs – tying Yankees Bobby Richardson (1960), Hideki Matsui (2009) and former St. Louis Cardinals slugger Albert Pujols (2011). “We’ve been doing this all year, putting new history in history books and you wouldn’t be able to tell that,” Russell told reporters afterward. The one-sided affair allows the Indians to have stellar left-hander Andrew Miller (0.53 ERA, 29 strikeouts in 17 postseason innings in 2016) and right-handed closer Cody Allen (22 strikeouts in 11 2/3 scoreless innings in 2016) rested for Game 7 while Cubs left-handed closer Aroldis Chapman pitched 1 1/3 innings on Tuesday despite the margin.

WEATHER REPORT: The forecast for Game 7 in Cleveland is calling for mostly cloudy skies with unseasonably warm temperatures in the low-70's. There is a growing chance of rain later in the game and the wind will be blowing straight out to center at 6-8 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (1-1, 1.31 ERA) vs. Indians RH Corey Kluber (4-1, 0.89)

Hendricks, who won 16 regular-season games, took a no-decision in Game 3 of the World Series when he allowed six hits and two walks in 4 1/3 scoreless innings. The 26-year-old is ecstatic to have the opportunity to help the Cubs end their 108-year title drought. “Exactly, this is the ultimate dream. You dream of getting to the World Series, winning the World Series,” Hendricks told reporters at a press conference. “When you’re out in your backyard as a kid, playing Little League at the field with your friends, this is the moment you dream about. … It’s always Game 7 of the World Series.”

Kluber has struck out 15 in 12 innings during the World Series while allowing just one run in his two victories. He has repeatedly had his best stuff during the postseason despite regularly pitching on short rest and manager Terry Francona has been impressed that the 2014 American League Cy Young Award winner has remained sharp. “I wouldn’t want to do this all year, in fairness to him,” Francona told reporters at a press conference. “But I think for a couple starts, I think he can handle it just fine.”

TRENDS:

* Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 playoff road games.
* Cubs are 5-0 in Hendricks' last 5 road starts.
* Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
* Indians are 7-1 in Kluber's last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
* Under is 5-0 in Hendricks' last 5 interleague starts.
* Under is 11-2 in Indians' last 13 playoff games.
* Under is 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 home starts.
* Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 games with Holbrook behind home plate.

CONSENSUS: The public is favoring the home underdog Indians in Game 7 at a rate of 56 percent. Under is picking up 57 percent of the wagers on the total.

 
Posted : November 2, 2016 10:24 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Game 7 - Cubs at Indians
By Sportsbook.ag

Chicago Cubs (113-64) at Cleveland Indians (104-71)

Sportsbook.ag Line: Chicago -115, Cleveland +105, Total: 6.5

Series Results - Tied 3-3
Game 1) Chicago at Cleveland (-110) 6-0 (Favorite - Under 6.5)
Game 2) Chicago (-155) at Cleveland 5-1 (Favorite - Under 7.5)
Game 3) Cleveland (+190) at Chicago 1-0 (Underdog - Under 8 )
Game 4) Cleveland (+110) at Chicago 7-2 (Underdog - Over 6.5)
Game 5) Cleveland at Chicago (-220) 3-2 (Favorite - Under 6.5)
Game 6) Chicago (-150) at Cleveland 9-3 (Favorite - Over 7.5)

One of the most highly-anticipated Fall Classics in recent memory will come to its conclusion Wednesday night. One drought will end, and one fan base’s misery will continue. The Indians host the Cubs in Game 7 of the Word Series.

Either the Cubs (103-58) or Indians (94-67) will win the World Series on Wednesday night, as hard as that is to believe, and you can expect managers Terry Francona and Joe Maddon to pull out all the stops in the final game of the season.

The Indians have a slight pitching advantage in this one, as RHP Corey Kluber (18-9, 3.14 ERA during the regular season) will get the start for the Tribe. He’ll be opposed by RHP Kyle Hendricks (16-8, 2.13 ERA during the regular season). Kluber won Games 1 and 4 for the Indians. In those two starts, he allowed just one earned run in 12 innings and recorded 15 strikeouts to just one walk. Hendricks started Game 3 and didn’t give up a run in 4 1/3 innings, earning a no-decision.

Expect to see Indians relievers Andrew Miller (1 ER in 17 IP) and Cody Allen (0 ER in 11 2/3 IP, 6 SV) and Cubs closer Aroldis Chapman (4 ER in 14 1/3 IP, 4 SV) in Wednesday’s game. The Indians have gone 5-2 at Progressive Field this postseason; the Cubs have gone 5-3 on the road.

The Cubs’ bats have woken up at the right time. 3B Kris Bryant (19-for-61, 5 2B, 3 HR, 8 RBI) has homered in two straight games, 1B Anthony Rizzo (17-for-62, 5 2B, 3 HR, 9 RBI) went deep in Game 6 and SS Addison Russell (13-for-61, 2 2B, 3 HR, 12 RBI) had six RBIs—including a Grand Slam—on Tuesday. The Cubs have mustered just nine hits off Kluber in 12 innings this series, so they’ll have their work cut out for them.

LF Ben Zobrist (15-for-59, 4 2B, 3B, 4 RBI), RF Jason Heyward (5-for-43, 2B, 3B, RBI) and Rizzo have each had a pair of hits off him in the series. DH Kyle Schwarber (4-for-12, 2B, 2 RBI), who returned for this series after missing all but two games during the regular season, has given Chicago a nice boost. In four postseason starts this month, Hendricks has gone 1-1 with a 1.31 ERA in 20 2/3 innings.

The Indians didn’t score against Hendricks in Game 3, but they did have six hits and two walks against him. SS Francisco Lindor (18-for-53, 3 2B, 2 HR, 6 RBI) and 3B Jose Ramirez (13-for-51, 2 2B, HR, 3 RBI) each had a pair of hits off the right-hander. But aside from Lindor and Ramirez, only 2B Jason Kipnis (13-for-56, 3 2B, 4 HR, 8 RBI) has had a strong series at the plate.

C Roberto Perez (8-for-42, 2B, 3 HR, 7 RBI) has been quiet since his two-homer performance in Game 1, and 1B Mike Napoli (9-for-47, 3 2B, HR, 3 RBI) and DH Carlos Santana (9-for-48, 2B, 3 HR, 3 RBI) have been underachieved, going a combined 8-for-38 with 15 strikeouts in the series. Kluber has had an all-time great postseason. In five starts, he’s gone 4-1 with an 0.89 ERA in 30 1/3 innings pitched.

Game 7 Propositions

Total Runs+Hits+Errors
Over 22.5 (-115)
Under 22.5 (-115)

Team to Score First
Cubs -155
Indians +130

Adjusted Runline A
Cubs +1.5 (-295)
Indians -1.5 (+230)

Adjusted Runline B
Cubs -2.5 (+225)
Indians +2.5 (-290)

Cubs Total Runs
Over 3.5 (-115)
Under 3.5 (-115)

Indians Total Runs
Over 3 (-115)
Under 3 (-115)

Will there be a score in the 1st Inning?
Yes +140
No -170

Total Runs Odd/Even More
Odd -170
Even +140

Will the game go to Extra Innings?
Yes +550
No -900

1st 5 Innings 3 Way Line
Cubs +115
Indians +135
Tie +375

Margin of Victory
Cleveland to win by 1 +400
Cleveland to win by 2 +650
Cleveland to win by 3 +900
Cleveland to win by 4 +1400
Cleveland to win by 5 or more +725

Chicago to win by 1 +375
Chicago to win by 2 +600
Chicago to win by 3 +850
Chicago to win by 4 +1250
Chicago to win by 5 or more +600

Double Result (1st 5 Innings / Game Winner)
Cleveland / Cleveland +160
Cleveland / Chicago +800
Chicago / Cleveland +850
Chicago / Chicago +145
Tie / Cleveland +950
Tie / Chicago +900

 
Posted : November 2, 2016 12:37 pm
Share: