Tuesday 7/5/22 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NFL, NCAAF, CFL & WNBA games
Stephen Oh
CHI. CUBS @ MILWAUKEE | 07/05 | 8:10 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -140
ANALYSIS: My model says the Brewers win in almost 70 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value with them at this number. Milwaukee has won three of four at home against Chicago this season, outscoring the Cubs 25-6 in those four contests. The Brewers have won seven of nine overall, while Chicago has dropped two straight following a season high-tying four-game winning streak. Expect the skid to continue.
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Larry Hartstein
L.A. ANGELS @ MIAMI | 07/05 | 6:40 PM EDT
MIAMI -145
ANALYSIS: The Marlins return home after closing their road trip with five straight wins, most coming in dramatic fashion. Miami finished off a sweep of Washington on Monday despite resting some key regulars. The Marlins have won seven of their last nine home games and send ace Sandy Alcantara against the Angels, who are 16-21 on the road. Alcantara (8-3, 1.95 ERA) has been even better at home with a 1.80 ERA and is coming off a complete-game victory over the Cardinals. Some might worry that he threw 117 pitches, but he had an extra day of rest. The Angels struck out 48 times in getting swept by Houston over the weekend, with Mike Trout going 0 for 11 with nine strikeouts.
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mlb-undertips info
Detroit Tigers – Cleveland Guardians
Under 8.5
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Jimmy Adams
4%
(917) Tampa Bay Rays at (918) Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox -122 N Pivetta (RHP) Must Start
3%
(919) Kansas City Royals at (920) Houston Astros
Houston Astros -1.5 (-113) L Garcia (RHP) Must Start
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CARMINE BIANCO
Game: (929) New York Yankees at (930) Pittsburgh Pirates
Date/Time: Jul 5 2022 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: New York Yankees -1.5 (-125) J Taillon (RHP), J Quintana (LHP) Must Start
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KEVIN THOMAS
MLB, 07/05 7:10 PM Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles
PICK: Over 9.5 for 10 Units
RECORD: (1-0 YESTERDAY)
(3-7 LAST 6 DAYS)
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LAS VEGAS CRIS
Game: (923) Toronto Blue Jays at (924) Oakland Athletics
Date/Time: Jul 5 2022 9:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: FanDuel
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Toronto Blue Jays Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) Y Kikuchi (LHP), A Martinez (RHP) Must Start
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Brandt Sutton:
Canada vs. Trinidad & Tobago (Tuesday, 10 p.m. ET)
Pick: Canada to win
Projected final score: Canada 4, Trinidad and Tobago 0
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Brandt Sutton:
Costa Rica vs. Panama (Tuesday, 7 p.m. ET)
Pick: Costa Rica to win
Projected final score: Costa Rica 2, Panama 1
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Jon Eimer:
BOCA JUNIORS vs. CORINITHIANS (Tuesday, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Corinthians Over 0.5 goals -150
Draw or Corinthians win double chance -135
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11th Hour Sports Picks
MLB 3u 926 Padres -130
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Mike Lundin
10
padres
yankees rl
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jack jones
20
mets rl
toronto rl
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stephen nover
yankees rl
cardinals
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matt fargo
pitt
cubs
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damico
astros rl
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sean murphy
goy
cardinals
blowout
mets
marlins
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jim feist
marlins
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rocky atkinson
marlins
guardians
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big al
cleveland guardians
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kelso
15 marlins
15 mets
15 orioles
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Delphi Sports
MLB
3* #918 Boston -123
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Gambling God Sports Picks
2022 MLB SEASON 94-56 +20.10 units 62.7% winners
July 6-3 +1.875 units
yesterday 1-1 -0.25 unit
MLB
Atlanta mlb winner #16 of 19
San Francisco mlb winner #16 of 19
July free picks 2-1 +0.4 unit
free pick
los angeles dodgers
Sports Handicapper King
MLB 2022 SEASON 67-57 -11.99 units 54% winners
July 4-6 -4.43 units
yesterday 1-1 -0.80 unit
MLB
Cleveland
New York Mets
July free plays 3-0 +3 units
free play
new york yankees
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VSiN Hosts & Guests
MY GUYS IN THE DESERT
Geoff Ulrich
Scottish Open
Jordan Spieth +2500
Tommy Fleetwood +5000
Victor Perez +11000
Open Championship
Adam Scott +6500
Barbasol
Kelly Kraft +5000
FOLLOW THE MONEY
Matt Youmans
Scottish Open
Jon Rahm 12-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 20-1
Will Zalatoris 27-1
Robert MacIntyre 85-1
British Open
Tiger Woods to make cut +120
CFB win totals
Alabama Over 10.5 (-225)
Colorado Under 3.5 (-135)
New Mexico Over 2.5 (+120)
LSU Over 6.5 (-130)
Oklahoma Under 9.5 (-120)
Mitch Moss
Dodgers TT O4.5 (-135)
Brad Powers
Clemson +140 to win ACC
Utah 4/1 to win Pac-12
Oklahoma +225 to win Big 12
Miami, FL 7/1 to win ACC
NC State 12/1 to win ACC
Tennessee 100/1 to win SEC
Oklahoma OVER 8.5 Wins
Colorado UNDER 3.5 Wins
Miami, FL OVER 5.5 Wins -110
Hendon Hooker 80/1 to win Heisman
Ohio St 5/1 to win title
Clemson 16/1 to win title
A NUMBERS GAME
Mark Borchard
Rays +114 vs. Red Sox
THE LOMBARDI LINE
Will Hill
Saints Over 8.5 regular season wins (+100)
Kevin Durant to stay with the Nets (+700)
Nets to win NBA Championsip (+5000)
Scottish Open: Viktor Hovland (+3000) and Mito Pereira (+8000)
Padres-Mariners F5 Un 4 (-130)
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dave price
7
yankees rl
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Marco D'Angelo
4%
(921) Minnesota Twins at (922) Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox -121 C Archer (RHP), M Kopech (RHP) Must Start
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Scott Spreitzer
WNBA
3-U Storm -10.5 over Fever (7 p.m., Tuesday, July 5)
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Strike Point Sports
3-unit NY Mets -1.5 -130
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The Insider's Room
10* Cubs-Brewers over 8.5 (-113) - K Hendricks (RHP), J Alexander (RHP) Must Start
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Totals Guru
Angels vs. Marlins O 7
Twins vs. White Sox O 9
Cardinals vs. Braves O 9.5
Sun vs. Wings U 164
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The Money Team (TMT)
3* Dodgers - 1'
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WUnderdog
mlb
NY Mets -200 v cincinatti
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Bob Balfe:
MLB
7:05 PM EST
Rotation #913-914
Rangers/Orioles Over 9.5 runs
Howard/Voth
Last night’s game was a thriller regarding walks and pitchers hitting batters. Texas had the game in the bag and blew it. Tonight the Rangers get a chance for redemption with Austin Voth on the mound for Baltimore. Voth is a poor MLB pitcher who walks a lot of batters. On the other side, Spencer Howard might be worse. Both pitchers do not belong at this stage yet. Look for many runs on a hot and humid day with some wet conditions. Take the Over.
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Micah Roberts
L.A. ANGELS @ MIAMI | 07/05 | 6:40 PM EDT
MIAMI -145
ANALYSIS: I think Sandy Alcantara is my favorite starter in MLB, and part of that can be attributed to Marlins manager Don Mattingly bucking the system. Alcantara has all the numbers and stats as a traditional ace, but what I love the most is that he’s allowed to finish his own mess at the end of games regardless of pitch count. He has two complete games, which is twice as many as any other starter in the majors. The Marlins have won five straight, and the Angels have lost three straight. Marlins win.
+1705 44-27 IN LAST 71 MLB ML PICKS
+886 25-15 IN LAST 40 LAA ML PICKS
+338 10-7 IN LAST 17 MIA ML PICKS
12:21 PM
SEATTLE @ SAN DIEGO | 07/05 | 4:10 PM EDT
SEATTLE 118
ANALYSIS: I love this situation with the Padres having lost seven of their last nine games and the Mariners riding a three-game winning streak. San Diego has won all six of RHP Mike Clevinger’s starts, but he doesn’t last too long and has earned only two decisions. Seattle RHP Logan Gilbert has been the team's lucky charm all season, winning nine of his 12 starts. The bonus is getting plus-money on the Mariners. Take Seattle to win.
+1705 44-27 IN LAST 71 MLB ML PICKS
+1500 24-10 IN LAST 34 SEA ML PICKS
+465 14-8 IN LAST 22 SD ML PICKS
11:32 AM
KANSAS CITY @ HOUSTON | 07/05 | 8:10 PM EDT
KANSAS CITY 205
ANALYSIS: The Royals have won three of their last five games and lost last night on a walk-off homer, 7-6. The Astros have won seven straight. But I’m riding Zack Grienke today. He's looked great in his last two starts since coming off the injured list. Both resulted in Royals wins and he allowed just one run in each of those outings. The last time Luis Garcia faced Kansas City on June 4, the Royals won 6-0. Royals to win.
+1705 44-27 IN LAST 71 MLB ML PICKS
+330 3-0 IN LAST 3 KC ML PICKS
+729 27-22 IN LAST 49 HOU ML PICKS
11:04 AM
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Matt Severance
N.Y. YANKEES @ PITTSBURGH | 07/05 | 7:05 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES -195
ANALYSIS: Sportsbooks can be very weird/different, which I've noted many times previously both on here and Twitter. DraftKings opened this yesterday afternoon at -165 (where it stayed for about 30 minutes) while Caesars opened it at -235. Why it's always wise to shop around. Both have it in the -195 ballpark now. We will use the Caesars line, and I think I have to jump now that it's under -200 because I don't think it should be under that number -- not a big runline guy in terms of giving +1.5, especially to a home team. I would go meatballs (underrated Bill Murray movie from yesteryear; Spaz deserved his own spin-off) if the Bucs hit a solo homer in the bottom of the ninth to only lose by one run tonight. This will matter quite a bit to Yanks starter Jameson Taillon as he was the second overall pick in the 2010 MLB draft by Pittsburgh, debuted with the team in 2016 and was traded to New York before the 2021 season. Taillon (9-1, 3.32 ERA) has been better on the road with a 2.70 ERA. Pittsburgh's Jose Quintana (1-4, 3.43 ERA) is decent enough to where I don't think this will be a blowout but I will be surprised if NYY loses.
+2011 204-126 IN LAST 330 MLB PICKS
+669 18-7 IN LAST 25 PIT ML PICKS
11:52 AM
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John Bollman
SEATTLE @ SAN DIEGO | 07/05 | 4:10 PM EDT
SEATTLE 122
ANALYSIS: The Mariners have sneakily been playing much better on the road lately as they are 9-2 on the road in their past 29 games compared to 8-10 at home. They have now won three games in a row and they are just 2 games below .500. The Padres have actually done the opposite, they are much better on the road, they are just 21-17 at home this season. Logan Gilbert is starting today and he is also actually better on the road at 5-1 with a 2.55 ERA. He has yet to allow more than four runs or pitch fewer than five innings in a start this season. Mike Clevinger has pitched well but he doesn’t get deep into the game. The Padres bullpen has actually been the 7th best in the league in the past 30 days, the Mariners have actually been the third best during the same stretch though. I like the value on the Mariners on the road.
+498 175-147 IN LAST 322 MLB ML PICKS
+941 52-39 IN LAST 91 SEA ML PICKS
+422 26-19 IN LAST 45 SD ML PICKS
11:55 AM
L.A. ANGELS @ MIAMI | 07/05 | 6:40 PM EDT
MIAMI -145
ANALYSIS: The Marlins just pulled off the four-game sweep on the road and now they head home where they are much better on the season at 19-16. They face off in an interleague matchup against the Angels. The Angels were just swept by the Astros, and they are 10-17 in their past 27 games. They are also 16-21 on the road. Sandy Alcantara is starting for the Marlins, and he has been one of the best pitchers in the league. The Marlins should have their bullpen back and available to pitch after him as well, after most of them were unavailable yesterday. I like the Marlins to stay hot.
+498 175-147 IN LAST 322 MLB ML PICKS
+2329 51-26 IN LAST 77 LAA ML PICKS
+1546 50-29 IN LAST 79 MIA ML PICKS
11:54 AM
WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA | 07/05 | 7:05 PM EDT
PHILADELPHIA -165
ANALYSIS: The Phillies are 18-9 in their past 27 games and a decent amount of those are without Bryce Harper. The Nats are 9-18 in their past 27 games and they were just swept at home in four games by the Marlins. Cristopher Sanchez should be opening for the Phillies and they will have a bullpen game with the Ranger Suarez injury. Their bullpen has actually been very good lately, they are ranked 13th in the league in bullpen ERA in the past 30 days. The Nats are ranked 21st in that same span. Paolo Espino has been good but he has yet to pick up a win and he’s been showing cracks lately. I like the Phillies at home.
+498 175-147 IN LAST 322 MLB ML PICKS
+1621 28-13 IN LAST 41 PHI ML PICKS
11:53 AM
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