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Thursday 5/19/22 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NBA & NHL games
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Andy Lang
PGA Championship 5% Scottie Scheffler Top 20 -135 @DraftKings. Good to -175. 1-1 for +0u last week, YTD is 43-43 for -19.28u. __________________ The Prez 4% REGULATION Florida Panthers -110. Good to -130. __________________ mlb8 club USA : MLB Cleveland Guardians – Cincinnati Over 7.5 __________________ Ziti sports MLB New York Mets -161 St. Louis Cardinals (1:10 PM) NBA PLAYOFFS Boston Celtics +3.5 -110 Miami Heat (8:30 PM) NHL PLAYOFFS Florida Panthers -160 Tampa Bay Lightning (7:00 PM) SOCCER OVER SYSTEM Switzerland - Super League- Grasshoppers Zurich vs. St Gallen OVER 3 -130 (2:30 PM) __________________ R & R TOTAL NBA, 05/19 8:35 PM Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat PICK: Under 208 for 10 Units WNBA, 05/19 10:00 PM Minnesota Lynx vs Las Vegas Aces PICK: Under 167.5 for 10 Units MLB, 05/19 7:10 PM Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox PICK: Over 8.5 for 10 Units NHL, 05/19 7:05 PM Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers PICK: Under 6.5 for 10 Units __________________ King Creole 3* Heat ats __________________ Matt Severance TAMPA BAY @ FLORIDA | 05/19 | 7:00 PM EDT FLORIDA -159 ANALYSIS: I'm pretty irked about Tuesday's NHL because my first inclination was to take the puckline on both road teams, but I didn't love the price on Tampa Bay and wanted to see how St. Louis would fare in Denver for one game first. Of course, both road teams covered that +1.5 with the Bolts winning outright. Still think Florida would have eventually won if not for the tying goal waved off with about eight minutes left. Can't possibly see the Cats losing back-to-back at home -- almost feels like letdown time for Tampa off three straight huge wins since last Thursday. No Brayden Point again for the Bolts. If the Tampa PL (-175) was cheaper than the Panthers ML (-160), I'd take it. Wouldn't shock me actually if Florida won by multiple goals like it did after losing Game 1 at home of the last round vs. Washington. __________________ Stephen Oh SAN DIEGO @ PHILADELPHIA | 05/19 | 1:05 PM EDT PHILADELPHIA -120 ANALYSIS: There's a chance Bryce Harper -- who's fifth in the majors in OPS (.994), seventh in home runs (nine) and eighth in RBI (27) -- is back in the lineup on Thursday. But even if he isn't, this Phillies lineup is more than just Harper. Philadelphia ranks second in the majors in batting average (.253) and fifth in OPS (.739). On Thursday the Phillies face Yu Darvish, who gave up five earned runs on nine hits in 5.2 innings in his last start. My model says Philadelphia wins more than 60 percent of the time, which makes this good value. __________________ |
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Dave Essler
3* Bost/MIA Under __________________ Scott Spreitzer 3* Florida -160 __________________ The Winners Circle – Thursday Sports Plays NBA BASKETBALL Play Miami -3.5 over Boston ~~~ NHL HOCKEY Play Florida -160 over Tampa Bay Play Colorado -240 over St. Louis ~~~ MLB BASEBALL Play New York Yankees -215 over Baltimore Play New York Mets -170 over St. Louis __________________ jack jones 20 guardians 15 stl cards __________________ dave price 7 cleveland guardians __________________ TMT Sports Baseball MLB YTD 64-45 +$60,300 (59%) Yesterday Recap 2-1 +$3,220 (67%) This Week 5-2 +$7,110 (71%) 3* NY Mets -1.5 +110 2* Cleveland TT Over 3.5 -110 2* San Diego Over 8 -110 __________________ Matt Severance FEATURED PICK CINCINNATI @ CLEVELAND | 05/19 | 1:10 PM EDT CLEVELAND -130 ANALYSIS: Yesterday's rainout may have helped the Guardians because their two best relievers, Bryan Shaw and Emmanuel Clase, both pitched in Tuesday's loss so maybe they wouldn't have been available Wednesday but will be today. Also the return of Manager Terry Francona from COVID. The Reds are playing better and burned us Tuesday, but Tyler Mahle has a 5.89 ERA overall and 6.50 on the road. On the flip side, since July 10, 2021, Cleveland's Cal Quantrill has recorded a team-high 17 starts of 6.0-or-more innings and has gone 7-3 with a 2.40 ERA. BOSTON @ MIAMI | 05/19 | 8:30 PM EDT MIAMI -165 ANALYSIS: I was going to wait here on official word on Al Horford, but it sounds as if he's not playing again due to COVID. Marcus Smart should be back for Boston but now comes word that guard Derrick White is out for personal reasons. That clearly weakens the Boston bench (White started for Smart in Game 1). So, back to the Heat at home -- where they haven't lost since late March. __________________ John Bollman TAMPA BAY @ FLORIDA | 05/19 | 7:00 PM EDT FLORIDA -160 ANALYSIS: This is a must win game for the Panthers in my opinion. They looked lethargic in Game 1 and they still have yet to score a power play goal in the playoffs. That has to change. I think we will see a much better effort from the Panthers tonight. The Lightning also know they did their job stealing a road game and I think they know they can take care of business at home. This might be the only time I am on the Panthers this series as I think the odds are way off in general, most of these games should be much closer to 50-50 and I think the Lightning should be favored when they’re at home. But I like the Panthers to even the series at home. ST. LOUIS @ N.Y. METS | 05/19 | 1:10 PM EDT ST. LOUIS 164 ANALYSIS: Dakota Hudson has been solid for the Cardinals this season pitching three scoreless outings and pitching three outings allowing 3 ER. Chris Bassitt has been very good for the Mets as well, only getting hit hard in one of his outings. However, I think this should be a low scoring game with these two starters, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Cardinals bats wake up after facing Max Scherzer for six innings. I think pretty much everything about this game could go either way depending on who gets the big hit. The lineup, starting pitching, and bullpens are all even to me, so I like the value in the heavy underdog here. SEATTLE @ BOSTON | 05/19 | 7:10 PM EDT BOSTON -130 ANALYSIS: George Kirby has been very good for the Mariners in his first two starts but he is still a rookie making his first career start in Fenway against a Red Sox team that has suddenly started to hit. The Red Sox bullpen is also completely rested after the Nick Pivetta complete game yesterday. The Mariners are 6-15 in their last 21 games and 8-14 on the road. Rich Hill has actually pitched really well lately only allowing 2 ER in his last 19 IP. The Mariners are also much worse against lefties this season. Take the Red Sox to stay hot at home. __________________ Allie O'Neill ARIZONA @ CHI. CUBS | 05/19 | 7:40 PM EDT CHI. CUBS 100 ANALYSIS: The Diamondbacks have now lost six straight games. Even though the Cubs lost yesterday, they have still won four of the last five games. Arizona's Zach Gallen has been great so far, but just lost at home to the Cubs in his most recent start. There is some concern about Marcus Stroman, as he is just returning from COVID protocols, but the Cubs have a strong bullpen to back him up. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks currently hold the third worst bullpen ERA. Take the Cubs to extend the Dbacks' losing streak. CINCINNATI @ CLEVELAND | 05/19 | 1:10 PM EDT OVER 8 ANALYSIS: The over is 7-1 in Tyler Mahle's starts this season, including one game last month versus Cleveland where he gave up four earned runs. Cal Quantrill has allowed at least a couple earned runs per outing, so ideally the Reds offense is able to contribute their share of scoring. The Reds allow their opponents more runs than any other team in the league, an average of 5.83. The Guardians currently sit at the sixth worst spot, allowing 4.62. The over has now hit five straight times that these teams have played, and is 9-4 in Reds home games this season. __________________ Mike Barner BOSTON @ MIAMI | 05/19 | 8:30 PM EDT MIAMI -170 ANALYSIS: The Celtics entered the half of Game 1 with a lead despite Marcus Smart and Al Horford being out. They were abnormally hot from the field, so when regression hit in the second half, the Heat pulled away with a win. It sounds like Smart has a good chance to return for Game 2, which would provide Boston with a huge boost. However, the Heat have yet to lose at home during the playoffs, and Jimmy Butler is a man on a mission. Look for the Heat to win another game before the series shifts to Boston. |
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XS Sports Picks
Yesterday 1-2 (-$3,200) This Week 4-5 (-$1,400) MLB YTD 62-42 +$73,360 (60% MLB Winners) 2* Houston Over 8 -110 2* Kansas City Over 10 -115 __________________ Cokin MLB 3% Padres/Phillies 1H Total Under 4 -105 3% White Sox/Royals Total Over 10 -115 2% Reds 1H +101 __________________ Las Vegas Chris New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Play Rating: 1% Play: New York Yankees -200 J Montgomery (LHP) Must Start San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies Play Rating: 2% Play: Total Over 8.0 (-110) Action Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals Play Rating: 2% Play: 1H Total Over 5.0 (-120) V Velasquez (RHP), C Hernandez (RHP) Must Start Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago Cubs Play Rating: 2% Play: Total Under 9.0 (-110) Z Gallen (RHP), M Stroman (RHP) Must Start St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche Play Rating: 1% Play: Total Over 6.5 (-129) St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche Play Rating: 2% Play: St. Louis Blues +1.5 (-120) __________________ Johnny Banks (5-5 wnba) wings u161.5 __________________ Ben Burns 2ND RD 10* NHL GAME OF THE YEAR! – Florida -159 10** N.L. MLB GAME OF THE WEEK! – Arizona -105 10* LUXURY BOX – Boston Under 208.5 AFTERNOON MLB ANNIHILATOR – Guardians -125 MLB BREAKFAST CLUB – Phillies -119 __________________ Larry Ness 10* Getaway Day of Week - Cleveland -126 Late-Breaker – Arizona -102 10* Las Vegas Insider – Boston +3.5 __________________ Goodfella 1* Florida -160 __________________ VSiN Hosts & Guests PRIME TIME ACTION Kelley Bydlon Chet Holmgren First Overall Pick +160 THE NIGHT CAP Shaun King Blues/Avalanche Over 6.5 FOLLOW THE MONEY Mitch Moss Mets 1st 5 (-0.5) -110 Pauly Howard Everton (-115) vs. Crystal Palace Celtics/Heat Largest Lead Under 17.5 A NUMBERS GAME Todd Wright Rangers +280 adjusted series price over Hurricanes Carl Sack Celtics +3.5 v Heat Celtics +1.5 v Heat (1st Half) Will Hill Mets/Yankees ML Parlay +125 Mariners +112 over Red Sox __________________ |
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IC
7* Miami Under 207 __________________ Scott Spreitzer NBA 6-U Celtics +3 over Heat (8:30 p.m., Thursday, May 19) __________________ Carmine Bianco 5% St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche Total Over 6.5 (-125) __________________ The Prez (35) St. Louis Blues at (36) Colorado Avalanche Total Over 6.5 (-130) __________________ McInnis 4% (35) St. Louis Blues at (36) Colorado Avalanche Total Over 6.5 (-130) __________________ Ralph Michaels 5% Fla/tb U 6.5 +100 __________________ Hakeem Profit WNBA 2% Minnesota Lynx +11.0 (-110) __________________ IC WNBA -21u (3-7) 4 - Under 161.5 Dallas vs. Phoenix (Thursday @ 10pm est) __________________ Micah Roberts BOSTON @ MIAMI | 05/19 | 8:30 PM EDT MIAMI -3.5 ANALYSIS: Boston came out strong in Game 1, taking an eight-point lead to the half. But the Miami, powered by the home edge, stole the third-quarter 39-14, and that was the ball game. As well as the Celtics played they should have been up at least 16 points at the half, but the Heat paced themselves well and didn’t get rattled. Boston will not have Al Horford again. I like the Heat to win and cover again. __________________ |
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