Free Premium Service Plays For Saturday 8/7/21

Saturday 8/7/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAF, MLB & NFL games.

KYLE ANTHONY

Game: (24621) Vince Morales at (24622) Drako Rodriguez
Date/Time: Aug 7 2021 8:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Drako Rodriguez -115



In a preliminary bout on this Saturday night's Pay Per View, UFC 265 event, Drako Rodriguez faces Vince Morales…
There's tremendous value on Drako Rodriguez in this spot.
Recency bias pushed this line much closer than it actually should be. Last fight Drako faced the questionable ability of Aiemann Zahabi in which Drako lost via KO in round 1. The inexperience of Drako rushing forward allowed Zahabi to land in a collision exchange dropping Drako. Not the best showing, but it felt more of a fluky loss than if he had gotten outgunned over 3 rounds. He got caught, …but so do many fighters. Overall Drako actually has a solid skillset, can mix in level changes like he did on Dana White's Contender Series finding a submission finish in round 1 against Mana Martinez. Facing Rodriguez Saturday night is Vince Morales who's definitely a step down in competition level. Morales is 2-4 in his last 6 pro MMA fights (1-3 in UFC) and displays very simplistic striking with a basic MMA skill set. Not saying Drako is some world-beater, but in this bout, he may look like one. My biggest takeaway when rewatching Morales's past fights is he's VERY hittable. His willingness to stand toe to toe exchanging backed by a limited arsenal of weapons and combinations developing slower than Drako should present counter striking windows to land. I've seen nothing Morales brings to the cage that should keep this line so close, …Drako should be the clear favorite. Coming off a KO loss this is a great bounce-back match-up for him to get back to his winning ways.
4% Play: Drako Rodriguez (-115)
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XS Sports Picks Saturday

Last 36 Picks 22-14 (61%) +$40,850

MLB:

3* Miami +131 (8pm)

3* Minnesota +180 (7pm)

4* Toronto -1.5 +145 (3pm)

4* Kansas City Under 8.5 -115 (7pm)
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Total 4 U

Totals 4 You MLB Baseball Report for Saturday, August 7th

2021 NL East on FS1 Super Total of the Year
!!!!!
NY Mets/Phillies Under 9

MLB Baseball Bonus Winners
Washington/Atlanta over 8 1/2
Miami/Colorado over 10 1/2
Tampa Bay/Baltimore under 10
LA Angels/LA Dodgers over 8 1/2
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Marty’s

60* Mets/Phillies OVER 9
50* Seattle +178
50* ChiSox -1.5 -120
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Locksmith
Phillies ml
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BobSportsBets
Seattle Team Total over 4
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Stitches--NY Post. Won yesterday with the Cardinals. Season record now 65-60.

Saturday's play (10 units) is on the Mariners.
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Pure Lock

10* Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
10* Vicente Luque -108 (UFC)
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IQ Sports

5* Red Sox +145 (Game 1 of DH)
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MLB(Bob Balfe)
4:05 PM EST
Rotation #901
Mets -110 over Phillies
Megill/Suarez
The NL East is pretty competitive and should come down to the wire. Both starting pitchers today are young guys that have decent numbers, but don’t really have the ability to stretch their starts into long outings. The Phillies bullpen is weak so whenever you can get to them early it is a plus. The Mets are a little better at hitting left handed pitching and should be able to get to Suarez early. Take the Mets.
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Powers Sports
Mets/Phillies UNDER 9
Yankees on the RUN LINE vs Seattle.
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Larry Ness

9 over yankees
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Delphi Sports

MLB
3* #903/904 San Francisco/Milwaukee under 8
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Sean Zerillo (Action Network): UFC 265
Distance or Decision Props and Totals

Victoria Leonardo wins by Decision (+225, 0.25 units)
Bobby Green wins by Decision (+475, 0.25u)
Casey Kenney wins by Decision (+150, 0.25u)
Angela Hill wins by Decision (+180, 0.25u)
Michael Chiesa wins by Decision (+225, 0.25u)
Pedro Munhoz wins in Round 3 or By Decision (+180, 0.25u)
Pedro Munhoz wins by Decision (+225, 0.25u)
Ciryl Gane and Over 2.5 Rounds (+116, 1u)


Inside the Distance Props

Anderson Dos Santos wins Inside the Distance (+425, 0.25u)
Ed Herman wins Inside the Distance (+400, 0.25u)


Moneylines

Karolina Kowalkiewicz (-140, 0.5u)
Ed Herman (+200, 0.5u)
Casey Kenney (-120, 0.5u)
Michael Chiesa (+100, 0.5u)

Parlays
Parlay (+100, 0.5 units): Johnny Munoz (-300) & Manel Kape (-200)
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H&H Sports
Update #1

MLB
Double Dime - Mets +105
Dime - Mariners/Yankees Over 10
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ASA

6* Over Tampa Bay
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John Bollman

Red Sox +147
Mariners +170
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Justin Perri

Red Sox +147
Rockies -157
Tigers Over 9.5
Dodgers -1.5
Mets Over 9.5
Braves Over 8.5
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Pedro Rodrigues

Club America vs. Puebla (Saturday, 8 p.m. ET)

Club América to win -150 (1 unit)

Club América to win to nil +150 (0.5 unit)
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Micah Roberts

Phillies -115
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GODFATHERLOCKS AUGUST 7TH PICKS
MLB

*** TOP RATED 2000 UNIT PICKS ***
#1 - PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -105 (MLB)
#2 - BOSTON RED SOX GAME 2 +120 (MLB)
#3 - CLEVAND INDIANS -135 (MLB)
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Elite Sports Picks

Minnesota (Pineda)/Houston (Garcia) OVER 9
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National Sports Service

5* L.A. Angels (Barria)/L.A. Dodgers (Urias) UNDER 8.5

3* Cleveland (Morgan) -125 over Detroit (Alexander)
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 08/07/21

4 Unit --> L.A. Angels (Barria)/L.A. Dodgers (Urias) UNDER 8.5

3 Unit --> Kansas City (Keller)/St. Louis (Kim) OVER 8.5

3 Unit --> Colorado (Gomber) -140 over Miami (Luzardo)
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Top Ranks Sports
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 08/07/21

4★ Miami (Luzardo)/Colorado (Gomber) UNDER 10.5

3★ Tampa Bay (McClanahan)/Baltimore (Watkins) UNDER 10
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Sportsline Computer

MLB

Seattle +183
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Ben Burns

GOM Cleveland
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Cal Sports
4% Reds -1.5
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Scott Spreitzer MLB

5 - Rockies -0.5, -120 (First 5 Inn) over Marlins
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Justin Perri

BOSTON @ TORONTO | 08/07 | 3:07 PM EDT
BOSTON +147
ANALYSIS: The Red Sox had some questionable management last night as they allowed nine runs in an inning. I think they'll bounce back and beat the Jays in the first game of today's important doubleheader. The Sox are now only three games ahead of the Yankees and need to get a win in one of these games. I expect they come out swinging in the first game, as they have been able to get runs on Robbie Ray so far this season, and Nick Pivetta is a better pitcher when away from Fenway. Grab the Sox at plus money in the first game of the doubleheader.

+198 8-4 IN LAST 12 MLB PICKS
10:01 AM

MIAMI @ COLORADO | 08/07 | 8:10 PM EDT
COLORADO -157
ANALYSIS: The Marlins have been much worse on the road (20-36), and the Rockies have been elite at home (36-21). We saw it last night in the 14-2 rout; the Marlins cannot handle the Rockies. Plus, I'm not a big fan of Jesus Luzardo; I think he gives up too many home runs and now he has to pitch at Coors. Austin Gomber has been very good at home. Take the Rockies to win.

+198 8-4 IN LAST 12 MLB PICKS
+147 3-1 IN LAST 4 COL ML PICKS
9:58 AM

DETROIT @ CLEVELAND | 08/07 | 7:10 PM EDT
OVER 9.5
ANALYSIS: This is a clear-cut Over for me based on who is pitching. Both starters have xwOBAs close to .340, and the Indians' Eli Morgan is carrying an xSLG of .502 and a home ERA of 8.82. Tyler Alexander for Detroit has allowed seven home runs in 26.2 innings on the road, leaving him with a 5.74 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP when away as well. What's worse is his 6.00 ERA since the All-Star break. The hitters should have the advantage today. Go with the Over.

+583 9-3 IN LAST 12 MLB O/U PICKS
9:55 AM

L.A. ANGELS @ L.A. DODGERS | 08/07 | 9:10 PM EDT
L.A. DODGERS -1.5
ANALYSIS: The Dodgers have been great at bouncing back in these situations where they probably shouldn't have lost the game before. Julio Urias has been consistent and should keep the Angels to only a couple runs. This play is based more on the Dodgers offense, as I expect they wake up a bit today. Jamie Barria has been solid in his two recent starts, but those were against the Twins and the A's, who have both struggled offensively recently. I like the Dodgers to put some runs on him and win this game by multiple runs.

+198 8-4 IN LAST 12 MLB PICKS
+55 2-1 IN LAST 3 LAD ATS PICKS
9:51 AM

N.Y. METS @ PHILADELPHIA | 08/07 | 4:05 PM EDT
OVER 9.5
ANALYSIS: This is another NL East battle in which I'll happily take the Over. Weather is a solid factor; there should be a decent wind boost to make this a better hitting environment than normal at Citizens Bank Park. I also like that the Phillies seem to be going with another bullpen day behind Ranger Suarez, which should give the Mets some decent chances to get some runs up. Plus Bryce Harper is absolutely killing it, and we want that on our side. Go Over 9.5.

+583 9-3 IN LAST 12 MLB O/U PICKS
+495 6-1 IN LAST 7 PHI O/U PICKS
9:48 AM

WASHINGTON @ ATLANTA | 08/07 | 7:20 PM EDT
OVER 8.5
ANALYSIS: Truist Park is one of the best hitting parks in baseball, and today should be another plus hitting day with low air density and wind blowing out. I make this closer to 9 and would not be surprised if this line closes as such. The Over has hit in eight of the Nationals' last 10 games, which coincides with their choice to rid their bullpen of any decent options. And the Over is a robust 31-20-4 in Braves home games. Grab this one quickly; I don't expect it stays at 8.5 for long.

+583 9-3 IN LAST 12 MLB O/U PICKS
9:43 AM
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Micah Roberts
N.Y. METS @ PHILADELPHIA | 08/07 | 4:05 PM EDT
PHILADELPHIA -115
ANALYSIS: Ranger Suarez has been the Phillies most consistent reliever this season, allowing only five earned runs in 43.1 innings (1.04 ERA), and the team needs to get three to four innings out of him today in a rotation shuffle. The game is his 29th appearance in 2021 but only his second start. The first start went well at Washington five days ago: zero runs and zero hits in three innings. Philly has won six straight and lead the NL East by a half-game. Phillies to win.
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Scott Spreitzer

5* Columbus -125
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IC
3* Toronto FC Over 3
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Doug Upstone

6* Rockies -155
2* Braves -1.5
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Al Demarco

Tor Runline G1
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Kirby Maxwell

40 Dime
A.L. Central
Game of the Week

Tigers
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Mitchell Newman

Phillies
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Trace Adams

Top-Rated
1000♦
Cheap Chalk Lock

Atlanta Runline
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Chris Jordan

Phillies
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Jay McNeil

First
100 DIME
Max Wager of the Season

Mismatch of the Year

Houston Runline
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Gus Augustine

50 Dime
Revenge Rout

KC
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Jack Brayman

Top-Rated
100 DIME
3-Run Road Rout

Detroit
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Steve Budin

PHILADELPHIA CREW

Dog of the Week

Toronto Runline G2
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