Friday 8/6/21 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games
Ian Parker
Combat Global
Terry Bartholomew vs. Ricky Bandejas
Ricky Bandejas will be making his Combate debut as he takes on Terry Bartholomew. Bandejas has fought the much higher level of competition over his career and will be able to control the narrative of this fight wherever it ends up.
Prediction Ricky Bandejas
Daniel Sanchez vs. Eric Alequin
Both fighters will be putting their undefeated record on the line. Look for Alequin to use his grappling to control Sanchez and take away his ability to land strikes. Alequin will be the better wrestler and be able to use that to keep this fight on the ground and add another win to his record.
Prediction Eric Alequin
Chantel Coates vs. Lucero Acosta
After her first loss in her career, Lucero Acosta bounced back with a devastating tko win in her last fight. Look for Acosta to continue that aggressive nature in her fight against Coates. Acosta has the skills to fight on the ground if need be, however she will be the better striker and I expect her to keep the fight standing.
Prediction Lucero Acosta
__________________
Matt Severance
Indians -145
__________________
Elite Sports Picks
L.A. Angels (Sandoval) +1.5 runs +110 over L.A. Dodgers (Price)
__________________
Insider Sports Report
4* Chicago White Sox (Lynn) -145 over Chicago Cubs (Hendricks)
Range: -125 to -165
3* Cleveland (Quantrill) -150 over Detroit (Manning)
Range: -135 to -175
__________________
National Sports Service
4* N.Y. Mets (Stroman)/Philadelphia (Gibson) OVER 8.5
3* Toronto (Manoah) -140 over Boston (Eovaldi)
__________________
Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 08/06/21
4 Unit --> Chicago White Sox (Lynn) -145 over Chicago Cubs (Hendricks)
3 Unit --> Pittsburgh (Brubaker)/Cincinnati (Miley) UNDER 9
3 Unit --> Miami (Alcantara)/Colorado (Marquez) UNDER 10
__________________
Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 08/06/21
5★ Cleveland (Quantrill) -150 over Detroit (Manning)
3★ Arizona (Smith)/San Diego (Weathers) OVER 8.5
__________________
greenpunter us
Toronto Blue Jays – Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
__________________
Stitches--NY Post. Won yesterday with the Yankees. Season record now 64-60.
Friday's play (20 units) is on the Cardinals.
__________________
Larry Hartstein
TAMPA BAY @ BALTIMORE | 08/06 | 7:05 PM EDT
BALTIMORE +135
ANALYSIS: The Rays are 8-1 against the Orioles, but I like Baltimore's chances behind John Means (5-3, 2.84 ERA). The Orioles rank fourth in OPS versus lefties (.769) and should do damage against Tampa Bay starter Ryan Yarbrough (6-4, 4.58 ERA). He sports a 5.60 ERA in three starts against the O's this season. Take a shot on the home dog Orioles, who have actually won 10 of their last 17.
N.Y. METS @ PHILADELPHIA | 08/06 | 7:05 PM EDT
PHILADELPHIA -111
ANALYSIS: The Mets have lost six of eight as they visit Philly for a key NL East series. The Phillies have not lost this month, are 31-21 at home and start Kyle Gibson, who was impressive in his team debut last Sunday at Pittsburgh. During the five-game win streak, Bryce Harper is 9 for 20 with two homers, four RBI and nine runs scored. Although Marcus Stroman has been equally good (2.80 ERA compared to Gibson's 2.86 this season), I'll back Philly to stay hot.
__________________
Larry Hartstein
TEXAS @ OAKLAND | 08/06 | 9:40 PM EDT
OAKLAND -1.5
ANALYSIS: The A's rested Thursday while the Rangers dropped their third straight, 5-0 at home to the Angels, then had to fly west. Oakland is a 11-4 following an off day. Texas has scored four runs in its last three games, is 4-17 in its last 21 overall and starts Mike Foltynewicz, who has an 8.38 road ERA. Back Chris Bassitt and Oakland to get a convincing win, laying 1.5 runs at -130
__________________
XS Sports Picks Friday
Last 33 Picks 21-12 (64%) +$42,880
3* NY Mets -101
3* Seattle +157
4* Oakland -1.5 -128
__________________
Totals 4 U
Totals 4 You MLB Baseball Report for Friday, August 6th
2021 National League on ESPN Super Total of the Year
!!!!!
NY Mets/Philadelphia under 8 1/2
MLB Baseball Bonus Winners
Pittsburgh/Cincinnati under 9
Miami/Colorado under 9 1/2
Arizona/San Diego over 8 1/2
Tampa Bay/Baltimore under 9 1/2
__________________
Andrew McInnis 4%
CFL - B.C. Lions at Saskatchewan Roughriders
B.C. Lions +7.5
*Also 4% Under the total of 47.5
__________________
Dave Essler
3* GOY
Mets EV
__________________
Doug Upstone
Phillies -110 (3U)
Rays -155 (2U)
__________________
Rob Veno
4 Oakland Athletics -1.5 (-135)
__________________
Goodfella
White Sox
__________________
3 Rivers Sports
MLB
3* #961/962 Arizona/San Diego under 8.5
__________________
Ben Burns
A's -270
__________________
Kyle Akins
Phillies -111
__________________
Matt Snyder
MIAMI @ COLORADO | 08/06 | 8:40 PM EDT
COLORADO -157
ANALYSIS: I'm 2-0 on the Rockies this week and it's time to stick with what works. I'll continue to stress that the Rockies are excellent at home. They are 35-21 in Coors Field this year, meaning they play like a 101-win team there. They didn't trade any of the best players at the deadline, either. All-Star starting pitcher German Marquez is 6-2 with a 3.29 ERA at home this year, too. In the other dugout, the Marlins had to travel Thursday night and are a woeful 20-35 on the road.
__________________
Matt Severance
MIAMI @ COLORADO | 08/06 | 8:40 PM EDT
COLORADO -157
ANALYSIS: We've bet the Rockies all week, and they should have swept the Cubs but took two out of three. The Marlins aren't much better than the Cubs and are 15 games under .500 on the road. Miami's Sandy Alcantara is a good pitcher but worse away (5-6, 3.71 ERA) and at night (3-5, 4.06). Colorado is 17-5 in its past 22 at home vs. a righty. It starts German Marquez. He is 5-2 with a 1.99 ERA over his last eight starts and 4-1 with a 1.53 ERA over his last seven at home. VERY rare to see a total Under 10 in Denver but this one is set at 9.5. I'd probably still lean Under but will not play it.
DR. CHUCK
Game: (959) Miami Marlins at (960) Colorado Rockies
Date/Time: Aug 6 2021 8:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5 units
Play: Colorado Rockies -153 S Alcantara (RHP), G Marquez (RHP) Must Start
German Marquez takes the mound for the Rockies tonight as they host the Miami Marlins for the first game of a 3 game weekend set. On the opposing mound we have Sandy Alcantara, a pitcher we have backed with regularity, but does not sit in an ideal spot tonight against a hot Rockies team playing with confidence at home!
The Rockies are not often favored in 2021, but when they are, they are for a REASON! They are 18-5 SU as home chalk on the season with an average line of -130, limiting the situation to being favored -130 or bigger...the Rockies are 9-2 SU! This is not a terrible price here to get Marquez, easily the best Colorado starter this season...as well as being a starter extremely comfortable at home in the "hitters" ballpark of Coors! The Rockies are 10-3 since 2019 as a home favorite of -150 or greater with Marquez on the mound, including 3-1 this season...AND are off the only loss this season against the Mariners the last time out!
This version of the Marlins is NOT the Mariners, nor are they a lineup that instills a ton of confidence after shipping out important pieces like Marte and Duvall, as well as the injury to Cooper. The team is 5-10 in Alcantara starts this season outside the division, and the average scoring just 3.14 runs per game...and...
The pièce de résistance...the Fish are just 1-7 this season SU on the road traveling for the opening game against an opponent after playing at home!
Let's BANG out this BIG 5 UNIT HAMMER on this Feel Good Friday and keep raking in the dough with easy winners like the Rockies tonight!!!
__________________
JM SPORTS
Game: (969) Detroit Tigers at (970) Cleveland Indians
Date/Time: Aug 6 2021 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Cleveland Indians -148 M Manning (RHP), C Quantrill (RHP) Must Start
4 unit Cleveland Indians (-148) over Detroit Tigers (Quantrill/Manning) –
Cleveland has been one of the hottest teams at home, and coming off a shutout L, the Indians are in the perfect place to bounce back. Talk about a familiar foe, the Indians are 26-4 in the L30 games vs. the Tigers in Cleveland, including 8-1 in the L9 H2H!! Cleveland is also 6-0 after being shutout this year, 9-2 in the first game of a series off a L (8-1 in the L9, 7.11 AF ; 3.33 AA), 7-2 in the L9 after allowing 3 runs or less in a L, 6-0 after 3 or less hits in a game, 8-3 @ H after leading 0 innings in the previous game, and 6-1 in the L7 after allowing 5 or less hits in a L, talk about being able to bounce back! The pitching match-up is another thing in itself that benefits CLE in this game, Quantrill is 2-2 TY with a 3.40 ERA and he has pitched 3 consecutive quality starts, posting a 1.00 ERA in the L3 starts, a 3.22 ERA @ H (15 games/7 starts), and in his 6 starts s/ July 1st, Quantrill is 2-0 w/ a 2.36 ERA, allowing only 9 runs in 6 starts. Cleveland pitching is 5-1 after the starter had B2B2B quality starts, they are also 9-3 @ H vs. a RHP w/ ERA > 5.00 (including 7-0 as a HF!). Detroit on the other hand has Manning on the mound, on the year Manning is 2-4 with a 5.59 ERA & 1.45 WHIP, on the road he is 0-3 w/ a 8.20 ERA (4 ST)!! Pitching at night isn't much better, Manning is 1-4 w/ a 5.93 ERA (6 ST), Detroit is also 0-4 in his 4 away starts. The Tigers are also 6-11 in the first game of a series on the road, 5-12 in the FGS vs. the division (3-6 A), and they are 2-7 on the road in the first game of a series off a W. Detroit has also struggled drastically on the road, going 2-9 vs. the division, 5-13 in the L18, 4-9 on the road vs. a team that is ≥ 55% home win percentage, and they are 19-33 on the road this year as a whole!!
Game: (971) Minnesota Twins at (972) Houston Astros
Date/Time: Aug 6 2021 8:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3 units
Play: Total Over 9.5 (+105) B Ober (RHP), Z Greinke (RHP) Must Start
3 unit Houston Astros/Minnesota Twins OVER 9.5 (Ober/Greinke) –
Greinke may have a 3.65 ERA on the year, but at home he has posted a 4.59 ERA, in night starts his ERA is 3.64 ERA, and in his L3 starts his ERA is 4.11. Ober on the other hand has a 4.94 ERA and may not be a surprise to give up a couple runs, in his 11 starts, Minnesota has gone over the total 8 times, including 7 times in the L8 starts. The Twins are also on a 213-171-19 run on the road, including 36-17-1 on the road TY, and going 14-7 on the road in the L21 non-division games. Minnesota is also 7-1 over in the L8, and they are 15-6-1 in the L22 on the road when the total is ≥ 9, including 11-3-1 as an AD w/ a total ≥ 9. This Houston team, playing behind Greinke is 13-5 over in his L18 starts, including 8-3 in his L11 @ H, and 7-2 in his L9 as a HF. The Astros are also is 7-3-1 OU in the L11 @ H, and 16-8 @ H w/ a total ≥ 9, regardless of the pitching match-up.
__________________