Monday 7/19/21 free thread for handicapping and expert predictions for NBA, MLB & NFL games.
Matt Severance
N.Y. METS @ CINCINNATI | 07/19 | 7:10 PM EDT
CINCINNATI -115
ANALYSIS: This would normally be Jacob deGrom's spot in the rotation for the Mets, but the Cy Young heavy favorite is on the injured list (as is star shortstop Francisco Lindor). Thus, it's fade time with Jerad Eickhoff (0-1, 4.97). In his lone road start, he was knocked around for five runs in D.C. The Mets aren't very good on the road as it is. Reds pitcher Vladimir Gutierrez has had back-to-back quality starts.
__________________
Stephen Oh
SAN FRANCISCO @ L.A. DODGERS | 07/19 | 10:10 PM EDT
L.A. DODGERS -105
ANALYSIS: My model says the Dodgers win in over 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value with them at this number. Los Angeles has had the upper hand against the Giants this year, winning six of the nine contests. San Francisco was held to one run in each of its back-to-back losses at St. Louis over the weekend and scored a total of three times in a pair of defeats at Los Angeles late last month. Expect the Dodgers to maintain control of the season series.
__________________
MLB-Martingale
1 units
Toronto Blue Jays - Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox -1
__________________
Stitches--NY Post. Won two yesterday (Blue Jays in both ends of the doubleheader). He has won 9 of his last 10. Season record now 55-50.
Monday's play (10 units) is on the Twins (Game 1, Jax v. Lynn)
__________________
Ben Burns
9* arizona -130
10* reds-115
__________________
Larry Ness
10* reds-110
9* giants+115
9* arizona-120
8* white sox-1.5-110
8* red sox+1.5-150
__________________
The Prez
4% - White Sox RL
__________________
Wise guy team
Orioles RL
Red Sox ML
__________________
Larry Hartstein
MINNESOTA @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 07/19 | 5:10 PM GMT
CHI. WHITE SOX -1.5
ANALYSIS: Lance Lynn owns a 1.59 ERA in three starts versus Minnesota this season, and he should be motivated to prove his worth after signing a huge contract extension over the weekend. Twins rookie Griffin Jax is making just his second start, and the first didn't go well: five innings, eight hits, six earned runs vs. K.C. Even though this is a 7-inning game, I'll still lay 1.5 runs with the White Sox at -110.
__________________
Matt Severance
CHI. CUBS @ ST. LOUIS | 07/19 | 8:15 PM GMT
ST. LOUIS +1.5
ANALYSIS: As of this moment, the Cardinals are moneyline underdogs (may not stay that way) and I frankly don't think they should be dogs at home in this matchup -- the Cubbies are 12 games under .500 on the road plus had to travel from Arizona on Sunday night. No travel for St. Louis. The starting pitching matchup is rather blah: Alec Mills vs. Jake Woodford. Maybe Chicago will win, but it most likely will not be by more than a run, so we will grab St. Louis on the runline. The Cubs have dropped their past five Monday games. The Cardinals are 5-2 in their last seven games vs. a right-handed starter.
TEXAS @ DETROIT | 07/19 | 7:10 PM GMT
UNDER 8.5
ANALYSIS: This total already has dropped to 8 at some books so we'll jump now -- doesn't look like the winds will be a factor. It's ace Kyle Gibson (6-1, 2.29) on the bump for Texas. His ERA in night games is 1.76. Former No. 1 overall pick Casey Mize is on the bump for the Tigers (3-3, 3.59). He's on an innings limit so may not go more than five, but it should be a strong five. The Under is 8-3-1 in the Tigers' last 12 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
__________________
Kyle Akins
SAN FRANCISCO @ L.A. DODGERS | 07/19 | 10:10 PM GMT
L.A. DODGERS -121
ANALYSIS: This line represents one of the two highest to which the Dodgers have played at home all season. Despite facing a strong starter in San Francisco RHP Kevin Gausman, Los Angeles still has a greater advantage in this game. The Dodgers are coming off a frustrating 6-5 extra-inning loss at Colorado. In a back-and-forth contest, the Rockies scored first before Los Angeles took the lead on three separate occasions. Since May 6, 2019, the Dodgers are 7-0 at home after a game in which their opponent scored first and Los Angeles moved ahead before going on to lose.
__________________
XS Sports Picks Monday
2nd Half YTD 7-5 (58%)
2nd Half Money Won = $340
5* Chicago WS GM1 -1.5 -110
4* Chicago WS GM1 Over 7 +100
4* Tampa Bay -1.5 -127
3* Cleveland Under 9 -113
__________________
Dave Essler
3* TOM
Blue jays Over 10
__________________
Elite Sports Picks
Baltimore (Watkins)/Tampa Bay (Yarbrough) UNDER 9
__________________
Insider Sports Report
4* Chicago White Sox (Lynn) -1.5 runs +105 over Minnesota (Jax)
Range: +120 to -120
3* Boston (Pivetta)/Toronto (Stripling) OVER 10
Range: 9.5 to 10.5
__________________
National Sports Service
4* Houston (Greinke) -1.5 runs -120 over Cleveland (Mejia)
3* Texas (Gibson)/Detroit (Mize) UNDER 8.5
__________________
Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 07/19/21
4 Unit --> Chicago White Sox (Lynn) -1.5 runs +105 over Minnesota (Jax)
3 Unit --> Boston (Pivetta) +105 over Toronto (Stripling)
__________________
Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 07/19/21
4★ Baltimore (Watkins)/Tampa Bay (Yarbrough) UNDER 9
3★ San Francisco (Gausman)/L.A. Dodgers (Gonsolin) UNDER 8
__________________
Hot Shot Sports
MLB
3* #957 Chicago Cubs -115
__________________
ROCKY ATKINSON
Game: (963) Minnesota Twins at (964) Chicago White Sox
Date/Time: Jul 19 2021 5:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 10 units
Play: Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-110) G Jax (RHP), L Lynn (RHP) Must Start
Minnesota @ Chicago White Sox (5:10 PM EST)
Play On: 10* Chicago White Sox -1.5 -102 (Jax/Lynn) LIsted
The Minnesota Twins travel to Chicago to take on the White Sox on Monday afternoon in Game 1 of a double header. Minnesota is 39-53 SU overall this year while the Chicago White Sox come in with a 56-36 SU overall record on the season. Griffen Jax is 0-1 with a 10.80 ERA in all starts this year. Lance Lynn is 9-3 with a 1.99 ERA overall this year, 6-2 with a 1.68 ERA at home this season and 2-0 with a 1.20 ERA his last 3 starts. Lynn is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA in his 4 career starts vs Minnesota. White Sox are 6-1 last 7 games overall scoring 6.9 runs per game while allowing only 2.6 runs per game. Chicago White Sox are 10-2 overall vs Minnesota this year including 6-0 at home. Minnesota is 1-6 this year when the total is 7 or less. We'll play the Chicago White Sox for 10 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
__________________
JESSE SCHULE
Schule's MLB AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER - **EARLY START**
Game: (963) Minnesota Twins at (964) Chicago White Sox
Date/Time: Jul 19 2021 5:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Minnesota Twins +1.5 (-110) G Jax (RHP), L Lynn (RHP) Must Start
This is a 5* play on Chicago.
The White Sox have the best record in the American League and they have won seven of their last eight overall. They will be an enormous favorite in Game 1 against the Twins.
Lance Lynn will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's in the running for the Cy Young. Lynn (9-3, 1.99 ERA) allowed one run on four hits, striking out six in six innings in a win at Minnesota his last time out.
The Twins hand the ball to Griffin Jax, who has failed to impress. He's allowed 13 runs on 16 hits over 13 1/3 innings in his last three appearances.
The Twins are 1-8 in their last nine road games.
GL,
Jesse Schule
MLB T-E-R-M-I-N-A-T-O-R
Game: (957) Chicago Cubs at (958) St. Louis Cardinals
Date/Time: Jul 19 2021 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: 1H Total Over 4.5 (-110) A Mills (RHP), J Woodford (RHP) Must Start
This is an 8* play on Over.
The Cubs will be in St. Louis to play the Cardinals on Monday, and we don't expect a pitcher's duel in Game 1.
Alec Mills will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's really struggled away from Wrigley. Mills (4-2, 4.84 ERA) is 0-2 with a 6.49 ERA in nine appearances on the road.
The Cardinals hand the ball to Jake Woodford, who has made 17 appearances out of the bullpen. He's 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA in his last four appearances.
GL,
Jesse Schule
Schule's MLB LATE NIGHT SNACK
Game: (975) Los Angeles Angels at (976) Oakland Athletics
Date/Time: Jul 19 2021 9:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Oakland Athletics +1.5 (-155) S Ohtani (RHP), C Irvin (LHP) Must Start
This is a 5* play on Oakland +1.5.
The A's host the Angels in Game 1 of a home series Monday night, and the hype train surrounding Shohei Ohtani is in full effect.
The Angels come in as a road favorite, with Ohtani scheduled to start. He's 1-1 with a 6.46 ERA in five starts on the road, and he only pitched 23 2/3 innings total in those games.
The A's hand the ball to Cole Irvin, who has won four of his last five starts. He's 2-1 with a 2.88 ERA in four starts over the last 30 days.
The Angels are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings in Oakland.
__________________
JOSEPH D'AMICO
Joe DAmicos 63 PCT MLB HOME RUN PLAY
Game: (963) Minnesota Twins at (964) Chicago White Sox
Date/Time: Jul 19 2021 5:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5 units
Play: Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-110) G Jax (RHP), L Lynn (RHP) Must Start
White Sox Game 1 of DH.
HR PLAY.
Game 964.
2:10 pm pst.
Chicago has dominated Minnesota, taking seven straight meetings at home and 13 of the last 16 overall meetings. Just over the last few weeks, the White Sox have won five of six matchups, outscoring the Twins, 43-24. Lance Lynn (9-3, 1.99) in four career starts vs. Minny is 2-0 with a 2.54 ERA. This campaign alone, the seasoned veteran, in three outings with this division rival, is 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA, yielding just three ER’s in 17 IP. Griffin Jax (1-1, 8.66) is making just hie sixth career appearance and his second start. Chicago, both on the mound and at the plate, outclasses Minnesota. Take the White Sox on the run line. Thank you.
__________________
WUnderdog
MLB
Pittsburgh +108 @ arizona
A rare Underdog for the WUnderdog.
__________________
Goodfella MLB TRIPLE DIME MAX BET BOMB
Redsox/Jays OVER
__________________
Stephen Nover MLB TOP TICKET TOTAL
Mets/Reds UNDER
__________________
JR ODonnell NL Central MLB Game Of Year
Pirates ML
__________________
Fezzik MLB MONDAY gm of the DAY
Jays ML
__________________