Wednesday 6/23/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NBA, MLB & NHL games.
Toby Maxtone-Smith - Vegasinsider Soccer Handicapper
EURO Soccer Picks (2-0 Tuesday ) 21-7 Last 28 ytd...
Odds Subject to Change
EURO Soccer ⚽️ Picks
Play #1
Slovakia vs Spain - Group E
Venue: La Cartuja
Location: Sevilla, Spain
TV: ESPN - Time: 12:00 p.m.ET
Best Bet - Under 2.5 goals [+135]
Play #2
Sweden vs Poland - Group E
Venue: Krestovsky Stadium
Location: St Petersburg, Russia
TV: ESPN2 - Time: 12:00 p.m.ET
Best Bet - Sweden +190
Play #3
Germany vs Hungary - Group F
Venue: Allianz Arena
Location: Munich, Germany
TV: ESPN2 - Time: 3:00 p.m.ET
Best Bet - Under 3.5 goals [-125]
Soccer Player Prop Best Bet: Kai Havertz (Germany) to Score 1st [+450]
Play #4
Portugal vs France - Group F
Venue: Puskas Arena
Location: Budapest, Hungary
TV: ESPN - Time: 3:00 p.m.ET
Best Bet - France +125
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Larry Hartstein
WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA | 06/23 | 1:05 PM EDT
WASHINGTON -105
ANALYSIS: Vince Velasquez has not lasted more than five innings in any of his last four starts, and he has a 6.91 daytime ERA. When he faced the Nats on June 6, he gave up three earned runs in four innings. Washington's Erick Fedde has not been scored upon in his last three starts, covering 19 innings. Back Washington to win for the ninth time in 10 games.
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mlbtotal us
Tampa Bay Rays - Boston Red Sox
Over 8.5
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Jonathan Willis - Vegasinsider NHL Team
NHL Big Plays 47-27 ytd...Lost Vegas Golden Knights yesterday..
NHL
Tampa Bay Lightning -142 - - - BIG PLAY
Under 5 goals [+120]
NHL Prop Best Bet: 1st goal 1st period [+120]
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Stitches--NY Post. Won with the Cubs yesterday. Season record now 39-43.
Wednesday's play (20 units) is the Nats.
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Pickswise Sports
EURO Soccer ⚽️ Picks
2* Spain to Win by shutout [-138]
2* Sweden/Poland both teams to Score [-120]
2* France +125
1* Hungary +2.5 goals [-155]
NBA 2* Hawks/Bucks Under 226.5
NHL 2* Tampa Bay Lightning -142
MLB 2* Dodgers +115
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firsthalftips
Euro 2020
Sweden – Poland
First Half : X
Odds : 2.00
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romariobtts
EUROPE: Euro – Round 3
Portugal – France
Both to score : YES @ 1.90
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Justin Perri
OAKLAND @ TEXAS | 06/23 | 8:05 PM EDT
OAKLAND -1.5
ANALYSIS: Texas RHP Mike Foltynewicz is possibly the worst pitcher in baseball at the moment. He ranks dead last in the majors in wOBA, xSLG and xISO. The Athletics need a victory to win the series against their American League West rivals and keep pace with first-place Houston. With how bad Foltynewicz has been of late and the serviceability of Oakland RHP James Kaprielian, I am all over the Athletics. They'll win by multiple runs again. Take Oakland -1.5 runs at -105.
MILWAUKEE @ ARIZONA | 06/23 | 3:40 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -1.5
ANALYSIS: The Brewers dropped the opener of this series against a team that hadn't recorded a win since June 1. They responded with a 5-0 rout on Tuesday, and with RHP Brandon Woodruff on the mound for the rubber game, I'll take Milwaukee to again win by multiple runs and avoid any embarrassment. The Diamondbacks should struggle mightily against Woodruff, who has the third best wOBA of any pitcher that has faced 150-plus batters. Take Milwaukee -1.5 runs at -120.
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Matt Severance
ATLANTA @ MILWAUKEE | 06/23 | 8:30 PM EDT
ATLANTA +8
ANALYSIS: This spread has just popped up to 8 at William Hill Sportsbook, so let's take it now as I doubt it gets higher. Atlanta is listing both Bogdan Bogdanovic and Cam Reddish as questionable. Bogdan had the same listing Sunday in Game 7 vs. Philly and played. I'm sure he will here. Reddish has been out since late February but has been medically cleared and practicing. I'd guess he plays too -- albeit obviously quite limited minutes. I'm with Mike Barner as I expect the Bucks to win, but this spread feels a handful of points too high. Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its past five on the road.
COLORADO @ SEATTLE | 06/23 | 4:10 PM EDT
SEATTLE +101
ANALYSIS: Why is Seattle a home underdog to a team that's 5-28 on the road? No clue. Colorado has been a bit better vs. lefties this year and faces southpaw Justus Sheffield (5-6, 5.65), who has you can see hasn't been great. But the Rockies' German Marquez is 0-5 with a 5.74 road ERA. The M's have won five straight at home and are 15-3 when playing in front of at least 9,000 fans at T-Mobile Park this season. I'm just assuming there will be at least 10K there today.
L.A. DODGERS @ SAN DIEGO | 06/23 | 10:10 PM EDT
L.A. DODGERS +1.5
ANALYSIS: Could the Dodgers actually get swept? Certainly possible, but they do get former NL MVP Cody Bellinger back in the lineup tonight and start reigning NL Cy Young winner Trevor Bauer (7-5, 2.45). He's a bit more trustworthy than San Diego's Joe Musgrove (4-6, 2.28), who has been quite good this year but was meh his one outing vs. L.A. Dodgers on runline as I think they should be favored so that's a gift.
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Larry Hartstein
COLORADO @ SEATTLE | 06/23 | 4:10 PM EDT
SEATTLE +101
ANALYSIS: German Marquez has a 6.21 daytime ERA and a 5.74 road ERA. He's facing a Mariners team that's won eight of nine. Look for Colorado to fall to 5-30 on the road this season.
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Stephen Oh
ATLANTA @ MILWAUKEE | 06/23 | 8:30 PM EDT
UNDER 226
ANALYSIS: Game 1 of an unlikely Eastern Conference Finals matchup with a huge total. Too big according to my model as more than 70 percent of simulations land Under 226 points -- way Under. The Under is 4-1 in the past five meetings.
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SDQL
SAN FRANCISCO @ L.A. ANGELS | 06/23 | 4:07 PM EDT
OVER 8
ANALYSIS: The Angels are 8-0 OU (+4.31 rpg) as a home underdog after a game as a home favorite in which they had six or fewer hits. The Giants are 7-0 OU (+3.79 rpg) in the last game of a road series off a shutout win as an underdog and it is before the All-Star break.
WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA | 06/23 | 1:05 PM EDT
UNDER 9
ANALYSIS: The Phillies are 0-8 OU (-2.69 rpg) in the second game of a home series when they used five-plus pitchers in the opener and it is before the All-Star break. The Nationals are 0-9 OU (-3.11 rpg) as a favorite in the second game of a road series when they went homerless in the opener.
COLORADO @ SEATTLE | 06/23 | 4:10 PM EDT
COLORADO -105
ANALYSIS: The Mariners are 0-9 as an underdog in the last game of a series off a win as a favorite in which they scored three or fewer runs. The Rockies are 10-0 as a road favorite off a game as an underdog in which they allowed one or fewer walks and it is not a series opener.
SAN FRANCISCO @ L.A. ANGELS | 06/23 | 4:07 PM EDT
SAN FRANCISCO -111
ANALYSIS: The Angels are 0-9 as an underdog when seeking immediate revenge for a loss as a favorite. The Giants are 11-0 after a game in which they did not score after the third inning.
L.A. DODGERS @ SAN DIEGO | 06/23 | 10:10 PM EDT
SAN DIEGO -111
ANALYSIS: The Dodgers are 0-13 as an underdog in the last game of a road series against a team that has won at least its last four games. The Padres are 9-0 as a favorite off a home game versus a team that has lost at least its last two games.
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Kevin Dolan
5% - Sweden +.5 up to -150
3% - Spain and under 3.5
4% - Hungary +2.25
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Matt Severance
ST. LOUIS @ DETROIT | 06/23 | 1:10 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS -115
ANALYSIS: Detroit is giving a couple of regulars the day off, while St. Louis surprisingly is starting Yadier Molina behind the plate -- he often gets a day game after a night one off. The Cards also add the DH, which is allowing them to play Matt Carpenter at first and put Paul Goldschmidt at DH. John Gant (4-5, 3.50) has been pretty solid this year and seems to love facing the American League, going 3-1 with a 2.42 ERA (26.0 IP) in five career interleague starts. Matt Manning (0-1, 3.60) makes his 2nd big-league start and first at home for the Tigers. The Cards are 7-1 in their last 8 games as road favorites. Also like Under 9 runs.
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Kevin Davis - BoogieDownPicks
MLB Big Plays 27-9 ytd...Lost Twins yesterday..
MLB
Yankees -170 - - - BIG PLAY
Padres -113
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Scott Spreitzer
Islanders +120 1st Period (4U)
Seattle Sounders -165 (3U)
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Vince Akins Spotsbook Breakers
MLB Big Plays 31-23 ytd...[+1979]..Lost White Sox yesterday..
MLB
Phillies -105 - - - BIG PLAY
White Sox -157
Giants -110
Brewers/Diamondbacks Over 7.5 (-108)
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Michael Crosson
Vegasinsider NBA
Eastern Conference Finals Game #1
Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks
TV: TNT - Time: 8:30 p.m.ET
Best Bet - Atlanta Hawks +8
NBA Player Prop Best Bet: Trae Young To Score 30+ Points [+112]
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Tim Wilkinson
Vegasinsider NBA Totals Club
Eastern Conference Finals Game #1
Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks
TV: TNT - Time: 8:30 p.m.ET
Best Bet - Hawks/Bucks Under 226.5
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XS SPORTS PICKS WEDNESDAY
MLB:
5* Philadelphia -104
4* Toronto -117
4* San Francisco -110
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Kevin Rogers
Vegasinsider NBA
Eastern Conference Finals Game #1
Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks
TV: TNT - Time: 8:30 p.m.ET
Best Bet - Milwaukee Bucks -7
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Action Network Sports
EURO Soccer ⚽️ Picks
2* Spain -1.5 goals (-170)
2* Poland/Sweden Under 2.5 goals (-165)
1* Hungary/Germany Under 3.5 goals (-130)
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XS SPORTS PICKS WEDNESDAY
NBA:
5* Atlanta +8 -102
3* Atlanta Over 226
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XS SPORTS PICKS WEDNESDAY
NHL:
3* NY Islanders Under 5 +118
2* NY Islanders +131
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XS SPORTS PICKS WEDNESDAY
Executive Top Play Program
THIS MONTH +$5,929
NHL:
3* NY Islanders Under 5 +118
NBA:
5* Atlanta +8 -102
MLB:
5* Philadelphia -104
PARLAY OF THE DAY ODDS (+853)
1* Astros -200 / Giants -115 / Royals +1.5 -130 / Hawks +8
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Elite Sports Picks
L.A. Dodgers (Bauer) -110 over San Diego (Musgrove)
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Insider Sports Report
4* Oakland (Kaprielian) -150 over Texas (Foltynewicz)
Range: -135 to -175
3* Colorado (Marquez) -115 over Seattle (Sheffield)
Range: +105 to -135
3* Atlanta/Milwaukee UNDER 226 (NBA)
Range: 228 to 224
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National Sports Service
4* Washington (Fedde) -115 over Philadelphia (Velasquez)
3* Atlanta +7 over Milwaukee (NBA)
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 06/23/21
4 Unit --> Oakland (Kaprielian) -150 over Texas (Foltynewicz)
3 Unit --> Boston (Richards)/Tampa Bay (Hill) OVER 8.5
3 Unit --> Milwaukee -7 over Atlanta (NBA)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 06/23/21
4★ L.A. Dodgers (Bauer) -110 over San Diego (Musgrove)
3★ Atlanta/Milwaukee OVER 226 (NBA)
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Hot Shot Sports
MLB
3* #922 Angels +105
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The Sports Geek
EURO Soccer ⚽️ Picks
Portugal +1/2 goal (-135)
Spain/Slovakia Under 2.5 goals (+120)
Germany -2.5 goals (+130)
MLB Big Plays 50-23 ytd...Lost Yankees RL yesterday..
MLB
Nationals -102 - - - BIG PLAY
White Sox -155
Tigers +110
Brewers/Diamondbacks Under 7.5
NBA
Hawks +8
NHL
Islanders +140
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Action Network Sports
MLB
5* Rockies -108
2* Tigers +110
2* Giants/Angels Over 8 (-110)
2* Red Sox +135
2* Red Sox/Rays Under 9 (-118)
2* Padres -114
NHL
4* Islanders +140
NBA
2* Hawks/Bucks Under 226.5
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Scott Spreitzer
Bucks -8 (7U)
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Jack Winngham
Oakland -138 @ Texas
Texas lost 20 of last 24. Specify pitching.
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Green Falcon Picks (of Green Pitch Sports)
Red Bull Bragantino SP - SE Palmeiras
Brazil, Serie A, 00:00 CET (Jun 24) / 6:00 PM ET
7.8 Units: Red Bull Bragantino SP 0 -115
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Matt Severance
MILWAUKEE @ ARIZONA | 06/23 | 3:40 PM EDT
UNDER 7.5
ANALYSIS: I was going to back the Brewers at a big moneyline price behind ace Brandon Woodruff (5-3, 1.94) because the Diamondbacks stink and are without two of their best hitters in Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar in this one. However, Milwaukee has chosen to sit a few regulars of its own, including Christian Yelich, against Arizona lefty Caleb Smith (2-2, 3.21), who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his past four. So, now I'll go Under 7.5 runs.
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Wayne Root
Reserve- Atlanta Hawks
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Wise Guy's VIP Play for today:
50 Dime | $12,500.00 San Francisco Giants Money-Line
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ziti sports
Seattle -101 Colorado (4:10 PM)
Milwaukee vs. Arizona UNDER 7.5 -110 (3:40 PM)
NBA PLAYOFFS
Atlanta vs. Milwaukee UNDER 226 -110 (8:35 PM)
NHL PLAYOFFS
LIGHTNING (TB) vs. NY Islanders UNDER 5 +118 (8:08 PM)
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JIMMY ADAMS
Game: (561) Atlanta Hawks at (562) Milwaukee Bucks
Date/Time: Jun 23 2021 8:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Atlanta Hawks +7.5 (-110)
Atlanta enters game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals feeling good about themselves, having just knocked out the 76ers and doing so without Trae Young playing up to his potential. The talk has already started about how big of a mismatch this is, yet isn’t that what the majority of people were saying when they played Philly? With the way this team can score they’re a threat to win any game from here on out. Atlanta is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 trips to Milwaukee and they’re catching 7.5 points. Take the Hawks.
Line Parameter: 4 units at +7.5 or higher, 3 units at +7 or lower
Game: (913) Boston Red Sox at (914) Tampa Bay Rays
Date/Time: Jun 23 2021 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Boston Red Sox +130 G Richards (RHP), R Hill (LHP) Must Start
The Red Sox pulled out a 9-5 win in their series opener with Tampa and have now won 5 of their past 7 games. The offense has really been clicking, and based on the current form of the two teams having Boston as an underdog is certainly an advantage play. The Rays have hit a wall, losing 7 straight games, yet the betting market hasn’t caught up. Both starting pitchers are looking to get back on track with poor outings in multiple past starts. Making a team this big a favorite when they’ve lost 7 in a row is a mistake, especially against a team as dangerous as Boston. Take the Red Sox.
Line Parameter: 4 units at +120 or higher, 3 units at lower than +120
Game: (915) Oakland Athletics at (916) Texas Rangers
Date/Time: Jun 23 2021 8:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Oakland Athletics -146 J Kaprielian (RHP), M Foltynewicz (RHP) Must Start
The A’s put an end to their 3 game slide with a 13-6 win over Texas Tuesday. Oakland has now won 8 of 11 and will send James Kaprielian to the mound Wednesday. Kaprielian enters 4-1 with a 2.84 ERA, and has given up fewer than 3 earned runs in 5 of his 7 starts this season. The Rangers have lost 7 of 8 and things look bleak with Mike Foltynewicz on the hill. Foltynewicz is pure “bet against” material right now, having allowed 4,8, and 5 runs in his last 3 starts. Take the A’s.
Line Parameter: 4 units at -150 or lower, 3 units at higher than -150
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Dave Price
6 Oak
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Aaa
Brewers
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John Ryan
Texas
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Big al
White sox
Rays
Yankees
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Bryan Power
Tampa bay
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Jack Jones
15 Astros rl
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Jim Feist
Oakland
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Rob Vinciletti
Houston rl
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The Whale's picks today in the Win Now Pay Later Program:
909 Over 10 on Astros to win $50
912 Over 9.5 on Yankees to win $50
915 A's -146 to win $100
915 Over 9.5 on A's to win $50
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