Wednesday 6/16/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NBA, MLB & NHL games.
Matt Severance
MONTREAL @ VEGAS | 06/16 | 9:00 PM EDT
UNDER 5.5
ANALYSIS: Gonna take Under 5.5 goals now in case it drops to 5 before the puck drops Wednesday night in Game 2. We were very fortunate to win on Under 5.5 in Game 1 as Montreal somehow didn't let in the sixth goal of the game despite having pulled Carey Price from the net for more than four minutes of game time late in the Habs' 4-1 loss. I don't see Price allowing four again, and Vegas counterpart Marc-Andre Fleury isn't allowing more than two goals most likely.33
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Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
MIAMI @ ST. LOUIS | 06/16 | 1:15 PM GMT
MIAMI -115
ANALYSIS: Series finale between the teams and first game on Wednesday's slate. The starting pitching matchup clearly favors Miami with Sandy Alcantara vs. St. Louis' Johan Oviedo. Alcantara (4-5, 3.39) has a 2.38 ERA in his past five starts. Oviedo (0-2, 5.72) has gone five full innings just once this season. More than 60 percent of model simulations forecast the Marlins winning. The Cards are 3-13 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.
+565 5-0 IN LAST 5 MLB ML PICKS
MONTREAL @ VEGAS | 06/16 | 9:00 PM GMT
MONTREAL +1.5
ANALYSIS: The Canadiens might have been a bit rusty in their 4-1 loss in Las Vegas in Game 1 on Monday after a long break between rounds; Montreal hadn't even trailed since Game 4 of the first round vs. Toronto. My model forecasts Game 2 to be a one-goal margin and the Habs at +1.5 on the puckline (-125) is the best value.
+257 3-1 IN LAST 4 NHL ATS PICKS
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Toby Maxtone-Smith Vegasinsider Soccer Handicapper
EURO Picks
Odds Subject to Change
Russia/Finland Under 2.5 [-160]
Turkey +135
Italy -140
Italy/Switzerland Under 2.5 [-150]
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Jonathan Willis - Vegasinsider NHL Team
NHL Big Plays 45-22 ytd...Cashed Lightning yesterday..
NHL
Vegas Golden Knights -240 - - - BIG PLAY
Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 goals [+110]
Vegas/Montreal Under 5.5 [-145]
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Pavlos Laguretos
5 units [SOC] (234053) Wales at (234054) Turkey
Time: 12:00 PM EDT Turkey +137
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Stitches--NY Post. Lost with the Blue Jays yesterday. Season record now 35-40.
Wednesday's play (20 units) is the Brewers.
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Carmine Bianco:
3% Turkey +137
3% Turkey ov 2
3% Forza Italy un 2.25
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JIMMY ADAMS
Game: (583) Los Angeles Clippers at (584) Utah Jazz
Date/Time: Jun 16 2021 10:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3 units
Play: Utah Jazz -3.0 (-110)
Utah struggled on offense in LA, leading to breakdowns defensively. The Clippers took advantage and deserve credit for tying the series up at 2 games apiece. Now the series moves back to Utah, and the Jazz have had tremendous success playing in front of their home fans. Utah is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite. The Clippers are 8-22-1 in their last 31 meetings in Utah. Look for the Jazz to correct their shooting woes and get a win and cover Wednesday night. Take the Jazz.
Line Parameter: 3 units at -3 or lower, 2 units at -3.5 or higher
Game: (969) Los Angeles Angels at (970) Oakland Athletics
Date/Time: Jun 16 2021 3:37 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Oakland Athletics -121 G Canning (RHP), C Irvin (LHP) Must Start
The Angels were running hot until they ran into an Oakland team that seems to have their number. The A’s will be looking for a series sweep when they host LA on Wednesday. The bats have really come alive for Oakland as they’ve scored 6,8,6, and 11 runs in their last 4 games. They’ve now won 5 straight and 7 of their past 8 games. Cole Irvin takes the mound with a respectable 3.70 ERA. His last 2 starts have been great, allowing just 1 earned run in 6 innings of work in both outings. Griffin Canning owns an ERA of 5.22 and has been shaky all season. Prior to his last start Canning allowed 4 earned runs in just 3.1 innings. He’s allowed numbers like these with regularity and I don’t expect that to change Wednesday. Take the A’s.
Line Parameter: 4 units at -125 or lower, 3 units at higher than -125
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Larry Ness
10* indians-160
10* 76ers-6
10* montreal+1.5+120
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Ben Burns
10* under-222.5-jazz
10* twins-120-lol
9* kc-140
9* 76ers-6
9* braves-155
Euro
russia-170
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redondo23
EUROPE: Euro , Group A
Italy - Switzerland
2 or 3 goals
Odds : 2.00
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Elite Sports Picks
Miami (Alcantara) -115 over St. Louis (Oviedo)
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Insider Sports Report
4* Milwaukee (Peralta) -145 over Cincinnati (Mahle)
Range: -130 to -170
3* Atlanta (Anderson) -140 over Boston (Richards)
Range: -125 to -165
3* Utah -3 over L.A. Clippers (NBA)
Range: -1.5 to -5
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National Sports Service
4* Atlanta/Philadelphia UNDER 224 (NBA)
3* Detroit (Skubal) +125 over Kansas City (Singer)
3* Atlanta (Anderson) -140 over Boston (Richards)
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Primetime Sports Picks
MEMBER PICKS For 06/16/21
4 Unit --> Philadelphia (Wheeler)/L.A. Dodgers (Kershaw) UNDER 7.5
3 Unit --> Atlanta +6 over Philadelphia (NBA)
3 Unit --> L.A. Clippers/Utah OVER 222 (NBA)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 06/16/21
4★ San Diego (Snell)/Colorado (Freeland) OVER 12
3★ Philadelphia -6 over Atlanta (NBA)
3★ L.A. Clippers/Utah OVER 222 (NBA)
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John Bollman
ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 06/16 | 9:45 PM EDT
SAN FRANCISCO -157
ANALYSIS: The Diamondbacks went up 7-0 on the Giants last night in the first two innings, but managed to blow that lead in the bottom of the eighth to lose their 21st straight road game and their 35th game in the last 40 overall. The Dbacks had their chance to break the streak last night, and now they face Anthony Desclafani coming off a complete game. Take the Giants.
DETROIT @ KANSAS CITY | 06/16 | 2:10 PM EDT
DETROIT +130
ANALYSIS: The Royals have now lost five straight games and nine of their last 10 games. Brady Singer has already faced the Tigers three times this season pitching two good games and one poor game. Singer has allowed at least a walk in eight straight outings and he has really been hit or miss. However, Tarik Skubal has sneakily been on fire after probably the worst start to the season of any starting pitcher. He has now pitched at least five innings in 7 straight starts and most notably he only allowed four earned runs in 11 IP in back to back starts against the lefty crushing White Sox. Look for the Tigers to ride Skubal to a series sweep.
CINCINNATI @ MILWAUKEE | 06/16 | 2:10 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -145
ANALYSIS: This is mainly a play against the Reds bullpen with Heath Hembree pitching the last three days, Lucas Sims pitching two of the last three days and Tejay Antone on the IL. The Reds have the fifth worst bullpen in the league with these guys being available, so I think this game will be close enough for the Brewers to win it there. Both Tyler Mahle and Freddy Peralta have been very good this season and the Reds have won five in a row, but look for the Brewers to avoid the sweep at home.
TAMPA BAY @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 06/16 | 2:10 PM EDT
CHI. WHITE SOX -135
ANALYSIS: The White Sox not only rank first in the league in wOBA against lefties but they are also 28-9 on the season when they face a lefty starter. Ryan Yarbrough has been very good lately with a 2.56 ERA in his last seven outings but I don’t think his stuff will play well against the White Sox. Lucas Giolito has been up and down this year but he was very up in May going 4-2 with a 2.41 ERA. Both his previous starts were against the Tigers and he had some home run problems but I think he will settle down better at home against a team that hasn’t seen him this season. Take the White Sox to win the series at home.
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SDQL
N.Y. YANKEES @ TORONTO | 06/16 | 7:07 PM EDT
TORONTO +147
ANALYSIS: The Yankees are 0-4 with Gerrit Cole as a 150-plus favorite when they scored first and won in his last start, as long as he did not strike out more than a dozen in that win. The Blue Jays are 5-0 as a 140-plus underdog in the second game of a home series when they scored in fewer innings than their opponent in the series opener and it is before the All-Star break.
CHI. CUBS @ N.Y. METS | 06/16 | 7:10 PM EDT
CHI. CUBS +285
ANALYSIS: The Cubs are 4-0 as a road underdog of +170 or greater off a road game in which they struck out at least 10 times. The Mets are 0-5 as a 190-plus home favorite with Jacob deGrom when they won as a home favorite in his last start, with deGrom throwing 70-plus pitches.
TEXAS @ HOUSTON | 06/16 | 8:10 PM EDT
HOUSTON -219
ANALYSIS: The Rangers are 0-14 as a road underdog of +170 or better off a road game in which they scored first. The Astros are 15-0 as a home favorite after a game in which their opponent left 18-plus men on base.
PITTSBURGH @ WASHINGTON | 06/16 | 4:05 PM EDT
WASHINGTON -160
ANALYSIS: The Nationals are 13-0 as a home favorite of -130 or steeper off a five-plus run home win. The Pirates are 0-14 as a dog off a game as an underdog when playing a team that has a better record and it is not a series opener.
DETROIT @ KANSAS CITY | 06/16 | 2:10 PM EDT
KANSAS CITY -140
ANALYSIS: The Tigers are 0-18 as a road underdog off a one-run win on the road. The Royals are 10-0 in the last game of a series as a favorite off a loss as a favorite in which they never led and it is before the All-Star break.
L.A. CLIPPERS @ UTAH | 06/16 | 10:00 PM EDT
L.A. CLIPPERS +3
ANALYSIS: The Jazz are 0-9 ATS (-8.50 ppg) off a road game in which Rudy Gobert had a plus/minus at least five points more than the team and the Clippers are 12-0 ATS (+10.58 ppg) off a home game in which Paul George had a plus/minus at least five points less than the team. The team indicators reveal that the Clippers are 9-0 ATS (+9.06 ppg) on the road after they had three-plus players with 20-plus points and the Jazz are a weak 0-8 ATS at home during the playoffs when seeking immediate revenge for a road loss.
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Larry Hartstein
BALTIMORE @ CLEVELAND | 06/16 | 7:10 PM EDT
CLEVELAND -157
ANALYSIS: The visiting Orioles committed four errors Tuesday in losing their 17th straight road game. Now they face Cleveland's Aaron Civale, who's 4-1 with a 2.59 ERA at home. Look for the Indians to fare better against Keegan Akin in their second crack at the 26-year-old lefty, and improve to 7-1 in their last eight home games.
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Matt Severance
FEATURED PICK
L.A. CLIPPERS @ UTAH | 06/16 | 10:00 PM EDT
UTAH -141
ANALYSIS: BREAKING: Clippers star Kawhi Leonard reportedly will miss Game 5 (and in doubt rest of series) with a knee injury; we still don't know about Jazz All-Star Mike Conley returning from his hamstring injury. Needless to say, this spread/moneyline is in flux but will rise quite a bit with the Leonard news. Utah now wins tonight with or without Conley.
DETROIT @ KANSAS CITY | 06/16 | 2:10 PM EDT
KANSAS CITY -140
ANALYSIS: The Royals look to avoid the embarrassing home sweep and a sixth straight loss overall. K.C. hasn't not been swept by the Tigers at Kauffman Stadium since May 2-4, 2014. The Royals will have electric shortstop Adalberto Mondesi in the lineup for the first time since the end of May. He was activated Tuesday but didn't play. K.C. starts Brady Singer (3-5, 4.85) on the mound. Singer is 4-0 with a 2.86 ERA and .206 opponents’ average in career six starts vs. Detroit, which is resting a few regulars -- including Miguel Cabrera.
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Vince Akins Spotsbook Breakers
MLB Big Plays 28-17 ytd [+2424]...Cashed Indians yesterday..
MLB
Royals -142 - - - BIG PLAY
Rockies +185
Astros -215
Nationals/Pirates Over 9 (-120)
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Michael Crosson
Vegasinsider NBA
Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers
TV: TNT - Time: 7:30 p.m.
Best Bet - Philadelphia 76ers -6 (-130)
NBA Player Prop Best Bet: Joel Embiid To Score 35+ Points [+250]
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Kevin Rogers
Vegasinsider NBA
Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers
TV: TNT - Time: 7:30 p.m.
Best Bet - Hawks/76ers Over 223.5
Los Angeles Clippers vs Utah Jazz
TV: TNT - Time: 10:00 p.m.
Best Bet - Utah Jazz -7
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Tim Wilkinson Vegasinsider NBA Totals Club
NBA
Hawks/76ers Over 223.5
Clippers/Jazz Over 221
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The Sports Geek
MLB Big Plays 45-19 ytd...Cashed Dodgers yesterday..
MLB
Giants -157 - - - BIG PLAY
Indians - 158
Red Sox +135
NBA
Clippers +7.5
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Kevin Davis - BoogieDownPicks
MLB Big Plays 23-7 ytd...Cashed Mariners Yesterday..
MLB
Marlins -118 - - - BIG PLAY
Rockies +175
Pirates +154
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Action Network Sports
Soccer
Switzerland - - - Best Bet
Russia
Wales
MLB
5* Orioles
3* Marlins
3* Rockies
3* Phillies
2* Pirates
2* Blue Jays
NBA
2* Jazz -7
NHL
Montreal Canadiens +1.5 goals
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Marco D'Angelo
5% Atl Braves -153 (Richards/Anderson)
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Pickswise Sports
EURO Soccer
2* Russia
2* Turkey
2* Italy
NBA Best Bet - Jazz/Clippers Under 223
NHL Best Bets
Vegas Golden Knights -250
Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 goals (+110)
MLB 3* Best Bet - Rockies/Padres Under 12 (-108)
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Scott Spreitzer
Giants RL +135 (6U)
Montreal +185 1st Period (3U)
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H&H Sports - Afternoon Update
MLB
3* Royals -142
2* Cardinals -105
2* Athletics -116
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Master Sports
MLB
3* #955/956 San Diego/Colorado under 12
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Wayne Root
Chairmans- Atlanta Hawks
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Bryan Leonard
5% - Minnesota Twins
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World Worst Picker
Sixers
Jazz
We take:
Hawks
Clippers
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Wise Guy's VIP Play for today:
50 Dime | $12,500.00 Houston Astros -1 1/2
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Smart Money Sports
3 Units
Cards +105
Braves 1st 5 -1/2
Toronto +1-
Phillies +127
Hawks +6-
4 Units
Angels +106
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