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(@shazman)
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Monday 6/14/21 free thread for handicapping and expert predictions for NBA, MLB & NHL games.

 
Posted : June 14, 2021 9:33 am
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Stephen Oh

MINNESOTA @ SEATTLE | 06/14 | 10:10 PM EDT
SEATTLE +125
ANALYSIS: My model says the Mariners win in over 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value with them at this number. Seattle salvaged the finale of its three-game series at Cleveland on Sunday and now returns home, where it is 17-14 this year and ended May with a season-high five-game winning streak. The Mariners took two of three at Minnesota in April. The Twins surrendered 14 runs in a home loss to Houston on Sunday - two more than they scored in the entire three-game series. Take the Mariners.

PHILADELPHIA @ ATLANTA | 06/14 | 7:30 PM EDT
ATLANTA +3
ANALYSIS: This is as close to being a must-win game for the Hawks without it being an elimination game. Atlanta was excellent at home this season (25-11) while Philly was just OK on the road (20-16). My model says the Hawks cover 56 percent of the time and win by one, so you're getting strong value at this number.
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Matt Severance

MONTREAL @ VEGAS | 06/14 | 9:00 PM EDT
MONTREAL +1.5
ANALYSIS: The one worry with taking the puckline here is that if the Habs are down a goal in the final minutes, they will pull Carey Price to try and tie things up and could allow an empty net goal to lose by two. Those are the risks we take, though. I think Vegas probably wins, but I don't consider the Knights good value at -260 so puckline it is at -125.
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Kevin Rogers
Vegasinsider NBA
Philadelphia 76ers vs Atlanta Hawks
TV: TNT - Time: 7:30 p.m.

Best Bet - Philadelphia 76ers -155 (Moneyline)
__________________

Michael Crosson
Vegasinsider NBA
Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Clippers
TV: TNT - Time: 10:00 p.m.

Best Bet - Jazz/Clippers Over 223

NBA Player Prop Best Bet: Donovan Mitchell To Score 35+ points [+190]
__________________

Jonathan Willis - Vegasinsider NHL Team
NHL Big Plays 43-22 ytd...Lost Lightning yesterday..

NHL
Vegas Golden Knights -250 - - - BIG PLAY
Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 goals [+110]
__________________

Ben Burns

10* twins -135
10* under-225.5-sixers
9* under-224.5-jazz
9* st.louis-155
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mlbtotal us

Seattle Mariners – Minnesota Twins
Over 8
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Stitches--NY Post. Lost with the Rockies yesterday. Season record now 35-38.

Monday's play (10 units) is on the Pirates.
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Wise Guy's Play for today:
50 Dime | $12,500.00 Oakland Athletics Money-Line
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Bryan Leonard

4% - Utah Jazz +4.5
3% - Washington Nationals
3% - Colorado Rockies
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Marco D'Angelo

4% - Atlanta Hawks +3
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Posted : June 14, 2021 9:40 am
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JIMMY ADAMS

Game: (561) Philadelphia 76ers at (562) Atlanta Hawks
Date/Time: Jun 14 2021 7:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3 units
Play: Atlanta Hawks +3.0 (-105)

The “spot” certainly screams Atlanta as the Hawks look to even up the series at 2 games apiece Monday. This game will be determined by Atlanta’s ability to knock down 3 point shots. A significant drop off in 3’s made is one of the biggest reasons they’ve lost the past 2 games. Trae Young must step up in a major way at home in what is essentially a “must win.” Take the Hawks.
Line Parameter: 3 units at +3 or higher, 2 units at +2.5 or lower

Game: (961) Arizona Diamondbacks at (962) San Francisco Giants
Date/Time: Jun 14 2021 9:45 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: San Francisco Giants -1.5 (+100) M Peacock (RHP), A Wood (LHP) Must Start

What better way to start the week off on a winning note than by fading a team that has lost 10 straight games and 24 of their last 26? The Diamondbacks have the look of a team that’s already given up on the season, falling 10-3 to the Angels on Sunday. Of their current 10 game losing streak, 7 of those games have been lost by at least 2 runs. Things don’t look like they’ll get much better with Matt Peacock taking the mound. Peacock gave up 3 runs in just 1.2 innings last time out. He currently has a 5.24 ERA on the season. Alex Wood has seen some regression since his phenomenal start to the season, but a matchup with the D’Backs at home is exactly what San Francisco needs right now. Take the Giants.
Line Parameter: 4 units at -110 or lower, 3 units at higher than -110
__________________

Wayne Root

Gold Standard- LA Clippers
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SDQL

CINCINNATI @ MILWAUKEE | 06/14 | 8:10 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -140
ANALYSIS: The Brewers are 17-0 in the first game of a home series when they stranded fewer than 10 baserunners in their previous contest. The Reds are 0-12 as road underdogs following a home game in which they drew fewer than two walks and 0-11 as underdogs after a comeback win as home favorites.

PHILADELPHIA @ ATLANTA | 06/14 | 7:30 PM EDT
OVER 225.5
ANALYSIS: The Hawks are 9-0 OU (+13.39 ppg) as home underdogs after a game in which Trae Young had a negative plus/minus. Philadelphia is 11-0 OU (+11.73 ppg) as a road favorite after a game in which it shot over 53 percent from the field. We make the Over the play.

CHI. CUBS @ N.Y. METS | 06/14 | 7:10 PM EDT
CHI. CUBS -105
ANALYSIS: The Mets are 0-4 at home after a home loss in which they held the lead, scoring a total of five runs over the four games. The Cubs are 9-0 in the first game of a series with no rest on the road following a home contest in which they scored three runs or fewer and won, and 10-0 in the first game of a series with no rest when their opponent’s starter has an ERA higher than 4.00 on the season, winning each of the 10 games by multiple runs.

L.A. ANGELS @ OAKLAND | 06/14 | 9:40 PM EDT
OAKLAND -145
ANALYSIS: The Angels are 0-9 as 140-plus road underdogs against a left-hander when they won the previous three times they faced a southpaw. The Athletics are 14-0 in the first game of a home series with no rest after a contest as favorites in which they scored in at least four separate innings.
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Larry Hartstein

L.A. ANGELS @ OAKLAND | 06/14 | 9:40 PM EDT
OAKLAND -145
ANALYSIS: Current A's have a collective .922 OPS versus Dylan Bundy. When they faced him last month, they chased him in the third after just 13 batters. Bundy has served up 13 homers this season, tied for fifth-most in the AL. Oakland's Sean Manaea has put together two strong starts versus the Halos recently, allowing two earned runs over 11.2 innings while fanning 14. In this matchup of hot teams, I'll back the hosts.
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Mike Barner

PHILADELPHIA @ ATLANTA | 06/14 | 7:30 PM EDT
PHILADELPHIA -3
ANALYSIS: After losing Game 1 on their home floor, the 76ers have bounced back in a big way, winning the last two games by 16 points each. They’ve done so on the strength of their defense, which shouldn’t come as a surprise given that they had the second-best defensive rating in the league during the regular season. With the Hawks having no answers for Joel Embiid, either, I like the Sixers to cover Monday and put the Hawks on the brink of elimination.
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Elite Sports Picks

Washington (Lester) -120 over Pittsburgh (Brubaker)
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Insider Sports Report

4* Oakland (Manaea) -150 over L.A. Angels (Bundy)
Range: -130 to -170

3* Philadelphia/Atlanta OVER 225.5 (NBA)
Range: 223.5 to 227.5

3* Tampa Bay (Glasnow)/Chicago White Sox (Lynn) UNDER 7.5
Range: 8 to 7
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National Sports Service

4* San Diego (Lamet)/Colorado (Gomber) UNDER 11.5

3* Utah/L.A. Clippers OVER 223.5 (NBA)
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 06/14/21

4 Unit --> Utah +4.5 over L.A. Clippers (NBA)

3 Unit --> Atlanta +3 over Philadelphia (NBA)

3 Unit --> Cincinnati (Gutierrez) +120 over Milwaukee (Lauer)
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Posted : June 14, 2021 12:08 pm
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Posts: 57671
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WEEKLY REPORT

Elite Sports Service
MLB 36-27/+1.50
NBA 11-5/+5.50 PO 4-1/+2.90

Insider Sports Report
MLB 70-60-2/-2.55
5* 5-4/+0.75
4*29-23/+9.80
3*36-33-2/-7.10
NBA 41-51-1/-46.50 PO 18-15-2/+6.40
5*1-1/-0.50
4*10-10/-4.00 PO 3-1/+7.60
3*30-40-1/-42.00 PO 15-14-2/-1.20

National Sports Service
MLB 55-64/-74.10
5*4-6/-17.00
4*27-27/-16.40
3*24-31/-39.30
NBA 41-45-1/-28.60 PO 14-14/-6.60
5*0-0/+0.00
4*9-11/-12.40 PO 1-1/-0.40
3*31-35/-16.20 PO 13-14/-6.20

Prime Time
MLB 52-78-1/-142.05
5*3-3/-4.25
4*23-29/-54.40
3*26-46-1/-83.70
NBA 57-68-1/-47.80 PO 24-14-1/+32.10
5*2-1/+4.50
4*17-12/+15.20 PO 3-0/+12.00
3*38-55-1/-67.50 PO 21-13-1/+20.10

Top Rank Sports Picks
MLB 65-41-2/+50.65
5* 8-7/-7.00
4*26-15-1/+30.80
3*31-19-1/+26.85
NBA 52-37-1/+45.30 PO 13-15-1/-8.90
5*1-0/+5.00
4*15-7/+31.30 PO 6-4/+6.40
3*36-30-1/+9.00 PO 8-10-1/-15.30
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Posted : June 14, 2021 12:08 pm
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 06/14/21

4★ Oakland (Manaea) -150 over L.A. Angels (Bundy)

3★ Utah/L.A. Clippers UNDER 223.5 (NBA)
__________________

Dwayne Bryant

5% - Tigers/Royals over 9.5
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Scott Spreitzer

Clippers -5 (3U)
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Zack Cimini

UTAH @ L.A. CLIPPERS | 06/14 | 10:00 PM EDT
L.A. CLIPPERS -5
ANALYSIS: The Clippers broke out in their Game 3 victory over the Jazz with 132 points. It was just one point shy of their season high as Utah had its poorest defensive effort of the campaign. Look for Los Angeles to build off that performance on Monday and put pressure on the Jazz for Game 5 in Salt Lake City. Grab the Clippers.

+660 55-44 IN LAST 99 NBA ATS PICKS
+510 15-9 IN LAST 24 LAC ATS PICKS
+60 5-4 IN LAST 9 UTA ATS PICKS
12:39 PM

PHILADELPHIA @ ATLANTA | 06/14 | 7:30 PM EDT
ATLANTA +3
ANALYSIS: The 76ers completely transformed their game plan to rout the Hawks in Games 2 and 3 of the series. The blowout wins marked the third and fourth times in a span of 45 days that the 76ers have routed Atlanta. Monday presents a must-win scenario in which the younger Hawks can regain traction and rally behind their home crowd. Grab Atlanta.

+660 55-44 IN LAST 99 NBA ATS PICKS
+632 14-7 IN LAST 21 ATL ATS PICKS
+548 11-5 IN LAST 16 PHI ATS PICKS
12:32 PM

TORONTO @ BOSTON | 06/14 | 7:10 PM EDT
BOSTON -130
ANALYSIS: Boston suffered its worst loss in five years on Sunday, an 18-4 setback against Toronto. Look for the Red Sox to have payback on their minds Monday against inexperienced RHP Alek Manoah. Furthermore, Boston RHP Nathan Eovaldi matched a career high with 10 strikeouts in a 5-3 home victory over the Blue Jays last season. Back the Red Sox.

+1141 46-35 IN LAST 81 MLB ML PICKS
+1211 35-22 IN LAST 57 TOR ML PICKS
+310 3-0 IN LAST 3 BOS ML PICKS
12:25 PM
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Matt Severance

FEATURED PICK

UTAH @ L.A. CLIPPERS | 06/14 | 10:00 PM EDT
L.A. CLIPPERS -190
ANALYSIS: Jazz star Donovan Mitchell says his ankle his fine, but he clearly tweaked it at the end of Game 3. That's his second tweak of that troublesome ankle this series. The Clips' move of Nic Batum in the starting lineup in place of Ivica Zubac paid major dividends in Game 3. No word yet on whether Mike Conley plays for Utah, but I doubt it and even if so like Los Angeles to tie things up.

+2178 79-36 IN LAST 115 NBA ML PICKS
+645 6-0 IN LAST 6 UTA ML PICKS
+500 5-0 IN LAST 5 LAC ML PICKS
YESTERDAY 1:46 PM

MONTREAL @ VEGAS | 06/14 | 9:00 PM EDT
UNDER 5.5
ANALYSIS: Gonna double up on this game as in addition to taking the Canadiens on the puckline, I do think this will be low scoring with two Hall of Fame netminders playing stellar hockey in Montreal's Carey Price and Vegas' Marc-Andre Fleury. Price is No. 2 in these playoffs with a 1.97 GAA and Fleury is second at 1.91. Both teams play a more defensive style. The Under is 5-2 in the Canadiens last 7 games as an underdog.

+1524 163-107 IN LAST 270 NHL PICKS
12:36 PM

N.Y. ISLANDERS @ TAMPA BAY | 06/15 | 8:00 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -180
ANALYSIS: Lost on the Bolts at this price in Game 1 with Tampa coach Jon Cooper saying his players minds "weren't there." They did have seven giveaways, which is unusual. The Lightning have not lost back-to-back playoff games this year or back-to-back home games once all season. I expect a much more spirited effort in Game 2. Also still like Tampa in the series although it may take seven games now.

+1810 143-90 IN LAST 233 NHL ML PICKS
+407 10-5 IN LAST 15 TB ML PICKS
+15 13-9 IN LAST 22 NYI ML PICKS
12:28 PM

MIAMI @ ST. LOUIS | 06/14 | 8:15 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS -157
ANALYSIS: The slumping Cardinals have fallen below .500 and Mike Shildt's job security gets more tenuous by the day. Still, I like the Cards here behind Adam Wainwright and his 2.62 home ERA. It's rookie lefty Braxton Garrett for the Marlins as he makes his fifth career big-league appearance. Been rough going for the most part as he has a 6.14 career ERA. Miami is 6-18 in its past 24 as a road dog. St. Louis is 8-3 in its last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

+700 12-4 IN LAST 16 MLB PICKS
+325 6-2 IN LAST 8 MIA ML PICKS
+181 6-3 IN LAST 9 STL ML PICKS
11:10 AM

L.A. ANGELS @ OAKLAND | 06/14 | 9:40 PM EDT
OAKLAND -157
ANALYSIS: When Dylan Bundy is on the mound for the Angels, (1-6, 6.16) you need to fade them. His lone outing vs. Oakland on May 23 didn't go well as he gave up four runs and two homers over 2.1 innings but did avoid the loss. On the flip side, A's lefty Sean Manaea (5-2, 3.09) has a streak of 15 straight scoreless innings and has a 1.54 ERA this year in two starts vs. the Halos. LA is 4-10 in its past 14 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

+700 12-4 IN LAST 16 MLB PICKS
+162 5-3 IN LAST 8 LAA ML PICKS
9:03 AM

PITTSBURGH @ WASHINGTON | 06/14 | 7:05 PM EDT
WASHINGTON -120
ANALYSIS: I'm fairly shocked that Washington, despite being a big disappointment, is only -120 at home against a terrible Pirates team. Pittsburgh is starting its best pitcher in JT Brubaker (4-5, 3.90), but he has given up 15 runs across his past four outings after a 2.58 ERA in his first seven. Nats lefty Jon Lester (0-2, 4.19) isn't great these days but still good enough to beat a Pittsburgh lineup that is 18-44 in its past 62 vs. southpaws.

+700 12-4 IN LAST 16 MLB PICKS
+500 5-0 IN LAST 5 PIT ML PICKS
8:42 AM

TAMPA BAY @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 06/14 | 8:10 PM EDT
CHI. WHITE SOX +1.5
ANALYSIS: The White Sox are home underdogs behind Lance Lynn and his 1.23 ERA? Right now they are, yep, because Tampa is starting ace Tyler Glasnow (5-2, 2.57). Tampa Bay may well win here, but getting Chicago at +1.5 on the runline is too much value to pass up. The Sox have won six straight series openers.

+700 12-4 IN LAST 16 MLB PICKS
+551 5-0 IN LAST 5 CHW ATS PICKS
+110 4-2 IN LAST 6 TB ATS PICKS
8:38 AM
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John Bollman

PHILADELPHIA @ L.A. DODGERS | 06/14 | 10:10 PM EDT
L.A. DODGERS -160
ANALYSIS: The Phillies have won four games in a row but they head on the road where they are 11-19 on the season. The Dodgers have won seven of 10 games and they are 21-11 at home this season. Tony Gonsolin is making his second start off the IL and he only allowed one run including four strikeouts in his first start, but he also allowed five walks and only got five outs. Spencer Howard hasn’t been much better though with his longest outing of the season being four innings, and he has 9 walks in his last 9.1 IP. This could be a bullpen game very early for both teams but I like the Dodgers at home.

+1357 37-21 IN LAST 58 MLB PICKS
+609 10-4 IN LAST 14 PHI ML PICKS
11:42 AM

TORONTO @ BOSTON | 06/14 | 7:10 PM EDT
TORONTO +120
ANALYSIS: Nathan Eovaldi was absolutely hammered by the Astros in his last outing at home, and with the way the Blue Jays have been swinging it this series, I don’t expect that to change. The Blue Jays hit eight home runs yesterday and they have scored 25 runs in the past two games. Alek Manoah has had two good starts and one bad start so far this season but like I said, this play is on the Blue Jays bats anyway. The Red Sox have lost four of their last six games and their starting pitching has been miserable recently, take the value on the Blue Jays.

+1357 37-21 IN LAST 58 MLB PICKS
+650 9-2 IN LAST 11 TOR ML PICKS
+371 10-5 IN LAST 15 BOS ML PICKS
11:40 AM

PITTSBURGH @ WASHINGTON | 06/14 | 7:05 PM EDT
WASHINGTON -121
ANALYSIS: JT Brubaker had been really good through April but he struggled in May going 2-2 with a 4.82 ERA. Jon Lester hasn’t had the success he would like so far this season but he still didn’t allow more than one run in five of his eight starts. The Pirates are tied for the second worst wOBA against lefties this season and they have lost seven straight games. They are just 10-22 on the road this season, take the Nats in what I think will be Jon Lester’s first win with the Nats.

+1357 37-21 IN LAST 58 MLB PICKS
+1167 28-13 IN LAST 41 PIT ML PICKS
+187 5-3 IN LAST 8 WAS ML PICKS
11:39 AM

N.Y. ISLANDERS @ TAMPA BAY | 06/15 | 8:00 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -180
ANALYSIS: I thought the Islanders would come out with a strong first game and they did, outplaying the Lightning in just about every aspect of the game. However, the Islanders weren’t very good on the road in the regular season while the Lightning and Andrei Vasilevskiy was one of the best in the league. The Lightning got to see the Islanders for the first time this season in their first game and I think they will have much more success in Game 2. I think this line will only go up as we get closer to game time so take the Lightning at home to even the series.

+585 10-6 IN LAST 16 NHL PICKS
+1094 25-11 IN LAST 36 TB ML PICKS
+728 16-9 IN LAST 25 NYI ML PICKS
11:07 AM

MONTREAL @ VEGAS | 06/14 | 9:00 PM EDT
MONTREAL +230
ANALYSIS: The Canadiens have been off resting for a while now while the Golden Knights are coming off a hard fought series against the Aves. Once again, we will see these teams face off for the first time this season in the semifinals and I think it favors the underdog. The Canadien division was easily the worst in the NHL this season and there were some extreme results in their playoffs with the Oilers and the Jets getting swept. However, I think the Canadeins have nothing to lose tonight and their goalie is one of the only ones in the league that can go shot for shot with Marc-Andre Fleury. The value on puck lines in the playoffs is non-existent, so I will take the Canadiens in a flyer to steal Game 1.

+585 10-6 IN LAST 16 NHL PICKS
+300 4-2 IN LAST 6 MON ML PICKS
+60 7-5 IN LAST 12 LV ML PICKS
11:06 AM
__________________

Justin Perri

TAMPA BAY @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 06/14 | 8:10 PM EDT
CHI. WHITE SOX -105
ANALYSIS: I'm taking advantage of Tyler Glasnow's marquee name to get a very nice price on the White Sox. The interesting thing is that Chicago RHP Lance Lynn has slightly better expected numbers on the year and much better hard hit numbers than Glasnow. But because Glasnow throws 94th-percentile fastball heat, he will continue to get the love from the market. Go against that favoritism and take the White Sox at a great price.

+466 10-5-2 IN LAST 17 MLB PICKS
9:30 AM
__________________

Master Sports

MLB
3* #971 Detroit +120 (Boyd)
__________________

Micah Roberts

PITTSBURGH @ WASHINGTON | 06/14 | 7:05 PM EDT
WASHINGTON -121
ANALYSIS: The Nationals just posted 2-0 and 5-0 victories against NL West-leading San Francisco over the weekend. They hit three home runs in the wins - all by Kyle Schwarber - and aren’t far removed from belting three shots in last Tuesday's 9-7 triumph over AL East-leading Tampa Bay. Washington's pitchers need help from the offense - especially LH Jon Lester, who has watched the team lose two of his last three starts despite having allowed just one run in each. The Pirates have lost seven straight contests. I’m on the Nationals.

+1817 35-16-1 IN LAST 52 MLB PICKS
+1117 18-10 IN LAST 28 WAS ML PICKS
2:06 PM
__________________

Dave Essler

3* GOM

Bluejays +120
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Scott Spreitzer

Rays/White Sox U3.5 F5 (5U)
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Posted : June 14, 2021 3:42 pm
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Posts: 57671
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Bob Balfe

Atl/Phil over 225.5

Wash Nats -125
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WUnderdog
NBA

Utah@LA Clippers 223 Over
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Smart Money Sports

3 Units Jazz
3 Units Pirates
6 Units Mets
7 Units Twins
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Vince Akins Spotsbook Breakers
MLB Big Plays 26-17 ytd [+2024]...Lost Over Cubs and Cashed Cubs yesterday..

MLB
Indians -147 - - - BIG PLAY
Rays -114
Mariners/Twins Over 8 (-110)
Tigers/Royals 9.5 (-110)
__________________

Kevin Davis - BoogieDownPicks
MLB Big Plays 22-6 ytd...Cashed Phillies yesterday..

MLB
Phillies +160 - - - BIG PLAY
Red Sox -125
Mets/Cubs Under 9 (-120)
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Posted : June 14, 2021 4:55 pm
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Posts: 57671
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The Sports Geek
MLB Big Plays 43-19 ytd...Cashed Brewers yesterday..

MLB
Athletics -139 - - - BIG PLAY
Red Sox -125
Padres -144
Mariners +126
Mets/Cubs Under 9
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Ricky tran
76ers ml
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Jesse Schule

Blue jays +1.5
Clippers ml
Murphy
Cardinals
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Stephen Nover

Reds
__________________

Mike Lundin
Sf -1.5
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Bryan Powers
Dodgers
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Dave Price

6 Cardinals
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Jim Fiest
Nationals
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Bryan Leonard
Diamond gem
Nationals
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The Sports Geek

NBA
76ers -146 (Moneyline)
Clippers/Jazz Over 223.5

NHL
Vegas/Montreal Under 5.5 (-130)
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Ziti Sports (Sports Watch Monitor #)

2021 YTD 658-644 (-$50,970)

MLB

Tampa Bay -110

NY Mets OVER 8.5 -115 (7:10 PM)

Milwaukee OVER 9 -115 (8:10 PM)

NBA

LA Clippers -5 -110
__________________

Doug Upstone NBA
3U - Philadelphia 76ers -3.0
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Posted : June 14, 2021 6:12 pm
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