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Free Premium Service Plays For Sunday 6/13/21

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(@shazman)
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Sunday 6/13/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NBA, MLB & NHL games

 
Posted : June 13, 2021 8:05 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57403
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Matt Severance

N.Y. ISLANDERS @ TAMPA BAY | 06/13 | 3:00 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -185
ANALYSIS: A big price to pay in a conference semifinal matchup (Isles on puckline is about the same so not a ton of value there -- there are no conferences but you get the idea -- but I do think the Lightning are substantially the better team. The clubs didn't play in the regular season being in different divisions, but the Bolts beat the Isles in six in the 2020 conference finals when there was no true home-ice advantage in the bubble. Tampa netminder Andrei Vasilevskiy has just four home losses all season including playoffs and two are in OT. New York is 3-8 in its past 11 as the road team in the series.
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Gameoftheyear

England -121
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Stephen Oh

N.Y. YANKEES @ PHILADELPHIA | 06/13 | 1:05 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES +120
ANALYSIS: Phillies starter Vince Velasquez has been rocked in his last two starts, allowing nine runs in just 7.0 innings. I think the Yankees will be highly motivated on Sunday to get a split out of this two-game series. My model says New York wins 58 percent of the time, so you're getting strong value at this number.

PHILADELPHIA @ ATLANTA | 06/14 | 7:30 PM EDT
ATLANTA +3
ANALYSIS: This is as close to being a must-win game for the Hawks without it being an elimination game. Atlanta was excellent at home this season (25-11) while Philly was just OK on the road (20-16). My model says the Hawks cover 56 percent of the time and win by one, so you're getting strong value at this number.
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Larry Hartstein

COLORADO @ CINCINNATI | 06/13 | 1:10 PM EDT
CINCINNATI -1.5
ANALYSIS: The Reds have outscored the Rockies 21-8 in the first two games of the series, with Colorado falling to 5-25 away from home. Rockies starter Antonio Senzatela sports a 6.75 road ERA. The Reds counter with Tony Santillan, who's making his major-league debut after dominating at Triple-A Louisville. Play Cincy on the run line at +120.
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Posted : June 13, 2021 8:08 am
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Jonathan Willis - Vegasinsider NHL Team
NHL Big Plays 43-21ytd...Cashed Vegas Game of the Month on Friday..

NHL
Tampa Bay Lightning -184 - - - BIG PLAY
Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 goals [+145]
Lightning/Islanders Over 5 [-137]
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Micah Roberts - Vegasinsider NASCAR Handicapper

2021 NASCAR All-Star Race
: Sunday June 13th, 2021
TV: FS1 - Time: 6:00 p.m.
Venue: Texas Motor Speedway
Location: Fort Worth, Texas
Distance: 100 Laps
Defending Champ - Chase Elliott (2020)

Odds Subject to Change

NASCAR All-Star Race
Top-5 Finish Predictions
1) #9 Chase Elliott 6/1
2) #18 Kyle Busch 17/2
3) #24 William Byron 10/1
4) # 48 Alex Bowman 12/1
5) #5 Kyle Larson 5/2

NASCAR All-Star Open
Top-3 Finish Predictions
1) #8 Tyler Reddick
2) # 47 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
3) #17 Chris Buescher
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Michael Crosson

Vegasinsider NBA
Brooklyn Nets vs Milwaukee Bucks
TV: ABC - Time: 3:00 p.m.

Best Bet - Brooklyn Nets -125 (Moneyline)

NBA Player Prop Best Bet: Giannis Antetokounmpo To Score Over 35+ points [+120]

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets
TV: TNT - Time: 8:00 p.m.

Best Bet - Phoenix Suns -150 (Moneyline)

NBA Player Prop Best Bet: Nikola Jokic To Score 35+ points [+235]
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Tim Wilkinson - Vegasinsider NBA Totals Club

NBA
Bucks/Nets Under 229
Suns/Nuggets Under 222.5
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JIMMY ADAMS

Game: (553) Phoenix Suns at (554) Denver Nuggets
Date/Time: Jun 13 2021 8:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3 units
Play: Phoenix Suns -3.0 (-110)

The Suns have clearly proven that they are the much better team in route to a 3-0 series lead. Denver simply doesn’t have an answer for the guard duo of Devin Booker and Chris Paul. Nikola Jokic has been productive, but the rest of the team has been ineffective. The only chance the Nuggets have of winning this game is if Phoenix gets complacent. A don’t see that happening with this group, anchored by the veteran leadership of Paul. Take the Suns.
3 units at -3 or lower, 2 units at -3.5 or higher

Game: (925) New York Yankees at (926) Philadelphia Phillies
Date/Time: Jun 13 2021 1:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: New York Yankees +116 D German (RHP), A Nola (RHP) Must Start

The Yankees lost in extra innings Saturday and will look to split their 2 game series with the Phillies Sunday. We’re getting a very good price all things considered. 7,5,9,8, and 5. Those are the number of runs New York has scored in their last 5 games, showing us that obviously the offense isn’t currently a problem. As for pitching, we have the guy that we want on mound here. Domingo German hasn’t allowed more than 3 earned runs all season. He’s been the definition of consistency, allowing just 1 run in 5.2 innings last time out against the Red Sox. Aaron Nola, on the other hand, has been anything but consistent, allowing 4 earned in his last start vs Atlanta. Take the Yankees.
Line Parameter: 4 units at +110 or higher, 3 units at lower than +110
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BUSTER SPORTS

Game: (551) Brooklyn Nets at (552) Milwaukee Bucks
Date/Time: Jun 13 2021 3:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Total Over 228.0 (-110)

4% GOOD TO 230 3% GOOD at 231
Our selection is on the Brooklyn/ Milwaukee OVER 228
Everyone of these games in this series have gone UNDER the total and normally I am that guy that says if it is not broke, but here is the problem with that theory today. These teams were 1 and 2 in points scored during this year and we believe something will give and it does today with the two teams having a horrific offensive game in the last one. All you need to know about the Bucks shooting woes is that Giannis Antetokounmpo is 4-for-32 from 3-point range. Milwaukee as a team has struggled offensively this whole series. In fact, they only shot 37.8% last game and still won. If they shoot that bad today, they will get killed and we lose our bet. We can tell you that will not happen especially at home after winning Game 3 with a terrible shooting performance. We will look for the Bucks to play a little faster and score more as they will need to with the Nets having one of their worst games of the playoffs. The Nets shot 8-for-32 from the 3-point line last game they will make at least 10 more today. (That is 30 points right there) This is a bit of a contrarian play as well as the number opened at 230 and it is at 228 at the time of this writing. Remember this line opened Game 1 and hit as high as 240. That is a 12-point difference between 3 games of a series with teams that can really score. The way the games have been played keeps this from a larger play for us. We believe we will have the best of this number, as it should go back to 230 come game time.
So lets get the job done with the Brooklyn/ Milwaukee game OVER 228.
Don Buster
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mlbtotal us

Miami Marlins – Atlanta Braves
Over 7.5
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ziti sports

Houston -122 Minnesota (2:10 pm)
Toronto vs. Boston OVER 10 +100 (1:10 pm)
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Ben Burns

10* over-227.5-bucks
10* under-7.5-clev-seattle
9* nyy+1.5-170
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Posted : June 13, 2021 9:13 am
(@shazman)
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Stitches--NY Post. Won yesterday with the Phillies. Season record now 35-37.

Sunday's play (10 units) is on the Rockies.
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Larry Hartstein

HOUSTON @ MINNESOTA | 06/13 | 2:10 PM EDT
HOUSTON -140
ANALYSIS: This is Framber Valdez's fourth start of the season following his recovery from a fractured finger. After a 72-pitch first outing, he's been dominant the past two, both versus the Red Sox. He also owns a 1.86 career ERA against the Twins. This is a nice bounceback spot for the potent Houston offense, which mustered two runs and five hits Saturday. Look for another abbreviated outing by Michael Pineda, and lay it.
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Andrew McInnis

5% - San Diego Padres ML
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Marco D'Angelo

5% - Milwaukee Bucks +2
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John Bollman

N.Y. YANKEES @ PHILADELPHIA | 06/13 | 1:05 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES +115
ANALYSIS: Domingo German has been very good for the Yankees allowing three runs or fewer in each of his last nine starts. Aaron Nola has struggled this season and he has a 4.97 ERA in his last nine starts. The Yankees bats are finally awake and they almost pulled off a late comeback before the Phillies were able to walk it off. The Yankees lose the DH but I think the Yankees win in over 50% of simulations the way Nola has been pitching this season. Take the value in the dog.

HOUSTON @ MINNESOTA | 06/13 | 2:10 PM EDT
HOUSTON -140
ANALYSIS: Framber Valdez has looked excellent this season in three starts not allowing more than one run in any of them. Michael Pineda started the season well but he has allowed seven runs in his last two starts combined. The Astros bats are hot right now and they should have no problem with the soft throwing Pineda. The Twins left handed bats will be out of the lineup and their bullpen has been worked the past few days. Take the Astros in the rubber game.

N.Y. ISLANDERS @ TAMPA BAY | 06/13 | 3:00 PM EDT
N.Y. ISLANDERS +170
ANALYSIS: I think the Lightning are the better team and I think they will end up winning this series, but I think it will be a lot closer than people think. The awkwardness of not having matched up all season should benefit the underdogs in the Islanders and honestly I think the Islanders are taking it personal that noone is giving them a chance. They were in the Conference Finals last season against the Lightning and lost in 6 games, I think they come out strong and steal one in Tampa tonight.
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Ben Burns

10* over-227.5-bucks
10* under-7.5-clev-seattle
9* nyy+1.5-170
9* over-222-nuggets
9* bucks+2.5
8* dodgers-200
10* under-5.5-islanders
Netherlands-190-3pm
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Bob Balfe

Bucks +2.5/nets
Red sox +10/Toronto
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SDQL

KANSAS CITY @ OAKLAND | 06/13 | 4:07 PM EDT
OAKLAND -190
ANALYSIS: The Athletics are 14-0 when RHP Chris Bassitt starts as a 140-plus favorite when they won in his last start. The Royals are 0-14 as 170-plus underdogs after they drew five-plus walks, it is before the All-Star break and it's not a series opener.

PITTSBURGH @ MILWAUKEE | 06/13 | 2:10 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -195
ANALYSIS: The Brewers are 22-00 SU as favorites of more than 165 in the last game of a series when their opponent lost their last two, they won their last two and they are at least five games ahead of their opponent in the win column. The Pirates are 0-12 as underdogs following a game as dogs when playing a team that has a better record and it is not a series opener.
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Posted : June 13, 2021 10:58 am
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Mike Barner

PHOENIX @ DENVER | 06/13 | 8:00 PM EDT
PHOENIX -3
ANALYSIS: The Suns have dominated this series, winning each of the first three games by at least 14 points. Chris Paul has been one of the key reasons, as he's averaging 21.7 points and 11.3 assists thanks to the improved health of his shoulder. Denver's Nikola Jokic just doesn’t have enough firepower around him, with Jamal Murray (knee) out and Michael Porter Jr. battling through a back issue, so look for the Suns to close out this series and cover along the way.

BROOKLYN @ MILWAUKEE | 06/13 | 3:00 PM EDT
BROOKLYN -2
ANALYSIS: Game 3 of this series was ugly. Both teams shot under 38 percent from the field, with the Bucks again struggling by shooting 19.4 percent from beyond the arc. The normally efficient Kevin Durant was just 11-for-28 from the field and Joe Harris was only 1-for-11. Still, the Nets only lost by three points. With better shooting performances, look for Brooklyn to bounce back with a win.
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Elite Sports Picks

Houston (Valdez) -130 over Minnesota (Pineda)
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Insider Sports Report

5* N.Y. Yankees (German) +120 over Philadelphia (Nola)
Range: +135 to -110

3* Houston (Valdez)/Minnesota (Pineda) UNDER 9.5
Range: 10 to 9

3* Phoenix/Denver OVER 222 (NBA)
Range: 220 to 224
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National Sports Service

4* Houston (Valdez) -130 over Minnesota (Pineda)

3* Brooklyn -2 over Milwaukee (NBA)
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 06/13/21

4 Unit --> Miami (Lopez) -130 over Atlanta (Smyly)

3 Unit --> Brooklyn/Milwaukee OVER 228 (NBA)

3 Unit --> Phoenix -3 over Denver (NBA)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 06/13/21

4★ Brooklyn/Milwaukee UNDER 228 (NBA)

3★ Seattle (Gilbert)/Cleveland (Bieber) UNDER 7.5
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Master Sports

NBA
3.5* #552 Milwaukee +3.5
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Wise Guy's Play for today:
50 Dime | Houston Astros Money-Line
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Posted : June 13, 2021 11:58 am
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Posts: 57403
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Pickswise Sports

3* Best Bet - Toronto Blue Jays -126
2* Bucks +2.5
2* Bucks/Nets Under 228.5
2* Suns/Nuggets Under 222
1* Suns -150
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The Sports Geek
MLB Big Plays 42-19 ytd...Lost Astros yesterday..

MLB
Brewers -178 - - - BIG PLAY
Brewers -1.5 runs [+105]
Reds/Rockies Over 10 [-110]

NHL
Tampa Bay Lightning -188

NBA
Bucks +2.5
Nuggets +3.5
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Vince Akins Spotsbook Breakers
MLB Big Plays 25-16 ytd [+2034]...Cashed Over Angels/Diamondbacks yesterday..

MLB
Indians -210
Athletics -183
Cubs -125
Cubs/Cardinals Over 9.5 [-105] - - - BIG PLAY
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Kevin Rogers - Vegasinsider
MLB Sunday Night ESPN Winner - Chicago Cubs-126
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Action Network Sports

MLB
4* Astros
4* Rockies
2* Rays
2* Pirates

NBA
3* Nets -130
1* Suns -150

NHL
2* Islanders +175
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Posted : June 13, 2021 12:17 pm
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IQ Sports

6-unit: Dallas over 170 (WNBA)

5-unit: Cards-Cubs over 9.5
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Brian Bitler

10* NBA Executive Info

Denver Nuggets +3.5 (-109)
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Pure Lock

10* Chicago White Sox -1.5
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In Game Trap:

New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning OVER 1.5 goals first period (20*)
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Sportsline Computer

MLB

New York Yankees +115
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Steve Merrill

Nets Over
Cubs Over
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Godfatherlocks

massive 5000 unit pick
milwaukee bucks +2 (nba)

top rated 2000 unit picks
#1 - n. Macedonia tie no bet +300 (euro cup)
#2 - new york mets +115 (mlb)
#3 - new york yankees +105 (mlb)
#4 - chicago cubs -125 (mlb)
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Posted : June 13, 2021 12:43 pm
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