Saturday 5/29/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NBA, MLB & NHL games.
Dave Cokin
2% Toronto Maple Leafs (-165)
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Wunderdog
NBA
Denver@Portland 226.5 Under
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Toby Maxtone-Smith - Vegasinsider Soccer Handicapper
2021 UEFA Champions League Final
Match: Manchester City vs Chelsea
Date: Saturday May 29th, 2021
TV: CBS & Paramount+ - Time: 3:00 p.m. ET.
Venue: Estadio do Dragao
Location: Porto, ���� Portugal
Odds Subject to Change
UEFA Champions League Final Best Bets
Draw +250
Under 2.5 goals [-165]
Both Teams to Score YES [+105]
Ben Chilwell (Chelsea) First Goal [+4000]
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Michael Crosson
Vegasinsider NBA
Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat
TV: TNT - Time: 1:35 p.m.
Best Bet - Milwaukee Bucks -4.5
NBA Player Prop Best Bet: Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 27.5 points [-110]
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Jonathan Willis
Vegasinsider NBA
Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Washington Wizards
TV: ESPN - Time: 7:05 p.m.
Best Bet - 76ers/Wizards Under 228
Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies
TV: ESPN - Time: 9:35 p.m.
Best Bet - Utah Jazz -5
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Kevin Rogers
Vegasinsider NBA
Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies
TV: ESPN - Time: 9:35 p.m.
Best Bet - Memphis Grizzlies +5.5 [-120]
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Pickswise Sports - Soccer
UEFA Champions League Final Best Bet
Odds Subject to Change
Top 3* Play - Manchester City -120
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Matt Severance
DENVER @ PORTLAND | 05/29 | 4:00 PM EDT
PORTLAND -175
ANALYSIS: There is this shot chart expectancy thing ... I won't bore you. Basically, Portland should have beaten Denver in Game 3 yet didn't because waiver wire pickup Austin Rivers thought he was back at Duke when he was good. That is not happening again.
+1387 67-33 IN LAST 100 NBA ML PICKS
+250 6-2 IN LAST 8 DEN ML PICKS
6:34 AM
N.Y. ISLANDERS @ BOSTON | 05/29 | 8:00 PM EDT
BOSTON -160
ANALYSIS: Saturday series opener from Beantown. This is the whole rest vs. rust argument as Boston hasn't played since finishing off Washington in five last Sunday, while the Islanders knocked out Pittsburgh in six on Wednesday. The time off could help see the return of B's defenseman Jeremy Lauzon, who injured his hand in Game 1 vs. the Caps and hasn't played since. Boston won three of four at home vs. the Isles during the regular season, and I have to lean the veteran, Cup-winning goaltender in the Bruins' Tuukka Rask, who had a 1.86 GAA and .925 save percentage vs. New York this year.
+2091 134-82 IN LAST 216 NHL ML PICKS
+455 11-5 IN LAST 16 NYI ML PICKS
+200 3-1 IN LAST 4 BOS ML PICKS
YESTERDAY 9:24 AM
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SDQL
ATLANTA @ N.Y. METS | 05/28 | 7:10 PM EDT
ATLANTA -153
ANALYSIS: The Mets are 0-9 as a dog off a home game when they won the last two games their starter started. The Braves are 17-0 in the first game of a series with rest as a favorite when they are off a loss in which they held the lead and it is before the All-Star break. Also, Atlanta is 12-0 as a favorite of more than 130 after a game in which Ronald Acuna struck out at least twice, winning by an average of 6.42 runs per game.
+1964 61-29-1 IN LAST 91 MLB PICKS
+955 21-7 IN LAST 28 ATL ML PICKS
YESTERDAY 10:25 AM
14-12 Totals MLB Season
COLORADO @ PITTSBURGH | 05/28 | 6:35 PM EDT
OVER 7.5
ANALYSIS: The Rockies are 10-0 OU (+4.25 rpg) in the first game of a series with no rest as a favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games and it is before the All-Star break. The Pirates are 10-0 OU (+6.65 rpg) in the first game of a series with no rest at home when their line is within 30 cents of pickem when they are off a game as a dog, playing a team that has a better record and it is before the All-Star break.
+1964 61-29-1 IN LAST 91 MLB PICKS
+100 1-0-2 IN LAST 3 COL O/U PICKS
YESTERDAY 10:27 AM
BALTIMORE @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 05/28 | 8:10 PM EDT
OVER 8.5
ANALYSIS: The White Sox are 8-0 OU (+4.81 rpg) in the second game of a series as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which their bullpen went at least one inning and did not allow a run. The Orioles are 9-0 OU (+4.44 rpg) in the second game of a series when they had six or fewer hits in the series opener and it is before the All-Star break.
+1964 61-29-1 IN LAST 91 MLB PICKS
YESTERDAY 10:27 AM
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mega3ticket
Chicago Fire – Club Montreal : Chicago over 1.5 goals @ 1.70
Real Salt Lake – Minnesota United : Salt Lake over 1.5 goals @ 1.83
Total Odds : 3.11
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mlbtotal us
New York Mets - Atlanta Braves
Over 7
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Kevin Dolan
5% - Portland Trailblazers -3,5 (line good to -5)
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JM Sports
5% - Milwaukee Bucks -4.5
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Stitches--NY Post. Won yesterday with the Tigers. Season record now 26-32.
Saturday's play (10 units) is on the Rays.
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XS Sports Picks Saturday
MLB: Yesterday 2-0 +$7,320
$4000 Milwaukee -115 (2pm)
$3000 Toronto -123 (4pm)
$5000 Philadelphia +108 (1pm)
NBA: NBA Season 199-150 (57%) +$41,040
$5000 Milwaukee FH Over 108.5 -115 (1:30pm)
$5000 Milwaukee Over 221.5 -106
$3000 Milwaukee -5 -105
$3000 Portland -4.5 (4pm)
NHL: NHL YTD 153-143 (52%) +$69,860
$3000 Toronto Under 5.5 -115 (7:30pm)
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JM SPORTS
After the way the 2020 playoffs ended up and the way the Milwaukee Bucks are playing right now, I think we may see the first series come to an end in the 1st round. The Bucks are holding Miami to 38.1% shooting so far this series, while outrebounding the Heat by 17 RPG, and they are 2-7 in the L9 as a D (being outscored 99.7 - 112.7). Outside of this series the Bucks have held opponents under 41.7% in 4 out of the L6 games. Milwaukee is also 10-6-1 ATS in L17 as AF (when the line is between 4 and 11), within that stretch they are 5-1 following a W as an AF (with the line between 4 and 11) and in that 6 game stretch Milwaukee is outscoring opponents by 14.8 PPG (123.5 - 108.7). The Heat have also lost 3 straight games, and ended up playing the 4th game as a HD 4 times this year, in those 4 games they are 1-3 and being outscored by 9.6 PPG (103.2 - 112.8). Down 3-0, and a potential sweep looming, that is the ideal time to watch as a fan, and in this situation the team with the advantage is 26-15-2 ATS when the line is > 2.5. Milwaukee has the clear advantage on those stats, and in the L12 times this has happened the team up 3-0 is 9-3 (and out-scoring the opponent by +10.3).
Game: (577) Utah Jazz at (578) Memphis Grizzlies
Date/Time: May 29 2021 9:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Memphis Grizzlies +5.0 (-110)
Memphis has been a team that I have backed at multiple points throughout this year. This team is an underdog that could do something special this post season, as they showed in game 1, and at multiple points throughout the regular season. They are 5-0 in the L5 as a home dog, 11-3 as a D in the L14 when the line is less then +10, which includes 3-0 @ home, and 5-2 SU in the L7 games out of the 14. The Grizzlies are 41-25 ATS vs. teams that are averaging over 106+ PPG, 24-14 as a D, and 15-5 ATS after a 10+ point L. The Jazz on the other hand are 0-5 in the L5 games coming off a W @ home as the favorite, they have yet to win B2B games as an AF following a HFW in the L5 (including 0-1 in LY playoffs). Utah is getting outscored straight up 113-118.4, a (-5.4) point differential, not to mention the 5 point cushion w/ Memphis being the dog.
Game: (977) Miami Marlins at (978) Boston Red Sox
Date/Time: May 29 2021 4:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3 units
Play: Total Under 8.0 (-115) T Rogers (LHP), N Eovaldi (RHP) Must Start
#977/#978 Boston Red Sox/Miami Marlins UNDER (8.0) –
Boston has been one of the best teams in baseball this season but in the recent games they haven’t needed to put up as many runs. Boston is 16-25 OU s/ April 13th, which includes a 5-14 OU when the total < 9 and 0-5 OU vs LHP in that 41 game stretch. The Sox are also 2-6 OU in the L8 games they played @ Fenway. Miami on the other hand has just been struggling more or less this season offensively. The Marlins are 19-34-5 OU s/ September 24th, 2020 overall. In the L34 games on the road Miami is 12-20-2 OU including 6-18-2 vs. RHP and 3-7 OU in the L10 as the away underdog.
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Bob Balfe
Milwaukee -5
Philadelphia -6.5
Cubs -120
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Brian Bitler
10* Cincinnati Reds +110
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Delphi Sports
MLB
3* #951/952 Reds/Cubs under 7
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Scott Spreitzer
Red Sox U7.5 (7U)
Maple Leafs -190 (2U)
Rapids -115 (6U)
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SDQL
Corrected For Saturday
KANSAS CITY @ MINNESOTA | 05/29 | 2:10 PM EDT
MINNESOTA -157
ANALYSIS: The Royals are 0-11 on the road after a five-plus run win as a road dog and it is before the All-Star break. The Twins are 9-0 at home off a five-plus run home loss and it is before the All-Star break. We are on the Twins.
+1964 61-29-1 IN LAST 91 MLB PICKS
+756 20-7 IN LAST 27 KC ML PICKS
+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 MIN ML PICKS
11:29 AM
SAN FRANCISCO @ L.A. DODGERS | 05/29 | 7:15 PM EDT
OVER 7.5
ANALYSIS: The Over is 9-0 when the Giants are a dog after a game in which they had more strikeouts than hits. The Over also is 6-0 when Julio Urias starts as a favorite after the Dodgers used six-plus pitchers the previous day.
+1964 61-29-1 IN LAST 91 MLB PICKS
+557 10-4 IN LAST 14 LAD O/U PICKS
9:15 AM
N.Y. YANKEES @ DETROIT | 05/29 | 4:10 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES -140
ANALYSIS: The Yankees are 8-0 in the second game of a road series as a favorite of more than -130 when they allowed the first score, took the lead but lost as a favorite in the series opener. The Tigers are 0-16 in the second game of a series as a dog off a game as a dog in which they scored first, trailed and then won.
+1964 61-29-1 IN LAST 91 MLB PICKS
+671 10-2 IN LAST 12 DET ML PICKS
9:12 AM
L.A. ANGELS @ OAKLAND | 05/29 | 4:07 PM EDT
OAKLAND -145
ANALYSIS: The Angels are 0-23 as a road dog of more than +135 when they are off a road game and their opponent’s starter has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than 2.00 on the season. They also are 0-14 as a road dog of more than +130 off a road game in which they struck out at least 10 times and it is before the All-Star break.
+1964 61-29-1 IN LAST 91 MLB PICKS
+315 3-0 IN LAST 3 LAA ML PICKS
9:03 AM
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Jeff Hochman
3* NBA Postseason Premium Play
Memphis +5
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Nick Borrman
4% Chelsea-Manchester City over 2.5 (+135)
Line Parameter: 4% at 2.5 to +110, or just play the 2.25 line
UEFA Champions League Final
Contrarian play here as everyone is on the Under and I think that's given some great value to the Over. You can get even get 2.25 at +100 or better odds right now. This game will probably start slow but I should pick up the pace as it goes on, especially once the first goal gets scored which City loves to do right before halftime as they did in their last meeting which ended in a 2-1 Chelsea win. City scored in the 42' minute and then were awarded a penalty in the 45' only to see Aguero miss it. They likely win that game if they go into the break up 2-0.
That being said, it proves that chances will still be had in this game despite these two being very good defensive teams. If we get one early, this thing will have no problem, but even if this goes into halftime 0-0, I still like our changes.
Like I did for the Europa Final, I'll had several props for this game including a couple that could be a hedge against this play with the ability to still win both.
TAKE OVER 2.5 GOALS
Line Parameter: 4% at 2.5 to +110, or just play the 2.25 line
Props, odds all via DraftKings, except the Corners prop is from FanDuel
Two most likely goal scorers from the Man City side
0.5% Riyad Mahrez +285
0.5% Kevin De Bruyne +300
Along the idea of the game going over the total, I think more of the action comes in the 2nd half as both teams will push for the win as neither will see extra time and/or penalties as an advantage
0.5% Over 1.5 Goals 2nd Half +140
0.5% Both Teams to Score 2nd Half +300
Chelsea's invincible defense has started to show cracks and I think it will be hard for them to win three in a row against City. Good return on taking them and pairing with Both Teams to Score
0.5% Manchester City + Both Teams to Score +360
Man City, as they did in the most recent two meetings, will likely dictate the play and thus earn more corners. Chelsea's best chance is defensively and to hit on the counter which won't produce as many corners.
1.0% Manchester City -2.5 Corners +135 (FanDuel)
Along the same note as Man City controlling the pace, with more sustained pressure in the box, perhaps they can earn a penalty as they did in the last match, although Aguero missed his chance
0.5% Manchester City to Score a Penalty +450
4.0% Total Risk
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Doug Upstone
Parlay: White Sox (Gm1) & Dodgers (2U)
Mariners -112 (3U)
Mets +140 (2U)
Padres -142 (6U)
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Elite Sports Picks
Chicago Cubs (Davies) -115 over Cincinnati (Castillo)
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Insider Sports Report
5* San Diego (Darvish) -145 over Houston (Odorizzi)
Range: -130 to -170
3* Philadelphia (Wheeler) -120 over Tampa Bay (Yarbrough)
Range: +100 to -140
3* Denver/Portland OVER 227 (NBA)
Range: 225 to 229
3* Utah/Memphis OVER 224 (NBA)
Range: 222 to 226
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National Sports Service
4* Baltimore (Means)/Chicago White Sox (Lynn) UNDER 7.5
3* Miami +5 over Milwaukee (NBA)
3* Utah -5 over Memphis (NBA)
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 05/29/21
4 Unit --> Chicago Cubs (Davies) -115 over Cincinnati (Castillo)
3 Unit --> Portland -4 over Denver (NBA)
3 Unit --> Philadelphia -6 over Washington (NBA)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 05/29/21
4★ Utah -5 over Memphis (NBA)
3★ San Diego (Darvish) -145 over Houston (Odorizzi)
3★ Washington +6 over Philadelphia (NBA)
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Action Network:
Jeremy Pond: Match To Go To Extra Time — Yes (+240)
Anthony Dabbundo: Fernandinho (Manchester City) To Get A Card — Yes (+150)
BJ Cunningham: Chelsea to Lift The Trophy (+175)
- Nick Knickel$
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ziti sports
MLB
San Diego -134 ASTROS (HOU) (4:10 PM)
Chicago White Sox -175 Baltimore (2:10 PM)
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Wayne Root
Chairman’s Portland
Pinnacle- Utah Jazz
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Jack Winningham
Cubs under 6.5
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Vegas Sports Informer
6* Utah Over 224
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Jones
20
Portland
20
Wizards
15
Nyy
15
La dodgers -1.5
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Mike Lundin
Oakland
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Aaa
Yankees
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Feist
Padres
Marlins
Jazz
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Big al
Yankees
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Bryan Powers
Boston red Sox
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Tim Michael
10 Padres
10 Portland
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Marc Lawrence
Heat +5
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Ross Benjamin
Gom
Grizzlies
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Football Jesus : NHL Boston to win series vs Islanders
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Doug Upstone NBA
3U - Denver Nuggets +5.0
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IC
7* Jazz Under 224.5
4* Dallas -1 WNBA
4* Heat Over 221.5
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Dwayne Bryant
5% max bet total over 7.5 Dodgers
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IQ Sports
7-unit: Grizzlies +5.5
5-unit: Blazers under 228
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Kevin Davis - BoogieDownPicks
MLB Big Plays 13-3 ytd...Lost Angels yesterday..
MLB
New York Mets - Team Run Total Over 2.5 Runs - [-120]
Giants +185
All Regular Plays
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Vince Akins Spotsbook Breakers
MLB Big Plays 18-8 ytd [+1891]...Passed yesterday..
MLB
Yankees -128 - - - BIG PLAY
Twins -156
Cardinals -134
Rangers/Mariners Under 8.5
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Michael Crosson
Vegasinsider NBA
Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trailblazers
TV: TNT - Time: 4:05 p.m.
Best Bet - Portland Trailblazers -5
NBA Player Prop Best Bet: Damian Lillard Over 35+ points [+112]
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Tim Wilkinson - Vegasinsider Totals Club
NBA
Heat/Bucks Under 222
Wizards/76ers Under 228.5
Jazz/Grizzlies Under 225
Trailblazers/Nuggets Under 228.5
Bonus Play - Washington Wizards +6.5
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Godfatherlocks
top rated 2000 unit picks
#1 - portland blazers -4.5 (nba)
#2 - memphis grizzlies +5 (nba)
#3 - chicago cubs -115 (mlb)
#4 - detroit tigers +115 (mlb)
#5 - houston astros +130 (mlb)
#6 - arizona diamondbacks +125 (mlb)
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Joe Williams/Thom Cunningham - Vegasinsider NHL Team
NHL Big Plays Outstanding 39-12 ytd...Cashed Vegas Golden Knights yesterday..
NHL
Toronto Maple Leafs -180 - - - BIG PLAY
NHL - Regular Plays
Boston Bruins -185
Boston Bruins -1.5 goals [+160]
Bruins/Islanders Over 5 [-120]
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Nick Andre - Vegasinsider WNBA Handicapper
Year to Date Record 12-6 Overall [+609] & Big Plays 3-1..
WNBA
New York -135 (Moneyline)
Dallas/Phoenix Over 168.5
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The Sports Geek
MLB Big Plays 34-14 ytd...Game postponed yesterday..
MLB
Dodgers -185
Dodgers -1.5 runs [+105]
Padres -144 - - - BIG PLAY
NBA
Heat +4.5
76ers -6 [-121]
Jazz -5
NHL
Montreal +180
Montreal +1.5 goals [-170]
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Pickswise Sports:
NBA 3* Best Bet - Grizzlies/Jazz Over 224
NHL 3* Best Bet - Toronto Maple Leafs -180
MLB 3* Best Bets
Cubs -109
Diamondbacks/Cardinals Under 10 [-115]
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