Saturday 5/22/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NBA, MLB & NHL games.
IQ Sports
5-unit: Brooklyn Nets -7.5
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Kevin Davis - BoogieDownPicks
MLB Big Plays 11-2 ytd...
Overall Year to Date 51-47-1, +5.96 units 6% ROI
MLB
Indians -168 - - - BIG PLAY
Indians -1.5 runs [+120]
Blue Jays -114
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Kevin Rogers
Vegasinsider NBA
Boston Celtics @ Brooklyn Nets
TV: ABC - Time: 8:00 p.m.
Best Bet - Boston Celtics +8.5
Portland Trailblazers @ Denver Nuggets
TV: ESPN - Time: 10:30 p.m.
Best Bet - Portland Trailblazers +1.5
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Jonathan Willis
Vegasinsider NBA
Miami Heat @ Milwaukee Bucks
TV: ESPN - Time: 2:00 p.m.
Best Bet - Milwaukee Bucks -4.5
Dallas Mavericks @ LA Clippers
TV: ESPN - Time: 4:30 p.m.
Best Bet - Mavericks/Clippers Over 218 - - - BIG PLAY
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Tim Wilkinson - Vegasinsider
NBA
Clippers -5
Heat/Bucks Under 227.5
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Jonathan Willis - Vegasinsider Team
NHL Big Plays 32-11 ytd (Lost Friday with Edmonton)
NHL
New York Islanders -109 - - - BIG PLAY
NHL Regular Plays
Tampa Bay -135
Tampa Bay -1.5 goals [+170]
NY Islanders/Pittsburgh Under 5.5 goals [-128]
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Adam Lykkesteen - Vegasinsider UFC Handicapper
UFC 27 Main Event Best Bets
Cody Garbrandt vs Rob Font
Best Bet - Rob Font -115
Yan Xiaonan vs Carla Esparza
Best Bet - Yan Xiaonan -120
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Ben Burns
10* clippers-5
9* maple leafs-165
10* blue jays-105
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Matt Severance
FLORIDA @ TAMPA BAY | 05/22 | 12:30 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -140
ANALYSIS: How wildly entertaining has this series been? Tampa Bay leads 2-1 but could easily be up 3-0 ... or down 2-1. Thursday's 6-5 Panthers win in OT was one of the best hockey games I have seen in a long time. Have to take the Bolts here, though, at such a cheap moneyline price at home because it's much easier to trust Andrei Vasilevskiy in net than whomever Florida will use in Game 4. In addition, the Lightning haven't dropped back-to-back home games this season.
+2519 148-90 IN LAST 238 NHL PICKS
+675 7-1 IN LAST 8 TB ML PICKS
+500 6-1 IN LAST 7 FLA ML PICKS
YESTERDAY 1:27 PM
MIAMI @ MILWAUKEE | 05/22 | 2:00 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -185
ANALYSIS: The Bucks should be HIGHLY motivated for this one after the Heat knocked them out in five games in the bubble playoffs last summer. Miami was the better team, too, even before Giannis Antetokounmpo was injured. Milwaukee has Jrue Holiday now, though, and Tyler Herro went nuts in the 2020 playoff and hasn't been near the same guy this season. Disregard the 2021 regular-season series (Bucks won 2-1) as Jimmy Butler didn't play in any of them. There should be a solid home-court advantage with a season-high 50 percent capacity allowed in Milwaukee. Previously, it was 18 percent.
+1552 61-29 IN LAST 90 NBA ML PICKS
+260 4-1 IN LAST 5 MIL ML PICKS
YESTERDAY 12:35 PM
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John Bollman
FLORIDA @ TAMPA BAY | 05/22 | 12:30 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -145
ANALYSIS: The Lightning have been the better team this series and they won’t want to give away home ice advantage after going up 2-0 in the series. Chris Dreidger was pulled last game and I don’t think Sergei Bobrovsky would be much better. Take the Lightning at home to go up 3-1 in the early Saturday game.
+805 36-22 IN LAST 58 NHL ML PICKS
+739 21-10 IN LAST 31 TB ML PICKS
+295 12-7 IN LAST 19 FLA ML PICKS
YESTERDAY 7:34 PM
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Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
MIAMI @ MILWAUKEE | 05/22 | 2:00 PM GMT
OVER 227
ANALYSIS: The Bucks took two out of three from Miami this season with the spread not mattering in any of them. The Bucks had a chip on their shoulder after losing in the playoffs to Miami last season. This season has been a streak of moods for both teams. The Bucks have won eight of their last 10 but covered just once in their last seven games. The new constant for the Heat is running a faster pace that has helped 11 of their last 13 games get Over the total. Over is the top play.
ATLANTA @ NEW YORK | 05/23 | 7:00 PM GMT
NEW YORK -1
ANALYSIS: The Knicks ended the regular season as the NBA’s best cover team (45-25-2 ATS) with the best defense that allowed the fewest points (104.7 ppg) and held opponents to the lowest shooting percentage from the field (44.0 percent) and 3-point land (33.7 percent). They also won and covered all three meetings with the Hawks this season, and the Hawks shot well in two of the games. There are lots of questionable important players for Atlanta on the injury list as well. Sunday night playoffs at Madison Square Garden after an eight-year wait? I’m on the Knicks.
PORTLAND @ DENVER | 05/22 | 10:30 PM GMT
DENVER -115
ANALYSIS: I don’t agree with this number, but if we simply look at the three meetings these teams had this season in which Portland covered the spread in all three (1-2 SU) it’s easier to understand the short price on the Nuggets at home. But the Blazers held Denver well below its season average of 48.5 percent from the field. The Nuggets are just 4-4 in their last eight games, but I’m on them at what I still believe is cheap by three points. But the best value is the Nuggets money line, so I'm going with that.
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XS Sports Picks May 22nd
MLB: This Week 10-5 (67%) +$25,630
$2000 Chicago WS +185 (1pm)
$3000 Arizona -112 (3:10pm)
$4000 Washington -1.5 +120 (4pm)
$3000 St Louis -103 (7:15pm)
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XS Sports Picks May 22nd
NHL: This Week 7-3 (70%) +$16,350
$2000 Tampa Bay Over 6 -103 (12:30pm)
$3000 Pittsburgh +103 (3pm)
$3000 Vegas -115 (8pm)
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XS Sports Picks May 22nd
NBA: This Week 3-3-1 +$670
$3000 FH Milwaukee -2.5 -110 (2pm)
$3000 Milwaukee -4.5 -110 (2pm)
$4000 FH Dallas Over 110 -103 (4:30pm)
$3000 Denver -1 -107 (10:30pm)
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Larry Ness
10* Heat +5
10* Reds -135
10* Islanders -110
8* Blue Jays -112
8* Celtics +8
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Dave Cokin
3% Toronto Maple Leafs (-165)
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Carmine Bianco
5% Maple Leafs in Regulation (3way) -102
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Ben Burns
10* clippers-5
9* maple leafs-165
10* blue jays-105
ADDED
9* bucks-4.5
9* kc-143
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Stitches---NY Post. Lost yesterday with the White Sox. Season record now 23-28.
Saturday's play is (20 units) on the Red Sox.
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MLB (Bob Balfe)
7:15 PM EST
Rotation # 911
Cubs -110 over Cardinals
Alzolay/Mikolas
Miles Mikolas makes his return after missing last season. At even money it’s not really a hard decision to go against a pitcher that has not pitched for a year and a half. Adbert Alzolay is a good young pitcher that always has his team in a position to win the game with their offense. Chicago got themselves a big win last night and I look for their bats to carry over that success into today’s games. Mikolas will more than likely show early rust. Take the Cubs.
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The Winners Circle – Saturday
MLB BASEBALL
Play New York Yankees -185 over Chicago White Sox (MLB)
Play Houston -175 over Texas (MLB)
NHL HOCKEY
Play Pittsburgh -105 over New York Islanders (NHL)
Play Vegas -110 over Minnesota (NHL)
NBA HOOPS
Play Brooklyn -8 over Boston (NBA)
Play Los Angeles Clippers -5 over Dallas (NBA)
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ASA
6*. Over Boston NBA,
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Accu Picks
NBA
3* #512 Denver -1
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Dave Price
6 Dbacks
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Lee Sterling ufc
Font
Dvorak
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Jesse Schule
Indians
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Aaa
Astros
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Feist
Gom
Heat
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Sean Murphy
10 Indians
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Bryan Powers
Royals
Indians
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Ricky Tran
Tigers +1.5
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Feist
Dbacks
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Will Rogers
Rays +1.5
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Sean Murphy
Late add rout
Nationals
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Scott Spreitzer
Astros RL -115 (5U)
Reds -160 F5 (3U)
Maple Leafs -180 (3U)
Sampdoria -130 (5U)
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Godfatherlocks
top rated 2000 unit picks
#1 - miami heat +5 (nba)
#2 - dallas mavericks +5.5 (nba)
#3 - cincinnati reds -145 (mlb)
#4 - minnesota twins +150 (mlb)
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Wayne Root
Chairman- Bucks
gold Standard- Dallas
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Vince Akins Spotsbook Breakers
MLB Big Plays 14-6 ytd [+1609]..(Lost Phillies yesterday)
MLB
Indians -160 - - - BIG PLAY
Diamondbacks -115
Mets/Marlins Under 7.5 [-110]
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ATS
6* Arizona
5* Rays
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Joe Williams - Vegasinsider NHL Team (Adding)
NHL Big Plays 32-11 ytd...(Lost Friday with Edmonton)
NHL
Vegas Golden Knights -115 - - - BIG PLAY #2
NHL Regular Plays
Toronto -185
Toronto/Montreal Under 5.5 [-115]
Vegas/Minnesota Over 5.5 [+105]
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Green Falcon Picks
CA Independiente - Colon de Santa Fe
Argentina, Copa de la Liga Profesional, 00:00 CET (May 23) / 6:00 PM ET
5.5 Units: Colon de Santa Fe 0 -113
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IC
7 - Portland +1
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Doug Upstone
NBA
3 - Los Angeles Clippers -5.5
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Jack Winningham
MLB
Atlanta over 9 1/2
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Marc Lawrence
Denver Nuggets
La Clippers
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Dave Cokin
3% Toronto Maple Leafs (-165)
3% Pittsburgh Pirates (+170) Keller/Wilson must start
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Vegas Sports Informer
4* Portland +1
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Pickswise Sports
Astros -167
Pirates/Braves Over 9.5
Padres -1.5
Toronto Maple Leafs -180
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The Sports Geek
Red Sox
Athletics
Rays/Blue Jays Over 9
Nets -8
Nets/Celtics Over 232
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Brandon Lang
150 Dime - Portland
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John Bollman
HOUSTON @ TEXAS | 05/22 | 4:05 PM EDT
HOUSTON -172
ANALYSIS: The Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 games while the Rangers are 2-8 in their last 10 games. Both teams have played close games the last two days so both bullpens are tired. However, the Astros have Lance McCullers Jr. starting and he is 3-1 with a 2.70 ERA. Most importantly, he has been pitching deep into games. Jordan Lyles is prone to giving up walks and home runs and I see that continuing with the way the Astros have been swinging the bats.
+208 22-16 IN LAST 38 TEX ML PICKS
2:02 PM
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Matt Severance
PITTSBURGH @ N.Y. ISLANDERS | 05/22 | 3:00 PM EDT
N.Y. ISLANDERS -114
ANALYSIS: Been in a bit of an NHL slump recently, including losing on the Islanders at home vs. Pittsburgh in Game 3. Awesome game, though. New York lost just four times in regulation at home during the regular season and I simply have a hard time believing it will lose back-to-back at Nassau Coliseum and fall down 3-1 in this series regardless of whom starts in net here. Pittsburgh was a mediocre road team in the regular season.
+2519 148-90 IN LAST 238 NHL PICKS
+395 9-4 IN LAST 13 NYI ML PICKS
+85 2-1 IN LAST 3 PIT ML PICKS
10:13 AM
MONTREAL @ TORONTO | 05/22 | 7:00 PM EDT
MONTREAL +1.5
ANALYSIS: I thought the Leafs had a decent chance of ending the longest Cup drought in the NHL. I no longer do if John Tavares is done for the playoffs, and he's out indefinitely after a brutal (but accidental) hit to the head in Game 1, which Montreal won 2-1. The Leafs seemed to never recover from losing Tavares in that game and I'm not sure they still have. Toronto may win Game 2, but I'll take the Habs on the puckline.
+2519 148-90 IN LAST 238 NHL PICKS
10:07 AM
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