Friday 5/7/21 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NBA, MLB & NHL games
Ben Burns
10* over-5-col-det
10* twins-135
10* astros-135
10* charlotte-7
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Elite Sports Picks
Houston (Urquidy) -140 over Toronto (Stripling)
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Insider Sports Report
4* Minnesota (Shoemaker)/Detroit (Skubal) OVER 9
Range: 8.5 to 9.5
3* Chicago Cubs (Davies) -135 over Pittsburgh (Cahill)
Range: -115 to -155
3* Phoenix -6 over New York (NBA)
Range: -4 to -8
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National Sports Service
4* Chicago White Sox (Rodon) -155 over Kansas City (Keller)
3* Baltimore (Harvey) +150 over Boston (Rodriguez)
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 05/07/21
4 Unit --> Houston (Urquidy) -140 over Toronto (Stripling)
3 Unit --> New Orleans +8.5 over Philadelphia (NBA)
3 Unit --> Orlando/Charlotte OVER 216 (NBA)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 05/07/21
5★ Chicago White Sox (Rodon) -155 over Kansas City (Keller)
3★ Orlando/Charlotte UNDER 216 (NBA)
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Matt Blunt - Vegasinsider
NHL Big Plays 22-9 Last 31...
NHL
Vegas -158 - - - BIG PLAY
Vegas - 1.5 goals [+155]
Philadelphia/Washington Under 6.5 goals [-123]
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Stitches--- NY Post. Lost with the Royals yesterday. Season record now 16-20.
Friday's play is the Mets
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Matt Snyder
STICK WITH WHAT WORKS
COLORADO @ ST. LOUIS | 05/07 | 8:15 PM GMT
ST. LOUIS -1.5
ANALYSIS: To get the -1.5 run line at +100 is beautiful, because this game just screams blowout. The Rockies are atrocious on the road (2-11 this season). They've even pitched worse on the road than in Coors Field. Cardinals starter Jack Flaherty has a 2.10 ERA since his bad opening day start and he's been nearly a run better at home than on the road throughout his career. It's difficult to see the Rockies staying within a run here. We said similar sentiment last week in taking the Cardinals on the run line and it worked. Stick with what works.
CINCINNATI @ CLEVELAND | 05/07 | 7:10 PM GMT
CLEVELAND -135
ANALYSIS: The Reds are 4-8 on the road this season. Their offense has slashed .202/.267/.333 while averaging just 2.92 runs per game away from Great American Ball Park this season. Cleveland starter Zach Plesac rebounded from some early struggles with 5 2/3 scoreless innings last time out and should deal with the Joey Votto-less (and maybe Nick Castellanos-less) Reds' offense. The Indians have seen Wade Miley recently and they dinged him for four runs in five innings in a win. They'll score just enough to win here.
WASHINGTON @ N.Y. YANKEES | 05/07 | 7:05 PM GMT
N.Y. YANKEES -1.5
ANALYSIS: Nationals starter Patrick Corbin hasn't been quite as bad as his numbers indicate, given that he's pitched well the last three times out. Still, he's no longer a power pitcher and the Yankees eat lefties up (.803 OPS vs. lefty starters this year). The Yankees' offense has scored at least six runs in four of their last six games. We trust them to win on the -1.5 run line due mostly to the offense, but also because Jameson Taillon has pitched much better than his surface-level stats indicate (his expected ERA per statcast, for example, is 2.91). The Yankees get back on their hot streak by a multi-run win.
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Larry Hartstein
MILWAUKEE @ MIAMI | 05/07 | 7:10 PM GMT
MIAMI -135
ANALYSIS: This is a reasonable price on the Marlins, who just outscored the Diamondbacks 20-4 in a three-game sweep. The Brewers limp into Miami on a five-game skid, as they continue to miss Christian Yelich. Marlins rookie lefty Trevor Rogers dominated the Brewers on April 26, tossing six scoreless innings with seven strikeouts. Miami's bullpen has been brilliant lately and enters Friday with the second-best ERA (3.34) in the National League. Look for the Marlins to win their fifth straight home game.
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Justin Perri
MILWAUKEE @ MIAMI | 05/07 | 7:10 PM EDT
MIAMI -135
ANALYSIS: Marlins starter Trevor Rogers is priced at -135 Friday, which is still too cheap. But at least oddsmakers are catching on a bit. This guy is a top-15 pitcher so far this season and I refuse to hear any objection. There are only five pitchers in the MLB with a better swinging-strike rate than him. That is some really good company. He already pitched six scoreless innings against the Brewers in Milwaukee, and now they face him in Miami as they try to stop a five-game slide. I think this is too tall a task, especially since Milwaukee has no starter and is going with a bullpen day. Play the Marlins on the money line and consider a first-five innings play as well.
COLORADO @ ST. LOUIS | 05/07 | 8:15 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS -1.5
ANALYSIS: I have been fading the Rockies on the road all year and Friday they get Jack Flaherty and the Cardinals. Flaherty has opposing hitters batting at 0.056 AVG on his fastball when at home and rocks a nasty put-away slider to back it up. I love this spot for him, so to be given close to even money (-1.5, -105) is the type of start to a Friday you want to see. The Rockies also normally lose by multiple runs, as 10 of their last 11 road losses have come by two or more runs.
SAN DIEGO @ SAN FRANCISCO | 05/07 | 9:45 PM EDT
SAN FRANCISCO +125
ANALYSIS: The Giants have been very good at home, winning 10 of 13 games. The Giants are also attempting to avoid a three-game losing streak after dropping the last two to the Coors-fueled Rockies. So with stud hurler Anthony DeSclafani taking the mound today I like their chances to bounce back and win the series opener. You are getting good value going against a name brand team in the Padres, who have actually been relatively cold the last week. San Diego is 24th in OPS the last 15 days while the Giants are sixth. Plus, only one team has scored fewer than the 17 runs the Padres produced in the last week (the Pirates with 12). Let’s take the plus money.
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Mike Barner
MINNESOTA @ MIAMI | 05/07 | 8:00 PM EDT
MINNESOTA +6
ANALYSIS: The Timberwolves are one of the teams with a bad record that is not resting their top players down the stretch. That’s helped them go 5-3 over their last eight games. All three of their losses came by four points or fewer, as well. Both Jimmy Butler (illness) and Tyler Herro (foot) are listed as questionable, so if either of them sits out, it would be a big loss for the Heat. Add in the Heat being just 11-15-1 ATS as a favorite at home, and I like taking the points.
MINNESOTA @ MIAMI | 05/07 | 8:00 PM EDT
MINNESOTA +6
ANALYSIS: The Timberwolves are one of the teams with a bad record that is not resting their top players down the stretch. That’s helped them go 5-3 over their last eight games. All three of their losses came by four points or fewer, as well. Both Jimmy Butler (illness) and Tyler Herro (foot) are listed as questionable, so if either of them sits out, it would be a big loss for the Heat. Add in the Heat being just 11-15-1 ATS as a favorite at home, and I like taking the points.
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Matt Severance
SEATTLE @ TEXAS | 05/07 | 8:05 PM EDT
SEATTLE +1.5
ANALYSIS: Not long ago, the Mariners were short favorites but now that has flipped, so Seattle is nice value as a +105 underdog at +1.5 on the runline. The Rangers start Mike Foltynewicz (1-3, 4.32), who is is 1-0 with a 3.12 ERA in his past three and still has nasty stuff. Very few Mariners have seen him. They go with Chris Flexen (2-1, 3.33) and even fewer Rangers have seen him. Seattle has won seven straight in this series (first meeting of year) and four straight games following an off day. Texas is destroying lefties but is 3-12 in its past 15 vs. a right-handed starter (which Flexen is).
BOSTON @ BALTIMORE | 05/07 | 7:05 PM EDT
BALTIMORE +1.5
ANALYSIS: There is a chance this game doesn't start on time due to rain but should get played eventually. The Orioles are decent value at -120 on the runline at home behind suddenly resurgent Matt Harvey (3-1, 4.06). The former Mets star has won three straight starts with a 3.24 ERA in that span. It's left Eduardo Rodriguez (4-0, 4.18) for Boston. He was knocked around last time out vs. Texas and also was a bit April 8 in Baltimore (5 IP, 3 ER). Batters are hitting .288 off him on the road compared to just .188 at Fenway Park this year. The Orioles are 4-1 in their past five vs. a lefty. Baltimore also has a small advantage in that it was off Thursday while Boston played in Detroit and used a lot of its bullpen.
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Larry Ness
signature 37 play 10* giants+136
Nba weekly wipeout 10* heat-6
Nba western conference showdown 9* jazz-4
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Ben Burns
ADDED:
9* pitt+1.5-160-mlb
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Scott Spreitzer
Diamondbacks +100 F5 (4U)
Reds U4 F5 +105 (3U)
Dodgers -155 (2U)
Avalanche -1.5 -115 (5U)
Real Salt Lake -110 (3U)
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Master Sports
NBA
3* #550 Chicago +4
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IC
Leicester City U3 -145 (3U)
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Green Falcon Picks
Monagas SC - Metropolitanos FC
Venezuela, Primera Division, 01:15 CET (May 8) / 7:15 PM ET
2 Units: Metropolitanos FC +0.25 +104
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IC
3 Wild -1.5 -120
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Elite Sports Picks
San Francisco (Gausman) +120 over San Diego (Musgrove)
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Insider Sports Report
4* Chicago White Sox (Lynn)/Kansas City (Lynch) OVER 8.5
Range: 8 to 9
3* Cleveland (Civale) -110 over Cincinnati (Castillo)
Range: +110 to -130
3* Houston (Javier) -145 over Toronto (Matz)
Range: -125 to -165
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National Sports Service
5* Houston (Javier) -145 over Toronto (Matz)
3* Tampa Bay (Glasnow) -145 over Oakland (Montas)
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Zack Cimini
PHILADELPHIA @ ATLANTA | 05/08 | 7:20 PM EDT
ATLANTA -160
ANALYSIS: The Phillies will be attempting to win six straight games for the first time since July 2018. Starting pitcher Vince Velasquez is coming off a dominant six-inning performance against the Brewers, but I'm concerned about his durability today. Velasquez has pitched beyond six innings just three times in his last 39 starts. I expect max usage from the Phillies bullpen today. Take the Braves run line.
TORONTO @ HOUSTON | 05/08 | 7:10 PM EDT
TORONTO +130
ANALYSIS: The Astros had 15 hits in yesterday’s 10-4 rout of the Blue Jays. Two other instances this season Houston had 15 or more hits and followed those games with two and three runs. Grab the Blue Jays, who are averaging 6.75 runs over their last eight games.
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 05/08/21
4 Unit --> N.Y. Yankees (Kluber) -125 over Washington (Scherzer)
3 Unit --> Chicago White Sox (Lynn)/Kansas City (Lynch) OVER 8.5
3 Unit --> Oklahoma City/Golden St. UNDER 224 (NBA)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 05/08/21
4★ Tampa Bay (Glasnow) -145 over Oakland (Montas)
3★ Denver +3 over Brooklyn (NBA)
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Stitches NY Post
Today he’s on Tampa 20 units
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JERSEY KID PICKS
1st Report
MLB
Nationals+115
Nationals U8
Nascar #18 Daniel Hemric +775
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Chris Jordan
Double Your Wager
2000♦
Double Digit Dominator
Golden State
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Vince Akins Spotsbook Breakers
NBA ATS Big Plays 27-9 Last 36..
NBA
76ers -10 [-120] - - - BIG PLAY
Nets/Nuggets Over 232
Spurs/Trailblazers Under 233
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The Sports Geek
MLB
White Sox -152
Indians -122
NHL
Nashville +120
Edmonton -1.5 goals
Florida/Tampa Bay Over 5.5
NY Islanders -1.5 goals
NBA
Nets -160 (Moneyline)
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Vince Akins Spotsbook Breakers
MLB Big Plays 5-2 Last 7 (+757)..
MLB
Padres -125 - - - BIG PLAY
Rays -131
Braves -155
Braves/Phillies Over 9
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Godfatherlocks
top rated 2000 unit picks
#1 - washington nationals +110 (mlb)
#2 - san diego padres -130 (mlb)
#3 - oakland athletics +120 (mlb)
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R & R TOTALS
Game: (573) Brooklyn Nets at (574) Denver Nuggets
Date/Time: May 8 2021 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Total Over 231.5 (-110)
Game: (929) Los Angeles Dodgers at (930) Los Angeles Angels
Date/Time: May 8 2021 9:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Total Over 8.5 (-115) C Kershaw (LHP), D Bundy (RHP) Must Start
Game: (71) St. Louis Blues at (72) Vegas Golden Knights
Date/Time: May 8 2021 10:08 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Total Under 5.5 (-110)
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R & R TOTALS
Game: (573) Brooklyn Nets at (574) Denver Nuggets
Date/Time: May 8 2021 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Total Over 231.5 (-110)
TOP NBA Over-Under
NOTE: Play to 234
Game: (929) Los Angeles Dodgers at (930) Los Angeles Angels
Date/Time: May 8 2021 9:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Total Over 8.5 (-115) C Kershaw (LHP), D Bundy (RHP) Must Start
TOP MLB Over-Under
NOTE: Play to 9
Game: (71) St. Louis Blues at (72) Vegas Golden Knights
Date/Time: May 8 2021 10:08 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Total Under 5.5 (-110)
TOP NHL Over-Under
NOTE: play 5.5 or better
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ALL MLB
Black widow
6 ( top play)
Tampa bay
Murphy
Toronto
La angels
Jack Jones
20
Tampa bay
Aaa
10 gom
Braves
Assassin
Twins
Benjamin
5
Giants
Tran
White sox
Power
Sf +1.5
Lundin
10
White sox -1.5
Feist
Cardinals -1.5
Giants +120
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