Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 8/13/20
MLB public betting, line movement for August 13
Patrick Everson
Chris Paddack and the Padres are in the midst of a solid shortened season, heading into a Thursday night clash with the Dodgers. Caesars opened host Los Angeles -140 and San Diego +130.
Thursday’s MLB schedule takes a little breather, with just six games, but MLB betting breaks for no one in a shortened season. Padres-Dodgers is the marquee matchup, as the NL West rivals wrap up their four-game series in Los Angeles.
Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s games.
MLB line movement
The NL West is proving quite competitive, as the Dodgers and Padres battle with the Rockies for the top spot. Los Angeles hopes to solve San Diego with a win in a 9:40 p.m. ET start. Caesars sportsbooks opened the Dodgers -140 to the Padres’ +130, and there was no line movement by late Wednesday night.
The Cubs took both games of a short midweek series at Cleveland and in fact are 8-1 in their last nine games, streaking to a 12-3 record, the best in the majors. With Yu Darvish going in a 7:15 p.m. ET contest, Chicago opened -178 home chalk against Milwaukee, with no movement Wednesday night at Caesars books.
Tampa Bay is on a five-game win streak entering Game 3 of a four-game set at Boston. Caesars pegged the Rays -154 favorites, with the Red Sox +144 in a 4:30 p.m. ET meeting.
MLB public betting
The Consensus showed early public support for the Cubs, who on Wednesday night were landing 60 percent of picks against the Brewers. The Rays were more popular, drawing 72 percent of early Consensus picks against the Red Sox.
951WASHINGTON -952 NY METS
WASHINGTON is 82-52 SU (26.5 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
953MILWAUKEE -954 CHICAGO CUBS
MILWAUKEE is 20-8 SU (12.7 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons.
955BALTIMORE -956 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 4-13 SU (-11.6 Units) vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game over the last 2 seasons.
957TAMPA BAY -958 BOSTON
BOSTON is 9-27 SU (-20.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
959PITTSBURGH -960 CINCINNATI
PITTSBURGH is 51-65 SU (-28.4 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
963SAN DIEGO -964 LA DODGERS
SAN DIEGO is 11-3 SU (7.7 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the current season.
Thursday, August 13
National League
Washington @ New York
Nationals (6-8):
Voth is 0-1, 2.70 in two starts this year; he is 1-1, 5.40 in three games (2 starts) vs New York.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: under 2-0
— Washington lost four of its last six games.
— Nationals won two of their first three road games.
— Under is 8-4 in their last 12 games.
Mets (8-11)
Peterson is 2-1, 3.78 in his first three MLB starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings:2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: under 2-1
— Mets lost nine of their last 14 games.
— Under is 7-5 in their last 12 games.
Pirates @ Reds
Pirates (3-13):
Williams is 0-3, 4.11 in three starts this year; he is 5-2, 2.93 in 12 games (9 starts) vs Cincinnati.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-3 Team in first 5 innings: 0-3
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: over 2-1
— Pirates lost 10 of their last 11 games.
— Pittsburgh is 0-6 in series openers.
— Under is 6-4-1 in their last 11 games.
Reds (8-10):
DeSclafani is 1-0, 0.00 (11 IP) in two starts this year; he is 2-6, 4.35 in 13 starts vs Pittsburgh.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: over 1-0-1
— Cincinnati won three of its last five games.
— Reds are 4-6 at home this season.
— Four of Reds’ last six games went over the total.
Brewers @ Cubs
Brewers (7-9):
Anderson is 0-1, 6.75 in two starts this year; he is 1-0, 2.25 in three starts against the Cubs.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-2 Totals: 1-1
— Milwaukee lost four of its last six games.
— Brewers are 5-3 on the road this season.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
Cubs (12-3):
Darvish is 2-1, 2.12 in three starts this year; he is 1-2, 2.32 in six starts vs Milwaukee.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: over 2-1
— Cubs won eight of their last nine games.
— Chicago won seven of eight home games.
— Under is 5-2-1 in their home games.
San Diego @ Los Angeles
Padres (11-8)
Paddack is 2-1, 3.18 in four starts this year; he is 1-1, 5.31 in four starts against the Dodgers.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0-3
Allowed run in first inning: 1-4 Totals: over 3-1
— San Diego won four of its last six games.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
Dodgers (12-7)
Urias is 1-0, 2.40 in three starts this year; he is 0-0, 1.76 in seven games (2 starts) vs San Diego.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: 1-1-1
— Dodgers lost three of their last five games.
— LA is 5-4 at home this season.
— Under is 11-4-1 in their last 16 games.
American League
Tampa Bay @ Boston
Rays (11-8):
Glasnow is 0-1, 5.91 in three starts this year; he is 1-1, 3.32 in four starts vs Boston.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: over 2-0-1
— Tampa Bay won six of its last seven games.
— Rays are 3-5 on the road.
— Under is 8-5-2 in their last 15 games.
Red Sox (6-12):
Bullpen game for Boston
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Red Sox won three of their last five games.
— Boston lost eight of its 11 home games .
— Under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games.
Interleague
Baltimore @ Philadelphia
Orioles (9-7):
Eshelman allowed two runs in four IP (57 PT) in his first ’20 start. He started four games for Baltimore LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0
— Orioles won their last four games.
— Baltimore won six of seven road games.
— Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games.
Phillies (5-8):
Former Oriole Arrieta allowed three hits in six scoreless innings in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0
— Philly is 5-8 in its first 11 games, 5-7 at home.
— Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.
__________________________________
Times scored in the first inning (road-home-total)
thru August 10
American League
Baltimore 3-7, 2-7= 4-14
Boston 1-7, 2-9= 3-16
Chicago 2-10. 3-8= 5-17
Indians 1-9, 2-8= 3-17
Tigers 2-6, 1-9= 3-15
Astros 1-9, 2-7= 3-16
Royals 3-9, 3-8= 6-17
Angels 2-10, 1-7= 3-17
Twins 3-9, 3-8= 6-17
Bronx 4-11, 3-5= 7-16
A’s 0-5, 4-12= 4-17
Mariners 2-8, 2-10= 4-18
Rays 1-6, 1-11= 2-17
Rangers 3-6, 1-9= 4-15
Blue Jays 3-14, 0-0= 3-14
National League
Arizona 2-10, 1-7= 3-17
Braves 1-9, 3-9= 4-18
Cubs 2-5, 1-8= 3-13
Reds 4-8, 4-8= 8-16
Rockies 0-8, 5-8= 5-16
Dodgers 3-9, 3-8= 6-17
Marlins 3-11, 0-0= 3-11
Brewers 1-8, 0-6= 1-14
Mets 1-8, 1-10= 2-18
Phillies 0-2, 1-9= 1-11
Pirates 2-8, 0-8= 2-16
Cardinals 0-2, 1-3= 1-5
Padres 0-7, 5-10= 5-17
Giants 1-12, 2-6= 3-18
Nationals 0-1, 3-12= 3-13
MLB
Thursday, August 13
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Trend Report
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Washington @ NY Mets
Washington
Washington is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Washington is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
NY Mets
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore @ Philadelphia
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Tampa Bay @ Boston
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 12 games when playing Tampa Bay
Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Milwaukee @ Chi Cubs
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Milwaukee's last 23 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Chi Cubs is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
San Diego @ LA Dodgers
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games
LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games at home
MLB
Dunkel
Thursday, August 13
Washington @ NY Mets
Game 951-952
August 13, 2020 @ 1:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Voth) 16.894
NY Mets
(Peterson 15.450
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-130
9
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+110); Under
Baltimore @ Philadelphia
Game 955-956
August 13, 2020 @ 4:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Eshelman) 17.352
Philadelphia
(Arrieta) 18.456
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-190
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-190); Under
Tampa Bay @ Boston
Game 957-958
August 13, 2020 @ 4:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Glasnow) 17.567
Boston
(Hart) 14.483
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-155
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-155); Under
Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati
Game 959-960
August 13, 2020 @ 5:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Williams) 15.152
Cincinnati
(DeSclfni) 14.097
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-180
9
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+160); Over
Milwaukee @ Chicago Cubs
Game 953-954
August 13, 2020 @ 7:15 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Anderson) 16.272
Chicago Cubs
(Darvish) 15.222
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-180
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+160); N/A
San Diego @ LA Dodgers
Game 963-964
August 13, 2020 @ 9:40 pm
Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Paddack) 15.940
LA Dodgers
(Urias) 17.751
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-140
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-140); Over
MLB
Long Sheet
Thursday, August 13
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WASHINGTON (6 - 8) at NY METS (8 - 11) - 1:10 PM
AUSTIN VOTH (R) vs. DAVID PETERSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
VOTH is 2-8 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 406-414 (-120.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 2-3 (+0.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)
AUSTIN VOTH vs. NY METS since 1997
VOTH is 1-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.608.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)
DAVID PETERSON vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.
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MILWAUKEE (7 - 9) at CHICAGO CUBS (12 - 3) - 7:15 PM
BRETT ANDERSON (L) vs. YU DARVISH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 130-95 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 91-78 (+18.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ANDERSON is 7-0 (+9.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ANDERSON is 12-4 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ANDERSON is 11-2 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ANDERSON is 8-0 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1886-1913 (-271.3 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 414-341 (-87.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1015-886 (-145.6 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 175-177 (-42.2 Units) against the money line in home games in August games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 928-955 (-202.4 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 915-831 (-152.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
DARVISH is 95-84 (-32.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DARVISH is 8-15 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-1 (+0.6 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)
BRETT ANDERSON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
ANDERSON is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)
YU DARVISH vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
DARVISH is 1-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.32 and a WHIP of 1.032.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)
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BALTIMORE (9 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 8) - 4:05 PM
TOM ESHELMAN (R) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 110-230 (-64.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 7-27 (-16.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 66-155 (-55.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 6-2 (+8.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 5-0 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-0 (+3.5 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)
TOM ESHELMAN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.
JAKE ARRIETA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
ARRIETA is 2-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 1.32 and a WHIP of 0.878.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)
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TAMPA BAY (11 - 8) at BOSTON (6 - 12) - 4:30 PM
TYLER GLASNOW (R) vs. KYLE HART (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 125-74 (+34.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 90-90 (-34.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 763-667 (-78.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 41-49 (-34.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 39-51 (-30.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 27-29 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 63-54 (-15.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 43-46 (-12.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 29-47 (-24.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-1 (+2.6 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)
TYLER GLASNOW vs. BOSTON since 1997
GLASNOW is 1-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.32 and a WHIP of 0.969.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)
KYLE HART vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.
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PITTSBURGH (3 - 13) at CINCINNATI (8 - 10) - 5:10 PM
TREVOR WILLIAMS (R) vs. ANTHONY DESCLAFANI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 10-32 (-18.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
DESCLAFANI is 39-27 (+17.9 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
WILLIAMS is 15-5 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 83-97 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 3-9 (-9.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 430-389 (-83.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
TREVOR WILLIAMS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
WILLIAMS is 5-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.03 and a WHIP of 1.144.
His team's record is 7-2 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.6 units)
ANTHONY DESCLAFANI vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
DESCLAFANI is 2-6 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.35 and a WHIP of 1.351.
His team's record is 4-9 (-5.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-7. (-2.0 units)
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SAN DIEGO (11 - 8) at LA DODGERS (12 - 7) - 9:40 PM
CHRIS PADDACK (R) vs. JULIO URIAS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 81-100 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 3-15 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 996-843 (-96.6 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-3 (+1.6 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)
CHRIS PADDACK vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
PADDACK is 1-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.31 and a WHIP of 1.082.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)
JULIO URIAS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
URIAS is 0-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.16 and a WHIP of 0.840.
His team's record is 1-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)