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Free Premium Service Plays For Friday 8/7/20

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(@shazman)
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Friday 8/7/20 handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NBA & NHL

 
Posted : August 7, 2020 10:26 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57370
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Mike Barner
NBA SPECIALIST
8:41 AM
OKLAHOMA CITY -4.5
OKLAHOMA CITY @ MEMPHIS | 8/07 | 4:00 PM EDT
It’s been an ugly restart to the season for the Grizzlies, who have lost all four of their games. They didn’t exactly play any world beaters, either, considering their losses came against the Trail Blazers, Spurs, Pelicans and Jazz. Their last two losses were both by at least nine points and they are shorthanded now with Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out. Meanwhile, the Thunder are coming off of a very impressive 19-point win against the Lakers on Wednesday. They have a stellar 25-9 record ATS at home or at a neutral location, so I’ll take them to cover once again.

105-63-3 IN LAST 171 NBA ATS PICKS | +3570
12-2 IN LAST 14 OKC ATS PICKS | +981

12-7 IN LAST 19 MEM ATS PICKS | +429

Sam Quinn
NBA JOURNALIST
8:30 AM
OKLAHOMA CITY -4.5
OKLAHOMA CITY @ MEMPHIS | 8/07 | 4:00 PM EDT
The Thunder have the best net rating in the bubble at +9.8. The Grizzlies have the fifth-worst at -5.8. The Thunder probably aren't quite as good as their shellacking of the Lakers suggests, and the Grizzlies probably aren't as bad as their 0-4 record suggests, but these are two teams trending in decidedly different directions, and a 4.5-point line is extremely generous considering the net rating gap of more than 15 points. The Grizzlies are without arguably their best player in Jaren Jackson Jr. They are also without the backup point guard that led the bench lineups that were actually winning them games before the shutdown in Tyus Jones. The Grizz are overvalued based on their regular season, and now is the time to take advantage.

16-9 IN LAST 25 NBA PICKS | +604
3-0 IN LAST 3 OKC ATS PICKS | +300

Tim Doyle
BIG TEN BALLER
8:27 AM
OKLAHOMA CITY -185
OKLAHOMA CITY @ MEMPHIS | 8/07 | 4:00 PM EDT
Full disclosure: I have bet against Memphis every game in this bubble, and we have to keep riding the wave. Losing Jaren Jackson Jr destroys this team. All signs point to the Grizzlies losing this 8th spot in the West. OKC has the best ATS in the NBA this year. This actually looks too easy, but that’s why I won’t lay points. Roll Thunder.

21-10-1 IN LAST 32 NBA PICKS | +1184
3-0 IN LAST 3 MEM ML PICKS | +301

Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
12:00 AM
OKLAHOMA CITY -3.5
OKLAHOMA CITY @ MEMPHIS | 8/07 | 4:00 PM EDT
The Grizzlies are in a free-fall and they just lost Jaren Jackson to a torn meniscus. Dating back to before the shutdown, Memphis has lost 11 of its last 15 straight-up. While OKC continues to play without Dennis Schroder, the Thunder are playing great defense and Chris Paul is elevating them. Lay it.

46-34-1 IN LAST 81 NBA PICKS | +864
39-24 IN LAST 63 MEM ATS PICKS | +1286

37-25 IN LAST 62 OKC ATS PICKS | +1010
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SDQL

OVER 8.5
COLORADO @ SEATTLE | 8/07 | 9:40 PM EDT
9:07 AM
The Rockies are 9-0 OU since May 14, 2018 in the first game of a series with no rest coming off a home game in which they scored in, at most, two separate innings. The average final score in these nine games has been 8.89 runs to 6.44 runs. The Mariners send Yusei Kikuchi to the bump tonight, and he has produced nothing but Overs in games that the oddsmakers rate close to a toss-up. Seattle is 14-0 OU in Kikuchi’s career when he starts and the line is within 30 cents of a pick'em. We are on the Over.

14-4 IN LAST 18 MLB PICKS | +941

HOUSTON +101
HOUSTON @ OAKLAND | 8/07 | 9:10 PM EDT
9:04 AM
In Zack Greinke’s last start, the Astros took a 4-3 lead into the bottom of the ninth, but lost 5-4 in extras. Houston has picked up its pitcher in this spot, going 10-0 SU in a series opener with no rest when blowing a lead in its starter's last start and lost. The Athletics, on the other hand, are 0-7 SU in the first game of a home series with no rest when their line is within 20 cents of pick'em, and they are off a home game in which they had more strikeouts than hits. Houston has the value at this price.

13-3 IN LAST 16 MLB ML PICKS | +956

MINNESOTA -153
MINNESOTA @ KANSAS CITY | 8/07 | 8:05 PM EDT
9:01 AM
The Royals are 0-14 SU at home off a home game when they blew a lead in their starters' last start and lost. Note that the Royals are 0-14 on the run line in this spot and they have lost by an average of 4.93 runs per game. Minnesota has been tough in series openers, going 14-0 SU in the first game of a series with no rest when they are coming off a game as a road favorite and facing a team that has a worse record. Also note that the Twins are 13-0 on the run line in this spot and they have won by an average of 5.57 runs. The Twins are the play.

13-3 IN LAST 16 MLB ML PICKS | +956
5-0 IN LAST 5 KC ML PICKS | +500

WASHINGTON -177
BALTIMORE @ WASHINGTON | 8/07 | 6:05 PM EDT
9:00 AM
The Orioles are 0-18 SU as an underdog in the first game of a road series with no rest when coming off a game as an underdog in which they allowed six-plus runs. Washington is 11-0 SU as a home 140+ favorite after a game in which it did not hit a home run, 15-0 SU as a 130+ favorite after drawing one or fewer walks, and 15-0 SU as a favorite by more than 125 off a home game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs, winning by an average of 4.80 runs per game. We are laying the price.

13-3 IN LAST 16 MLB ML PICKS | +956
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Tim Doyle

SAN ANTONIO -7.5
UTAH @ SAN ANTONIO | 8/07 | 1:00 PM EDT
9:44 AM
Even though the Jazz knocked off Memphis on Wednesday, I’m not buying in. Heck, everyone has knocked off Memphis in this bubble. Life without Bojan Bogdanović (out for season) is only going to get tougher for Utah, which also will rest four starters Friday -- including Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert. The Spurs are playing small ball and playing with nothing to lose. Go Pop’s squad!

21-10-1 IN LAST 32 NBA PICKS | +1184
__________________

McInnis Hockey

3% PL Situational Play
Game51) New York Islanders at (52) Florida Panthers
Date/Time: Aug 7 2020 12:08 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: New York Islanders -1.5 (+195)
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Tim Doyle

SACRAMENTO -4.5
SACRAMENTO @ BROOKLYN | 8/07 | 5:00 PM EDT
10:17 AM
I called the Kings' game Thursday vs. New Orleans for NBA TV, and Sacramento looked fabulous for the first time in the bubble. What a bounce-back effort. Banging 3's, sharing the ball and playing with swag. The Nets are a disaster, and the best thing that happen to this line is they beat the Bucks in a historic upset on Tuesday. I’d lay as much as 8 points in this game. Lock in now with the Kings.

21-10-1 IN LAST 32 NBA PICKS | +1184
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Larry Hartstein

MINNESOTA -153
MINNESOTA @ KANSAS CITY | 8/07 | 8:05 PM EDT
10:20 AM
Minnesota lefty Devin Smeltzer gets his first start of the season Friday at K.C., and he should be confident given how well he pitched against the Royals last season (six scoreless innings, two hits). Look for Minnesota to bounce back from its heartbreaking loss Thursday.

13-0 IN LAST 13 MLB PICKS | +1300
9-5 IN LAST 14 MIN ML PICKS | +347

4-3 IN LAST 7 KC ML PICKS | +42

TORONTO -2.5
BOSTON @ TORONTO | 8/07 | 9:00 PM EDT
10:03 AM
The Raptors are 24-4 over their last 28 games and playing better than any team in the bubble. With Boston up-and-down in the bubble thus far and coming off a 149-point outburst, I'll back consistent Toronto to cover this small number.

46-34-1 IN LAST 81 NBA PICKS | +864
61-37-1 IN LAST 99 BOS ATS PICKS | +2060

13-8-1 IN LAST 22 TOR ATS PICKS | +424
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SDQL

UTAH +8
UTAH @ SAN ANTONIO | 8/07 | 1:00 PM EDT
10:11 AM
The Spurs and Jazz have met twice so far this season and San Antonio won both. The Spurs, however, are an ugly 0-16 ATS (-11.03 ppg) at home when they won two straight vs. their opponent. San Antonio is technically the home team in the NBA bubble tonight. Utah is 6-0 ATS (+9.17 ppg) on the road off a home win and 6-0 ATS when Joe Ingles scored at least 15 more in their last game then he did two games ago, covering by an average of 17.1 ppg. We are on the Jazz.

10-6 IN LAST 16 NBA PICKS | +339
__________________

 
Posted : August 7, 2020 10:28 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57370
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Mike Anthony

Utah Jazz vs. San Antonio Spurs (NBA) - Aug 7, 2020 1:05 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -1.5/-110 San Antonio Spurs Rating: 1* NBA Comp

DeMar DeRozan is a smooth athlete that always finds ways to get buckets and get good looks, he will again be lighting it up against the Jazz here. DeRozan is better than the 14 pts that he put up vs the Grizz on 8.2.20 - and will show it off here - the Spurs never have hesitation going to him for big buckets, DeRozan will lead San Antonio. Utah has not been pushing the ball a lot - letting guys just mill around at times, and not hammer it down court all game long. Utah brings no pressure with their pacing and Donovan Mitchell hasn't been shooting like he was, at just around 38% since the restart. He has been playing as if he is no longer the team leader. San Antonio get a rare win here on Friday afternoon action as your FREE PLAY.
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Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Houston w/Greinke Pk over Oakland
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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Friday August 7, 2020

8/07 06:40 PM MLB (977) COLORADO ROCKIES VS (978) SEATTLE MARINERS

Take: (978) SEATTLE MARINERS
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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY: ST LOUIS (Flaherty) -130 over Chicago Cubs
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Roz Wins

Roz's FRIDAY, AUGUST 7, 2020 Free Pick

MLB
953. Yankees -1.05 (3:40 PT / 6:40 ET)
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Sharp Bettor
SharpBettor FREE Play FRIDAY, August 7, 2020

MLB
978. Mariners -1.05 (6:40 PT / 9:40 ET)
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Easy Money Sports

Lee's Free Early Friday Selection Is

OKLAHOMA CITY -3½
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Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Friday : PHILADELPHIA (Velasquez) Pick'em over Atlanta
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Golden Dragon

FREE WINNER for Friday

SD Lucchesi -120
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Arthur Ralph

Nationals w/ Sanchez-175
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The Last Call

Friday's Free Play: San Diego Padres - 120
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Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Friday: CINCINNATI Bauer) -125 over Milwaukee
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Kenny Towers

Your Free Pick for Friday: Oklahoma City/Memphis OVER 224
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Posted : August 7, 2020 11:47 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57370
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Bob Valentino

Friday freebie on the Thunder to continue to boom in the bubble as they take on the injured and fading Grizzlies.

OKC has impressed me in the return to hoops, as they play this late afternoon game having won 2 of their 3 with the lone loss coming in overtime to Denver.

Memphis lost Jaren Jackson Jr. to injury and they are now in danger of losing the 8th playoff spot in the conference standings thanks to 4 straight losses both straight up and against the spread. The overall skid is now at 5 in a row for the Grizzlies and I don't see it ending this afternoon.

The Thunder are bunched up for the 4th through 7th spot in the West, and while they have split the pair of regular season meetings prior to this afternoon's showdown, Oklahoma City has still won 8 of the last 10 meetings overall versus Memphis.

It sure looks to me like the Grizzlies are out of gas.

Go with the Thunder minus the points.

3* OKLAHOMA CITY
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Mitchell Newman

For Friday on the hardwood, going to lay the small chalk with the Toronto Raptors as they look to clinch the # 2 seed for the upcoming playoffs with a win over the puzzling Boston Celtics.

Toronto is the NBA's owner of the longest active win streak, as they have won and covered all 3 games in the reboot in the bubble in Orlando to run their straight up winning streak to 7 in a row with a 5-1-1 spread mark.

Boston enters this game as the # 3 seed in the East, but they have gone just 2-2 straight up in their 4 return games and are 1-2-1 in those 4 games.

The Celtics have shown very little cohesion since resuming play and Kemba Walker is still trying to heal up his injured knee as he missed the last game Boston played, but is expected to go tonight.

Boston has taken 2 of the 3 season series meetings straight up this year over the defending NBA Champs, but it is clear to me that Raptors coach Nick Nurse is among the best minds in the game currently and I expect Toronto to nail down the # 2 seed with the win and cover tonight.

Lay it with the Raptors.

4* TORONTO
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Chris Jordan

My free play for Friday is the Baltimore Orioles against the Washington Nationals, and if you're able to list pitchers, I want you listing only Tommy Milone.

The veteran left-hander is still looking for his first victory of the season, as he's 0-1 with a 5.63 ERA after struggling on Opening Day. He rebounded to pitch well in his second start, striking out eight over five innings of one-run ball against Tampa Bay, but didn't get the decision. He's struck out 13 in eight total innings.

Now he catches a Nationals team that has played just two games this month, after its series with the Miami Marlins was canceled due to coronavirus. Washington split two games with the Mets on Tuesday and Wednesday, and I'm going to be real critical of the Nats offense. In their first nine games, they've scored two or less runs in five of those games. They're averaging 3.33 runs per game, not something they're used to.

Baltimore may not be a better team overall, but its faced some stiff competition already, and is averaging 4.08 runs per game after 12 contests.

Let's take a shot with the road dog and list Milone only.

1* ORIOLES (With Milone)
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Jack Brayman

My free play is on the Columbus Blue Jackets over the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL playoff action.

Last night the Maple Leafs took a 3-0 lead in the second period, and then watched Columbus creep back into the game before winning in overtime and pushing the Leafs to the brink of elimination. Pierre-Luc Dubois got his third goal of the game 18:24 into overtime, and now the Jackets bring a 2-1 series lead into tonight.

Columbus' Joonas Korpisalo gave up all three Toronto goals and made 12 saves before he was pulled, while Elvis Merzlikins stopped all 21 shots he faced to help the Jackets.

What convinced me this series is over is watching the post-game press conference live over zoom, and seeing how dejected the Maple Leafs were, and then hearing coach Sheldon Keefe speak. It was more than the disappointed sentiments after blowing a lead, it sounded clearly as if Columbus had sucked the soul from this team.

Columbus has now won 14 of the past 23 meetings, and when it comes to playing back-to-back, the Jackets haven't been bad at all. The Jackets finished the 2019-20 campaign by going 10-4-2 in its final eight sets of back-to-backs (5-1-2 in first games and 5-3-0 in second games). They swept three back-to-backs (Dec. 16-17, Jan. 6-7 and Jan. 18-19).

With a chance to serve the knockout punch here, and the Maple Leafs deflated from one night earlier, I'll play the Jackets.

3* BLUE JACKETS
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Football Jesus

FREE pick for FRI NBA , is Raptors -pts
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Posted : August 7, 2020 11:49 am
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Posts: 57370
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Bill Marzano

OVER 6.5
EDMONTON @ CHICAGO | 8/07 | 6:45 PM EDT
11:36 AM
The Chicago Blackhawks are a win from stunning the Edmonton Oilers in this best-of-5 series, and if the Oilers do not start playing better defensively the Hawks are going to pull off another upset. Neither team's netminders are playing well as they are getting peppered with shots and allowing a ton of goals in the process. Both clubs are loaded with offense, too. The Over has cashed in all three meetings and seen a total of 26 goals. The Oilers will come out firing as this has all the makings for another high-scoring affair.

4-0 IN LAST 4 NHL PICKS | +530

CHI. CUBS -125
CHI. CUBS @ ST. LOUIS | 8/07 | 8:15 PM EDT
11:32 AM
These are very important division games, and the Cubs could be catching the Cardinals at just the right time. The Cards return from a long layoff due to a COVID-19 outbreak and will be without a few starters; they are rusty and not in game shape. The Cubs had their six-game winning streak come to an end with a thud Thursday vs. the Royals, but this looks like a great spot to bounce back. Jon Lester has been sensational this year with an 0.80 ERA, and the Cubs should get him some runs vs. Daniel Ponce de Leon, who is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA. The Cards have dropped six straight games as dogs.

13-7 LAST 20 MLB SIDES | +329

L.A. DODGERS -1.5
SAN FRANCISCO @ L.A. DODGERS | 8/07 | 9:40 PM EDT
11:29 AM
The Dodgers are the superior team with the better starter. The Giants' Jeff Samardzjia has been hit hard in both his starts this year, allowing five runs in each outing with an ERA approaching double digits. He is just 3-5 in his career vs the Dodgers. L.A. lefty Julio Urias is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and has held the opposing Giants hitters to a combined .173 BA but will be looking for his first career W vs. SF. Look for Mookie Betts to be back in the starting lineup after missing several starts. The Giants have dropped six of their last seven in Game 1 of a series. Take L.A. at -140 on runline.

8-4 IN LAST 12 MLB ATS PICKS | +332
3-0 IN LAST 3 LAD ATS PICKS | +300
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Buster Sports

3% Islanders-Panthers over 5 (-125)
2% Predators -130
__________________

 
Posted : August 7, 2020 11:54 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57370
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King of the Court (The Swami)

Thunder/Grizzlies Under 222.5
__________________

Master Sports

NBA
3* New Orleans -7.5
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Adam Goodwyn

MILWAUKEE +101
CINCINNATI @ MILWAUKEE | 8/07 | 8:10 PM EDT
12:42 PM
My model likes the Brewers to win today against the Reds 52.57 percent of the time. I would take any spread above +100 here. At +100, you are getting a solid edge on a team that is heading in the right direction even with Lorenzo Cain opting out. I like the Brewers as the value play.

3-0 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +385

HOUSTON +115
HOUSTON @ OAKLAND | 8/07 | 9:10 PM EDT
12:40 PM
Zack Greinke hasn't been fully himself yet this year, but my model likes the Astros to win 50.27 percent of the time. I would take anything over +110 for the Astros. A +110 spread translates roughly to a 48 win percentage, so at +115 you are getting an even better deal, in the 3 to 5 percent edge. Take the Astros.

3-0 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +385
2-1 IN LAST 3 OAK ML PICKS | +68

TEXAS +150
L.A. ANGELS @ TEXAS | 8/07 | 9:05 PM EDT
12:37 PM
My model likes the Rangers to win this game 46.87 percent of the time. I would take anything over +140 for the Rangers here. A +150 moneyline translates to a win percentage 42 percent. My model sees a 3 to 4 percent edge. Take the value on the Rangers, as they finally get the timely hit to take home a W.

3-0 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +385
3-1 IN LAST 4 LAA ML PICKS | +283
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Gianni the Greek

NHL
Game: (53) Nashville Predators at (54) Arizona Coyotes
Date/Time: Aug 7 2020 2:38 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 5.5 (+115)

NHL
Game: (55) Pittsburgh Penguins at (56) Montreal Canadiens
Date/Time: Aug 7 2020 4:08 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 5.5 (-125)

NHL
Game: (57) Toronto Maple Leafs at (58) Columbus Blue Jackets
Date/Time: Aug 7 2020 8:08 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 5.5 (-125)
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marco dangelo

Game967) Cincinnati Reds at (968) Milwaukee Brewers
Date/Time: Aug 7 2020 8:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Milwaukee Brewers +100

4% MILWAUKEE +100
__________________

 
Posted : August 7, 2020 3:48 pm
(@neversplitaces)
Posts: 171
Estimable Member
 

I'm a long time avid follower and supporter of this site/forum, and absolutely love what you do, but don't have the vocabulary to express my gratitude for the work involved and daily grind you guys(especially Shazman) put forth into this. I will send a reply on rare occasions but wanted to send one here in regards to helping.
Like most of you, I've been away from the gambling scene for awhile and just recently started back. I've noticed in the past few days, like today, that either the premium and free plays aren't posted or they are partially posted. To make a long story longer, I'd like to offer any help needed on given days to help get all material out. I have been furloughed from work and have the time right now to help if I can and if it's needed. Please let me know and I can forward you my contact info. Thanks again for everything all of you do.

 
Posted : August 8, 2020 9:03 pm
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