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Free Premium Service Plays For Thursday 8/6/20

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(@shazman)
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Thursday 8/6/20 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NBA & NHL games

 
Posted : August 6, 2020 7:57 am
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Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
YESTERDAY 7:41 PM

L.A. CLIPPERS -4
L.A. CLIPPERS @ DALLAS | 8/06 | 6:30 PM EDT
My projection model loves the Clippers as a short chalk Thursday against the Mavericks. I've got Los Angeles winning this game by an average of 12 points and covering the number a whopping 70 percent of the time. History suggests this is a great spot: The Clippers are on a 4-1 ATS run in the series and also have gone 21-6 ATS following a straight-up loss.

29-7 IN LAST 36 NBA PICKS | +2128
21-12 IN LAST 33 DAL ATS PICKS | +804

11-4 IN LAST 15 LAC ATS PICKS | +656
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Mike McClure

PGA Championship

The projected top 10, according to the model:

1. Rory McIlroy (8-1)
2. Jon Rahm (11-1)
3. Justin Thomas (12-1)
4. Bryson DeChambeau (10-1)
5. Patrick Cantlay (18-1)
6. Tyrell Hatton (50-1)
7. Xander Schauffele (22-1)
8. Collin Morikawa (22-1)
9. Hideki Matsuyama (33-1)
10. Gary Woodland (40-1)
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Posted : August 6, 2020 7:59 am
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Bob Valentino
On ice this Thursday night for my free play as I see the Under trend in the Toronto-Columbus series continuing for one more game.

In Game One of this best-of-five series, the Blue Jackets blanked the Maple Leafs by a 2-0 score in a game they easily held Under the total.

Game Two was another Under, only this time it was the Maple Leafs that did the blanking, defeating the Blue Jackets by a 3-0 final tally.

Two games played, two games Under the total.

For Toronto, that makes it a 6-1 Under run their last 7 with each of their last 5 skates dating back to the restart landing Under the total.

Meanwhile, Columbus is also on a 6-1 Under run for their last 7 games, each of their last 5 also holding Under the posted price!

Throw in the fact the series Under stands at 4-1 and 5-2-2 overall Under the total the last 9 times the teams have faced-off and I think there is a strong chance this third game of the series will also see few goals scored.

Maple Leafs-Blue Jackets Under.

4* TORONTO-COLUMBUS UNDER
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Posted : August 6, 2020 9:45 am
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Strike Point Sports

​PGA Tour 8-Unit Play Adam Scott (+120) over Matt Fitzpatrick
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Vernon Croy

8-Unit Play - #7949 Webb Simpson -120 over Hideki Matsuyama for the PGA Championship Tournament
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baseball33

#1 : New York Yankees -1.5

# 2 : Cincinnati Reds
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Posted : August 6, 2020 9:55 am
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Bill Marzano

MINNESOTA -1.5
MINNESOTA @ PITTSBURGH | 8/06 | 1:35 PM EDT
10:30 AM
The Twins are 10-2, their best 12-game start in team history, and enter this one on a six-game win streak. Pittsburgh has lost seven in a row. Kenta Maeda is 2-0 and has allowed just five hits in 11 innings. He'll shut down a Pirates team batting .189. Play Minnesota -1.5 runs at -130.

15-6 IN LAST 21 MLB PICKS | +701
NEW ORLEANS -4.5
NEW ORLEANS @ SACRAMENTO | 8/06 | 1:30 PM EDT
10:23 AM
The Kings are 0-3 in the bubble and will have a hard time slowing down the Pelicans as long as Zion Williamson plays 30 minutes. Sacramento allowed Dallas to shoot a whopping 50 free throws. Lay the points.

3-1 IN LAST 4 NBA ATS PICKS | +190
6-2 IN LAST 8 NO ATS PICKS | +382

3-2-1 IN LAST 6 SAC ATS PICKS | +80
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SDQL

UNDER 227.5
L.A. LAKERS @ HOUSTON | 8/06 | 9:00 PM EDT
10:12 AM
The Rockets are off a 110-102 loss to the Blazers in which James Harden was Houston's high scorer with 23 points to go along with nine assists and four turnovers. This activates a nice key-player indicator, as Houston is 0-14 OU (-9.46 ppg) off a loss as a favorite in which Harden was the team's high scorer and committed fewer than 10 turnovers. Also, the Rockets are 0-15 OU off a loss as a road favorite when they are facing a team that has averaged at least 24 assists per game. Russell Westbrook is questionable for Houston.

8-3 IN LAST 11 NBA O/U PICKS | +470

UNDER 229.5
INDIANA @ PHOENIX | 8/06 | 4:00 PM EDT
10:09 AM
Indiana is 0-9 OU (-15.56 ppg) with less than two days rest off a win as a dog after a win in which it never trailed, 0-9 OU (-16.17 ppg) off a double-digit win as a dog in which it scored at least 15 points more in the first than in the second half, and 0-8 OU (-16.00 ppg) on the road after a game as a home dog in which it scored at least 30% of its points from deep. Phoenix was 17-of-31 from the arc in its upset win over the Clippers on Tuesday, but this is an Under indicator, as the Suns are 0-13 OU at "home" after a win in which they made at least half of their threes with more than 12 as long as the OU total is at least 200.

8-3 IN LAST 11 NBA O/U PICKS | +470
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Mike Barner

L.A. CLIPPERS -4.5
L.A. CLIPPERS @ DALLAS | 8/06 | 6:30 PM EDT
10:51 AM
The Mavericks haven’t played particularly well within the bubble. They lost their first two games, which included a defeat at the hands of the Suns. They did beat the Kings on Tuesday, but it was only a four-point victory. Further complicating matters Thursday is that Seth Curry (leg) is doubtful. He’s been a key scorer for them this season. The Clippers are looking to bounce back from a loss of their own to the Suns and have the benefit of Lou Williams being back in action. The Clippers are trying to cling to the second seed in the West, so minute limitations should not be an issue. I like them to win and cover.

103-63-3 IN LAST 169 NBA ATS PICKS | +3370
6-4-1 IN LAST 11 DAL ATS PICKS | +155

2-1 IN LAST 3 LAC ATS PICKS | +91

HOUSTON +1.5
L.A. LAKERS @ HOUSTON | 8/06 | 9:00 PM EDT
10:37 AM
The Lakers played Wednesday in what turned out to be a blowout loss to the Thunder. They have already clinched the top seed in the Western Conference, so don’t be surprised if they rest a player or two here. At best, we could be looking at limited minutes for LeBron James and/or Anthony Davis. Meanwhile, the Rockets are coming off of a disappointing loss to the Blazers and could use a win here now that they have fallen into a tie for the sixth seed. Russell Westbrook is questionable with a bruised quad, but all indications are that the injury is minor, so he could play. Given the potential rest situation for the Lakers, I’ll take the points.

103-63-3 IN LAST 169 NBA ATS PICKS | +3370
12-6-1 IN LAST 19 LAL ATS PICKS | +535

5-2 IN LAST 7 HOU ATS PICKS | +280
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Larry Hartstein

DENVER +4
PORTLAND @ DENVER | 8/06 | 8:00 PM EDT
10:44 AM
The Nuggets have beaten Portland in all three meetings this season and have taken nine of 10 overall. True, Portland is healthier now and looking dangerous. But with Michael Porter Jr. and Nikola Jokic playing at a high level, Denver should at least take this one to the wire if not win outright.

44-32-1 IN LAST 77 NBA PICKS | +884
38-27-3 IN LAST 68 DEN ATS PICKS | +835

21-14 IN LAST 35 POR ATS PICKS | +560

HOUSTON +1.5
L.A. LAKERS @ HOUSTON | 8/06 | 9:00 PM EDT
10:39 AM
The Lakers have no motivation to go all-out and it's showing. Houston, on the other hand, is in a prime bounceback spot after the Rockets got ambushed by Portland following their 2-0 bubble start. Take the points.

44-32-1 IN LAST 77 NBA PICKS | +884
14-11-1 IN LAST 26 LAL ATS PICKS | +186
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gregnbaplays

Sacramento Kings - New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans -4.5
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teamronaldinho

Europa League – Play Offs
Wolves – Olympiacos Piraeus
Wolves Over 1.5 GOALS @ 2.10
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Posted : August 6, 2020 11:15 am
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Rocky Atkinson / Rocketman sports

5% play Milwaukee-9.5
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Brian Bitler

9* MLB Investment

Blue Jays

Nate Pearson looked serviceable in his first outing where he went 5 innings and gave up no runs against the Nationals. Touki Toussaint got hit around in his start a little bit and I believe the Jays are a hungry young team that we still are getting very good value with early on this season. Jays sitting at 4-5 need wins and need them in a hurry in this ultra compressed 60 game season. Invest 9 units on the Jays here rotation #915
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Erin Rynning

Pacers-Suns over 229.5
Clippers-Mavs over 228
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Ian Cameron

Winnipeg Jets +141
Winnipeg-Calgary over 5.5 +116

Half unit plays:
Vancouver +108 (29) (Source: Pinnacle)
Vancouver/Minnesota Over 5.5 +114 (30) (Source: BetOnline)
St. Louis -102 (32) (Source: Pinnacle)
Toronto/Columbus Over 5.5 +123 (24) (Source: Pinnacle)
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Josh Nagel

47-30 last 77 NBA

Sacramento +4.5
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John Bollman

22-15 last 37 MLB

Twins -1.5
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Wayne Root
Inner circle - white Sox
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Football Jesus

NBA THUR , OVER total Clippers/Mavs
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Nick Borman

Game: Rangers at Bayer Leverkusen
Date/Time: Aug 6 2020 12:55 PM EDT
Play Rating: 4%Play: Bayer Leverkusen -0.75 (-120)
TAKE LEVERUKUSEN -0.75
Line Parameter: 4% to -1.0, but pay up to -140 to get -0.75
Correct Score: 0.25% Leverkusen 3-1 Rangers (+750) and 0.25% Leverkusen 3-1 Rangers (+1100)

Game: Olympiakos at Wolverhampton
Date/Time: Aug 6 2020 3:00 PM EDT
Play Rating: 4%Play: Wolverhampton -0.75 (-110)
TAKE WOLVERHAMPTON TO WIN (ML or -0.5)
Line Parameter: 4% at -0.75 up to -130
Correct Score: 0.25% Wolves 2-0 Olympiakos (+650) and 0.25% Wolves 2-1 Olympiakos (+750)

Game: Minnesota United at Orlando City SC
Date/Time: Aug 6 2020 8:00 PM EDT
Play Rating: 3%Play: Both Teams to Score YES (-150)
TAKE BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Line Parameter: 3% to -170
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Accu Picks

MLB
3* Orioles +120
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Gianni the Greek

NBA
Game: (777) Miami Heat at (778) Milwaukee Bucks
Date/Time: Aug 6 2020 4:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Milwaukee Bucks -8.5 (-110)
NBA
Game: (785) Los Angeles Lakers at (786) Houston Rockets
Date/Time: Aug 6 2020 9:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Los Angeles Lakers -120

ALL BASEBALL PLAYS

MLB
Game: (901) Minnesota Twins at (902) Pittsburgh Pirates
Date/Time: Aug 6 2020 1:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (+115)
MLB
Game: (903) San Francisco Giants at (904) Colorado Rockies
Date/Time: Aug 6 2020 3:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: San Francisco Giants +1.5 (-120)

MLB
Game: (909) Cincinnati Reds at (910) Cleveland Indians
Date/Time: Aug 6 2020 6:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Total Under 4.0 (-125)
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McInnis Hockey

4% NHL Side
Game(25) Washington Capitals at (26) Philadelphia Flyers
Date/Time: Aug 6 2020 4:08 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Washington Capitals -110
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Posted : August 6, 2020 2:01 pm
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