Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 8/6/20
MLB public betting, line movement for August 6
Patrick Everson
Aaron Judge has been on fire so far in the shortened season, with seven homers through 11 games. Judge and the Yankees are -151 favorites against the Phillies on Thursday night.
MLB betting odds hit the board and drew some early dollars for Thursday’s matchups. The Yankees wrap up their four-game home set against the Phillies, while the defending American League champion Astros aim to avoid falling back to .500.
Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s contests.
MLB line movement
Aaron Judge has already pounded out seven home runs through 11 games, helping the Yankees to a 9-2 start, including a split of Wednesday’s doubleheader against the Phillies. New York opened -155 at Caesars books for a 6:05 p.m. ET first pitch, with Philadelphia +145 late Wednesday evening, and the line moved to -151/+141 within a few minutes.
The Astros gave up two touchdowns Wednesday in absorbing a 14-7 shelling from the Diamondbacks. For Thursday’s 7:07 p.m. ET start, Houston opened -133 and dropped to -123 within about an hour Wednesday night, with Arizona +113. And the always-popular Cubs, out of the gate with a 9-2 record, opened -170 and dialed back a tick to -166 against the struggling Royals (+153) in another 7:07 p.m. ET game.
MLB public betting
In the Consensus, no team is getting more early love than the Cubs, landing 85 percent of the picks against the Royals. But the Yankees aren’t far behind at 82 percent against the Phillies.
901MINNESOTA -902 PITTSBURGH
MINNESOTA is 8-1 SU (6.9 Units) against right-handed starters in the current season.
903SAN FRANCISCO -904 COLORADO
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-11 SU (12.9 Units) in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
905TEXAS -906 OAKLAND
TEXAS are 2-10 SU (-11.6 Units) in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons.
905TEXAS -906 OAKLAND
CHRIS WOODWARD is 2-10 SU (-9 Units) in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better (Coach of TEXAS)
907LA ANGELS -908 SEATTLE
LA ANGELS are 15-4 SU (10.6 Units) after 9 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 2 seasons.
909CINCINNATI -910 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 39-20 SU (17 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.
915TORONTO -916 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 69-65 SU (-2.5 Units) in home games against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.
917CHICAGO CUBS -918 KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 1-11 SU (-11.1 Units) in home games against NL Central opponents in the last 3 seasons.
919HOUSTON -920 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 33-14 SU (17.6 Units) in home games as an underdog of +100 or higher in the last 3 seasons.
921MILWAUKEE -922 CHI WHITE SOX
MILWAUKEE is 24-28 SU (-16 Units) in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.
925NY YANKEES -926 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 72-114 SU (-50 Units) vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse since 1996.
927BALTIMORE -928 MIAMI
BALTIMORE is 22-48 SU (-23.4 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%) in the last 3 seasons.
MLB
Dunkel
Thursday, August 6
Minnesota @ Pittsburgh
Game 901-902
August 6, 2020 @ 1:35 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Maeda) 17.310
Pittsburgh
(Burbaker) 13.790
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 3 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-200
9
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-200); Under
San Francisco @ Colorado
Game 903-904
August 6, 2020 @ 3:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Anderson) 17.405
Colorado
(Freeland) 16.552
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-200
12 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+170); Over
Texas @ Oakland
Game 905-906
August 6, 2020 @ 3:40 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Minor) 14.257
Oakland
(Fiers) 17.141
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-150
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-150); Under
LA Angels @ Seattle
Game 907-908
August 6, 2020 @ 4:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Bundy) 14.337
Seattle
(Walker) 15.292
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-170
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+150); Over
NY Yankees @ Philadelphia
Game 925-926
August 6, 2020 @ 6:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Mntgmery) 17.361
Philadelphia
(Eflin) 15.535
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-150
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-150); Over
Cincinnati @ Cleveland
Game 909-910
August 6, 2020 @ 6:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Castillo) 14.025
Cleveland
(Carrasco) 15.821
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-120
8
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-120); Under
Chicago Cubs @ Kansas City
Game 917-918
August 6, 2020 @ 7:07 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Chatwood) 16.070
Kansas City
(Keller) 12.503
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 3 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-170
9
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-170); Under
Houston @ Arizona
Game 919-920
August 6, 2020 @ 7:07 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Bielak) 14.776
Arizona
(Gallen) 15.998
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+115); Over
Toronto @ Atlanta
Game 915-916
August 6, 2020 @ 7:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Pearson) 17.478
Atlanta
(Toussaint) 16.474
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-130
9
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+110); Over
Baltimore @ Miami
Game 927-928
August 6, 2020 @ 7:35 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(LeBlanc) 15.732
Miami
(Yamamoto) 17.446
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
N/A
Milwaukee @ Chicago White Sox
Game 921-922
August 6, 2020 @ 8:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Lindblom) 16.331
Chicago White Sox
(Gonzalez) 15.296
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-130
9
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+110); Under
MLB
Thursday, August 6
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Trend Report
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Minnesota @ Pittsburgh
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing Minnesota
San Francisco @ Colorado
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas @ Oakland
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games
Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Texas
LA Angels @ Seattle
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 8 games
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Seattle's last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
NY Yankees @ Philadelphia
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
NY Yankees is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Cincinnati @ Cleveland
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Houston @ Arizona
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Houston
Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
Chi Cubs @ Kansas City
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games on the road
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Toronto @ Atlanta
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Baltimore @ Miami
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing Miami
Baltimore is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Milwaukee @ Chi White Sox
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee