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Free Premium Service Plays For Saturday 8/1/20

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(@shazman)
Posts: 57403
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Saturday 8/1/20 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NBA & NHL games.

 
Posted : August 1, 2020 8:46 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57403
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Kyle Marley

UFC

Over the past 16 months, $100 bettors who have followed Marley's picks are up nearly $20,000!

Marley has hit 15 of his last 16 UFC main event picks, a stretch that includes five consecutive upsets! At UFC Fight Night last Saturday, he accurately picked a win for Robert Whittaker (-135) against Darren TIll (+115) in the middleweight main event. He also called a win for Mauricio Rua (-200) over Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (+175) in the co-main event.

Edmen Shahbazyan (-320) vs. Derek Brunson (+260): Shahbazyan via TKO

I like Shahbazyan and I believe the UFC does, too. I think he could be a title contender in the next year or two, and this is the third time the UFC has booked this fight. It seems like they want another big win for him and Brunson could be a good name for his resume. Brunson isn't a bad fighter -- he is a solid striker and wrestler -- but he is very hittable. Shahbazyan probably has the edge everywhere in this fight other than experience. With five rounds to work with, he is going to test Brunson's chin and I think he puts him away at some point.

Joanne Calderwood (-180) vs. Jennifer Maia (+160): Calderwood by decision

Calderwood is passing up on a title shot to take this fight on short notice. If she loses, she is going to regret that decision, but I think this is a good match for her to get a paycheck and a bit more experience before she rebooks the match with Valentina Shevchenko. I expect Calderwood to be faster, sharper and more active. She'll be landing the harder shots and is the better wrestler as well. I think she is better everywhere and I don't think she would take a last-minute fight and risk her title shot if she wasn't in shape.

Vicente Luque (-180) vs. Randy Brown (+160): Luque via submission

I think Luque is better and more dangerous everywhere. The issue is that he looks like he could be on the decline because he has taken a lot of punishment the last couple years. Brown is going to have the size and reach advantage on the feet. Luque doesn't go for takedowns often, so maybe the fight stays standing. The worry is that Brown can maybe keep it close on the feet or put him away. I would still say Luque is the better and more dangerous striker and I think he has a huge edge on the ground if he looks to get it there.
__________________

Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST

MON 7/27

OVER 5.5
N.Y. RANGERS @ CAROLINA | 8/01 | 12:00 PM EDT
My model has the goal total going Over 5.5 in almost 60 percent of the simulations. Defense normally reigns supreme in the Stanley Cup Playoffs, but the Hurricanes will have a tough time keeping the Rangers off the scoreboard. New York ranked fourth in the Eastern Conference during the regular season with 234 goals while C Mika Zibanejad finished fifth in the league with a career-high 41 tallies. Carolina also will be without Ds Dougie Hamilton (undisclosed) and Brett Pesce (shoulder), likely for the entire series.

4-1 IN LAST 5 NHL PICKS | +290
__________________

Bill Marzano

PITTSBURGH -165
MONTREAL @ PITTSBURGH | 8/01 | 8:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:02 PM
The Penguins are a very experienced team and healthy now after having nine players test positive for COVID-19. Pittsburgh went 2-1-0 against Montreal this season - winning the final two meetings - and still is loaded, with Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin and D Kris Letang leading the way. The Penguins have two solid goaltenders and allowed the fifth-fewest shots per game and fourth-fewest power-play goals in the NHL. Montreal won only four of its last 14 games prior to the stoppage, but it does have Carey Price in net, and he always gives his team a chance to win. The Penguins had a plus-28 goal differential on the season, while the Canadiens were minus-9. Look for this veteran Pittsburgh team to take care of business.

10-3 IN LAST 13 NHL ML PICKS | +593
3-0 IN LAST 3 MON ML PICKS | +316

6-3 IN LAST 9 PIT ML PICKS | +273

EDMONTON -152
CHICAGO @ EDMONTON | 8/01 | 3:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 12:51 PM
This is a matchup of offense versus defense, and the edge goes to the Oilers. Leon Draisaitl (110 points) and Connor McDavid (97) were first and second in the league in scoring. Edmonton was No. 1 on the power play and second on the penalty kill. The Oilers have two solid goaltenders in Mike Smith and Mikko Koskinen, although whenever you have Patrick Kane, Jonathan Toews and D Duncan Keith, you have a chance - but that’s it. Chicago can score, but G Corey Crawford missed significant time getting ready due to testing positive for Covid-19. Chicago allowed a league-high 35.1 shots per contest and collapsed in the third period this season, allowing the fifth-most goals in the NHL.

10-3 IN LAST 13 NHL ML PICKS | +593
4-3 IN LAST 7 CHI ML PICKS | +39
__________________

Kyle Marley

UFC

Edmen Shahbazyan (-320) vs. Derek Brunson (+260): Shahbazyan via TKO

I like Shahbazyan and I believe the UFC does, too. I think he could be a title contender in the next year or two, and this is the third time the UFC has booked this fight. It seems like they want another big win for him and Brunson could be a good name for his resume. Brunson isn't a bad fighter -- he is a solid striker and wrestler -- but he is very hittable. Shahbazyan probably has the edge everywhere in this fight other than experience. He is going to test Brunson's chin and I think he puts him away at some point.

Joanne Calderwood (-180) vs. Jennifer Maia (+160): Calderwood by decision

Calderwood is passing up on a title shot to take this fight on short notice. If she loses, she is going to regret that decision, but I think this is a good match for her to get a paycheck and a bit more experience before she rebooks the match with Valentina Shevchenko. I expect Calderwood to be faster, sharper and more active. She'll be landing the harder shots and is the better wrestler as well. I think she is better everywhere and I don't think she would take a last-minute fight and risk her title shot if she wasn't in shape.

Vicente Luque (-180) vs. Randy Brown (+160): Luque via submission

I think Luque is better and more dangerous everywhere. The issue is that he looks like he could be on the decline because he has taken a lot of punishment the last couple years. Brown is going to have the size and reach advantage on the feet. Luque doesn't go for takedowns often, so maybe the fight stays standing. The worry is that Brown can maybe keep it close on the feet or put him away. I would still say Luque is the better and more dangerous striker and I think he has a huge edge on the ground if he looks to get it there.

Lando Vannata (-145) vs. Bobby Green (+125): Vannata by decision

This is a rematch from 2017 when these guys fought to a draw in the Fight of the Night. Vannata landed more significant strikes, takedowns (four) and a knockdown. However, he had a point taken away for an illegal knee and that is what cost him the win. I don't see this being a totally different fight and I can see them getting another bonus. I will lean with Vannata because I thought he won the first fight, and he is the more aggressive and higher-IQ fighter.

Kevin Holland (-200) vs. Trevin Giles (+175): Holland via submission

Aside from fight IQ, Holland should be better everywhere. I think he can finish on the feet or the ground. I don't always trust him to fight how he should, so it's tough to lay juice on him, but he is the rightful favorite. I think Giles is a solid fighter and maybe even the better wrestler, but I think Holland is going to be the more active striker, landing the harder blows, and I also think he has the grappling edge.

Jonathan Martinez (-200) vs. Frankie Saenz (+175): Saenz by decision

I think Martinez is the better, faster striker and, if this fight stays on the feet, I expect him to get the win. Saenz can hang on the feet and his real edge is going to be his wrestling. I think he can keep Martinez against the cage and work for takedowns to edge out the rounds. Martinez can be put on his back and Saenz is willing to chain wrestle, so I think that is a clear path for him. With him being the underdog I have to pick him for that reason. He is 39 years old, but this is still a dog-or-pass fight and I think he can do enough to win at least two rounds.

Gerald Meerschaert (-180) vs. Ed Herman (+160): Meerschaert by decision

Meerschaert is taking this fight on short notice, up a weight class. I don't see him being at a size disadvantage though, and I would still give him the grappling edge. On the feet, I expect Meerschaert to land more shots, but see Herman landing the harder shots. He is more likely to get a knockout. Both guys are solid at getting submissions, but they can be susceptible to them as well. Meerschaert is a guy I like to bet at dog odds, but I'm not sure I can pull the trigger with this line.

Ray Borg (-215) vs. Nathan Maness (+185): Borg by decision

Maness is making his UFC debut and it is a tough one. Maness has looked decent on the feet and I give him all the advantages there. He has height, reach, power, volume and more tools. However, that is not the fight Borg wants and he is going to look to chain wrestle and grapple. I think Maness could be decent on the ground, but it is hard to think he will have any edge over Borg and he is probably going to need this fight to stay standing to get the win. I will take the veteran, but I am not as confident as oddsmakers appear to be.

Markus Perez (-190) vs. Eric Spicely (+170): Perez by TKO

Spicely has been a guy I look to fade and it's really just the submissions you have to worry about with him. He looked improved on the feet in his last fight and I like the volume he threw, so I don't like Perez as much as I would have before seeing that fight. I still expect Perez to be the better striker and much more likely for a knockout, but he lacks volume and that could hurt him if it hits the scorecards. I would say Perez is probably better on the ground as well, but that is where Spicely excels and he is live for a submission upset. I think Perez should look to keep it standing and maybe just land takedowns late in rounds where Spicely doesn't have enough time to reverse them or pull off a sub from the bottom. I think Perez can get a knockout if this fight does stay standing, so that is my pick.

Timur Valiev (-180) vs. Jamall Emmers (+160): Valiev via by decision

Valiev is making his UFC debut and he is pretty hyped up. He is well-rounded, dangerous and probably has the edge everywhere here except size and maybe wrestling. I like Emmers' wrestling and think he could use it as his path to victory, but I can't trust him to execute a smart game plan. I think he can win, but I have to lean with Valiev because he has more ways to win. Emmers doesn't look to wrestle as much as he should, so I think Valiev wins with his striking.

Chris Gutierrez (-320) vs. Cody Durden (+260): Durden by submission

Gutierrez is coming off a dominating performance a few weeks ago in which he chopped his opponent's leg down so hard he couldn't stand anymore, and he was barely touched himself. This recency bias, plus Durden taking this fight on a week's notice, are why Gutierrez is a huge favorite. I think that line is off, though. Durden is a good wrestler and, aside from the big kicking edge for Gutierrez, I think he can hang on the feet as well. The leg kicks are the big worry, but they are almost the only worry. I think Durden has a big edge on the mat and could finish with a submission or ground-and-pound. I favor Gutierrez on the feet but, once he lands a few legs kicks, I don't see Durden wanting to stand much longer. He should look to wrestle early and often. I am going to take the underdog to get the upset in his debut, and I think he does it with a wrestling-heavy game plan.
__________________

Brandon Wise

UFC

Edmen Shahbazyan (-320) vs. Derek Brunson (+260): Shahbazyan by decision

This is quite the step up in competition for the 22-year-old prospect. But he's every bit as good as the hype says he is. Shahbazyan will utilize his well-rounded game to take apart Brunson over the 25 minutes of action, In doing so, he will get to a second round for just the second time in his career to score an important win. Brunson has put the wheels back on the track after two straight first-round TKO losses, but this is a tough spot for the veteran against a fighter many believe will be wearing the belt one day.

Joanne Calderwood (-180) vs. Jennifer Maia (+160): Calderwood by decision

Talk about calling your own number. This is as risky as it gets for Calderwood, who was set up to fight for the title before champion Valentina Shevchenko suffered an injury. Both women have combined to go the distance 56 percent of the time in their careers, with Maia reaching the scorecards in her last five while Calderwood has done so in three straight. Calderwood is the better overall fighter and should display such over the course of 15 minutes.

Vicente Luque (-180) vs. Randy Brown (+160): Luque by TKO

This has Fight of the Night potential written all over it. Both guys have a high finishing rate (10 of 12 wins for Brown, 16 of 18 for Luque). They've both faced some stiff competition since joining UFC, but Luque seems the better overall fighter and has had better success against higher levels of competition. Luque should be able to utilize his awkward Muay Thai stances to create angles for solid punches and kicks to land before scoring the finish.

Lando Vannata (-145) vs. Bobby Green (+125): Vannata by decision

I'm nota huge fan of this matchup given how both have fared of late, but the lean goes toward the favorite. Vannata is a tricky puzzle to solve and Green's best success in his win over Clay Guida in June was slowing down his insane pace. Green's success also came from not having to worry about the power coming back his way from Guida, which will not be the case here. Vannata should establish his power early and stymie Green's offense.

Kevin Holland (-200) vs. Trevin Giles (+175): Holland by submission

Holland is a rising star at middleweight as long as he keeps his focus. He's 4-2 since joining UFC with losses to former light heavyweight title challenger Thiago Santos and another rising star in Brendan Allen. Giles has shown a tendency to get caught in guillotine chokes since joining the promotion and I expect Holland to take advantage when the opportunity is there.
__________________

Bill Marzano

PITTSBURGH -165
MONTREAL @ PITTSBURGH | 8/01 | 8:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:02 PM
The Penguins are a very experienced team and healthy now after having nine players test positive for COVID-19. Pittsburgh went 2-1-0 against Montreal this season - winning the final two meetings - and still is loaded, with Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin and D Kris Letang leading the way. The Penguins have two solid goaltenders and allowed the fifth-fewest shots per game and fourth-fewest power-play goals in the NHL. Montreal won only four of its last 14 games prior to the stoppage, but it does have Carey Price in net, and he always gives his team a chance to win. The Penguins had a plus-28 goal differential on the season, while the Canadiens were minus-9. Look for this veteran Pittsburgh team to take care of business.

10-3 IN LAST 13 NHL ML PICKS | +593
3-0 IN LAST 3 MON ML PICKS | +316

6-3 IN LAST 9 PIT ML PICKS | +273

EDMONTON -152
CHICAGO @ EDMONTON | 8/01 | 3:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 12:51 PM
This is a matchup of offense versus defense, and the edge goes to the Oilers. Leon Draisaitl (110 points) and Connor McDavid (97) were first and second in the league in scoring. Edmonton was No. 1 on the power play and second on the penalty kill. The Oilers have two solid goaltenders in Mike Smith and Mikko Koskinen, although whenever you have Patrick Kane, Jonathan Toews and D Duncan Keith, you have a chance - but that’s it. Chicago can score, but G Corey Crawford missed significant time getting ready due to testing positive for Covid-19. Chicago allowed a league-high 35.1 shots per contest and collapsed in the third period this season, allowing the fifth-most goals in the NHL.

10-3 IN LAST 13 NHL ML PICKS | +593
4-3 IN LAST 7 CHI ML PICKS | +39
__________________

The Prez

UFC FIGHT NIGHT TKO

4% Vicente Luque -185

The man known for many victories long before he became a mixed martial art champion with the title of "The Silent Assassin" has recorded an 11-3 mark in his UFC career. And notably, there has been but one bout in his 11 wins that have gone to the judges’ cards. That being the legendary knock-down-drag-out versus Mike Perry. The value on Luque in this bout alone is worth investing in on Saturday night. The fighter himself, however, should be a 2 and one- half buck-chuck chalk (-250) over Randy Brown.

The Silent Assassin’ is a class of his own, genuinely accepting, of an invitation to fight anyone and anywhere.

Do not mistake "silent" with being a kind and gentle soul. The "Assassin" is a better description of Luque. The American-born Brazilian is a knockout waiting to happen. The only subtle and gentle attributes of Luque in the ring are his techniques of putting himself in a position to earn the kill. Yes, there is a silent and subtle movement to Luque's footwork and technique but those are technical aspects that make him one of the most dangerous octagon warriors in the sport.

Luque is vastly superior to his foe this weekend. Not only is he a viper when utilizing his technical striking skill it takes more than a hand or foot to the chin to alter his equilibrium. In so many words Luque has a chin that appears to be made of lead, as his hands and feet seem to weigh in at. And the aforementioned might not be his most seasoned fighting skill. When the man previously known as Luque takes his opponent to the mat a submission is the most likely outcome, a TKO that is likely to come while being choked out.

The losses on his UFC record are difficult to diagnose. Luque fell to Stephen Thompson at UFC 244. And the Assassin was unable to penetrate, weaken or distract Leon Edwards and his focus. And after watching a number of Luque bouts over the last couple of years it is evident that he was never the biggest or the best athlete in his circle. He believes, and likely is, the toughest, however.

Luque's intended kill this weekend, Randy Brown is longer and has a four-inch reach advantage over the Assassin. At 6’3” the ‘Rude Boy’ has used his physical attributes to register a 12-3 career mark more than his technical set. It is fair to state that Brown has utilized his reach (78”) to keep from having to fight the more compact and stronger MMA welterweights.

And while it would be a mistake to underestimate Brown's grappling ability comparing Brown to Luque when it comes to whom is superior on the matt is an insult to TSA.

With all due respect to Brown this is a mismatch waiting to happen on Saturday night. Brown has offered evidence that he can take a licking and keep on ticking. His chin has held serve against stronger as well. But TSA is better standing up and bringing the fight to his opponents inside. His Jiu-Jitsu skill set is much more advanced and striking than his brown belt might suggest. and there is no one foe in the welterweight division that can keep up with Luque if the fight goes to the matt.

All of this goes from being analysis to reality this weekend

There has yet to be a line released for the Luque TKO prop but if that proposition is in line with the money-line in the fight an additional 2% investment on Luque gaining a TKO as the fight result is worthy of pushing across the sportsbook counter, as well.

LUQUE -185
__________________

Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
8:12 PM

INDIANA +5.5
PHILADELPHIA @ INDIANA | 8/01 | 7:00 PM EDT
This line opened with the Sixers favored by 4, and all of the money on Philadelphia has now made the Pacers the value. People are jumping on the fact that Joel Embiid, who did not play in Indiana's two wins over the Sixers this season, will play on Saturday. But my model says that Indiana covers this spread about two-thirds of the time. You're getting good value with the Pacers at this price.

22-5 IN LAST 27 NBA PICKS | +1648
10-5 IN LAST 15 IND ATS PICKS | +451

2-1 IN LAST 3 PHI ATS PICKS | +89
__________________

 
Posted : August 1, 2020 8:49 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57403
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Andrew McInnis
5% NHL Return to Play Series Play
Game: (805) PANTHERS at (806) ISLANDERS
Date/Time: Aug 1 2020 4:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: ISLANDERS -110
__________________

Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
YESTERDAY 8:18 PM

OAKLAND -145
OAKLAND @ SEATTLE | 8/01 | 9:10 PM EDT
The A's are simply a much better team than the Mariners, who have a young squad that's pointing to the future. Seattle's Taijuan Walker, who is making his way back from Tommy John surgery, gave up 5 runs in 3.1 innings in his season debut in Houston. That won't be good enough against an underrated Oakland lineup. My model says that the A's win about two-thirds of the simulations so you're getting good value at this price.

8-2 IN LAST 10 MLB PICKS | +655
34-24 IN LAST 58 SEA ML PICKS | +1368

25-18 IN LAST 43 OAK ML PICKS | +599
__________________

SDQL

L.A. DODGERS -145
L.A. DODGERS @ ARIZONA | 8/01 | 8:10 PM EDT
9:50 AM
Justin Turner, the Dodgers clean-up hitter, was 0-4 yesterday with two strikeouts. The team has done very well in this spot, going 15-0 since September 2015, as a 140-plus favorite after a road game in which Turner struck out at least twice. This was true four times last season, and the Dodgers won by scores of 7-3, 10-5, 16-2 and 9-0. L.A. should dominate here, and playing them over their team total is probably a good investment as well.

4-2 IN LAST 6 MLB ML PICKS | +68

CINCINNATI -177
CINCINNATI @ DETROIT | 8/01 | 1:10 PM EDT
9:46 AM
Cincinnati struck out eight times and had only three hits yesterday as a -160 favorite over the Tigers. The Reds have bounced back famously in this spot, going 28-0 as 135-plus favorite before their 95th game of the season when they are off a game as a 120-plus favorite in which they had more strikeouts than hits. The Tigers are 0-13 in the second game of a series as a dog off a game as a dog in which they scored first, trailed and won and 0-13 after a game in which they used more than two pitchers and their bullpen did not allow a run, as long as they are not a 125-plus favorite. We are on the Reds.

4-2 IN LAST 6 MLB ML PICKS | +68

BOSTON +157
BOSTON @ N.Y. YANKEES | 8/01 | 7:07 PM EDT
9:42 AM
Boston’s bullpen blew it yesterday, but the Red Sox are 12-0 before their 135th game of the season as a 140-plus road dog off a game as a dog in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and their starter allowed fewer than seven runs. Yes, that’s 12 straight wins as a 140-plus dog. Boston is also 7-0 straight up after a game as a road dog in which J.D. Martinez was hitless in at least three at-bats. With the Yankees 0-3 straight up in franchise history as a 200-plus home favorite in August with Masahiro Tanaka, we are on the Red Sox.

4-2 IN LAST 6 MLB ML PICKS | +68
__________________

SDQL Gurus
SERIOUS SCIENTISTS
10:30 AM

OVER 230.5
NEW ORLEANS @ L.A. CLIPPERS | 8/01 | 6:00 PM EDT
On Thursday, the Pelicans were up by 16 points over the Jazz, but lost 106-104. This has been a big Over indicator, as New Orleans is 25-0 to the Over after a loss in which it held a double-digit lead, attempted at least 25 3s and made better than 20 percent of them. Los Angeles was sloppy with the ball in its first game back against the Lakers on Thursday. This has also been a big Over indicator, as they are 9-0 to the Over with rest off a loss in which they had at least five turnovers more than their season-to-date average, flying Over the number by an average of 20.06 points per game. Finally, the Clips are 9-0 to the Over at home after a game as a road dog in which they had at least 30 percent of their points from 3s. We are on the Over.

7-2 IN LAST 9 NBA O/U PICKS | +480
2-1 IN LAST 3 NO O/U PICKS | +90
__________________

Root

inner circle - Indians
__________________

MLB​(Bob Balfe)
9:10 PM EST
Rotation #979
Rangers -125 over Giants
Rangers/Giants Over 8.5 runs
Lyles/Smyly
The Giants have been surprisingly decent with not the most talented of lineups and a new manager. This is a team that is getting decent hitting the last few games and will take advantage again of nice winds blowing out to center. The Rangers are off to a slow start, but do have power against left handed pitching. Both teams are on their number 4 starter so I believe it favors the offense. Texas needs to pick it up before they get too far in a hole. This is a great spot to play side and total. Take the Rangers and the Over.
NBA
7:00 PM EST
Rotation #723
Sixers -5 over Pacers
The Sixers have stayed with the same core group of players this season which helps when seasons get put on hold like we have seen. The Pacers have all kinds of injuries and have not played together as a unit as much as Philly has. This is an undersized Indiana team. Philly can really take advantage of their size advantage here. Take the Sixers.
__________________

Gjelstad and Norheim

MLS Soccer

Saturday, Aug. 1

San Jose vs. Minnesota (7:00 p.m. ET)

Money line: Draw +265

Total goals: Under 2.5

Likely score: San Jose 1, Minnesota 1
__________________

Scoutspicks

NBA

8* Heat -1.5
__________________

John Bollman

N.Y. ISLANDERS -115
FLORIDA @ N.Y. ISLANDERS | 8/01 | 4:00 PM EDT
11:19 AM
Sergei Bobobrovsky and the Panthers looked terrible in their exhibition game against the Lightning this week. Not to mention, Bobrovsky has had a tough season after signing a mega-deal going 23-19-6 with a 3.23 GAA and .900 save percentage this season. The Islanders matchup well against this Panthers team and they won all three meetings in the regular season. Take the value on the Islanders.

4-1 IN LAST 5 NYI ML PICKS | +338

5-2 IN LAST 7 FLA ML PICKS | +280

N.Y. RANGERS +110
N.Y. RANGERS @ CAROLINA | 8/01 | 12:00 PM EDT
11:18 AM
This is the first game of the NHL restart featuring a couple hard working teams. Igor Shesterkin will be making his playoff debut in the net for the Rangers while Petr Mrazek starts for the Canes. The Canes will be without Dougie Hamilton and they did not look too good in their exhibition game against the Caps this week. The Rangers were 4-0 against the Canes in the regular season, I like the Rangers at plus value.

3-1 IN LAST 4 CAR ML PICKS | +144

CINCINNATI -190
CINCINNATI @ DETROIT | 8/01 | 1:10 PM EDT
10:46 AM
Michael Fulmer will be serving as the starter again in order to limit his workload after TJ surgery. In his first outing, he gave up four runs in 2.2 IP. Trevor Bauer gave up one run in 6.1 IP in his season debut and he gave up eight earned runs in 19.2 IP in 2019 against the Tigers including a shutout. The Tigers are winning at an unsustainable pace right now, I like the value in the Reds.

12-3 IN LAST 15 MLB ML PICKS | +929
28-6 IN LAST 34 DET ML PICKS | +1780

3-1 IN LAST 4 CIN ML PICKS | +123
__________________

 
Posted : August 1, 2020 11:21 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57403
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Bill Marzano

OKLAHOMA CITY -140
UTAH @ OKLAHOMA CITY | 8/01 | 3:30 PM EDT
9:32 AM
These teams are in a dog fight for playoff positioning, but the Thunder are the better overall team. The Jazz had a chance to play a game already, and they were lucky to come away with a win. The Thunder match up well with Utah; they can play fast or slow, and that gives them the advantage. Thunder money line (-140) is the play.

TAMPA BAY -216
TAMPA BAY @ BALTIMORE | 8/01 | 7:35 PM EDT
9:24 AM
The Orioles came back last night after an hour rain delay but will have a hard time getting some quality at-bats against Tyler Glasnow. He is a legitimate ace, was just about unhittable in his season debut and will continue to get stronger and sharper each outing. The Rays can't afford to drop two straight in this series and should be able to get to Wade LeBlanc, who was roughed up in his debut. Look for the Rays to bounce back big with their bats and pitching. Rays run line is the play.

8-1 LAST 9 MLB SIDES | +662
__________________

Larry Hartstein

THU 7/30

PHILADELPHIA -5.5
PHILADELPHIA @ INDIANA | 8/01 | 7:00 PM EDT
Joel Embiid should play and that's bad news for the short-handed Pacers. The last time he faced Indiana, he had 32 points and 11 rebounds while making all 15 of his free throws. Look for a more talented Philly team to lock down defensively and take advantage of this fresh start.

95-80-3 LAST 178 NBA SIDES | +714
9-4 IN LAST 13 PHI ATS PICKS | +463
__________________

The Spot Player

2* Reds -1.5
2* Braves -1.5
2* Twins -1.5
2* Astros -1.5
2* Dodgers -1.5
2* Cubs -1.5

2* Miami Heat pk
2* Utah Jazz +2
2* Toronto Raptors +4

2* NY Rangers +115
2* Blackhawks +125

2* L.A. Sparks +4
__________________

Ats

5 mets over

4 seattle
__________________

Scoutspicks
NHL
8* Carolina -125
__________________

Marco D'Angelo
5% Tampa bay rays -1.5 runs
__________________

Pete Blackburn

PITTSBURGH -160
MONTREAL @ PITTSBURGH | 8/01 | 8:00 PM EDT
10:46 AM
There's plenty of uncertainty surrounding all the play-in round series but I'm most confident that the Penguins will make quick work of the Canadiens. The Canadiens are outmatched in nearly every category and only won 19 games in regulation during this regular season. They're fortunate to even be included in this postseason and I think the only way they put up a fight is if Carey Price returns to a version of his former self. I wouldn't bank on it.

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OVER 6
N.Y. RANGERS @ CAROLINA | 8/01 | 12:00 PM EDT
10:44 AM
The Hurricanes and Rangers both play a fast-paced game and, after, nearly five months away from meaningful hockey, I expect quite a lot of wide-open action in this game with some mistakes made both way. Carolina tends to generate a ton of chances on the offensive end, but its own goaltending is a bit of a question mark. Bet on goals and take the Over.
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Posted : August 1, 2020 12:45 pm
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