Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Saturday 8/1/20
MLB line movement for August 1
Patrick Everson
Masahiro Tanaka takes the ball Saturday night for the Yankees, who are out to a 5-1 start in MLB's shortened season. The Yankees are -200 home favorites against the Red Sox.
Saturday’s MLB betting odds are on the board and seeing some early action. The Indians-Twins game is among the highlights, as the two teams battle for the early lead in the AL Central, and the Red Sox and Yankees renew their hostilities, as well.
BetAmerica provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Saturday’s contests. Covers will update this action report with MLB sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the day.
MLB line movement
Minnesota, behind right-hander Kenta Maeda, opened a -125 favorite against Cleveland for a 7:10 p.m. ET clash. The line then bounced back-and-forth between -120 and -125 at BetAmerica, before settling at Twins -125/Indians +105.
Game 2 of the Red Sox-Yankees weekend series saw host New York open a healthy -220 favorite and move to -200 late Friday night, with Boston at +165. First pitch is at 7:07 p.m. ET.
The Padres and Rockies are both off to solid starts in the NL West. BetAmerica opened San Diego -120 for Saturday’s 8:10 p.m. ET start, and the Padres were at -125 late Friday, with Colorado +105.
951CINCINNATI -952 DETROIT
DETROIT is 22-56 SU (-37.1 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
957CHI WHITE SOX -958 KANSAS CITY
CHI WHITE SOX is 23-7 SU (15.3 Units) in road games in August games in the last 3 seasons.
959TAMPA BAY -960 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 13-30 SU (-20.1 Units) in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
961CLEVELAND -962 MINNESOTA
CLEVELAND is 32-12 SU (17.8 Units) in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
963NY METS -964 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 96-81 SU (28.6 Units) in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing <=0.35 SB's/game since 1996.
965ST LOUIS -966 MILWAUKEE
ST LOUIS are 38-17 SU (19.3 Units) in August games in the last 3 seasons.
967HOUSTON -968 LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 9-2 SU (10.1 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 2 seasons.
969BOSTON -970 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 47-26 SU (27.8 Units) in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game over the last 2 seasons.
971LA DODGERS -972 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 27-15 SU (14.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
973SAN DIEGO -974 COLORADO
SAN DIEGO is 9-19 SU (-11.9 Units) after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.
975PITTSBURGH -976 CHICAGO CUBS
PITTSBURGH is 48-62 SU (-27.6 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
977OAKLAND -978 SEATTLE
OAKLAND is 45-23 SU (23.5 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
979TEXAS -980 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 30-53 SU (-30.2 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
National League
New York @ Atlanta
Mets (3-5):
Wacha allowed allowed one run in five IP (77 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 0-3, 3.65 in six games (4 starts) vs Atlanta.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0
— Mets lost five of their last seven games; they blew an 8-2 lead last night.
Braves (5-3):
Toussaint has started six MLB games, five of them in 2018; he is 1-0, 3.68 in four games (1 start) vs New York. He allowed six runs in 2.2 IP in his one relief stint this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Braves won five of their last seven games; they’re 3-0 at home.
— Four of last six Atlanta games went over.
St Louis @ Milwaukee
Cardinals (2-3):
Flaherty allowed two runs in seven IP (89 PT) in his first start; he is 2-4, 4.56 in 10 starts vs Milwaukee, 0-2, 4.68 in five starts here.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0
— Cardinals lost their last three games.
— Over is 2-0 in St Louis wins, 0-3 in losses.
Brewers (3-3):
Anderson is making his first ’20 start; he is 0-2, 2.63 in two starts vs St Louis.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Milwaukee split its first six games, all on the road.
Los Angeles @ Arizona
Dodgers (5-3):
Urias allowed one run in five IP (78 PT) in his first ’20 start; he’s allowed one run in seven IP in three relief stints vs Arizona.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0
— Dodgers won five of their first eight games.
— Last five Dodger games stayed under the total.
Diamondbacks (3-5):
Weaver allowed six runs in 3.1 IP in his first ’20 start; he’s allowed 13 runs in nine IP in three games (1 start) vs LA.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1 Totals: under 1-0
— Arizona lost five of its first eight games.
— Six of their last seven games stayed under.
San Diego @ Colorado
Padres (6-2):
Lucchesi allowed two runs in 3.2 IP (61 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 2-2, 3.89 in 8 starts vs Colorado, 1-1, 4.71 in four starts here.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0
— Padres won six of their first eight games.
— Four of San Diego’s last seven games stayed under the total.
Rockies (4-2)
Freeland allowed two runs in six IP (80 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 2-3, 4.09 in 9 games (7 starts) vs San Diego.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0
— Colorado won four of its last five games.
— Four of Rockies’ six games stayed under.
Pittsburgh @ Chicago
Pirates (2-5):
Keller allowed one run in five IP (87 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 0-1, 6.75 in two starts vs Chicago.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0
— Pirates lost five of their first seven games.
— Five of seven Pittsburgh games went over.
Cubs (5-2):
Chatwood allowed one run in six IP (84 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 0-2, 3.54 in 10 games (4 starts) vs Pittsburgh.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0
— Cubs won five of their first seven games.
— Five of their last six games went over.
American League
Chicago @ Kansas City
White Sox (3-4):
Gonzalez allowed six runs in 3.2 IP in his only relief stint this year; he is 4-3, 6.50 in nine career starts vs Kansas City.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— White Sox lost four of their first seven games.
— Under is 4-0 in Chicago road games.
Royals (3-5):
Bolanos allowed two runs in two IP (32 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1 Totals: over 1-0
— Royals lost five of their first eight games (under 6-2).
Houston @ Anaheim
Astros (4-3):
Greinke allowed three runs in 3.1 IP (58 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 6-5, 4.03 in 14 starts against the Angels, 2-0, 4.63 LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1 Totals: over 1-0
— Astros won four of their first seven games (over 5-2).
Angels (2-6):
Canning allowed three runs in 4.2 IP (82 PT) in his first ’20 start; he gave up three runs in 1.1 IP in his one start vs Houston.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Angels lost six of their first eight games.
— Over is 5-1 in last six Angel games.
Boston @ Bronx
Red Sox (3-5):
Godley has started 81 MLB games, all for Arizona; he started nine games LY. He threw four shutout innings in relief in his only ’20 appearance.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Boston lost five of its last seven games; they’re 2-1 on road.
Bronx (5-1):
Tanaka is making his ’20 debut; he is 8-5, 5.76 in 21 starts vs Boston, 0-1, 24.75 in three starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: o-0
— Bronx won five of its first six games.
Tampa Bay @ Baltimore
Rays (4-4):
Glasnow allowed one run in four IP (72 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 2-0, 1.50 in three starts vs Baltimore.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0
— Rays won four of their last seven games.
Orioles (3-3):
LeBlanc allowed four runs in 5.2 IP (76 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 0-2, 5.17 in three games (1 start) vs Tampa Bay.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: 0-0-1
— Orioles split their first six games; they’re 0-2 scoring less than 6 runs.
Cleveland @ Minnesota
Indians (5-3):
Carrasco allowed two runs in six IP (87 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 7-10, 4.10 in 26 games (21 starts) vs Minnesota.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0
— Cleveland won five of its first eight games (under 7-1)
Twins (5-2):
Maeda allowed two runs in five IP (84 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1Totals: over 1-0
— Minnesota won five of its first seven games.
Oakland @ Seattle
A’s (3-4):
Fiers allowed four runs in four IP (64 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 3-2, 5.93 in 12 starts vs Seattle, 1-1, 5.21 in four starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0
— Oakland lost its last three games.
— A’s are 7-39 with RISP so far this season.
Mariners (4-4):
Kikuchi allowed five runs in 3.2 IP (70 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 0-2, 4.29 in four starts vs Oakland.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1 Totals: over 1-0
— Mariners won their last three games, scoring 23 runs.
— Six of eight Seattle games went over the total.
Interleague
Cincinnati @ Detroit
Reds (2-5):
Bauer allowed one run in 6.1 IP (105 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 10-5, 5.11 in 20 starts vs Detroit.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0
— Reds lost five of their first seven games.
— Five of their last six games went over.
Tigers (5-3):
MFulmer allowed four runs in 2.2 IP (47 PT) in his first ’20 start; he allowed three runs in 5.2 IP in his one start vs Cincinnati.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0
— Detroit won five of its first eight games.
— Under is 4-2 in Detroit’s last six games.
Texas @ San Francisco
Rangers (2-4):
Lyles threw two scoreless innings in relief, in his one ’20 appearance. He is 4-3, 5.20 in 20 games (8 starts) vs SF.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Texas lost four of its last five games.
— Four of their first six games stayed under.
Giants (4-4):
Bullpen game for the Giants. Just about every game of theirs is a bullpen game.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Giants split their first eight games.
— Over is 3-0 in last three Giant games.
MLB
Saturday, August 1
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Trend Report
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Cincinnati @ Detroit
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 10 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Chi White Sox @ Kansas City
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 11 games
Boston @ NY Yankees
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Houston @ LA Angels
Houston
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games
NY Mets @ Atlanta
NY Mets
NY Mets is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
NY Mets is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets
St. Louis @ Milwaukee
St. Louis
St. Louis is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Milwaukee
St. Louis is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Milwaukee is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Cleveland @ Minnesota
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Tampa Bay @ Baltimore
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
San Diego @ Colorado
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego
Colorado is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
LA Dodgers @ Arizona
LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games on the road
Arizona
Arizona is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games
Pittsburgh @ Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Texas @ San Francisco
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games
San Francisco
San Francisco is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home
Oakland @ Seattle
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
MLB
Dunkel
Saturday, August 1
Cincinnati @ Detroit
Game 951-952
August 1, 2020 @ 1:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Bauer) 13.835
Detroit
(Fulmer) 14.864
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-175
9
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+155); Over
Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City
Game 957-958
August 1, 2020 @ 7:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Gonzalez) 15.237
Kansas City
(Bolanos) 13.949
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 1 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-135
10
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(-135); Over
Cleveland @ Minnesota
Game 961-962
August 1, 2020 @ 7:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Carrasco) 16.983
Minnesota
(Maeda) 15.790
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+110); Over
NY Mets @ Atlanta
Game 963-964
August 1, 2020 @ 7:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Wacha) 17.639
Atlanta
(Toussaint) 16.524
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-125
10
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(+105); Over
Tampa Bay @ Baltimore
Game 959-960
August 1, 2020 @ 7:35 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Glasnow) 17.639
Baltimore
(LeBlanc) 15.858
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-220
9
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-220); Over
St. Louis @ Milwaukee
Game 965-966
August 1, 2020 @ 7:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Flaherty) 16.330
Milwaukee
(Anderson) 14.914
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-140
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-140); Over
Houston @ LA Angels
Game 967-968
August 1, 2020 @ 7:15 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Greinke) 16.228
LA Angels
(Canning) 17.365
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-160
9
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(+140); Under
Boston @ NY Yankees
Game 969-970
August 1, 2020 @ 7:15 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Godley) 14.124
NY Yankees
(Tanaka) 18.461
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 4 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-200
10
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-200); Under
LA Dodgers @ Arizona
Game 971-972
August 1, 2020 @ 8:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Urias) 16.072
Arizona
(Weaver) 17.241
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-150
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+130); Over
San Diego @ Colorado
Game 973-974
August 1, 2020 @ 8:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Lucchesi) 17.495
Colorado
(Freeland) 16.338
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-120
12 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(-120); Under
Pittsburgh @ Chicago Cubs
Game 975-976
August 1, 2020 @ 8:15 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Keller) 15.847
Chicago Cubs
(Chatwood) 14.938
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-165
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+145); N/A
Oakland @ Seattle
Game 977-978
August 1, 2020 @ 9:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Fiers) 16.154
Seattle
(Kikuchi) 14.998
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-150
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-150); Under
Texas @ San Francisco
Game 979-980
August 1, 2020 @ 9:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Lyles) 16.081
San Francisco
(TBD) 15.119
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-130); Under