Free Premium Service Plays For Thursday 7/30/20

Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST

YESTERDAY 5:48 PM

L.A. CLIPPERS +4
L.A. CLIPPERS @ L.A. LAKERS | 7/30 | 9:00 PM EDT
The Lakers could be without star Anthony Davis as the NBA restart begins Thursday in Orlando with the purple and gold facing the Clippers. The Model not only has the Clippers covering the spread in 67 percent of simulations but winning the game outright even though they will be without Sixth Man of the Year candidate Lou Williams. While this is a neutral site, the Clips have covered their past six in the series when the designated road team.

20-5 IN LAST 25 NBA PICKS | +1448
10-4 IN LAST 14 LAC ATS PICKS | +556

5-3 IN LAST 8 LAL ATS PICKS | +178
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Tim Doyle

L.A. LAKERS -178
L.A. CLIPPERS @ L.A. LAKERS | 7/30 | 9:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:56 PM
The Clippers are a mess right now. The Lou Williams “Magic City” dinner aside, their continuity seems to be lacking, Kawhi Leonard can’t make a shot in the scrimmages. The Lakers need this win for their self-esteem and confidence to believe they are the better team. The Lakers are catching the Clippers at the right time.

6-1 IN LAST 7 NBA ML PICKS | +695

OVER 220.5
UTAH @ NEW ORLEANS | 7/30 | 6:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:52 PM
NBA commissioner Adam Silver has given the Pelicans life to potentially get that No. 8 seed in the West. What I like about them is they have an identity. They want to play fast (5th in the NBA at 116 points per game) get up and down and score points. Defense is sometimes optional (117 points per game). My fear with the Jazz is that they are still mad at each other from the whole Rudy Gobert fallout. I think points are a plentiful, though.

10-5 IN LAST 15 NBA PICKS | +574
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Mike Barner
NBA SPECIALIST

11:17 AM

NEW ORLEANS -2.5
UTAH @ NEW ORLEANS | 7/30 | 6:30 PM EDT
The big news surrounding this game is the availability of Zion Williamson. He had to leave the bubble to deal with a personal matter and has been cleared from quarantine. He did some light work in practice Tuesday, but did not participate in five-on-five work. If he is unable to play, that would obviously deal a significant blow to the Pelicans. Still, the Jazz will be without one of their best scorers in Bojan Bogdanovic (wrist). Even if Williamson doesn’t play at all, the Jazz don't have enough firepower to keep up. Lay the points.

96-60-3 IN LAST 159 NBA ATS PICKS | +2999
17-7-2 IN LAST 26 NO ATS PICKS | +930

8-3 IN LAST 11 UTA ATS PICKS | +470
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baseball33

Cincinnati Reds - Chicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs
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Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
YESTERDAY 8:27 PM

L.A. CLIPPERS +159
L.A. CLIPPERS @ L.A. LAKERS | 7/30 | 9:00 PM EDT
Clippers coach Doc Rivers says his team is "made for the bubble" because of its depth, and that theory will be put to the test Thursday night. The club will be without rugged big man Montrezl Harrell and likely without the quarantine-defying Lou Williams. But the Lakers could see limited action from Anthony Davis, who is dealing with an eye injury, and their backcourt will lack depth after Avery Bradley opted out. The Clippers caught the Lakers off-guard on opening night and look for a repeat as the NBA bubble era tips off Thursday.

45-31-1 LAST 77 NBA SIDES | +1100

Sam Quinn
NBA JOURNALIST
8:31 AM

L.A. LAKERS -4
L.A. CLIPPERS @ L.A. LAKERS | 7/30 | 9:00 PM EDT
No team is particularly equipped to lose arguably its third-, fourth- and fifth-best players on short notice, but the Clippers, at least as far as contenders go, are particularly threatened because they have fairly low-variance stars. Kawhi Leonard has scored 40 points only twice this season. Paul George has once. Neither is particularly suited to scaling up to make up for the absence of Patrick Beverley (questionable), Lou Williams and Montrezl Harrell (both out), and that will make offense hard to come by for the Clips.

10-6 IN LAST 16 NBA ATS PICKS | +334
3-1 IN LAST 4 LAC ATS PICKS | +189

Tim Doyle
BIG TEN BALLER
TUE 7/28

L.A. LAKERS -178

L.A. CLIPPERS @ L.A. LAKERS | 7/30 | 9:00 PM EDT
The Clippers are a mess right now. The Lou Williams “Magic City” dinner aside, their continuity seems to be lacking, Kawhi Leonard can’t make a shot in the scrimmages. The Lakers need this win for their self-esteem and confidence to believe they are the better team. The Lakers are catching the Clippers at the right time.

6-1 IN LAST 7 NBA ML PICKS | +695
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Sam Quinn
NBA JOURNALIST
8:33 AM

UNDER 224.5
UTAH @ NEW ORLEANS | 7/30 | 6:30 PM EDT
Nobody seems to realize how important Bojan Bogdanovic (out for season) was to Utah's offense. The Jazz scored 113.5 points per 100 possessions with him on the floor and 105 without him, representing the biggest negative gap on the entire roster. An absent Zion Williamson for the Pels would further limit scoring, but even if he plays there's hardly a better big man in basketball for the task of containing him than Utah's Rudy Gobert. Throw in shooting rust, and this should be a fairly low-scoring affair.

10-6 IN LAST 16 NBA PICKS | +334
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SDQL

UNDER 9
WASHINGTON @ TORONTO | 7/30 | 4:05 PM EDT
10:34 AM
Washington is 0-6 OU when the line is within 20 cents of pick 'em following a road game in which it drew five-plus walks and 0-7 OU as a road underdog when coming off a non-series opener as a favorite against a left-hander after facing three straight righties. Toronto is 0-9 OU as a home favorite after a game as a home underdog in which its pitchers registered at least 10 strikeouts. Since last July, the Blue Jays are 0-7 OU at home following a non-series opener in which it notched fewer than six hits and its bullpen allowed at least one run. We make the Under the play.

CLEVELAND +106
CLEVELAND @ MINNESOTA | 7/30 | 7:07 PM EDT
10:12 AM
The Indians are a character-revealing 15-0 on the road with a negative line against a division rival that is ahead of them in the standings. Cleveland won those games by an average of 4.47 runs, and 13 of them were multi-run victories. Fitting in perfectly here is the fact that the Twins are 0-11 at home when they are not the favorite and are facing an opponent that is behind them in the division. Cleveland is loaded with value here.

L.A. DODGERS -157
L.A. DODGERS @ ARIZONA | 7/30 | 9:40 PM EDT
10:04 AM
The Diamondbacks are 0-7 SU at home following a road game in which they allowed six-plus runs and 0-6 SU as an underdog with no rest in the first game of a series after a road contest in which they used at least five pitchers. Los Angeles is 10-0 SU as a road favorite following a game as a favorite in which they used five-plus pitchers. The Dodgers also are a reliable 11-0 as a road favorite against a starter with an ERA higher than 3.50. Lay the price with Los Angeles.

SAN DIEGO -180
SAN DIEGO @ SAN FRANCISCO | 7/30 | 9:45 PM EDT
10:00 AM
San Diego squandered a late three-run lead on Wednesday and suffered a 7-6 loss. The Padres are 13-0 SU as a favorite of more than -130 in the last game of a series after losing by one run. The Giants, on the other hand, are 0-8 SU when +140 or higher at home after they scored six runs and 0-8 in the last game of a series against an NL foe when they are +140 or higher following a come-from-behind win, losing by an average of four runs per contest. San Diego should drive home the stake.

N.Y. YANKEES -240
N.Y. YANKEES @ BALTIMORE | 7/30 | 7:05 PM EDT
9:49 AM
The Yankees are 9-0 in franchise history as a road favorite with J.A. Happ on the mound when they won in his last start against the current opponent and 14-0 SU in the last game of a series as a favorite after they registered at least 10 strikeouts. Baltimore is 0-8 in the last game of a series as an underdog when playing a team that has a better record. The price is high, but not high enough. The value is with the Yankees.
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The Spot Player

3* Blue Jays -1.5 (Max Play)
2* Lakers -4.5
2* Seattle Storm -6
2* Minnesota Lynx +3.5
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