Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Friday 10/11/19
NLCS - Nationals vs. Cardinals
Kevin Rogers
2019 Head-to-Head Matchups (St. Louis 5-2, Under 5-1-1)
St. Louis vs. Washington (Nationals Park)
April 29 – Cardinals 6, Nationals 3 (Over 8 ½)
April 30 – Cardinals 3, Nationals 2 (Under 9 ½)
May 1 – Cardinals 5, Nationals 1 (Under 7 ½)
May 2 – Nationals 2, Cardinals 1 (Under 8 ½)
Washington vs. St. Louis (Busch Stadium)
September 16 – Cardinals 4, Nationals 2 (Under 8)
September 17 – Nationals 6, Cardinals 2 (Push 8)
September 18 – Cardinals 5, Nationals 1 (Under 8)
The top two teams in the National League are watching the Championship Series from home as the Braves and Dodgers were each bounced at home in decisive Game 5’s of the Divisional Series. The two clubs still standing with the World Series as their next goal are the Cardinals and Nationals, who begin the NLCS at Busch Stadium.
Although Washington (93-69) finished with a better regular season record than St. Louis (91-71), the Cardinals have home-field advantage in the series due to them winning the National League Central title. The Nationals were four outs away from getting knocked out in the Wild Card round against the Brewers before Washington rallied for three runs in the eighth inning of a 4-3 shocker to advance to the NLDS.
The Nats took the two-time National League champion Dodgers to Game 5 and were on their way to elimination, but Washington pulled out another epic comeback. And they did this against three-time Cy Young winner Clayton Kershaw as the Nationals hit back-to-back homers off the Dodgers’ ace in a rare relief appearance off the bats of Anthony Rendon and Juan Soto to tie the game at 3-3. Howie Kendrick’s grand slam in the 10th inning put Washington ahead for good and lifted the Nats to a 7-3 victory and the franchise’s first ever playoff series win, which includes their history as the Montreal Expos dating back to 1969.
The Cardinals last won a World Series title in 2011 against the Rangers, while St. Louis is in the postseason for the first time since 2015. The Redbirds went back and forth in the NLDS against the Braves as each team split the first two games at SunTrust Park and Games 3 and 4 at Busch Stadium. St. Louis exploded for 10 runs in the first inning of the winner-take-all Game 5 in Atlanta as the Cardinals crushed the Braves, 13-1 to make their first NLCS appearance since 2014.
The starting pitching advantage lies with the Nationals, who are led by Max Scherzer and Stephen Strasburg. Washington used both its aces in relief appearances during crucial wins early in the postseason, as Scherzer shut down the Dodgers in Game 4 of the NLDS as a -120 favorite, 6-1. The three-time Cy Young winner rebounded from a tough outing against the Brewers in the Wild Card victory to allow four hits and one earned run in seven innings as Washington is 2-3 in his five postseason starts.
Strasburg picked up a no-decision in the Game 5 triumph at Los Angeles as he gave up three earned runs in six innings. The right-hander beat the Dodgers in Game 2 of the NLDS by striking out 10 batters in six innings of a 4-2 win as a +140 underdog. Since Strasburg threw 105 pitches on Wednesday, he will likely start again in Game 3 at Nationals Park on Monday night.
In two outings this season against the Cardinals, the Nationals went 1-1 with Strasburg starting, which included a 2-1 home victory on May 2 as he struck out nine batters in 6.2 innings of work. Scherzer, the St. Louis native, lost twice to his hometown squad in 2019 by exact 5-1 scores, as he was tagged for five runs in 6.2 innings on September 18 in spite of striking out 11 batters.
Veteran Anibal Sanchez will get the call to start the series opener for Washington as the hurler turned in a solid performance in Game 3 against the Dodgers. Sanchez yielded one run and four hits, while striking out nine batters in five innings, but the Dodgers exploded for seven runs in the sixth inning to erase a 2-1 deficit in a 10-4 runaway. The Nationals have won eight of Sanchez’s last 10 road starts since late May, including four victories as an underdog.
Adam Wainwright helped the Cardinals capture the 2006 championship as the team’s closer, but 13 years later, the right-hander will start the opener of the NLCS. Since July, St. Louis has won 13 of Wainwright’s past 17 outings, including a 5-1 home underdog triumph over Scherzer and the Nationals on September 18. In four of Wainwright’s previous five starts at Busch Stadium, he has not allowed a run, including in the 3-1 Game 3 loss to Atlanta in which the Braves scored all three of their runs in the ninth inning.
Jack Flaherty will never receive better run support than the 10-0 advantage taken by the Cardinals in the first inning of the Game 5 blowout in Atlanta. Flaherty helped the Cards clinch a spot in the NLCS by tossing six innings and striking out eight to turn in his 10th consecutive quality start since late August. St. Louis has compiled an 11-6 mark in his past 17 trips to the mound, including a 5-1 ledger at home, while allowing two earned runs or less 12 times during this span.
The Cardinals captured three of four meetings in D.C. back in late April/early May, including two wins as a road underdogs. St. Louis grabbed two of three matchups at Busch Stadium in mid-September, as five of the final six meetings finished UNDER the total. In their previous postseason get-together back in the 2012 NLDS, the Nationals were ready to close out the Cardinals in Game 5 by jumping out to a 6-0 lead. St. Louis kept chipping away and scored four runs in the ninth inning to stun Washington, 9-7, but the Cardinals were ousted by the eventual World Champion Giants in the NLCS.
MLB
Friday, October 11
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Trend Report
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St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
St. Louis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Washington
St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
Washington Nationals
Washington is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Washington is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Washington is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
MLB
Dunkel
Friday, October 11
Washington @ St. Louis
Game 901-902
October 11, 2019 @ 8:08 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Sanchez) 17.720
St. Louis
(Mikolas) 18.776
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-130
8
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-130); Under
MLB
Long Sheet
Friday, October 11
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WASHINGTON (97 - 71) at ST LOUIS (94 - 73) - 8:08 PM
ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. MILES MIKOLAS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 179-151 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 48-50 (-18.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-28 (-16.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-25 (-15.5 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 110-96 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 94-85 (-24.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 94-73 (+5.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 21-11 (+10.0 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
ST LOUIS is 74-57 (+4.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 281-187 (+63.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
MIKOLAS is 42-23 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 27-39 (-22.7 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 5-2 (+4.2 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.8 Units)
ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
SANCHEZ is 2-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.228.
His team's record is 2-6 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.7 units)
MILES MIKOLAS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
MIKOLAS is 2-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.325.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)
Playoff Series Odds
Home Team listed first - Best of 7 Games (2-3-2)
(Opening Odds in parentheses)
National League Championship Series
Series Odds - St. Louis vs. Washington
Team Opening Odds
Cardinals +100
Nationals -120
Exact Game Prices
St. Louis vs. Washington
American League Championship Series
Series Odds - Houston vs. New York
Team Opening Odds
Astros -185
Yankees +155
Exact Game Prices
Houston vs. New York
National League Divisional Series
Series Odds - Atlanta vs. St. Louis (Cardinals win 3-2)
Team Opening Odds Prior to Game 2 Prior to Game 3 Prior to Game 4 Prior to Game 5
Braves -120 +175 -120 -450 -104
Cardinals +100 -200 +100 +350 -103
Series Odds - Los Angeles vs. Washington (Nationals win 3-2)
Team Opening Odds Prior to Game 2 Prior to Game 3 Prior to Game 4 Prior to Game 5
Dodgers -240 -425 -180 -425 -170
Nationals +190 +325 +150 +325 +150
American League Divisional Series
Series Odds - New York vs. Minnesota (Yankees win 3-0)
Team Opening Odds Prior to Game 2 Prior to Game 3
Yankees -245 -500 -6000
Twins +210 +395 +1600
Series Odds - Houston vs. Tampa Bay (Series tied 2-2)
Team Opening Odds Prior to Game 2 Prior to Game 3 Prior to Game 4 Prior to Game 5
Astros -250 -900 -10000 -2000 -290
Rays +200 +600 +2000 +1000 +200
Exact Game Prices
Atlanta vs. St. Louis
Cardinals Win in 3 Games +750
Cardinals Win in 4 Games +350
Cardinals Win in 5 Games +390 WIN
Braves Win in 3 Games +550
Braves Win in 4 Games +400
Braves Win in 5 Games +370
Los Angeles vs. Washington
Nationals Win in 3 Games +950
Nationals Win in 4 Games +540
Nationals Win in 5 Games +545 WIN
Dodgers Win in 3 Games +440
Dodgers Win in 4 Games +275
Dodgers Win in 5 Games +295
New York vs. Minnesota
Twins Win in 3 Games +1450
Twins Win in 4 Games +575
Twins Win in 5 Games +600
Yankees Win in 3 Games +325 WIN
Yankees Win in 4 Games +270
Yankees Win in 5 Games +300
Houston vs. Tampa Bay
Rays Win in 3 Games +1750
Rays Win in 4 Games +750
Rays Win in 5 Games +675
Astros Win in 3 Games +265
Astros Win in 4 Games +240
Astros Win in 5 Games +315 WIN