Monday 8/19/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NFL & CFL games.
BEN BURNS
3*GOW
Denver -118
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STEPHEN NOVER
3*GOW
Washington - 120
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SPARTAN
3*(nfl)
San Francisco +105
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+EV: MLB 4u: 902 Pittsburgh Pirates +121 (J Ross | T Williams) (Monday, August 19th)
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Paul Leiner
Three MLB Plays 8/19
100* Cardinals -125
100* Orioles -125
100* Over 9.5 Twins/White Sox
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BASEWINNER MLB BETTING PROJECTIONS (AUGUST 19)
The model has 0 sides and 1 total. There is 0 game with a side and total in the same game.912 SEA/TB u8.5 -105
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DAVE ESSLER
3*
Baltimore -120
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Nick Borrman
3% OSTERSUNDS +0.5 - Sweden Allsvenskan
4% BODO/GLIMT +0.25 - Norway Eliteserien
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Great Lakes Sports (via Northcoast)
3* Orioles w/ Means -130
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ROB VENO
Game: (903) San Diego Padres at (904) Cincinnati Reds
Date/Time: Aug 19 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+120)
View Analysis
Game: (907) Colorado Rockies at (908) Arizona Diamondbacks
Date/Time: Aug 19 2019 9:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+105)
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TEDDY COVERS
BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (907) Colorado Rockies at (908) Arizona Diamondbacks
Date/Time: Aug 19 2019 9:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+105)
View Analysis
3% Take Arizona (#908) on the Run Line
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Dwayne Bryant
TWINS! MLB TOTALS SYSTEM 2-PACK
4% Nationals/Pirates under 5.5 1st 5
4% Tigers-Astros over 10 -112
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Miller locks
7:05 pm est mlb
washington nationals vs. Pittsburgh pirates
pick: Washington nationals (-115)
risk: 11 units
7:45 pm est mlb
milwaukee brewers vs. St. Louis cardinals
pick: St. Louis cardinals (-116)
risk: 11 units
8:05 pm est mlb
laa angels vs. Texas rangers
pick: Over 11 (-116)
risk: 11 units
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Champ MLB System bets for today. These are not Pythagorean picks. The official Champ MLB system bets this year have been highly profitable, and you can see proof of that here.
Brewers {A** Bet - This is a confirmed official betting series.
Mariners {A** Bet - Unofficial betting series (won't be counted in the official recordkeeping)
Tigers {A** Bet - Unofficial betting series (won't be counted in the official recordkeeping)
Note that if the {A** bet does not win, you should automatically move onto the {B** bet the next day on the same team, and again with the potential {C** bet.
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North coast sports late phones
3*** Broncos
MQPP UNDER 40 1/2
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GREG SHAKER
3*
St.louis -114
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SLEEPYJ
3*
San Francisco-pk
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KING CREOLE
2*
Baltimore / Kansas City over 10
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GOODFELLA
3*
Baltimore -125
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ANDRE GOMES
3*
Washington/ Pittsburgh over 10
2*
Baltimore / Kansas City over 10
2*
Arizona -1.5(+106)
2*
Chicago whitesox +195
2*
Detroit +362
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PICKS2PLAY
MLB 8:10 pm Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins -1.5 for 1 units
ACTION
MLB 7:10 pm San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds -155 for 1 units
ACTION
MLB 7:05 pm Washington Nationals at Pittsburgh Pirates Washington Nationals -122 for 1 units
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Bezobets
3* Pirates ML +107
3* Royals ML +123
3* Brewers ML +106
3* Angels ML -110
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Assassin Sports (MLB)
Baltimore at KC: over 10.... (Top Play)....
This has been a high-scoring series as in their last 10 contests, Baltimore has averaged 5.30 R/G and Kansas City has averaged 5.90 R/G. During that span, these squads have combined to average 21 H/G and 12 K/9. The over has hit in 7 of Baltimore’s last 9 games, and 5 of their last 6 games at home. The over has also hit in 4 of their last 6 meetings. When you’re averaging over 21 hits per game and just 12 strikeouts per game, that usually trends more to the over....
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Washington Nationals at Pittsburgh> Washington-115....
In 42 innings of work, Ross (Washington) owns a sub-par 7.59 K/9, a high 4.64 BB/9, and a 1.05 HR/9, while he’s posted a high 5.91 ERA and 4.88 FIP. Trevor Williams (Pittsburgh) hasn’t been any better as he owns a 6.88 K/9, 2.49 BB/9, and 1.46 HR/9, while he’s posted a 5.25 ERA and 4.77 FIP. Williams has struggled in August, posting a 7.88 ERA and 1.030 OPS. Ross is putting in his best month of baseball, posting a 0.50 ERA and .461 OPS. Washington has won 6 of their last 7 games, while Pittsburgh is just 1-7 SU in their last 8 games at home.... The Nationals are the much hotter team as of late while the Pirates have had a 2nd half to forget. The team from DC is the only one in the playoff race and have a hot hurler on the mound in Ross while Williams has been tagged up for 11 runs in his last two starts.
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Whale and Champ Team POD
Twins
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Fezzik | NFL Side - Monday, Aug 19 2019 8:00PM
432 DEN 1.0(-110) Pinnacle vs 431 SFX double-dime bet
Analysis: NOTE!Really imporant to be sure to get +1 on this bet, as "1" IS the most important preaseason number!!
Buy to 1.5-120 if that is an option!
1 is popping up at several books including Pinny Circa Mirage
MNF SF at Denver PK, LIKE DENVER BET DENVER
Denver: Lost @ SEA 14-22
(Won HOF gm 14-10 vs. Atl)
… The Spot Favors Denver
Denver is off a road loss
vs. a team that emphasizes preseason (Sea)
So not a bad performance
SF is off a win vs Dallas 17-9
But it was vs. a team that does not care about preseason So not that impress
… And Coaching Motivation Edge:
Shanahan indicated he has no real preseason Incentive
AND Dealing with many injuries
And Denver Coach likely more Motivated
Denver Fangio new HC
Note, SF does have edge in QB rotation:
SF: Jimmy G likely to play some time
Beathard/Mullens good backup QBs
Den: Flacco struggled all week in joint Practices:
Also Lock/Hogan/Rypien
Note, Denver always does well early in the year in Altitude also.......
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JR ODONNELL
3*
Seattle +166
3*
Pittsburgh -110
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DR. CHUCK
Game: (901) Washington Nationals at (902) Pittsburgh Pirates
Date/Time: Aug 19 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Washington Nationals -114
View Analysis
Ross v. Williams
Trevor Williams and the Pirates are a large part of this play...and why I feel so confident! Williams since July 1 has an xFIP of 6 and a HR/FB rate near 20%, a zone contact rate damn near 90%, and is not getting a very high swing and miss rate. This ties right into the Nats against righties...who are basically the best team since 8/1 against them...and also swing and miss at a lower rate than most teams as well as K less...hilew
Game: (907) Colorado Rockies at (908) Arizona Diamondbacks
Date/Time: Aug 19 2019 9:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Arizona Diamondbacks -0.5 (-135)
Rodriguez v. Gallen
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ROB VENO
Game: (903) San Diego Padres at (904) Cincinnati Reds
Date/Time: Aug 19 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+120)
View Analysis
Game: (911) Seattle Mariners at (912) Tampa Bay Rays
Date/Time: Aug 19 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-105)
View Analysis
Game: (917) Detroit Tigers at (918) Houston Astros
Date/Time: Aug 19 2019 8:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 10.0 (-115)
View Analysis
Game: (907) Colorado Rockies at (908) Arizona Diamondbacks
Date/Time: Aug 19 2019 9:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+105)
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Stats Analytics Sports
MLB
5* San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds ~ UNDER 9 (+106)
5* Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers ~ UNDER 11.5 (-104)
5* Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros ~ UNDER 10 (-101)
1* Baltimore Orioles -129 vs Kansas City Royals
1* Cincinnati Reds -156 vs San Diego Padres
1* Minnesota Twins -207 vs Chicago White Sox
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Paul Leiner
2500* Broncos -1
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Exodus to Black
14-5 run
MLB
Pitt+110
Milwaukee+110
SD+132
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MLB(Bob Balfe)
7:05 PM EST
Rotation # 901-902
Nationals/Pirates Over 10 runs
Ross/Williams
Both pitchers in this matchup have struggled with their control as of late. When you walk batters in hot and humid conditions it can only end badly for a starting pitcher.Both bullpens have struggled and both teams have been hitting the ball well.The Nationals are on fire right now and I don’t expect them to cool off in these conditions.Take the Over
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Seabass : 400 reds , 400 nationals game under , 300 mariners game over , 300 rangers , NO LIMIT PLAY Broncos
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Consensus Picks
Cardinals -120 (6-1)
Rays -185 (5-0)
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Marco D'Angelo
PLAY: (906) MILWAUKEE/ST LOUIS UNDER 9.5
RATING: 3% PLAY
Listed pitchers: Davies vs Dak Hudson
St. Louis sends Dad Hudson to the mound tonight and Hudson is coming off a stellar performance going 6 innings of shutout ball. Zach Davies in 7 road starts this season has a ERA of 2.97. Davies struggled in his last 3 starts 2 at home one on the road but he ended up on the DL and that was part of the reason he was struggling. Now fresh off the DL he is ready to pitch the way he did most of the year. When Hudson is a favorite of -150 or less the UNDER is 8-0 this year. Davies is 20-6 to the UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 the last 2 seasons. Finally when Davies starts against a division opponent the UNDER is 15-5 the last 2 seasons. I’m on the UNDER 9.5.
TAKE MILWAUKEE/ST LOUIS UNDER 9.5 as MARCO’S 3% TOTAL DOMINATION PLAY
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