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Free MLB, CFL & WNBA Premium Service Plays For Monday 7/22/19

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(@shazman)
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Monday 7/22/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, CFL & WNBA games.

 
Posted : July 22, 2019 7:51 am
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Stephen Oh

Seattle -128 Sam Gon
Oakland +200 Bai
New York Yankees -116 Per
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+EV: MLB 4u: 906 CIN/MIL un9 -110 (S Gray | C Anderson) (Monday, July 22nd)

+EV: MLB 4u: 917 Texas Rangers +117 (A Sampson | M Gonzales) (Monday, July 22nd)
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Paul Leiner

Three MLB Plays 7/22

100* Over 9 Indians/Blue Jays
100* Brewers -125
100* Rockies +115
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Posted : July 22, 2019 8:44 am
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Larry Hartstein

MINNESOTA -100
N.Y. YANKEES @ MINNESOTA | 7/22 | 8:10 PM EDT

The Twins crush left-handed pitching. They rank second in OPS (.860) versus southpaws. Plus, they got a huge emotional boost from Sunday's thrilling comeback win over Oakland. CC Sabathia sports a 5.84 road ERA, with 11 homers allowed in just 37 innings. Back the home dog in the opener of this high-profile series.

49-31 IN LAST 80 MLB ML PICKS | +1539
25-12 IN LAST 37 NYY ML PICKS | +1470

CLEVELAND -167
CLEVELAND @ TORONTO | 7/22 | 7:07 PM EDT

The Indians have won six straight road games and Mike Clevinger is in top form lately. In his three July starts covering 17 innings, he's fanned 27 and walked three while allowing just two runs. Back Cleveland to beat Toronto for the fifth straight time.

49-31 IN LAST 80 MLB ML PICKS | +1539
24-13 IN LAST 37 TOR ML PICKS | +956

21-11 IN LAST 32 CLE ML PICKS | +890
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BaseWinner MLB Betting Projections (July 22)

The model has 1 totals and 3 sides. The model has 0 games with a side and total play in the same game.
910 .67* TOR +150
913 .67* NYY -110
916 .67* OAK/HOU u9 -125
919 .67* MIA +125
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Dwayne Bryant

MLB O/U System Play of Day

4% A's-Astros under 8.5

List Bailey & Cole
4% play at 8.5 or higher
3% play at 8
No play below 8
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Posted : July 22, 2019 1:00 pm
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BEN BURNS

3*
Chicago whitesox -135
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DAVE ESSLER

3*
Miami +105

1*
Texas +105
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SPARTAN

3*
San Francisco +103
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Posted : July 22, 2019 1:01 pm
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STEPHEN NOVER

2*
Texas +113
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JR ODONNELL

3*AL GOM
New York Yankees -116
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GREG SHAKER

3*
Boston -120

2*
Seattle / Texas over 10
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Posted : July 22, 2019 1:03 pm
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Adam Thompson

BOSTON -129
BOSTON @ TAMPA BAY | 7/22 | 7:10 PM EDT

Boston has won an astonishing 18 of Eduardo Rodriguez's last 22 road starts. The Sox have also taken five of six against left-handed starters, and the Rays start one in Jalen Beeks, who has yet to start a game this year. He only started one last year and was roughed up for six runs in four innings. Boston's offense is averaging nearly seven runs per game in July. Rodriguez hasn't thrown well against the Rays this year, but law of averages say he'll allow fewer runs than the Sox will score.

23-15 IN LAST 38 MLB ML PICKS | +299
14-5 IN LAST 19 TB ML PICKS | +772

27-20 IN LAST 47 BOS ML PICKS | +47

N.Y. YANKEES -127
N.Y. YANKEES @ MINNESOTA | 7/22 | 8:10 PM EDT

The Twins are hitting .290 against LHPs this year, best in the league. But CC Sabathia has dominated Minnesota over his career. Over the last 16 starts against the Twins, he's 12-1. Twins starter Martin Perez, meanwhile, has a 9.68 ERA in four starts against the Yankees. New York is on a 5-1 run against left-handed starters, while Minnesota has lost four straight despite its overall hitting success.

23-15 IN LAST 38 MLB ML PICKS | +299
11-7 IN LAST 18 MIN ML PICKS | +153

2-1 IN LAST 3 NYY ML PICKS | +5
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Tony Chau/John Morrison Sports Betting Champ

[A] Toronto +1.5
[A] Oakland +1.5
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H&H Sports

MLB
5* New York Yankees -118
4* Boston Red Sox -127
3* Miami Marlins +102
3* Giants/Cubs Over 8.5 (-120)
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Posted : July 22, 2019 1:05 pm
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Tim Wilkinson

Top Play Cleveland Indians -169
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Billy Coleman

MLB
3* #918 Seattle -120 (Gonzales)
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Adam Thompson

ADDED:

COLORADO +137
COLORADO @ WASHINGTON | 7/22 | 7:05 PM EDT

Rockies starter Peter Lambert doesn't have the best overall stats, but he's a fresh-faced 22-year-old rookie who throws at Coors Field. His only two road starts, he shut down the Cubs and held down the Dodgers. Meanwhile, Nats starter Erick Fedde has faced the Rockies twice -- he has a 12.69 ERA to show for it. Colorado is a hugely disappointing road-hitting team, but Fedde's home stats are way worse than his production on the road. The Rockies are too big an underdog here.

23-15 IN LAST 38 MLB ML PICKS | +299
20-15 IN LAST 35 COL ML PICKS | +192

5-3 IN LAST 8 WAS ML PICKS | +122
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Posted : July 22, 2019 1:07 pm
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Goodfella

3*
Texas +100
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Sleepyj

3*GOW
Minnesota +108
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Dr. Chuck

BASEBALL PLAYS

Game: 915 Houston Astros Over 5.5 runs
Date/Time: Jul 22 2019 3:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Over 5.5 run team total

View Analysis

Bailey v. Cole

Astros just finished a sweep of one of the (many) divisional competitors in the Rangers and now get another series...and the A's come into this with Homer on the bump. The Royals unloaded that contract to help the A's make a run to the playoffs but how much help this will be might go a long way to being determined tonight!

Homer won his first Oakland start against the M's and didn't look all bad. His soft contact % is far too low with medium and hard dominating his contact...which is most of the time...with his swing and miss rate below 9%...now.dowm to 10% for the season! No lineup has had more medium/hard contact that the Astros against RHP this month...limiting soft contact to 5%!!!

The A's bullpen if Homer can get through the Astros bats (after Brantley x2 and Altuve took Lynn deep) have an xFIP of 4.79 this month. The Stros are not gonna have less motivation as they know they must keep the division winning going to ensure this season is as dominant as it appears!

Game: (909) Cleveland Indians at (910) Toronto Blue Jays
Date/Time: Jul 22 2019 7:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 5%
Play: 1H Cleveland Indians -0.5 (-125)

View Analysis

Clevinger v. Borucki

BONUS

Play Astros team total Over 4.5 or 5.5!

4.5- at least 5%

5.5- at least 3%
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Posted : July 22, 2019 3:28 pm
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+EV: MLB 4u: 901 Colorado Rockies +141 (P Lambert | E Fedde) (Monday, July 22nd)
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Posted : July 22, 2019 3:28 pm
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