Monday 7/15/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, CFL & WNBA games.
Marc Lawrence
Jul 15 '19, 7:10 PM in 21h
MLB | Tigers vs Indians
Play on: Indians -161 at Pinnacle
Play - Cleveland Indians w/Plutko vs Norris (Game 966).
Edges - Indians: 14-2 last 16 home games in this series, and Plutko 21 Ks with 1 BB last five starts …Tigers: 2-6 at night behind Norris this season … We recommend a 1* play on Cleveland. Thank you and good luck as always. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Mark Wilson
Jul 15 '19, 7:05 PM in 21h
MLB | TAM vs NYY
Play on: OVER 8½ -114
Free Play on Rays vs Yankees over 8½ -114
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: Cleveland w/Plutko -165 Over Detroit
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Totals4U
Monday's Free Selection: Detroit Tigers/Cleveland Indians under 10
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#1 Sports
Monday's Free Selection: Los Angeles Angels
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Platinum Plays
Free Pick: the NY Yankees w/Paxton -140 over Tampa Bay
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Hawkeye Sports
Monday's Free Pick: Cleveland Indians - 165
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Monday: Philadelphia Phillies + 150
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR MONDAY: PITTSBURGH/ST LOUIS UNDER the total of 8½ runs
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Monday : Take CHICAGO WHITE SOX/KANSAS CITY OVER the total of 9 runs
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Arthur Ralph
FREE play MON Atl BRAVES w/ Fried-107
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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Monday: Take ATLANTA/MILWAUKEE UNDER the total of 10 runs
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Tony Brown
Tony's MLB free play
Detroit vs. Cleveland, 07/15/2019 19:10 EDT
Point Spread: -1½/-105 Cleveland
Sportsbook:
Bodog
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Rob Vinceletti
Rob V: Monday MLB Comp Play
Atlanta vs. Milwaukee, 07/15/2019 20:10 EDT
Money Line: -100 Milwaukee
Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports
The MLB Comp Play is on Milwaukee at 8:10 eastern. The Brewers are 10-1 at home vs a team with a .600 or better road win percentage and 7-1 at home vs a lefty. The Brewers are a workmanlike 20-7 on Mondays. The Braves have lost 4 of 5 here. Fried for Atlanta did not pitch well here earlier in the year. Houser for the Brewers has not been great either, However the Braves are in a solid plays against system that goes against road favorites here and hits over 80% long term. So we will back the Brewers. On Monday our lead play is a massive MLB Game of the Month from a 26-1 System. We also have a 5* Total from a rare system that is 10-0 since 2005. . For the MLB Free pick. Make it Milwaukee. Rob V- GC Sports
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Kenny Walker
Jul 15 '19, 2:10 PM in 59m
MLB | Giants vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies -180 at 5dimes
Free Pick on Rockies
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Dustin Hawkins
Jul 15 '19, 2:10 PM in 59m
MLB | Giants vs Rockies
Play on: Giants +190 at Mirage
1 Dimer on Giants +190
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Jul 15 '19, 7:05 PM in 5h
MLB | TAM vs NYY
Play on: OVER 8½ -114
Free Play on Rays vs Yankees over8½ -114
Despite two solid pitchers on the mound in this game (Blake Snell for Tampa Bay and James Paxton for New York), we can expect plenty of runs in this game. Both pitchers carry an ERA above 4.00 and have had some games this year where they got rocked hard. Snell has four games where has allowed at least six earned runs and Paxton has three where he has allowed at least five. Tampa Bay's offense is hot coming out of the All-Star break, scoring 33 runs in four games and the Yankees have baseball's second-highest scoring offense. We can expect a chunk of runs early from the starters and see this game cruise past the over once we see some bullpen action.
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John Martin
Jul 15 '19, 7:05 PM in 5h
MLB | Dodgers vs Phillies
Play on: Phillies +160 at 5dimes
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Philadelphia Phillies +160
I’ll take a shot with the Phillies today at home against the Dodgers. The Dodgers played in an extra innings thriller last night in Boston, winning 7-4 and earning revenge on them after losing to the Red Sox in the World Series. It’s definitely a bit of a letdown spot here for the Red Sox tonight. Clayton Kershaw hasn’t been that great on the road this season, going 1-2 with a 3.99 ERA in six starts. Zach Eflin is 5-2 with a 3.04 ERA in his seven home starts this year for the Phillies. The tough spot for the Dodgers and the home/road splits for these two starting pitchers warrants a bet on Philadelphia tonight. Give me the Phillies.
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Steve Janus
Jul 15 '19, 7:05 PM in 5h
MLB | Rays vs Yankees
Play on: Yankees -141 at Pinnacle
1* Free Sharp Play on Yankees -141
My money is on the Yankees to cash in an easy win here at home against the Rays. Tampa Bay's Blake Snell is a guy people like to back, but he's actually a perfect guy to fade on the road. Snell has a 6.48 ERA in 9 road starts, where he's allowed 30 runs on 48 hits in 41 2/3 innings. Yankees will counter with James Paxton, who when right is one of the best in the game. Paxton tends to throw well at home, where he's got a 3.26 ERA in 8 starts. He's also 3-1 with a 3.24 ERA in 4 starts vs the Rays. Bet the Yankees -141!
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Ricky Tran
Jul 15 '19, 7:05 PM in 5h
MLB | Rays vs Yankees
Play on: Yankees -136 at 5dimes
Ricky’s 1* Free Play on the New York Yankees.
New York leads the season series 9-4, but Tampa took two of three in a series right before the All-Star break. However the Rays have lost four straight in the Bronx, allowing 34 runs in the process. New York enters having gone 12-0-1 in its last 13 home series after securing the 4-2 win over Toronto on Sunday. James Paxton (5-4, 4.01 ERA) gets the nod for the home side and he’s 3-1 with a 3.24 ERA over four career match ups with the Rays. The Rays go with Blake Snell, who is 0-2 with a 5.29 ERA vs. New York this year.
Key Trends:
- Tampa Bay a poor 19-21 (-5.3 units) this season vs. teams with winning records.
- New York is 15-2 (+11.9 units) this year as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range.
The verdict: For the most part MLB handicapping is about the starting pitchers and in this case, I like Paxton to get the better of Snell, who is now just a shell of his former self. Consider the Yankees on Monday night!
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Jimmy Boyd
Jul 15 '19, 7:10 PM in 5h
MLB | Tigers vs Indians
Play on: Tigers +186 at 5dimes
1* Free MLB Pick on Detroit Tigers +186
I cashed in a huge profit on Sunday with Detroit as a +142 dog at at KC and love the value here with the Tigers as a near +200 dog in Monday's series opener at Cleveland.
No question that the Indians are the better team, but this is a big flat spot for Cleveland coming off their massive 3-game series against division leader Minnesota over the weekend. Indians avoided getting swept by the Twins with a 4-3 win on Sunday. However, they are just 5-11 over the last 3 years off a 1 run win against a division rival.
Detroit's offense scored a season high 12 runs on a season high 19 hits in Sunday's win. They will be up against one of the lesser Indians' starters in Adam Plutko, who has a mediocre 4.26 ERA in 6 starts.
I know the numbers aren't great for Tigers' starter Daniel Norris, but he's 3-1 with a 3.10 ERA in 6 career starts. Take Detroit!
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Brandon Lee
Jul 15 '19, 8:05 PM in 6h
MLB | Reds vs Cubs
Play on: Cubs -142 at GTBets
10* FREE MLB PICK (Cubs -142)
I'll take my chances here with the Cubs at home against the Reds. We cashed in on Chicago in their 8-3 win on Sunday, as the Cubs secured a sweep of the Pirates in their first series back from the All-Star break. I look for Chicago to keep it rolling behind starter Kyle Hendricks, who is 4-1 with a 1.65 ERA and 0.878 WHIP in 7 home starts. Hendricks has faced Cincinnati twice this season and both times was sharp, allowing just 4 runs on 9 hits with 16 strikeouts in 14 innings. Cubs are 18-5 in their last 23 at home as a favorite of -125 to -175 and 17-4 in their last 21 at home after a game where the bullpen didn't allow a run. Give me Chicago -142!
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Cole Faxon
Jul 15 '19, 8:05 PM in 6h
MLB | Reds vs Cubs
Play on: Reds +134 at YouWager
FREE PLAY on Reds +134
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Mike Williams
Jul 15 '19, 8:05 PM in 6h
MLB | Reds vs Cubs
Play on: Reds +134 at YouWager
1* on Reds +134
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Hunter Price
Jul 15 '19, 8:05 PM in 6h
MLB | Reds vs Cubs
Play on: Cubs -133 at YouWager
1* Free Pick on Cubs -133
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Dave Price
Jul 15 '19, 8:10 PM in 6h
MLB | Braves vs Brewers
Play on: Braves -101 at Pinnacle
Dave’s Monday Free Play:
1* on Atlanta Braves -101
The Key: The Atlanta Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 games overall and playing some of their best baseball of the season to get to 20 games over .500. I think we are getting them at a great price tonight at basically even money when you consider they have a big advantage on the rubber. Max Fried is 9-4 with a 4.36 ERA in 18 starts for the Braves this year. Adrian Houser is 0-3 with an 8.47 ERA and 2.18 WHIP in 5 starts for the Brewers. Fried pitched 6 shutout innings on May 17th in his lone start against the Brewers this season. The Braves are 21-8 in their last 29 road games. The Braves are 5-1 in Fried’s last 6 road starts. Take Atlanta.
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Ben Burns
Jul 15 '19, 8:15 PM in 7h
MLB | CWS vs KC
Play on: UNDER 9 -119
I won with Chicago 'under' the total yesterday. Now the Sox face the Royals and I'm expecting another relatively well-pitched affair. Fresh off a scoreless inning at the All Star Game, Giolito gets the call for the ChiSox. He's 6-2 with a 2.72 ERA on the road. He's also 3-0 in four starts vs. the Royals this season. All four produced nine or fewer combined runs. The last three all produced seven or less, each staying below the total. In fact, his most recent start against KC resulted in a 2-0 final, Giolito recording 11 K's through 7 2/3 shutout innings. Junis closed out the first half with a strong start vs. Washington. He allowed two runs through seven complete innings. Junis has also allowed three or fewer earned runs in each of his past three starts vs. Chicago. One of those was a h2h matchup vs. Giolito, last September. That one finished with a 4-3 final. Consider the Under.
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Jack Jones
Jul 15 '19, 10:07 PM in 8h
MLB | Astros vs Angels
Play on: Astros -116 at BMaker
Jack’s Free Pick Monday: Houston Astros -116
We are getting the Houston Astros pretty cheap tonight against the Los Angeles Angels. It’s worth noting that Mike Trout had to leave after two innings yesterday with right calf tightness and there’s a good chance the Angels won’t have the best player in baseball today.
The Astros will use reliever Josh James as an opener and then turn to Framber Valdez, who has struggled in the first inning this season, so the move makes sense. And Valdez is 2-1 with a 1.69 ERA in three career appearances against the Angels, including two starts.
Griffin Canning is 3-5 with a 4.43 ERA in 12 starts this season for the Angels. He has already allowed 13 homers in just 65 innings pitched. Canning is coming off a disastrous start against the Rangers, giving up 6 earned runs and 10 base runners in 3 1/3 innings.
The Astros are 41-14 in their last 55 vs. AL West opponents. Houston is 42-19 in the last 61 meetings, including 21-7 in the last 28 meetings in Los Angeles. Bet the Astros Monday.
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