MARCO’S NL GAME OF THE WEEK
Game: (957) Washington Nationals at (958) Philadelphia Phillies
Date/Time: Jul 13 2019 7:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Washington Nationals +109
View Analysis
PLAY: (957) WASHINGTON +109
RATING: 4% PLAY
Don’t look now but the Washington Nationals are one of the hottest teams in baseball going 16-4 over their last 20 games. Pat Corbin goes for Washington and he has been an absolute stud giving up a total of just 3 runs over his last 4 starts. In those 4 starts he has gone 7 innings in each game. His strikeout to walk ratio in those 4 games is an incredible 35-4. In his 9 division starts this year Washington is 7-2 as Corbin has an ERA 2.26 and a WHIP of 1.00. Aaron Nola goes for Philly and although he is currently pitching well also his division starts have produced just a 5-5 record for the Phillies. The entire Washington pitching staff is razor sharp right now allowing 2 runs or less in 7 of their last 8 games. Washington is a team on the move and I’m riding them here.
TAKE WASHINGTON as MARCO’S 4% NL GAME OF THE WEEK
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DR. CHUCK
Game: (959) Arizona Diamondbacks at (960) St. Louis Cardinals
Date/Time: Jul 13 2019 7:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Arizona Diamondbacks +121
View Analysis
Kelly v. Hudson
I smell a rat with this line...and thus here we are yet again backing the Dbacks, this time on the first 5 line as we mentioned was almost the play last night. I hope more of you than not were able to play action and not listed (purposely or accidentally) to get that solid 2-0 night!
Both these "rookies" in today's matcup are quite a pair: Merill Kelly is worse on the road than he is at home, Dakota Hudson is better on the road than he is at home. Both get to toss pitches in the locale where they are lesser and yet one of the 2 of them is a semi-decent dog of +130 or more with an offensive lineup against RHP that has been nothing short of OFFENSIVE! As we played on the chances of righties coming out of the pen making the Cards potentially worse last night, we now bank on the fact Kelly should face hitters for the first 15 outs tonight and throw from the right side for each one! Over a period of the last month as well as the last couple weeks, the Cards are just flat out metrically the worst....not in a small sample of PAs either...170 since the end of June, piling up -11 wRAA, a .248 wOBA, with the lowest BB rate, and 50 Ks during that span! (quick refresher of hitting metrics - wOBA is the stat I most utilize and is synonymous with the OBP scale- above .400 is considered "excellent" while below .300 is considered "horrible"...so .248 speaks for itself...nobody in the lineup can hit a righty right now...and yet Vegas will PAY YOU to fade the Cards!
The Dbacks on offense is luckily a different story...not world beaters, but over the same amount of PAs have a .320 wOBA, a flat wRAA, and double them up with XBH rating ISO- .194 compared to .105 (think of it in terms of BA but eliminating singles also).
We are getting plus money for a first 5, all at bats included, just need to be leading and have no worries about the outcome...Christian Walker is just as likely to do it all by himself for us and we move to Sunday with a stone cold winner!
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Augie J - Giants Astros
Dime Man - Cubs
Philly Guy - Cubs Astros Nationals Rockies over
Champagne - Nationals Brewers Rays Astros all under
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