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MLB Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Tuesday 6/25/19

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Tuesday 6/25/19

 
Posted : June 25, 2019 8:20 am
(@shazman)
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National League
Mets (37-42) @ Phillies (40-38)
Lockett allowed six runs in 2.1 IP (55 PT) in his first ’19 start. Team in his starts: 0-1
5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 1-0

Arrieta is 1-1, 4.86 in his last three starts; he is 3-4, 2.50 in 12 starts vs NY. Team in his starts: 8-6
5-inning record: 6-8-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-15 Over/under: over 4-1-1 last six

Mets lost 21 of last 28 road games; over is 10-5-2 in their last 17 road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 18-4 last 22 games.

Phillies lost seven of their last eight games; under is 3-2 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-3 last seven games.

Nationals (37-40) @ Marlins (30-46)
Scherzer is 4-0, 0.93 in his last four starts; he is 12-4, 3.20 in 21 starts vs Miami. Team in his starts: 6-10
5-inning record: 8-6-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-16 Over/under: under 4-1 last five

Richards is 2-2, 2.43 in his last five starts; he is 0-1, 3.86 in four starts vs Washington. Miami scored one run in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 4-11
5-inning record: 6-6-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-15 Over/under: 8-7

Washington won five of last seven games; they’re 4-8 in road series openers- under is 4-2 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-3 in their last nine games.

Marlins won five of last six games; they’re 3-10 in home series openers- under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-1 last seven games.

Braves (46-33) @ Cubs (43-35)
Fried is 1-1, 6.49 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 11-4
5-inning record: 9-4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-15 Over/under: 11-4

Alzolay is making first MLB start; he was 2-1, 3.09 in six AAA starts this year. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

Braves won five of last eight games; under is 3-2 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 12-2 in their last 14 games.

Chicago is 5-6 in its last dozen games; over is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-0 last six games.

Dodgers (54-26) @ Diamondbacks (40-40)
Stripling is making his first start since April 25 (1-1, 2.65 in six starts); he is 1-4, 3.78 in 20 games (5 starts) vs Arizona. Team in his starts: 4-2
5-inning record: 3-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-6 Over/under: last four under

Ray is 1-3, 5.34 in his last five starts; he is 7-4, 2.89 in 17 starts vs LA. Team in his starts: 8-8
5-inning record: 6-8-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-16 Over/under: last three over

Dodgers won six of their last six games; over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-1 last six games.

Arizona lost six of its last eight games; eight of their last ten games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 10-4 last 14 home games.

Rockies (41-37) @ Giants (33-44)
Gonzalez is making his first ’19 start; he was 4-8, 4.54 in 17 games (13 starts) for Texas in 2015-16, and is 4-5, 5.66 in 14 AAA starts this year. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

Bumgarner is 0-3, 4.93 in his last six starts; he is 15-8, 3.07 in 32 starts vs Colorado. Team in his starts: 7-9
5-inning record: 7-8-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-16 Over/under: over 7-2 last nine

Rockies lost three of last four games; over is 10-4 in their last 14 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 10-3 in their last 13 road games.

Giants are 7-6 in last 13 games; over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-2 in their last six games.

American League
Blue Jays (29-50) @ New York (50-28)
Richard is 0-2, 11.37 in his last there starts; he is 0-1, 3.18 in two starts vs NY. Team in his starts: 2-4
5-inning record: 2-3-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-6 Over/under: 3-2-1

Green has a 2.79 RA in six opens. Team in his starts: 6-0
5-inning record: 5-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-6 Over/under: 5-1

Blue Jays won three of last five games; over is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-3 last eight games.

New York won nine of its last ten games; five of their last six games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 15-4 last 19 games.

Royals (27-52) @ Indians (43-35)
Sparkman is 1-2, 4.34 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 2-4
5-inning record: 3-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-6 Over/under: under 3-0 last three

Bieber is 1-1, 2.63 in his last two starts; he is 2-0, 6.35 in two starts vs KC. Team in his starts: 10-5
5-inning record: 7-4-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-15 Over/under: 3-10-2

Royals won five of last nine games; four of their last five games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-3 last eight games.

Cleveland won nine of last 11 games; over is 7-4 in their last 11 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-3 last ten games.

White Sox (36-40) @ Red Sox (43-37)
Bullpen game Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

Price is 2-0, 3.65 in his last five starts; he is 6-5, 3.45 in 16 starts vs Chicago. Team in his starts: 6-7
5-inning record: 5-4-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-12 Over/under: 6-7

Chicago lost six of last eight games; seven of their last nine games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-4 last 11 games.

Boston won nine of last 12 games; over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-3 in their last nine games.

Rangers (42-36) @ Tigers (26-47)
Chavez is 0-0, 0.00 (6.2 IP) in four opens. Team in his starts: 3-1
5-inning record: 3-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-4 Over/under: 2-2

Zimmerman is 0-4, 10.02 in his last five starts; he is 1-1, 2.25 in two starts vs Texas. Team in his starts: 4-1
5-inning record: 4-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-5 Over/under: 3-1-1

Rangers won three of last four games; they’re 4-7 in road series openers- four of their last six games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-3 last 11 games.

Detroit lost eight of last nine games; they’re 4-8 in home series openers- over is 7-3 in their last ten home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 last five games.

Rays (45-33) @ Twins (50-27)
Snell allowed 10 runs in 3.2 IP in his last two starts; he 1-1, 5.12 in four starts vs Minnesota. Team in his starts: 7-8
5-inning record: 5-8-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-15 Over/under: 7-8

Gibson is 1-2, 5.71 in his last three starts; he is 3-5, 5.22 in nine starts vs TB. Team in his starts: 9-5
5-inning record: 9-4-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-14 Over/under: over 6-3 last nine

Rays lost five of last seven games; they’re 9-4 in road series openers- three of their last four games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 9-4 last 13 road games.

Minnesota is 3-5 in its last eight games; they’re 8-4 in home series openers- under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-4 last 12 games.

Interleague
Padres (38-40) @ Orioles (22-56)
Allen blanked Milwaukee for seven IP (90 PT) in his first MLB start. Team in his starts: 1-0
5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

Yacabonis threw two shutout IP in his first open. Team in his starts: 0-1
5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 1-0

Padres lost eight of last 10 road games; they’re 1-7 in last eight road series openers- three of their last four games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-3-1 last ten games.

Baltimore lost 11 of last 12 games; they’re 5-7 in home series openers- over is 5-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-2 last nine games.

Mariners (35-47) @ Brewers (42-36)
Gonzales is 3-0, 2.79 in his last three starts; he is 1-0, 9.53 in two games (1 start) vs Milwaukee. Team in his starts: 9-8
5-inning record: 10-6-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-17 Over/under: over 4-1 last five

Davies is 1-1, 7.82 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 9-6
5-inning record: 8-4-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-15 Over/under: 3-12

Mariners won four of last five games; they’re 5-8 in road series openers- over is 12-3 in their last 15 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-3 last ten games.

Milwaukee lost seven of last 10 games; they’re 3-9 in last 12 series openers- over is 4-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 18-2-1 last 21 games.

Pirates (36-40) @ Astros (49-30)
Williams is 1-1, 5.19 in his last six starts. Team in his starts: 7-3
5-inning record: 2-5-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-10 Over/under: 5-5

Former Pirate Cole is 2-0, 2.90 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 9-6
5-inning record: 7-6-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-15 Over/under: 8-7

Pirates won five of last six games; they’re 5-8 in road series openers- over is 9-2-1 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 20-5 last 25 games.

Houston is off a 1-6 road trip; they’re 10-2 in home series openers- over is 5-0 in their last five home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-2 last eight games.

A’s (41-38) @ Cardinals (40-37)
Bassitt is 0-2, 5.19 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 5-5
5-inning record: 6-3-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-10 Over/under: 6-3-1

Flaherty is 0-1, 4.09 in his last six starts. Team in his starts: 7-8
5-inning record: 6-5-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-15 Over/under: over 3-1 last four

A’s won five of last seven games; they’re 6-6 in road series openers- five of their last seven road games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven road games.

St Louis is 9-5 in its last 14 games; they’re 7-6 in home series openers- over is 8-2 in their last ten home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 14-1 last 15 home games.

Reds (36-40) @ Angels (39-40)
Mahle is 0-2, 4.96 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 4-10
5-inning record: 4-9-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-14 Over/under: 3-10-1

Heaney is 0-1, 5.68 in five starts. Team in his starts: 3-2
5-inning record: 3-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-5 Over/under: 3-2

Reds won six of last eight games; they’re 9-5 in road series openers- three of their last four games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-3 last ten games.

Angels lost three of last four games; they’re 4-7 in home series openers- over is 6-3-1 in their last ten home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-0 last three games.

 
Posted : June 25, 2019 8:22 am
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%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 6/24
Ariz 15-43……8-34…….23
Atl 10-36…..14-38……24
Cubs 10-33……14-41…..24
Reds 13-39……11-32…..24
Colo 10-40…15-35…….24
LA 8-36……18-39……26
Mia 7-36……9-38……..16
Milw 14-36…..14-38…..28
Mets 16-43……9-32……25
Philly 8-36…..15-39…….23
Pitt 10-37…..9-35……..19
StL 10-37…..8-36……..18
SD 14-35……10-40…..24
SF 4-39……7-37………11
Wash 13-35…..12-37……,25

Orioles 12-38…….12-34…..24
Boston 8-40……..9-36…….17
W Sox 8-39…….13-34……..21
Clev 12-33…..11-40……..23
Det 11-34…….12-37……23
Astros 14-39…..8-39………22
KC 10-37…..15-39……..25
Angels 15-42……9-33……..24
Twins 15-41……8-36………22
NYY 12-35……13-42……25
A’s 6-39…….10-38……16
Sea 9-39…….13-41…….22
TB 16-39…..12-35…….28
Texas 12-33…..14-41…….25
Toronto 9-38…….11-37…….20

Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL– 34-31 NL, favorites -$1,705 over 34-29-2
AL @ NL– 34-22 NL, favorites -$113 over 33-21-2
Total: 68-53 NL, favorites -$1,818 Over 67-50-4

 
Posted : June 25, 2019 8:23 am
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Who's Hot and Who's Not

Week of June 24th

About a month ago I gave out a brief early season look on all the umpires in MLB that were good to back with totals in some fashion. The Top 'over' umpires at the time was an extensive list of guys who at the time had just gone by the 10-game marker in terms of number of times behind the plate, while umps who favored the 'under' more often were listed as well.

We've since had another four full weeks of action which means that most umpires worth tracking are around the 15-game mark behind the dish now, and while some of the names from both lists have stayed the same, there are also plenty of changes as well. So it what may become a monthly thing the rest of the year, let's take a look back at some of the best 'over' and 'under' umpires currently in the game.

Odds per - YouWager.eu

Who's Hot - 70% or better to the 'Over' Umpires

Alan Porter (12-2 O/U)
Mike Winters (10-3 O/U)
Jeff Kellogg (10-3 O/U)
Chad Whitson (10-4 O/U)
Carlos Torres (10-4 O/U)
Tom Hallion (7-3 O/U)

As you can see in comparison from a month ago, there are a few names missing from that initial list here as things can regress back to the mean over time with these guys. Winters, Whitson, and Kellogg are the three remaining holdovers, while Porter and Hallion and Torres are the newcomers, largely thanks to them reaching 10+ games now.

In Porter's case, he's jumped to the top of the list (85.7%) thanks to a run of going 5-0 O/U in his five games since last month's piece was written, and all five of those games finished with at least 10 runs. The 12.4 runs per game Porter sees behind the dish is third highest in the league behind Winters (13.4), and Brian Gorman (13.9) who still has some games to do before his trends can really be taken seriously. That high of an average run per game number will earn 'over' bettors plenty of units, and with the Porter/Winters combo being up 16.6 units to the 'over' this year, they are two names that are cause for pause for 'under' bettors.

Of the new names on the list, Torres and Hallion are names to keep an eye on for assignments, especially if they are doing National League games, as combined they are 9-0 O/U on the senior circuit this year. Hallion has seen an average of 12.3 runs per game in contests featuring two NL teams, while Torres clocks in at 13.4 runs/game in the same scenario. Those numbers could be nothing more than randomness when it's all said and done, but if you are looking for some regression to the mean from these guys, chances are you'll want to see them involved with AL teams – 4-7-1 O/U combined – at least.

Odds per - YouWager.eu

Who's Not - 70% or better to the 'Under' umpires

Andy Fletcher (2-9-1 O/U)
Joe West (3-11 O/U)
Rob Drake (3-10 O/U)
Jerry Meals (4-11-1 O/U)

Whether it's because of all the HR balls or not this year, the 'under' list of umpires has grown significantly shorter in a month, with only West and Meals the holdovers here. Last month's leader in the clubhouse – Ed Hickox has seen nothing but 'overs' since being mentioned here, as his games are 5-0 O/U since that time with three of the four of them finishing with at least 11 runs. That's a great example of how these guys can regress to the mean over time, and how some savvy bettors may want to take all the names on each list this week and simply go the other way in their next outings. After all, another name gone from this list – Mike Everitt – went a perfect 4-0-1 O/U since last month's post as well.

Regarding the two holdovers, West has become an 'under' umpire in recent years overall, as his expanding zone gets plenty of strikeouts for both sides this year, and having a 66-year old guy behind the dish calling balls and strikes will come with some inconsistencies.

Meals hasn't reached his 60's yet, but he's morphed into a great 'under' guy in recent years as well. He was a great guy to back with 'overs' early on his career, but with a 32-46-3 O/U record over the past two years – 11-25-2 in American League games – Meals is another guy who has seemingly expanded his strike zone as the years have gone on. There isn't lost hope of Meals or West seeing a few more 'overs' soon given that they were favorable to that side at one point in their careers, but recent trends suggest that these guys will continue to be favorable to pitchers with those expanding and shifting strike zones.

 
Posted : June 25, 2019 8:34 am
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951Ny Mets -952 Philadelphia
NY METS are 17-23 SU (-14 Units) in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

953Washington -954 Miami
MIAMI is 14-1 SU (12.9 Units) after 7 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

955Atlanta -956 Chicago Cubs
CHICAGO CUBS are 33-29 SU (7.6 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

957La Dodgers -958 Arizona
ARIZONA is 37-21 SU (16 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

959Colorado -960 San Francisco
COLORADO is 15-4 SU (10.6 Units) in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.

961Toronto -962 Ny Yankees
NY YANKEES are 16-7 SU (13.8 Units) in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the current season.

963Kansas City -964 Cleveland
CLEVELAND is 42-26 SU (16.1 Units) in home games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons.

965Chi White Sox -966 Boston
BOSTON is 5-16 SU (-12.7 Units) in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities in the current season.

967Texas -968 Detroit
TEXAS are 37-21 SU (15.3 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

969Tampa Bay -970 Minnesota
MINNESOTA is 45-32 SU (16.9 Units) in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game over the last 2 seasons.

971San Diego -972 Baltimore
BALTIMORE is 17-35 SU (-21.7 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

973Seattle -974 Milwaukee
SEATTLE is 21-30 SU (-15.7 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

975Pittsburgh -976 Houston
PITTSBURGH is 6-16 SU (-13.8 Units) vs. excellent power teams - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game in the current season.

977Oakland -978 St Louis
ST LOUIS are 15-8 SU (10.4 Units) in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the current season.

979Cincinnati -980 La Angels
LA ANGELS are 19-11 SU (9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the current season.

 
Posted : June 25, 2019 8:36 am
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MLB

Tuesday, June 25

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Trend Report
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San Diego Padres
San Diego is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
San Diego is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games
San Diego is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games on the road
San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
Baltimore is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing San Diego
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego

Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Toronto is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing NY Yankees
Toronto is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
NY Yankees is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
NY Yankees is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
NY Yankees is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Toronto
NY Yankees is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 9 games when playing Toronto
NY Yankees is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
NY Yankees is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

New York Mets
The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Mets's last 13 games
NY Mets is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
NY Mets is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 9 games on the road
NY Mets is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Philadelphia
NY Mets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing NY Mets
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets

Kansas City @ Cleveland
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Texas @ Detroit
Texas
Texas is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Texas is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Texas
Detroit is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

Chi White Sox @ Boston
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games

Washington @ Miami
Washington
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Atlanta @ Chi Cubs
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
Chi Cubs is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Houston
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home

Seattle @ Milwaukee
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games

Tampa Bay @ Minnesota
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

Oakland @ St. Louis
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of St. Louis's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 8 games

LA Dodgers @ Arizona
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games on the road
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games at home

Colorado @ San Francisco
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 12 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Cincinnati @ LA Angels
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Angels
LA Angels is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
LA Angels is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati

 
Posted : June 25, 2019 8:37 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57659
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Topic starter
 

MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, June 25

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NY METS (37 - 42) at PHILADELPHIA (40 - 38) - 7:05 PM
WALKER LOCKETT (R) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 37-42 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 14-34 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 70-119 (-43.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 464-487 (+31.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 148-164 (-46.2 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-59 (-21.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 (+0.9 Units) against NY METS this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)

WALKER LOCKETT vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
LOCKETT is 0-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 10.39 and a WHIP of 1.617.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. NY METS since 1997
ARRIETA is 3-5 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.77 and a WHIP of 1.067.
His team's record is 5-8 (-5.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-2. (+6.8 units)

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WASHINGTON (37 - 40) at MIAMI (30 - 46) - 7:10 PM
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. TREVOR RICHARDS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 37-40 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 1-9 (-11.9 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
WASHINGTON is 19-27 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 92-81 (-12.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 49-45 (-17.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SCHERZER is 6-10 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 25-24 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 79-75 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-4 (+1.9 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. MIAMI since 1997
SCHERZER is 12-4 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.074.
His team's record is 15-6 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-7. (+5.5 units)

TREVOR RICHARDS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
RICHARDS is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.429.
His team's record is 3-1 (+3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

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ATLANTA (46 - 33) at CHICAGO CUBS (43 - 35) - 8:05 PM
MAX FRIED (L) vs. ADBERT ALZOLAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 22-9 (+12.6 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 27-17 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ATLANTA is 137-107 (+26.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 69-52 (+24.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 94-77 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 104-73 (+30.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 29-20 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 64-55 (+16.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1833-1867 (-268.0 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 985-869 (-152.0 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 258-295 (-76.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 126-109 (-27.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

MAX FRIED vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
FRIED is 2-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 0.82 and a WHIP of 0.727.
His team's record is 2-0 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

ADBERT ALZOLAY vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

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LA DODGERS (54 - 26) at ARIZONA (40 - 40) - 9:40 PM
ROSS STRIPLING (R) vs. ROBBIE RAY (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 5-3 (+0.5 Units) against ARIZONA this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

ROSS STRIPLING vs. ARIZONA since 1997
STRIPLING is 1-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.318.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

ROBBIE RAY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
RAY is 7-5 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.11 and a WHIP of 1.187.
His team's record is 10-8 (+4.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-7. (+3.9 units)

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COLORADO (41 - 37) at SAN FRANCISCO (33 - 44) - 9:45 PM
CHI CHI GONZALEZ (R) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-3 (+1.1 Units) against COLORADO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

CHI CHI GONZALEZ vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. COLORADO since 1997
BUMGARNER is 15-8 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.226.
His team's record is 20-12 (+5.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 14-15. (-1.8 units)

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TORONTO (29 - 50) at NY YANKEES (50 - 28) - 7:05 PM
CLAYTON RICHARD (L) vs. CHAD GREEN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 (+1.7 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
RICHARD is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

CHAD GREEN vs. TORONTO since 1997
GREEN is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.333.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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KANSAS CITY (27 - 52) at CLEVELAND (43 - 35) - 7:10 PM
GLENN SPARKMAN (R) vs. SHANE BIEBER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 27-52 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 19-37 (-13.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 31-85 (-30.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 134-109 (-30.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 38-39 (-23.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 47-36 (-27.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 78-67 (-27.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 96-78 (-25.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 70-63 (-25.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 (+2.7 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

GLENN SPARKMAN vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
SPARKMAN is 0-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

SHANE BIEBER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
BIEBER is 2-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.412.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (36 - 40) at BOSTON (43 - 37) - 7:10 PM
CARSON FULMER (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-1 (+2.2 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

CARSON FULMER vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

DAVID PRICE vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
PRICE is 6-5 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.45 and a WHIP of 1.131.
His team's record is 9-7 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-6. (+3.4 units)

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TEXAS (42 - 36) at DETROIT (26 - 47) - 7:10 PM
JESSE CHAVEZ (R) vs. JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 42-36 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 28-20 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 30-24 (+12.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 82-151 (-48.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 108-191 (-58.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JESSE CHAVEZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
CHAVEZ is 1-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. TEXAS since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 1-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 0.750.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)

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TAMPA BAY (45 - 33) at MINNESOTA (50 - 27) - 8:10 PM
BLAKE SNELL (L) vs. KYLE GIBSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 50-27 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 72-44 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 29-17 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 20-7 (+12.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TAMPA BAY is 135-105 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 32-21 (+12.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 81-52 (+22.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 56-56 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SNELL is 16-7 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 (+2.4 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

BLAKE SNELL vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SNELL is 1-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.12 and a WHIP of 1.345.
His team's record is 1-3 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

KYLE GIBSON vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
GIBSON is 3-5 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.22 and a WHIP of 1.540.
His team's record is 3-6 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-6. (-4.8 units)

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SAN DIEGO (38 - 40) at BALTIMORE (22 - 56) - 7:05 PM
LOGAN ALLEN (L) vs. JIMMY YACABONIS (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

LOGAN ALLEN vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

JIMMY YACABONIS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

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SEATTLE (35 - 47) at MILWAUKEE (42 - 36) - 8:10 PM
MARCO GONZALES (L) vs. ZACH DAVIES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 6-18 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-27 (-15.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 144-107 (+27.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 49-21 (+18.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 79-47 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 93-64 (+23.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 60-59 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 26-19 (+11.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 29-21 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 87-73 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 45-40 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MARCO GONZALES vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
GONZALES is 0-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 13.51 and a WHIP of 1.802.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

ZACH DAVIES vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

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PITTSBURGH (36 - 40) at HOUSTON (49 - 30) - 8:10 PM
TREVOR WILLIAMS (R) vs. GERRIT COLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 118-119 (+5.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 23-8 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 89-81 (+13.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 17-11 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
WILLIAMS is 10-4 (+11.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WILLIAMS is 7-0 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 37-28 (-22.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 51-39 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TREVOR WILLIAMS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

GERRIT COLE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

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OAKLAND (41 - 38) at ST LOUIS (40 - 37) - 8:15 PM
CHRIS BASSITT (R) vs. JACK FLAHERTY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 517-366 (+63.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
OAKLAND is 138-103 (+34.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 64-53 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 85-66 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 92-72 (+19.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 58-42 (+20.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 56-54 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 23-32 (-17.2 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
FLAHERTY is 18-25 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHRIS BASSITT vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

JACK FLAHERTY vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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CINCINNATI (36 - 40) at LA ANGELS (39 - 40) - 10:07 PM
TYLER MAHLE (R) vs. ANDREW HEANEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MAHLE is 0-9 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 54-36 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 160-115 (+35.8 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 25-17 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TYLER MAHLE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

ANDREW HEANEY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

 
Posted : June 25, 2019 8:38 am
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