Monday 6/17/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, CFL & WNBA games.
Ben Burns
3*
San Francisco / LA DODGERS under 8.5
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Fezzik
3*
Cincinnati -115
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Sleepyj
3*
Atlanta -151
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Tony Chau John Morrison
Now, let's go onward to the next bets for Champ MLB betting system for Monday June 17th:
Toronto Blue Jays {A** Bet - As of right now, consider this as an unofficial series unless I email you tomorrow and tell you otherwise.
Kansas City Royals {A** Bet - As of right now, consider this as an unofficial series unless I email you tomorrow and tell you otherwise.
Take the +1.5 run line if it is offered. Otherwise, bet on the money line.
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Wise Guy Insider
MLB 2019-06-17 10:07 pm
Baltimore Orioles
AT
Oakland Athletics
Oakland Athletics -1.5 1 units
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Consensus (0-5 yesterday)
MLB
5u Brewers ML (+110)
5u Angels/Blue Jays OVER 11
5u Rangers ML (+110)
5u Astros/Reds UNDER 8.5
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CleInsidersports (4-2 L2 days)
MLB
Reds ML (-120)
Indians/Rangers UNDER 9.5
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Paul Leiner
Three MLB Picks 6/17
100* Padres -115
100* Twins -135
100* Over 9 Mets/Braves
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Accu Picks
MLB
3* #962 Yankees -135
Kyle Markus
New York Yankees -129
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Tim Wilkinson
MLB
Best Bet - Milwaukee Brewers +108
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 runs (-118)
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Kevin Rogers
MLB
Cleveland Indians -118
Minnesota Twins -132
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Brian Bitler
Washington Nationals -140
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Stephen Nover
3*
Cincinnati / Houston under 8.5
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Dave Essler
3*
Atlanta / New York Mets over 9
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DR. CHUCK BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (909) San Diego Padres at (910) Colorado Rockies
Date/Time: Jun 16 2019 3:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Colorado Rockies -148
Margevicius v. Lambert
This kid for the Rockies ain't scared of nothing...getting his first 2 starts against the.Cubbies and winning both...struggling little even facing them in Coors. He is following 2 excellent offensive performances from his offense who look to win the series at home today!
Margevicius on the other hand is hard to back...5+ FIP/xFIP and pitched twice against Colorado already and didn't even handle them semi-decently at home in his pitcher's park. The Rockies just hammered lefty Lauer last night and the Dads (who I backed fully last night) throw a much lesser starter following 2 HIGH scoring games where the Padres have burned through 11 pitchers and allowed 23 runs.
Value on this play is too vast and Lambert's young devil may care attitude should be enough to carry them long past Margevicius likely short outing and a bullpen not prepared for the task of shopping the Rockies cruising offense.
Game: (965) Cleveland Indians at (966) Texas Rangers
Date/Time: Jun 17 2019 8:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Cleveland Indians -126
Clevinger v. Lynn
Clevinger is finally back after a torrid fire start to the season. He. basically had the 2 best starts one could possibly start a season with before injuring his lat and missing 2 months this early in the season. A pretty excellent starting rotation for Cleveland has been hampered by such injuries...Kluber and Carrasco both significant long-term injuries plus Salazar and Rodriguez also out...in addition to Clevinger. This return is likely exactly the boost the Indians roster needs! The time Lindor was out hurt...but upon his return it provided the same boost I expect here today.
Lance Lynn has piled up a slew of "quality starts" and boy do I HATE this stat. Quality start shmality start is how I roll. But in this streak of starts he has a ton of BABIP performances in the high .300s and .400s even allowing .387 to the Royals!
In addition to buying Clevinger and selling Lance Lynn we have the benefit of lineups. The Indians have been one of the best hitting teams against righties in June upping the ante even on the road....while the Rangers (still without Gallo) have been close to the worst lineup in June against righties...not much better on their home turf!
I also like the added benefit of Clevinger getting his start back on the road and not at Progressive with the added pressure of being the early season savior right there at home with the Twins showing no sign of stopping...and the point with which the Indians Francona stranglehold on the AL Central looking more and more like its in intensive care!
Bargain basement line as Lance Lynn continues to demand Vegas attention...and is garnering close to 70% of tickets while folks probably forgot about Mike Clevinger and saw that name on the slate and promptly faded with their bets....we benefit!
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ROB VENO BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (965) Cleveland Indians at (966) Texas Rangers
Date/Time: Jun 17 2019 8:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Under 9.5 (-120)
Game: (959) San Francisco Giants at (960) Los Angeles Dodgers
Date/Time: Jun 17 2019 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-125)
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Greg shaker
3*
New York -135
2*
Cincinnati / Houston under 8.5
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Spartan
3*
Minnesota -132
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Rocky Atkinson
2*
Atlanta -149
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Stephen Oh
ATLANTA -147
N.Y. METS @ ATLANTA | 6/17 | 7:20 PM EDT
Mike Soroka finally had a hiccup of an outing last week, but his ERA is still under 2 and he allowed only one run in two starts against the Mets last year. Atlanta has won nine of 10 and the last four times Soroka has started at home. Zack Wheeler allowed nine runs his last time out, and the Mets are 1-4 in his last five road starts. Take Atlanta.
93-57 IN LAST 150 MLB PICKS | +3399
32-22 IN LAST 54 NYM ML PICKS | +1390
2-1 IN LAST 3 ATL ML PICKS | +80
MILWAUKEE -105
MILWAUKEE @ SAN DIEGO | 6/17 | 10:10 PM EDT
Jhoulys Chacin comes off the IL to start for the Brewers, who enter the week one game ahead of the Cubs for first place in the NL Central. Milwaukee has won six in a row at San Diego, and my projections show the high-powered offense gets to Joey Lucchesi. The Brew Crew win close to 60 percent of my simulations.
93-57 IN LAST 150 MLB PICKS | +3399
10-4 IN LAST 14 MIL ML PICKS | +635
HOUSTON +105
HOUSTON @ CINCINNATI | 6/17 | 7:10 PM EDT
The Astros are underdogs here for just the seventh time all season, and that's mostly because Luis Castillo is going for the Reds at home. But Cincinnati is only 7-7 when it hands the ball to the rising ace, while Houston is going with Wade Miley -- the team is 11-4 in his starts, and is coming off six innings of shutout ball his last time out. The Astros win 64 percent of my simulations. Jump on this line before it changes.
93-57 IN LAST 150 MLB PICKS | +3399
29-19 IN LAST 48 HOU ML PICKS | +1455
15-8 IN LAST 23 CIN ML PICKS | +718
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Andre GOMES
2*
LA DODGERS / San Francisco over 8.5
2*
Cincinnati -115
2*
LA ANGLES / Toronto over 10.5
2*
LA ANGLES -1.5(-107)
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Johnny Bollman
TAMPA BAY +122
TAMPA BAY @ N.Y. YANKEES | 6/17 | 7:05 PM EDT
Yonny Chirinos is 4-2 with a 2.36 ERA this season in eight starts and 7-2 with a 2.88 ERA overall. He is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA in his first two starts against the Yankees this season. Masahiro Tanaka is 4-5 with a 3.58 ERA. He has given up four runs and at least one home run in each of his last three starts. The Rays are 6-3 as the road underdog and the Yankees are 6-8 when Tanaka starts.
30-13 IN LAST 43 MLB PICKS | +1206
4-0 IN LAST 4 TB ML PICKS | +421
HOUSTON +106
HOUSTON @ CINCINNATI | 6/17 | 7:10 PM EDT
Wade Miley is 6-3 with a 3.14 ERA and Luis Castillo is 6-1 with a 2.2 ERA. Miley has thrown 13 quality starts in 14 appearances this season and the Astros are 10-4 when he starts. The Reds are 22nd in the league in runs scored and OPS against lefties. The Reds are just 16-17 at home and 7-7 when Castillo starts. Take the value in the Astros as the underdog.
30-13 IN LAST 43 MLB PICKS | +1206
3-1 IN LAST 4 HOU ML PICKS | +165
ATLANTA -158
N.Y. METS @ ATLANTA | 6/17 | 7:20 PM EDT
Both these pitchers are coming off career highs in earned runs allowed but Zack Wheeler is 5-4 with a 4.87 ERA while Mike Soroka is 7-1 with a 1.92 ERA. Wheeler is 6-3 with a 3.19 ERA lifetime against the Braves, but Soroka only gave up one run in 12.1 IP against the Mets last year. In the last seven days, the Braves have the highest OPS in the league (yes, higher than the Rockies) and the Mets are 14-23 on the road. The Mets are 7-7 when Wheeler starts and the Braves are 8-3 when Soroka starts, don’t overthink this one.
30-13 IN LAST 43 MLB PICKS | +1206
2-1 IN LAST 3 NYM ML PICKS | +45
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Adam Thompson
SEATTLE -111
KANSAS CITY @ SEATTLE | 6/17 | 10:10 PM EDT
The Mariners' freefall from MLB's best team to last place in the AL West has been ugly. But they can still hit the ball far, and the Royals have really struggled against left-handed pitching. Seattle is averaging nearly six runs per game the last two-plus weeks, double the 3.0 of KC over the same span. The Royals' OPS of .653 against LHPs and .616 this month rank near the MLB cellar, and again are 120-150 points lower than the slugging Mariners. For even money, I'll take Seattle, its opener and Tommy Milone against Danny Duffy and the light-hitting Royals.
2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +54
7-3 IN LAST 10 KC ML PICKS | +372
3-1 IN LAST 4 SEA ML PICKS | +180
CLEVELAND -129
CLEVELAND @ TEXAS | 6/17 | 8:05 PM EDT
Mike Clevinger is finally coming off the IL -- he dominanted opponents for two starts before back issues shut him down. He's allowed two hits and struck out 22 over 12 innings. Now he faces a tough Rangers order, but the Indians' bats are beginning to hold their own. They're averaging 5.5 runs per game in the month of June -- same as Texas. Clevinger and the top-ranked bullpen should hold down Texas enough while the Indians get to Lance Lynn, who has a 4.91 ERA and .290 average allowed at home.
2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +54
22-12 IN LAST 34 TEX ML PICKS | +868
14-6 IN LAST 20 CLE ML PICKS | +839
ATLANTA -152
N.Y. METS @ ATLANTA | 6/17 | 7:20 PM EDT
Mike Soroka tagged for five runs over five innings against the Pirates last Wednesday. So now he's 7-1 with a 1.92 ERA. He's allowed just one run in two career starts against the Mets. While the Braves have won Soroka’s last four home starts, the Mets have lost four of five when Zack Wheeler gets the ball on the road. Wheeler has allowed at least three runs in six straight starts, which likely won’t be good enough against Soroka.
2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +54
23-7 IN LAST 30 ATL ML PICKS | +1761
11-5 IN LAST 16 NYM ML PICKS | +473
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Exodus to Black
MLB
Cleve/TX under 9.5
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Vince Atkins (6-3 L3 days)
MLB Trend Plays
3x A's ML (-220)
Yankees ML (-135)
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Al Demarco
Top-Rated 15 Dime Winner
Mismatch of the Week
Washington Nats
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Larry Hartstein
NYY -134 Tanaka
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Miller locks
7:20 pm est mlb
new york mets vs. Atlanta braves
pick: Atlanta braves (-156)
risk: 11 units
8:15 pm est mlb
miami marlins vs. St. Louis cardinals
pick: Miami marlins (+185)
risk: 11 units
10:07 pm est mlb
baltimore orioles vs. Oakland athletics
pick: Baltimore orioles (+202)
risk: 11 units
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ROB VENO
BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (973) Houston Astros at (974) Cincinnati Reds
Date/Time: Jun 17 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Houston Astros +108
View Analysis
Game: (965) Cleveland Indians at (966) Texas Rangers
Date/Time: Jun 17 2019 8:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Under 9.5 (-120)
View Analysis
Game: (955) Miami Marlins at (956) St. Louis Cardinals
Date/Time: Jun 17 2019 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-110)
View Analysis
Game: (959) San Francisco Giants at (960) Los Angeles Dodgers
Date/Time: Jun 17 2019 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-125)
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+EV: MLB 4u: 966 CLE/TEX un9.5 -101 (M Clevinger | L Lynn) (Monday, June 17th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 956 MIA/STL un8.5 -105 (E Hernandez | M Mikolas) (Monday, June 17th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 966 Texas Rangers +119 (M Clevinger | L Lynn) (Monday, June 17th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 958 San Diego Padres -123 (J Chacin | J Lucchesi) (Monday, June 17th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 952 Washington Nationals -138 (J Arrieta | P Corbin) (Monday, June 17th)
+EV: TENNIS 3u: 2066 Kirsten Flipkens +140 (WTA - Mallorca) (Monday, June 17th)
+EV: TENNIS 3u: 2066 Kirsten Flipkens +140 (WTA - Mallorca) (Monday, June 17th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 952 Washington Nationals -138 (J Arrieta | P Corbin) (Monday, June 17th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 958 San Diego Padres -123 (J Chacin | J Lucchesi) (Monday, June 17th)
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