Thursday 6/13/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NHL & NBA games.
+EV: SOCCER 4u: 13309 Australia/Brazil ov2.75 -115 (Womens World Cup) (Thursday, June 13th)
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King creole
3*
Golden State / Toronto over 211
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Larry Hartstein
TORONTO +4
TORONTO @ GOLDEN ST. | 6/13 | 9:00 PM EDT
If not for Nick Nurse's silly timeout with about three minutes left, this series would be over. The Raptors still have all the matchup advantages they had in the previous games in Golden State. They're not emotionally fragile. Grab the points.
3-1 IN LAST 4 NBA ATS PICKS | +192
40-31-2 IN LAST 73 GS ATS PICKS | +680
3-1 IN LAST 4 TOR ATS PICKS | +192
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Dr. Chuck
Game: (531) Toronto Raptors at (532) Golden State Warriors
Date/Time: Jun 13 2019 9:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Total Over 104.0 (-110)
AMAZING deal for this number for the 1st half. Will have more detailed analysis to follow...wanted to make sure we got this out for $2 Wednesday since you guys deserve it...the more discounted plays the better....we want winners....we want to provide winners....especially for great deals!
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Tim Wilkinson
Game #6 Best Bet - Warriors/Raptors Over 210.5
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Dr.Chuck
Game: (951) Pittsburgh Pirates at (952) Atlanta Braves
Date/Time: Jun 13 2019 12:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Pittsburgh Pirates 1.5 (-140)
Musgrove v. Teheran
Will be playing this as a first 5 spread line more even than the full game spread but it is not available to select at the moment. Big play of the week was Musgrove on Monday getting all that plus money and he's back and angrier than ever after getting tossed for hitting Donaldson 2 outs into Monday night's game. Tomorrow afternoon he gets Teheran who might feel a smidge safer in his spot from the wrath of Kuechel than he may have a month ago. Folty and Gausman both seem more likely to be dropped to the pen now.
Teheran has himself a 4.83xFIP compared to his 3.03 ERA and did not face the Pirates last week while Musgrove faced and pitched well against them last week then had to put in a full prep for them again heading into Monday. The line is going like hotcakes toward the Bucs and value is fleeting but at the same time the +0.5 and +1.5 are just absurd value in this spot period!
Game: (963) Toronto Blue Jays at (964) Baltimore Orioles
Date/Time: Jun 13 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Toronto Blue Jays -140
Stroman v. Gnoa
Game: (953) Arizona Diamondbacks at (954) Washington Nationals
Date/Time: Jun 13 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Arizona Diamondbacks -127
Greinke v. Fedde
Full on FIP fade system. Fedde is 2.93 ERA and 4.81xFIP. As easy as it comes getting Greinke and no pen worries.
Teams as road favorites in the first game of a series with no rest facing a team on rest are 24-12 last 36 with a starter with a better ERA than opposing starter.
Game: (969) Detroit Tigers at (970) Kansas City Royals
Date/Time: Jun 13 2019 8:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Detroit Tigers -129
Boyd v. Bailey
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Fezzik
2*
Golden State / Toronto under 211.5
2*
New York Mets / St. Louis under 7.5
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Sleepyj
3*
Golden State -145
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Ben Burns
3*
Golden State -3
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Stephen Nover
2*
Golden State / Toronto under 211.5
2*
Golden State -2.5
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baseball33
Tampa Bay Rays - Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
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Kyle Markus
Kansas City Royals +115
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Tim Wilkinson
Los Angeles Dodgers -165
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+EV: MLB 4u: 953 Arizona Diamondbacks -115 (Z Greinke | E Fedde) (Thursday, June 13th)
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+EV: MLB 4u: 958 SD/COL un12 -115 (C Quantrill | J Gray) (Thursday, June 13th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 969 Detroit Tigers -109 (M Boyd | H Bailey) (Thursday, June 13th)
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Oskeim Sports
4% Raptors +3
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Larry Hartstein
ARIZONA -125
ARIZONA @ WASHINGTON | 6/13 | 7:05 PM EDT
Zack Greinke boasts a 0.92 WHIP over his last seven starts and this is a reasonable price to lay with Arizona. In eight career starts versus the Nats, Greinke is a 5-1 with a 1.46 ERA. Look for Washington's home struggles to continue.
31-20 IN LAST 51 MLB ML PICKS | +517
20-11 IN LAST 31 WAS ML PICKS | +727
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Stephen Oh
N.Y. METS -137
ST. LOUIS @ N.Y. METS | 6/13 | 7:10 PM EDT
My data has the Mets taking down the Cardinals nearly to-thirds of the time in their Thursday meeting. Although Jacob deGrom struggles to get run support, this thin price is too value-heavy to pass up. The Mets are on a 13-3 run at home and are 4-1 behind deGrom in his last five outings against the Cardinals.
87-54 IN LAST 141 MLB PICKS | +3111
32-21 IN LAST 53 NYM ML PICKS | +1527
22-9 IN LAST 31 STL ML PICKS | +1461
KANSAS CITY +124
DETROIT VS KANSAS CITY | 6/13 | 8:05 PM EDT
My numbers have the Royals beating the Tigers nearly 60 percent of the time in their Thursday showdown, providing a massive value spot on the home underdog. My data has Kansas City covering the run line in 73 percent of simulations but winning straight up in 59 percent of them. Kansas City has won four of the last five at home in this matchup, while Detroit is 105 in the last six starts by Matthew Boyd.
87-54 IN LAST 141 MLB PICKS | +3111
29-15 IN LAST 44 KC ML PICKS | +1704
21-9 IN LAST 30 DET ML PICKS | +1158
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Zack Cimini
GOLDEN ST. -2.5
TORONTO @ GOLDEN ST. | 6/13 | 9:00 PM EDT
The Toronto Raptors left the door open for the series with game 5's meltdown. With Toronto having won three straight games at Golden State oddsmakers have condensed the point spread. Look for the Warriors' final game at Oracle Arena and improved defense to give them an edge to push this series to seven games. Grab Golden State
30-16 IN LAST 46 NBA PICKS | +1237
15-8 IN LAST 23 TOR ATS PICKS | +613
6-3 IN LAST 9 GS ATS PICKS | +267
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Josh Nagel
GOLDEN ST. -2.5
TORONTO @ GOLDEN ST. | 6/13 | 9:00 PM EDT
The Raptors are more than worthy of the NBA title if they can somehow manage three road wins in the Finals against the Warriors, even if the defending champs are hampered by injuries. Golden State managed to eek out a Game 5 win without Kevin Durant most of the way. The Raptors dominated the previous two games in Oakland, and the move on this number from an opener of -4 shows they have many believers for a third such performance. But the price is now basically a pick'em to support the Warriors somehow finding a way to win the final game played at Oracle Arena. Value lies in supporting this notion.
20-10 IN LAST 30 NBA ATS PICKS | +906
21-14 IN LAST 35 GS ATS PICKS | +585
3-2 IN LAST 5 TOR ATS PICKS | +79
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Johnny Bollman
L.A. DODGERS -172
CHI. CUBS @ L.A. DODGERS | 6/13 | 10:10 PM EDT
Clayton Kershaw is 5-1 this season with a 3.0 ERA while Jon Lester is 5-4 with a 3.56 ERA. However, Lester is 2-2 with a 4.97 ERA on the road this season while Kershaw is 4-0 with a 2.88 ERA at home. Both these teams are pretty good at hitting lefties, but the Dodgers are returning home after getting swept in Los Angeles. The Cubs are 14-18 on the road and the Dodgers are 25-7 at home. Lester is 2-2 with a 4.55 ERA in Dodger Stadium while Kershaw is 5-3 with a 2.57 ERA against the Cubs in his career. The Dodgers are 7-2 after a day off and 9-1 when Kershaw starts, lay the favorite.
20-10 IN LAST 30 MLB PICKS | +626
3-1 IN LAST 4 CHC ML PICKS | +200
COLORADO -152
SAN DIEGO @ COLORADO | 6/13 | 8:40 PM EDT
Jon Gray is 2-1 with a 3.0 ERA at home including 2-0 with a 1.88 ERA in his last four home starts. Matthew Strahm is coming off a season high in earned runs allowed against Miami and he is 2-5 with a 4.03 ERA on the season. The Rockies have scored the third most runs in the league against lefties and they have won 10 of their last 11 games at home. Nolan Arenado left yesterday’s game after being hit by a pitch in the arm, but it seemed more precautionary to keep the swelling down. The Rockies are 16-6 as the home favorite and 4-1 against the Padres this season, lay the favorite.
20-10 IN LAST 30 MLB PICKS | +626
ARIZONA -125
ARIZONA @ WASHINGTON | 6/13 | 7:05 PM EDT
Zack Greinke is 7-2 with a 2.87 ERA and he is coming off a six-inning scoreless outing against the Blue Jays. Erik Fedde has been good since he was inserted into the starting rotation with a 2.7 ERA. Zack Greinke has pitched a quality start in 12 of 14 starts this season. In Greinke’s career, he is 5-1 with a 1.43 ERA against the Nationals and Arizona has scored the third most runs in the last seven days. The Dbacks are 5-0 as the road favorite this season and the Nats are 1-9 after an off day, lay the road favorite.
20-10 IN LAST 30 MLB PICKS | +626
5-1 IN LAST 6 ARI ML PICKS | +401
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Mike Barner
TORONTO +2.5
TORONTO @ GOLDEN ST. | 6/13 | 9:00 PM EDT
With Kevin Durant now out for the season, can the Warriors stay alive at home in Game 6? It should be noted that Kevon Looney (chest) was unable to finish Game 5 due to his injury. He’s expected to try and tough it out Thursday, but if he can’t stay on the floor, his absence would deal a huge blow to their interior defense. I think this game is close and give the Raptors a favorable chance to win, so I’ll take the points.
3-1 IN LAST 4 NBA ATS PICKS | +192
16-11 IN LAST 27 GS ATS PICKS | +383
3-1 IN LAST 4 TOR ATS PICKS | +192
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Friends of Mike Lee
MLB
3* #959/960 Cubs/Dodgers under 8 (Lester/Kershaw)
Paul Leiner
Three MLB Plays 6/13
100* Rays -135
100* Blue Jays -130
100* Over 9 Tigers/Royals
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Dave Essler.
3*
LA ANGLES / Tampa Bay over 9
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ROB VENOBASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (971) New York Yankees at (972) Chicago White Sox
Date/Time: Jun 13 2019 8:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: New York Yankees -1.5 (-123)