Thursday 6/13/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NHL & NBA games.
Marc Lawrence
Jun 13 '19, 7:05 PM in 1d
MLB | Diamondbacks vs Nationals
Play on: Diamondbacks -115 at 5dimes
Play - Arizona Diamondbacks w/Greinke (Game 953).
Edges - Diamondbacks: Greinke 2.47 ERA with 0.92 WHIP last seven overall starts, and 11-1 last twelve away team starts in June … Nationals: 2-6 all-time versus Greinke … With that, we recommend a 1* play on Arizona. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Mark Wilson
Jun 13 '19, 1:10 PM in 4h
MLB | SEA vs MIN
Play on: OVER 10 -110
Free Play on Mariners vs Twins over 10 -110
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Hunter Price
Jun 13 '19, 7:10 PM in 10h
MLB | Cardinals vs Mets
Play on: Mets -131 at Pinnacle
1* Free Pick on Mets -131
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Steve Janus
Jun 13 '19, 8:10 PM in 11h
MLB | Yankees vs White Sox
Play on: Yankees -170 at YouWager
1* Free Sharp Play on Yankees -170
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Jimmy Boyd
Jun 13 '19, 9:07 PM in 12h
NBA | Raptors vs Warriors
Play on: OVER 210½ -110
1* Free Pick on Raptors/Warriors over 210½ -110
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: MLB Colorado w/Gray -145 Over San Diego
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: TORONTO/BALTIMORE OVER the total of 9 runs
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Totals4U
Thursday's Free Selection: Toronto/Baltimore under 9
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Atlantic Sports
Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: LA Angels
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#1 Sports
Thursday's Free Selection: Texas Rangers + 200
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Platinum Plays
Free Pick: the Toronto Blue Jays w/Stroman -140 over Baltimore
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Thursday : Take ATLANTA (Teheran) -160 over Pittsburgh
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Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Thursday
Toronto Stroman -142
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Hawkeye Sports
Thursday's Free Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers - 190
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: NY Yankees Happ -162
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Arthur Ralph
FREE play THURS Twins w/ Pineda-170
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Teyas Sports
FREE PICK 6/13 TEXAS UNDER 9
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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Thursday: SAN DIEGO/COLORADO UNDER the total of 11½ runs
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Thursday: Toronto Blue Jays - 140
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Kenny Towers
YOUR FREE PLAY FOR THURSDAY: Toronto/Golden St OVER 211½
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John Anthony Sports
Thursday's Free Selection: Los Angeles Angels
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Tony Sacco
Tony Sacco's Free Play for Thursday is on the Yankees -1.5 RL
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Tony Brown
Tony's *5 Star NBA Free play
Toronto vs. Golden State, 06/13/2019 21:00 EDT
Total: -110/+210½ Over
Sportsbook:
BetOnline
Fp: last game in orcale arena warriors with a chance to tie and play a game seven . Raptors looking to win and get the title ! I think we see buckets early and often making the over my NBA Free play !
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Mike Lundin
Jun 13 '19, 7:05 PM in 6h
MLB | Diamondbacks vs Nationals
Play on: Diamondbacks -115 at Pinnacle
MIKE LUNDIN'S DIAMONDBACKS @ NATIONALS FREE PICK
The Washington Nationals have won 12 of their last 17 games, but note that they had Wednesday off and are just 1-11 in their last 12 games following an off day.
Tonight they'll come up against a nightmarish opponent in red hot Arizona right-hander Zack Greinke (7-2, 2.87 ERA) who tossed six innings of a 6-0 win over Toronto last time out. Greinke has dominated the Nats throughout his career, posting a 5-1 record behind a 1.46 ERA in eight outings (all starts). Washington turns to Erick Fedde (1-0, 2.93 ERA) for his fifth start of the season. The 26-year-old right-hander is having a solid year but will find it extremely hard to outduel Greinke.
Washington is 31-36 on the season (15-15 at home) and the Diamondbacks are 33-13 in Greinke's last 46 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
Free pick on Arizona Diamondbacks.
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Mike Williams
Jun 13 '19, 7:10 PM in 6h
MLB | Cardinals vs Mets
Play on: Mets -128 at YouWager
1* on Mets -128
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Jack Jones
Jun 13 '19, 7:10 PM in 6h
MLB | Rangers vs Red Sox
Play on: Red Sox -1½ -106 at BetOnline
Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-106)
The Boston Red Sox have lost two of three to the Rangers in this series. They will be highly motivated for a win in Game 4 tonight to even this series. And fortunately, they have their best starter going to get the job done.
David Price has been dominant this season, going 4-2 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.050 WHIP in 11 starts. He has been at his best at Fenway Park, going 2-1 with a 1.08 ERA and 0.840 WHIP in four home starts this year.
Adrian Sampson is 2-2 with a 4.93 ERA and 1.435 WHIP in seven starts this season. He has been at his worst on the road, going 0-2 with a 10.80 ERA and 2.281 WHIP in two starts on the highway. Sampson is also 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.927 WHIP in one career start against Boston.
The Red Sox are 18-3 in home games after playing six or more consecutive home games over the last two seasons. They are winning by 2.2 runs per game on average in this spot. The Rangers are 0-5 in Sampson’s last five road starts. Boston is 24-8 in Price’s last 32 home starts. Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Thursday.
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Brandon Lee
Jun 13 '19, 8:05 PM in 7h
MLB | Tigers vs Royals
Play on: Tigers -120 at YouWager
10* FREE MLB PICK (Tigers -120)
I'll take my chances here with the Tigers as a small favorite against the Royals in Thursday's unique matchup. The game won't be played at Detroit or Kansas City, but instead at TD Ameritrade Park in Omaha, NE. It's a kickoff showdown for the 2019 College World Series. All of that is fun, but for me it's all about the value with Detroit in this one. Tigers will have one of the best kept secrets in the big leagues in Matt Boyd starting against a pretty bad Royals offense. Boyd has a 3.08 ERA and 1.039 WHIP in 14 starts. He's recorded 7 or more strikeouts in 5 straight starts. A mark opposing starter Homer Bailey hasn't hit in 11 starts. Bailey owns a 5.90 ERA and 1.508 WHIP in 13 starts overall. Give me the Tigers -120!
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Dustin Hawkins
Jun 13 '19, 8:40 PM in 7h
MLB | Padres vs Rockies
Play on: Padres +142 at GTBets
1 Dimer on Padres +142
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Jimmy Boyd
Jun 13 '19, 9:07 PM in 8h
NBA | Raptors vs Warriors
Play on: OVER 210½ -110
1* Free NBA Pick on Raptors/Warriors over 210½
I really like the value here on the OVER in Game 6 of the NBA Finals. The last two games in the series have stayed under the mark. Game 5 had a total of 217 and finished at 211. It was a frustrating ending for those who had the over, as the two were on pace for 236 points (62-56) at the half.
Golden State connected on 20 3-pointers in the win and while I'm not expecting them to match that production, you have to think they will shoot it well at home. Role players also tend to play/shoot better at home. Warriors have scored fewer than 106 points just once in the series.
If they hit that mark, I think this things flies over the number. Raptors have scored 104 or more in every game of the series. They didn't shoot the ball great in Game 5, especially from deep. I look for them to bounce back with a strong shooting game. Note they made 27 3-pointers in Games 3 and 4 at Oracle.
Even with the last 2 games going under, OVER is still 9-4 in the Warriors last 13 NBA Finals games. OVER is also 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams at Golden State. Take the OVER!
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John Martin
Jun 13 '19, 10:10 PM in 9h
MLB | Cubs vs Dodgers
Play on: Cubs +156 at sportsbook
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Chicago Cubs +156
Jon Lester thrives in big games like this. And he just doesn’t seem to age. Lester is 5-4 with a 3.56 ERA in 12 starts this year. I’ll take a shot with him against the Dodgers, who have Clayton Kershaw going but who are also overvalued. Lester is 5-4 with a 2.83 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 13 previous starts against the Dodgers. Amazingly, Lester has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in nine of his last 10 starts against the Dodgers. Give me the Cubs.
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Rob Vinciletti
Jun 13 '19, 10:10 PM in 9h
MLB | Cubs vs Dodgers
Play on: Dodgers -165 at GTBets
The MLB Comp play is on The LA. Dodgers at 10:10 eastern. LA has won 19 of the last 20 regular season games with Kershaw on the mound and he is 6-2 at home vs the Cubs. Lester for Chicago is 2-7 as a road dog and has lost 4 of 6 at LA. The Dodgers are 3-1 at home off a road loss. The Cubs are 1-4 on the road vs .600 or better home teams and the Dodgers are 21-5 at home vs a winning team and 7-2 at home vs Chicago. Lay it with LA. For the MLB Free pick. Play on the Dodgers. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports Thursday card has the NBA Playoff Total of the year from a perfect system and MLB Platinum Supreme Top play and an Opening week Canadian Football league Play where we are 40-18 on CFL Sides last 3 years.
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Jack Brayman
The Toronto Raptors are going to be my go-to team at this point, I don't care what anyone says about the two-time defending champion Golden State Warriors. This is Toronto's series to lose. And after failing to capitalize in Game 5 at home, and seeing how the St. Louis Blues made quick work of the Bruins in Boston last night to wrap up the Stanley Cup, I like the Raptors to end this series tonight.
Confidence should be brewing, since the Raptors are 3-0 on the Warriors' home floor, and all three of those wins coming by double digits, including two in this series.
Tonight, in the last game ever being played at Oracle, the Raptors will send the fans home sour.
Think about this for a moment, before you gush over Golden State's victory in Game 5. The Warriors canned 20 3-pointers, the most they've made in any game this postseason. And yet they won by, ahem, one. Even in Game 2, when they opened the second half on an 18-0 run, the Warriors still needed a trey at the end to win the game.
This series should be over, in my opinion. We should not be discussing anything but baseball - which is why I have my first 200 Dimer of the season tonight - but here we are in Oakland, talking hoops.
And with Toronto covering 8 of 9, and its offense doing much better than the Warriors in this series, this is as good a spot as any to take advantage of Golden State's scoring defense.
The Warriors allow an average of 111.1 points per game, they give up 111.4 on the road and they've allowed 111 in their last five. On the flipside, the Raptors' defense is giving up 106.7 points overall, 108 on the road and 105 in their last five.
I expect Kawhi Leonard to carry his momentum over from the fourth quarter of Game 5, when he put up 12 points, including 10 in a two-minute stretch to give the Raptors a six-point lead. Leonard had 14 points, nine rebounds and five assists in the first three quarters, so it's obvious he was ready to take over.
Tonight you can expect to see him lead the Raptors to a title.
5* RAPTORS
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Dwayne Connors
Your comp play for Thursday night is the Under in Game Six of the Finals.
After Overs in each of the first three games in this series, the last two games have both failed to land in the Over column, and I don't think this one will either.
Look at what the Warriors did from behind the arc in Game Five on Monday night...20 of 42 for a 47.6% night from three-ville and yet they only came up with 106 points. Meanwhile, Toronto netted just 8 of 32 from behind the arc, as they ended up with 105 points.
Expect both percentages to change some tonight, but don't expect them to change dramatically in an offensive way that sees the points rack up tonight in the final game at Oracle Arena.
With Golden State's depth compromised with Kevin Durant out, Kevan Looney ailing, and Draymond Green and Andre Igoudala struggling to consistently hit jump shots, I just do not see Golden State posting much more than 100 to 105 points.
Look for Toronto to rely on a very strong defensive effort as they look to close out the NBA Finals in Oakland tonight. If the Raptors play their usual stifling defense, then this game holds Under the total, the same way the last pair in this series have.
Raptors-Warriors Under the total.
2* TORONTO-GOLDEN STATE UNDER
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Chris Jordan
I'm on a 26-10 winning run with my free baseball plays this season.
My free play for tonight is on the Texas Rangers against the Boston Red Sox.
I know, it's a huge underdog, and David Price is on the hill. But truth is, I've looked at this game all week.
I actually like Adrian Sampson to outduel Price.
Sampson steps to the Fenway Park hill just five days short of the third anniversary of his Major League-debut, and he's an impressive 5-0 with a 1.99 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over his last five appearances, including three in relief. Spanning those 31 2/3 innings, he's allowed one earned run in four of the appearances.
Given this is his first start against the defending champs, I think he will come out firing.
His teammates should be able to get him some run support against Price, who is 4-6 with a 5.63 ERA in 15 career starts against the Rangers.
Texas is slugging .449 as a team, and is led by Hunter Pence, who is slugging .583. Shin-Soo Choo leads the Rangers with 29 extra-base hits, while Elvis Andrus is 15-for-45 with six doubles, a triple and seven RBIs over the last 10 games for Texas.
Huge underdog, and great spot. Take the Rangers and list both.
2* RANGERS
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Tony Weston
COMPLIMENTARY WINNER
My free winner for tonight is on the Tampa Bay Rays, as they're at home hosting the Angels, who arrive from Anaheim after an eight-game homestand. And in this game, I want you listing the scheduled starting pitchers: Ryan Yarbrough over Tyler Skaggs.
Let's start with Yarbrough, who has been splendid for the Rays in four outings - three of them starts - since being recalled from Triple-A Durham. The 2014 draft choice is 5-2 this season, but is 3-1 with a 3.51 ERA over 25 2/3 innings since returning to the rotation. Yarbitron, as he's affectionately known, has tossed at least seven innings in all three of the starts.
Tonight he gets a team that has split its last 10 games, and been rather quiet at the plate of late. The Angels are just 14-17 on the road, and this is going to be a tough place to start their 11-game road trip that includes stops in Toronto and Hockeytown St. Louis.
Tampa Bay's offense will be rocking against Skaggs, who has been inconsistent for the Halos, posting a 5.92 ERA over his last seven starts. He just allowed six runs over four innings against the Oakland A's in his last outing on Thursday, and he's going to have problems with a Rays offense that has the league's fourth-best batting average (.261).
Take the Rays and list both.
5* RAYS (Yarbrough over Skaggs)
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Bob Valentino
After a Tuesday day/night double-dip slugfest with their cross-town rivals the Mets - 17 combined runs in the day game, and 14 combined runs in the nightcap - look for the scoring to slow considerably as the Yankees hit the road for the first of four on the South Side of Chicago with the White Sox.
When the Yankees and White Sox met at Yankee Stadium in April, 2 of the 3 held Under the total. The one game that did not featured J.A. Happ on the hill in a 9-6 Pale Hose win. Happ has been much better in his recent starts than he was earlier this season, as he has allowed only 2 runs on 7 hits over his last pair of starts which have encompassed 12 innings. The Under scoring the cash in BOTH of those starts, and is on an overall 4-1-1 run in Happ's last 6 assignments.
Former Yankee, Ivan Nova will get the nod for Chicago, and he has been a bit "yielding" this season with his over 6 season ERA, and 8 runs (7 earned) allowed over his last 12-plus innings, but 2 of his last 3 starts have held Under the total.
Like New York, Chicago has been Over the total in their last pair, but overall are 6-4 Under the total in their last 10 games played overall.
Series numbers show not just the 2 of 3 this season Under, but 8 of the last 10 dating back to 2017 Under the total when these clubs meet.
Go with the Low on Thursday night in this Yanks-ChiSox battle.
3* N.Y. YANKEES-WHITE SOX UNDER
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