Sunday 5/19/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NHL & NBA games.
VSI SOCCER
3 Unit-under-2.5+110-atlanta united-new york
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Tim Wilkinson
NBA - Raptors/Bucks Under 220
MLB - Nationals/Cubs Under 10
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mlbtotal us
Atlanta Braves , Over 9.5
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Ben Burns
3*
Toronto -2.5
3*
San Jose -128
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Goodfella
3*GOY
Milwaukee +3
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Sleepyj
3*
Milwaukee +2.5
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Dave Essler
3*
Milwaukee / Toronto under 220
3*
Arizona / San Francisco over 8
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Stephen Nover
2*
San Jose / st.louis over 5.5
3*
Milwaukee +2.5
3*
Arizona -1.5(+125)
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Marco
5% NBA
Toronto ml
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Dirty Bear Sports
MLB:
CHC/WAS F5 UNDER 5.5 -110 3u
MLB Season: 34-41-5 45% -35.15 units
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Bob Balfe
4:10 PM EST
Rotation #911-912
Pirates -105 over Padres
Musgrove/Quantrill
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Greg Shaker
3*
Chicago Cubs -126
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Rocky Atkinson
3*
Philadelphia -122
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King Creole
2*
Kansas City / Los Angeles Angels under 9
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Billy Coleman
MLB
3* #913 Cubs -125 (Hendricks)
Carmine Bianco
5% Italy Serie A Juventus Moneyline 2:30 ET
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Adam Thompson
MINNESOTA -105
MINNESOTA @ SEATTLE | 5/19 | 4:10 PM EDT
Yusei Kikuchi is on a roll for the Mariners with a 2.18 ERA in his last three starts. But the Twins are right where they want to be for this one. Minnesota's offense ranks No. 1 in MLB in hitting against left-handers, including a whopping .906 OPS. They are also the No. 1 road-hitting team in the league, batting a robust .292 averaging 6.8 runs away from home. Seattle's offense has taken a dive in the last month and Twins starter Kyle Gibson is trending in the right direction with a sub-3.00 ERA his last five starts.
19-14 IN LAST 33 MLB PICKS | +70
9-4 IN LAST 13 MIN ML PICKS | +388
ARIZONA -166
SAN FRANCISCO @ ARIZONA | 5/19 | 4:10 PM EDT
Giants starter Drew Pomeranz is coming off the IL Sunday -- he has a 6.75 ERA and opponents are hitting .319 in four road starts. He faces a Diamondbacks team that's hitting .294 against LHPs and has scored more runs against them in the league. The Giants' bats haven't been fans of sunlight this season, batting just .209 in day games (compared to .270 for Arizona). Robbie Ray has been great at home this year, too.
19-14 IN LAST 33 MLB PICKS | +70
8-3 IN LAST 11 ARI ML PICKS | +480
COLORADO +107
COLORADO @ PHILADELPHIA | 5/19 | 1:05 PM EDT
Kyle Freeland has been a mess for most of this season. But the exception is when he tossed six scoreless in a great effort against these Phillies. Now he gets them again, and Philly is a rough .210 in day games this year. Colorado's offense is finally picking it up, averaging nearly seven runs in the month of May. Phillies starter Jerad Eickhoff is coming off his worst start of the year. If the Rockies can pounce and give Freeland a lead to work with, he can take it from there.
19-14 IN LAST 33 MLB PICKS | +70
17-8 IN LAST 25 PHI ML PICKS | +829
16-8 IN LAST 24 COL ML PICKS | +609
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Stephen Oh
TEXAS +145
ST. LOUIS @ TEXAS | 5/19 | 3:05 PM EDT
The Cardinals ended a three-game losing streak on Saturday, but the team has still lost 12 of 16 games. The Rangers can strike out a lot, but they can score a lot of runs, too. Cardinals starter Jack Flaherty (4-3, 4.34 ERA) is 2-8 with a 4.94 ERA in 16 career starts when facing an opponent for the first time. My simulations say Texas wins this game 53 percent of the time, so you're getting good value here. Take the Rangers.
60-36 IN LAST 96 MLB PICKS | +2407
19-8 IN LAST 27 STL ML PICKS | +1216
13-9 IN LAST 22 TEX ML PICKS | +765
OAKLAND -185
OAKLAND @ DETROIT | 5/19 | 1:10 PM EDT
Let's keep riding this A's train against Detroit. Oakland has won a mind-boggling 15 straight games against the Tigers dating to May 2017, and Detroit has lost six straight overall and nine of 11. The Tigers just can't score any runs. In the last 11 games, they're averaging a paltry 2.3 runs per game. On Sunday, they face Mike Fiers, who has gone at least five innings and not allowed more than three runs in his last four starts.
60-36 IN LAST 96 MLB PICKS | +2407
18-8 IN LAST 26 OAK ML PICKS | +982
17-8 IN LAST 25 DET ML PICKS | +858
MIAMI +190
N.Y. METS @ MIAMI | 5/19 | 1:10 PM EDT
I realize that the Marlins have the worst record in baseball, but this money line is absurd. There is no way the Mets, who have lost four straight and were one-hit by Miami on Saturday, should be such a big favorite. I think the price is reacting to Noah Syndergaard starting for New York, but he has only been OK this season, with a 3-3 record and a 4.74 ERA. My model says the Marlins win 43 percent of the time, which means there's great value in this price. Go with Miami.
60-36 IN LAST 96 MLB PICKS | +2407
30-21 IN LAST 51 NYM ML PICKS | +1237
18-11 IN LAST 29 MIA ML PICKS | +766
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Kevin Rogers
Atlanta Braves +110
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Tony Mejia
Minnesota Twins -110
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XS Sports Picks
(NHL Playoffs 37-34 +$9,740)
$2000 San Jose -120
$5000 San Jose Over 5.5 -102
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XS Sports Picks
(NBA Playoffs 47-23 67%)
Milwaukee +2
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XS Sports Picks
(MLB Last 16 Days 36-12 +$32,800)
$1000 Houston +172
$1000 Cincinnati +162
$1000 Pittsburgh +105
$1000 Chicago WS -1.5 +165
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Vegas Line Reader
Atlanta Braves +110
Texas Rangers +140
San Francisco Giants +150
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Marco
3% Mariners
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Miller locks
1:05 pm est mlb
houston astros vs. Boston red sox
pick: Houston astros (+146)
risk: 11 units
1:20 pm est mlb
milwaukee brewers vs. Atlanta braves
pick: Milwaukee brewers (-127)
risk: 11 units
7:05 pm est nba
milwaukee bucks vs. Toronto raptors
pick: Milwaukee bucks +2 (-101)
risk: 11 units
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Bezobets
3* Red Sox -1.5 +110
3* Bucks +2 -105
3* Diamondbacks -1.5 +123
2* Phillies -1.5 +151
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TONY FINN
BASEBALL PLAYS
FINN LATE PITCH MLB PRIVATE PLAY 13-2
Game: (911) Pittsburgh Pirates at (912) San Diego Padres
Date/Time: May 19 2019 4:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Pittsburgh Pirates +106
View Analysis
PLAY: Pittsburgh Pirates +105 (good to -120)
4% play rating
LIST PITCHERS: Musgrove and Quantrill
(911) Pittsburgh Pirates at (912) San Diego Padres
Musgrove put down an Arizona offense that was in good form earlier this week by allowing one single and issuing two walks while registering five strikeouts over seven scoreless innings. The put an end to a run of poor command and even worse batted ball luck.
Rookie right-hander Cal Quantrill was recalled from Triple-A El Paso this morning and is the Padres first inning arm on the PetCo mound today.
The prospect is cool and collected but not yet ready to be commanding big boy bats every fifth day. The overall eighth overall pick of the 2016 draft comes off a turn in which he surrendered two runs, for the second straight start, resulting in losses. His last against the Braves in Atlanta.
On the farm Quantrill is 4-1 in six starts with the Chihuahuas --- but he has allowed far too much hard contact and the results are evident of such with a 4-plus ERA and FIP.
Musgrove has a history. And that history is a glass more than half full. The right-hander, the key piece in the Cole trade last season, found his heavy fast ball once again. The D'Backs squared up Musgrove for a mere 85.9 MPH exit velocity vs Musgrove.
After an April showcase of the free agent signing of Manny Macho-man the Padres have returned to whom they are. A team that will win some, lose some, and do both by the success and failure of their young pitching staff.
Today Musgrove takes on a Padres offense that ranks at or near the bottom of the Senior Circuit offensive categories of batting average with runners in scoring position and overall on base percentage... both being well below the league average.
PITTSBURGH PIRATES +105
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DWAYNE BRYANT
BASKETBALL PLAYS
Game: (549) Milwaukee Bucks at (550) Toronto Raptors
Date/Time: May 19 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Toronto Raptors -2.5 (-110)
View Analysis
7:05 PM ET -- NBA
549 Milwaukee Bucks
550 Toronto Raptors
PLAY: 550 TORONTO RAPTORS -2.5 (-110) FIRST HALF
BET SIZE: 4%
DB's THOUGHTS:
Wishing I had taken Portland on the first-half line last night instead of full-game (would've been an easy winner). Not making that mistake again tonight. Toronto, just like Portland last night, is back home for Game 3 after losing the first two on the road. This is a critical game for the Raptors, as they do not want to dig themselves an 0-3 hole.
I can definitely see this game playing out similarly to last night's. I expect Toronto to come out strong on its home floor and lead this game at the half. Whether they can hang on for the actual win is another story. I think they can, but I thought that about Portland last night and it cost us. I'm much more confident in Toronto leading at the half than I am about them winning the game.
The Raptors only lost three games in a row once during the regular season. They lost two straight to the 76ers in the last round, and responded with a 5-point road win & a 36-point home win after that.
In the history of the SDQL database, conference finals home favorites in Game 3 after losing the first two games on the road won the first half by a margin of 3 points or more in 16 of 21 games (76%). That's good enough for me.
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ROB VENO
BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (901) Colorado Rockies at (902) Philadelphia Phillies
Date/Time: May 19 2019 1:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 10.0 (-108)
Game: (905) Los Angeles Dodgers at (906) Cincinnati Reds
Date/Time: May 19 2019 1:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-115)
Game: (903) New York Mets at (904) Miami Marlins
Date/Time: May 19 2019 1:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: New York Mets -1.5 (-118)
Game: (919) Baltimore Orioles at (920) Cleveland Indians
Date/Time: May 19 2019 1:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-128)
Game: (907) Milwaukee Brewers at (908) Atlanta Braves
Date/Time: May 19 2019 1:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+130)
Game: (929) St. Louis Cardinals at (930) Texas Rangers
Date/Time: May 19 2019 3:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-120)
Game: (909) San Francisco Giants at (910) Arizona Diamondbacks
Date/Time: May 19 2019 4:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+122)
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Seabass :
300 twins game under ,
400 blue jays ,
400 Rockies ,
500 Rockies game over ,
500 athletics game over ,
500 pirates game under ,
400 reds game under ,
300 sharks ,
400 raptors
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Larry Hartstein
MILWAUKEE -132
MILWAUKEE @ ATLANTA | 5/19 | 1:20 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:39 PM
Braves pitcher Mike Foltynewicz has allowed four or more earned runs in four of his last six starts, while Milwaukee's Brandon Woodruff has put together four straight solid starts. Back the road favorite.
7-0 IN LAST 7 MLB PICKS | +726
6-2 IN LAST 8 MIL ML PICKS | +456
25-19 IN LAST 44 ATL ML PICKS | +317
L.A. DODGERS -180
L.A. DODGERS @ CINCINNATI | 5/19 | 1:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:00 PM
It's a steep price but worth it considering Hyun-Jin Ru is on the mound for the Dodgers. He has 40 strikeouts and two walks over his last five starts. Over his last three, he's yielded one earned run total. Lay it with L.A.
7-0 IN LAST 7 MLB PICKS | +726
16-10 IN LAST 26 LAD ML PICKS | +727
24-15 IN LAST 39 CIN ML PICKS | +625
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Micah Roberts
OVER 10 COLORADO @ PHILADELPHIA | 5/19 | 1:05 PM EDT
9:37 AM
Kyle Freeland is having a tough time this season allowing 12 homers in nine starts with the Rockies winning just four of his games. However, he comes off two straight Rockies wins behind him and Jared Eickhoff comes off a start allowing five runs. All five of Eickhoff's have stayed Under but this one goes Over. The wind is blowing out at 13 mph. Over is the play.
16-6-2 IN LAST 24 COL O/U PICKS | +981
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Michael Rusk
UNDER 8 PITTSBURGH @ SAN DIEGO | 5/19 | 4:10 PM EDT
12:15 PM
Both of these teams rank at the bottom of the league in all of the hitting categories but more specifically hits, runs, and walks. Helping our cause is that Pirates pitcher Joe Musgrove pitched a gem against this Padres lineup last year throwing a shutout in seven innings. Also due to the fact both teams have combined for the Over in nine of 13 games, regression will hit soon. The Under is the sharp play here.
52-38-1 IN LAST 91 MLB PICKS | +700
BOSTON -180
HOUSTON @ BOSTON | 5/19 | 1:05 PM EDT
12:13 PM
Despite the fact that the Astros have won 10 straight games, we are tailing the Red Sox at a fortunate time. They are up against Astros SP Wade Miley, who got shelled in his last outing against Boston giving up 6 runs as a +220 underdog. Here we have the Red Sox with their ace as only a moderate favorite. Chris Sale is coming off a dominant 17 strikeout performance and has given up just three runs in his last 21 innings. Red Sox are the play today.
46-28 IN LAST 74 MLB ML PICKS | +1291
3-2 IN LAST 5 HOU ML PICKS | +30
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