Friday 4/12/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for Friday's MLB, NHL & NBA games.
JR ODONNELL
3*GOY
St.louis -110(nhl)
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Ben Burns
3*
San Jose / Las Vegas under 6.5
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Spartan
3*
San Diego -120
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Greg Shaker
3*
San Francisco/ Colorado under 8
2*
Seattle / Houston over 9
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Stephen Nover
3*(nhl)
Tampa -1.5(+115)
2*(nhl)
Winnipeg -120
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baseball33
Baltimore Orioles +1.5
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Rockdeman Sports
MLB
Atlanta Braves -105
San Francisco Giants -138
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MidAmerican Sports
MLB
Phillies -1.5 runs
Ray's -1.5 runs
Brewers
Royals (first 5)
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Stephen Oh
TAMPA BAY -132
TAMPA BAY @ TORONTO | 4/12 | 7:07 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:33 PM
The Rays have been one of the best teams in baseball through the first two-plus weeks of the season. They've done it behind their unconventional pitching. Tampa Bay's staff leads the majors with a 1.98 ERA. Meanwhile, Toronto has struggled at the plate so far this season. My model says that the Rays win this game outright in 66 percent of simulations, meaning there's value in playing Tampa Bay at this number.
12-4 IN LAST 16 MLB ML PICKS | +638
25-12 IN LAST 37 TB ML PICKS | +1624
28-18 IN LAST 46 TOR ML PICKS | +1151
OVER 8 PHILADELPHIA @ MIAMI | 4/12 | 7:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:28 PM
My numbers see a minimum of nine combined runs crossing the plate Friday between the Phillies and Marlins, opening up an advantage position on the Over against a total of 8. Miami is on a 5-1 run to the Over at home, while Philadelphia has played Over in five straight following an off day and is also on 5-1 Over spurt on the road.
11-4 IN LAST 15 MLB PICKS | +538
6-4 IN LAST 10 PHI O/U PICKS | +130
ARIZONA +106
SAN DIEGO @ ARIZONA | 4/12 | 9:40 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:23 PM
My projections see the Diamondbacks beating the Padres nearly 70 percent of the time in their Friday meeting, providing a massive value on the slight home underdog. look for Arizona's Luke weaver to have the edge against Chris Paddack in this battle of rising prospects.
12-4 IN LAST 16 MLB ML PICKS | +638
20-12 IN LAST 32 ARI ML PICKS | +915
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Stats Analytics Sports
MLB 43-28 ytd (61%) +13.47 units
Top 3* Astros/Mariners Over 9
2* Yankees/White Sox Over 9.5
1* Texas Rangers +1.5 runs
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Goodfella
3*
Seattle / Houston over 9
2*
DODGERS/BREWERS OVER 8
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Dave Essler
1*
San Francisco - 125
3*
LA DODGERS / Milwaukee over 8
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Sleepyj
3*
Seattle / Houston over 9
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Sportsvipvegas
Washington RL
Miami
Milw
Baltimore
Oakland RL
Houston RL
LAA
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Billy Coleman
MLB
4* # 965/966 Tampa Bay/Toronto under 8.5 (Stanek/Thornton)
Bryan Leonard
4% Mets
4% Indians
4% Brewers
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Mike Barner
DENVER -5.5
SAN ANTONIO @ DENVER | 4/13 | 10:30 PM EDT
11:17 AM
The Nuggets were an NBA-best 34-7 at home this season, including 25-16 ATS. The Spurs weren’t far behind them at 32-9 at home, but they were an abysmal 16-25 on the road. Only the Pistons had a worse record of any team to make the playoffs. The Nuggets won both games between these two teams that were played in Denver this year, including a 28-point victory less than two weeks ago. Look for the Nuggets to start off the series with a win and cover along the way.
61-45-3 IN LAST 109 NBA ATS PICKS | +1109
7-2-1 IN LAST 10 SA ATS PICKS | +479
BROOKLYN +8
BROOKLYN @ PHILADELPHIA | 4/13 | 2:30 PM EDT
11:15 AM
The key to this game is the status of Joel Embiid (knee), who might not be able to play. If he doesn’t take the floor, the Nets have a real shot at winning. Even if he does play, the Nets were a tough road team this year, posting a 25-16 ATS record. Based on this lofty line, I’ll take the Nets and the points.
61-45-3 IN LAST 109 NBA ATS PICKS | +1109
5-4 IN LAST 9 PHI ATS PICKS | +55
L.A. CLIPPERS +12.5
L.A. CLIPPERS @ GOLDEN ST. | 4/13 | 8:00 PM EDT
11:14 AM
This series is expected to be heavily one-sided, hence the big line for Game 1. However, the Clippers were 22-17-2 ATS on the road while the Warriors were 16-24-1 ATS at home during the regular season. The Warriors should crank things up with the playoffs underway and grab a win to start the series, but I think the Clippers keep it close enough to where I like taking the points.
61-45-3 IN LAST 109 NBA ATS PICKS | +1109
9-4 IN LAST 13 GS ATS PICKS | +451
5-2 IN LAST 7 LAC ATS PICKS | +278
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Larry Hartstein
PORTLAND -2.5
OKLAHOMA CITY @ PORTLAND | 4/14 | 3:30 PM EDT
11:48 AM
The Thunder swept four games against Portland this season, which is one of the reasons why this number is so low. Oklahoma City gets 19.7 percent of its possessions in transition (fourth most in the NBA), but the playoffs have a way of slowing down fast-break teams. Home-court advantage is huge in the playoffs, and the Blazers' fans are as rabid as any.
82-65-1 IN LAST 148 NBA ATS PICKS | +1043
28-19 IN LAST 47 OKC ATS PICKS | +761
7-2 IN LAST 9 POR ATS PICKS | +480
TORONTO -8.5
ORLANDO @ TORONTO | 4/13 | 5:00 PM EDT
11:30 AM
These teams met on April 1, and Toronto blew out the Magic by 12. The Raptors have been pointing to the playoffs all season, while Orlando is just happy to be back in the postseason. Take Toronto.
82-65-1 IN LAST 148 NBA ATS PICKS | +1043
13-9 IN LAST 22 TOR ATS PICKS | +301
3-2 IN LAST 5 ORL ATS PICKS | +77
BROOKLYN +8
BROOKLYN @ PHILADELPHIA | 4/13 | 2:30 PM EDT
11:25 AM
Even if Joel Embiid plays, I'm taking the Nets to cover. Brooklyn split the four games between the teams this season and covered in three of them.
82-65-1 IN LAST 148 NBA ATS PICKS | +1043
16-11 IN LAST 27 PHI ATS PICKS | +390
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Miller locks
2:20 pm est mlb
los angeles angels vs. Chicago cubs
pick: Los angeles angels (+147)
risk: 11 units
7:05 pm est mlb
chicago white sox vs. New york yankees
pick: New york yankees -1.5 (-112)
risk: 11 units
7:07 pm est mlb
tampa bay rays vs. Toronto blue jays
pick: Tampa bay rays (-138)
risk: 11 units
8:15 pm est mlb
cleveland indians vs. Kansas city royals
pick: Kansas city royals +1.5 (-115)
risk: 11 units
10:10 pm est mlb
houston astros vs. Seattle mariners
pick: Houston astros (-138)
risk: 11 units
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Hackman
Knights 120
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CleInsidersports (15-3 L4 days)
MLB
Giants ML (-135)
Orioles/Red Sox UNDER 10
Padres/Diamondbacks OVER 8.5
NHL
Islanders ML (+105)
Golden Knights/Sharks UNDER 6.5
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Al Demarco
15 Dime Phillies run line
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WORLDS WORST PICKER
MLB
Both Regular Plays
Tampa Bay Rays
San Diego Padres
Play ON the OPPOSITES
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Jeffrey James
# Philadelphia Phillies with Arrieta moneyline -165 (7:10 edt)
Love the Phillies here behind Arrieta since they are playing very well right now and have had the day off on Thursday so they will be ready for this game. Miami has very low attendance so look for the crowd to be more in favor of the Phillies here. Miami is a lousy team and has to travel after playing a Thursday game so don't see them being ready for this one here. Play the Phillies as the play of the day for Friday.
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Dwayne Bryant
3% Pirates-Nats under 8
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ASA's
5* total over 9 runs Houston Astros/ Seattle game
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