Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 7/19/18
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs Preview and Predictions 07-19-2018
The Chicago Cubs hope three days off didn't upend the momentum they had established before the All-Star break as they prepare to begin a five-game series against the visiting St. Louis Cardinals on Thursday. The Cardinals, on the other hand, hope the second half brings a fresh start.
The Cubs won 12 of their last 15 before the break, going from 2 1/2 games behind Milwaukee in the National League Central to a 2 1/2-game division lead. St. Louis won its first-half finale - its first game under interim manager Mike Shildt - but begins the second half at a crossroads. The Cardinals are 48-46 and 7 1/2 games behind the Cubs, and this week's series could go a long way toward determining whether they are buyers or sellers at the trade deadline. St. Louis has won five of eight meetings this season, but the teams have split two games at Wrigley Field.
TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, ESPN
PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Carlos Martinez (6-5, 3.08 ERA) vs. Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (6-8, 3.92)
Martinez had won three straight starts, posting quality starts in all three, before losing to Cincinnati in his last outing of the first half. The 26-year-old Dominican allowed three runs over five innings in suffering his first loss at home since May 8. Martinez is 4-4 with a 4.58 ERA in 25 games (15 starts) against the Cubs, including a no-decision June 16 in which he gave up three runs over five frames.
Hendricks had a bumpy first half as he battled his fastball command, but he also suffered from a lack of run support. The Cubs scored a single run in eight of the 28-year-old's 19 starts. Hendricks is 3-2 with a 3.43 ERA in 11 starts against the Cardinals, including a win June 16 in St. Louis.
WALK-OFFS
1. The Cubs activated RHP Carl Edwards Jr. from paternity leave on Tuesday and expect to have CF Albert Almora Jr. back Thursday.
2. St. Louis SS Yairo Munoz is 8-for-24 with two homers and seven RBIs during a six-game hitting streak.
3. Chicago RF Jason Heyward (8-for-23) and 2B Javier Baez (7-for-24) are both riding five-game hitting streaks entering the second half.
PREDICTION: Cardinals 5, Cubs 3
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Trends - St. Louis at Chi. Cubs
W/L Trends
St. Louis
Cardinals are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cardinals are 5-2 in their last 7 Thursday games.
Cardinals are 20-43 in their last 63 games following an off day.
Cardinals are 6-14 in their last 20 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win.
Chi. Cubs
Cubs are 9-2 in their last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cubs are 12-3 in their last 15 overall.
Cubs are 12-3 in their last 15 games on grass.
Cubs are 39-14 in their last 54 Thursday games.
Cubs are 8-3 in their last 11 games following a win.
Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 36-16 in their last 52 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Cubs are 47-23 in their last 70 home games.
Cubs are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League Central.
Cubs are 8-2 in Hendricks' last 10 Thursday starts.
Cubs are 7-3 in Hendricks' last 10 starts during game 1 of a series.
Cubs are 2-6 in Hendricks' last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cubs are 1-4 in Hendricks' last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
Cubs are 1-4 in Hendricks' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cubs are 1-6 in Hendricks' last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
OU Trends
St. Louis
Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. National League Central.
Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 overall.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 on grass.
Over is 4-1-1 in Cardinals last 6 games following an off day.
Chi. Cubs
Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 overall.
Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 vs. National League Central.
Under is 9-2 in Cubs last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 Thursday games.
Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games following a win.
Under is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 8-3 in Cubs last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 games following an off day.
Over is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Under is 22-4-1 in Hendricks' last 27 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 15-3 in Hendricks' last 18 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 4-1 in Hendricks' last 5 Thursday starts.
Under is 12-3 in Hendricks' last 15 starts vs. National League Central.
Under is 21-7 in Hendricks' last 28 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 8-3 in Hendricks' last 11 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 19-8 in Hendricks' last 27 starts on grass.
Under is 19-8 in Hendricks' last 27 starts overall.
Under is 35-15-1 in Hendricks' last 51 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 37-16-1 in Hendricks' last 54 home starts.
Head to Head
Cubs are 5-0 in Hendricks' last 5 starts vs. Cardinals.
Cardinals are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.
Umpire Trends - Name unavailable
No trends available.
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MLB
Long Sheet
Thursday, July 19
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ST LOUIS (48 - 46) at CHICAGO CUBS (55 - 38) - 7:05 PM
CARLOS MARTINEZ (R) vs. KYLE HENDRICKS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 48-46 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 26-29 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1750-1800 (-264.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 375-308 (-77.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 934-838 (-156.4 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 432-385 (-82.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 111-90 (-19.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 82-69 (-17.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 125-111 (-36.1 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
HENDRICKS is 7-12 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HENDRICKS is 4-12 (-15.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 5-3 (+2.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.6 Units)
CARLOS MARTINEZ vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
MARTINEZ is 4-4 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.81 and a WHIP of 1.570.
His team's record is 9-6 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-5. (+3.0 units)
KYLE HENDRICKS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
HENDRICKS is 3-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.109.
His team's record is 8-4 (+4.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-5. (+1.7 units)
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MLB
Thursday, July 19
Top Five OVER Teams:
1. Reds 51-40-5
2. Indians 50-41-4
3. Athletics 47-42-8
4. Marlins 50-46-2
5. Pirates 47-44-6
Top Five UNDER Teams:
1. Nationals 56-38-2
2. Tigers 56-39-3
3. Orioles 54-39-4
4. Rays 54-40-4
5. Royals 51-40-4
Top Five Homer Umpires (based on home win %, min. 6 games behind home plate):
1. Nick Mahrley (6-0) $647
2. Mike DiMuro (14-2) $1410
3. Roberto Ortiz (8-2) $798
4. David Rackley (11-3) $745
5. Bill Welke (14-5) $844
Top Five Roadie Umpires (based on away team win %, min. 6 games behind home plate):
1. Ben May 12-0
2. Jim Reynolds 14-5
3. Dan Iassogna 5-2
t4. Mike Winters 11-6
t4. Adam Hamari 11-6
Top Five Money Starters (based on $100 wager per start):
1. Luis Severino, NYY (18-2) $1435
2. Jon Lester, CHC (16-3) $1275
3. Eduardo Rodriguez, BOS (16-3) $1160
4. Mike Fiers, DET (11-7) $943
5. Gerrit Cole, HOU (16-4) $893
Worst Five Money Starters (based on $100 wager per start):
278. Tanner Roark, WAS (5-14) $-1263
277. Kyle Hendricks, CHC (7-12) $-1251
276. Alex Cobb, BAL (3-14) $-1085
275. Kevin Gausman, BAL (5-14) $-974
274. Justin Verlander, HOU (12-9) $-952
Top Five Money Teams (based on $100 wager per game):
1. Boston Red Sox (68-30) $2318
2. Oakland A's (55-42) $1874
3. Seattle Mariners (58-39) $1589
4. Atlanta Braves (52-42) $1208
5. Philadelphia Phillies (53-42) $1140
Worst Five Money Teams (based on $100 wager per game):
30. Baltimore Orioles (28-69) $-3716
29. Kansas City Royals (27-68) $-3033
28. Chicago White Sox (33-62) $-1813
27. Washington Nationals (48-48) $-1782
26. New York Mets (39-55) $1667
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