MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Friday, October 27th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
LA DODGERS (112 - 60) at HOUSTON (109 - 66) - 8:05 PM
YU DARVISH (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 20-32 (-13.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 91-81 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 28-37 (-23.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 105-123 (-34.4 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 148-106 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 97-94 (-34.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 32-26 (-15.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
DARVISH is 16-17 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 109-66 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 43-19 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 84-40 (+26.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 40-26 (+9.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MORTON is 30-12 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 63-55 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)
YU DARVISH vs. HOUSTON since 1997
DARVISH is 5-5 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.067.
His team's record is 8-6 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-5. (+1.1 units)
CHARLIE MORTON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
MORTON is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 6.55 and a WHIP of 1.909.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)
LA DODGERS @ HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
StatFox Super Situations
LA DODGERS at HOUSTON
Play On - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA DODGERS) with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings 33-17 since 1997. ( 66.0% | 24.1 units ) 1-3 this year. ( 25.0% | -1.3 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends
LA DODGERS at HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 84-40 (+26.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season. The average score was: HOUSTON (5.4) , OPPONENT (4.2)
MLB Knowledge
Los Angeles @ Houston
Astros are 6-0 at home in playoffs, outscoring opponents 31-7. Dodgers are 8-2 in the playoffs, 3-1 on the road.
Darvish is 4-0, 1.17 in his last five starts (under 3-1-1); Dodgers are 5-2 in his road starts. Darvish is 1-1, 3.00 vs Houston this year; he allowed one hit in seven IP in his only start here this year, on June 12. He is 2-2, 3.52 in four playoff starts.
McCullers is 0-1, 5.21 in his last four starts; he threw four scoreless innings in relief in AL clincher vs New York. Over is 7-2 in his last nine starts. Astros are 6-3 in his home starts. McCullers is 0-0, 2.33 in four career playoff games (2 starts).
Armadillosports.com
World Series Game 3 Betting Preview: Dodgers at Astros
Covers.com
Los Angeles Dodgers at Houston Astros (-115, 8.5)
The Houston Astros emerged victorious in an epic Game 2 and now look to take a 2-1 lead when they host the Los Angeles Dodgers for Game 3 of the World Series on Friday. The teams combined for a World Series-record eight home runs on Wednesday, with George Springer's two-run blast in the 11th inning being the biggest in the Astros' come-from-behind 7-6 road win.
Houston carries the momentum home after the comeback triumph and has made the decision to close the roof on Minute Maid Park for Friday's game, assuring that crowd noise will play a role in the festivities. "It's quite an environment when we play under the roof," Astros manager A.J. Hinch said during his press conference on Thursday. "It was one of the loudest stadiums the last series; I expect it to be the same. We're coming off one of the most epic baseball games in any of our careers, so that feels good. It will feel good right up to first pitch, and then it will be a new game." The 4-hour, 19-minute Game 2 classic featured six homers in the final three innings as Los Angeles saw a chance for a 2-0 series advantage evaporate. "I think all year long we've done a nice job of recovering, turning the page, whether it's a big win or tough loss," Dodgers manager Dave Roberts told reporters. "It's a tough loss - just refocusing on the day at hand."
LINE HISTORY: The Astros opened Game 3 as -125 favorites, but have been bet down to the current number of -115. Oddsmakers set the total at 8.5. Check out the complete line history here.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Dodgers RH Yu Darvish (2-0, 1.59 ERA) vs. Astros RH Lance McCullers Jr. (0-0, 2.08)
Darvish has fanned 14 batters in 11 1/3 innings this postseason to improve to 2-2 with a 3.52 ERA in four career playoff starts. The 31-year-old from Japan fared well at Minute Maid Park during his tenure with Texas, going 4-1 with a 2.16 ERA and 0.74 WHIP in six career outings. "I feel like it doesn't really matter," Darvish said of his past success through his translator at his press conference on Thursday. "It's better to know that I've pitched here before. But (Friday's) game, it could be totally different from my previous outings here."
McCullers, who has posted a 2.33 ERA in four playoff appearances (two starts), is making his second start this postseason and has recorded 13 strikeouts in as many innings. The 24-year-old took a shutout into the seventh frame of Game 4 of the American League Championship Series before allowing a homer by New York Yankees rookie slugger Aaron Judge but has been mesmerizing hitters with a steady diet of curveballs. "I don't view it as an off-speed pitch," McCullers said at his press conference on Thursday. "I just view it as another one of my weapons that I can use to get people out."
UMPIRE REPORT: Gerry Davis
When it comes to home and away splits, Davis was pretty even, with the home team having a slight edge in games he officiated, going 16-14. Davis is the thrid straight Under umpire to call balls and strikes in this series, with the Under going 18-10 in his games this season. Davis has seen an average of 7.8 runs per game anad has a strike rate of 63.63 percent.
TRENDS:
* Dodgers are 21-5 in their last 26 games following an off day.
* Astros are 6-0 in their last six playoff home games.
* Under is 6-1-1 in Dodgers last eight road games.
* Under is 8-1 in Astros last nine home games vs. a right-handed starter.
CONSENSUS: Bettors like the Astros at home in Game 3, with 56 percent of wagers on Houston. When it comes to the total, bettors are on the Over after the offensive outburst in Game 2 with 58 percent of wagers on it.
MLB Betting Analysis & Tips
By Allen Moody
Bangthebook.com
Game 3 of the World Series moves to Houston, where the Astros will send Lance McCullers Jr. to the mound to be opposed by Yu Darvish. The Astros have climbed to -132, making this game only the fifth time the Dogeers have been an underdog of +120 or more this season. The Dodgers were 1-3 in those first four games.
The Astros were favored -132 or less at home 15 times and were 8-7 in those games, another losing proposition for flat-bet wagering. This is the lowest McCullers has been priced at home all season, where the Astros went 6-3 in his starts. He was at least -160 in his other home starts.
The Dodgers are 7-4 when Yu Darvish has taken the mound for them and he was favored in all of those starts but one, the victory at Chicago against the Cubs in the playoffs. Darvish has had a couple of rough outings with the Dodgers, but for the most part has been solid since coming over from Texas. Los Angeles allows an average of 3.36 runs per game when he starts, compared to the 4.77 the Rangers allowed with him on the hill, a number that is a bit misleading, as he started the game they lost to Miami 22-10.
Darvish has been better on the road this season and had a solid start at Houston as a member of the Rangers, while McCullers typically posts better numbers at home, but had several bad starts, which have inflated his numbers a bit.
McCullers has battled some injury issues down the stretch and flat-out hadn’t pitched well up until the playoffs started. In his last 10 starts, only twice has the opposition been held to three or fewer runs and in six of those games, the Astros allowed seven or more runs. For comparison, Darvish has held five of the last 10 opponents to three runs or fewer and allowed seven runs once and six runs two times.
Morton was expected to get the start and had opened up -115 over Darvish, but the line climbed a bit when McCullers was announced as the starter. He looked strong in relief against the Yankees, but it’s a question of if he can keep it against the Dodgers.
The Dodgers have seen McCullers just once, back in 2015, while Darvish has faced the Astros six times the past two seasons. He’s had a few good starts and some poor ones, as well.
The line is pretty close to where it should be, as I have it Houston -124, but will have to take the underdog in this spot.