MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Monday, October 16th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
HOUSTON (106 - 62) at NY YANKEES (95 - 75) - 7:05 PM
CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 50-50 (-17.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 51-33 (+15.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 24-8 (+12.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
NY YANKEES are 67-34 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 50-35 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SABATHIA is 20-9 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 15-7 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 26-13 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 10-2 (+9.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 10-4 (+7.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 106-62 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 27-15 (+10.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
HOUSTON is 54-29 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 38-19 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 33-19 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 37-22 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MORTON is 29-11 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-2 (+4.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)
CHARLIE MORTON vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
MORTON is 1-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.68 and a WHIP of 1.184.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)
C.C. SABATHIA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SABATHIA is 2-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.292.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)
HOUSTON vs. NY YANKEES
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Houston is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing Houston
HOUSTON @ NY YANKEES
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
StatFox Super Situations
HOUSTON at NY YANKEES
Play On - Any team (HOUSTON) very good AL offensive team (>=5.4 runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA<=3.33), after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games 59-31 since 1997. ( 65.6% | 30.6 units ) 2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.0 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends
HOUSTON at NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 35-12 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in Home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors over the last 2 seasons. The average score was: NY YANKEES (6.1) , OPPONENT (4.0)
MLB Playoffs.com
Houston @ New York
Astros are 7-2 against New York this season, winning 3 of 4 in the Bronx.
Morton is 3-0, 2.38 in his last four starts (under 4-0); Houston is 6-4 in his road starts. Morton won his only ’17 start vs NY, allowing four runs in 5.2 IP. He is 0-1, 3.60 in two career playoff starts.
Sabathia is 3-0, 3.26 in his last five starts; under is 9-3 in his last 2 starts. NY is 10-3 in his home starts this year. Sabathia didn’t pitch against Houston this season. He is 9-5, 4.46 in 21 career playoff games (20 starts).
Armadillosports.com
Monday's ALCS Playoff Betting Preview: Astros at Yankees
Covers.com
Houston Astros at New York Yankees (HOU +115, NYY -125, O/U 8.5)
The margin of error in the first two games of the American League Championship Series was razor thin, with the Houston Astros managing to come out on top in each contest to take a commanding lead in the best-of-seven matchup. The New York Yankees will try to turn the tide in their favor when they host Game 3 on Monday.
The Astros earned 2-1 wins in each of the first two games, with Game 2's victory coming only after Jose Altuve scampered around the bases from first on a Carlos Correa's double and scored when Yankees catcher Gary Sanchez was unable to handle the relay throw from shortstop Didi Gregorius. "Both sides are really, really emphasizing staying in the game and just continuing to fight because it can shift in a heartbeat," Houston manager A.J. Hinch told reporters. "Just when you feel good about where you're at, it can shift back to momentum the other way. So it's postseason baseball at its best." Sanchez (0-for-7, five strikeouts) and Aaron Judge (1-for-7, three strikeouts) are enduring a tough series at the plate for New York, but the team has no plans to change its batting order. "I'm going to stick with the same lineup because things can turn really quickly," Yankees manager Joe Girardi told reporters. "There's a lot of guys that struggle in the postseason. That's just what it is. If you just start moving people around trying to play a hot hand, it doesn't necessarily work."
INJURY REPORT:
Astros - CF J. Marisnick (Out For Season, Thumb), SP D. Paulino (Out For Season, Suspension), RP J. Gustave (Out For Season, Elbow).
Yankees - SP L. Severino (day-to-day, Shoulder), SP L. Cessa (Out For Season, Ribs), SP M. Pineda (Out For Season, Elbow).
PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros RH Charlie Morton (0-0, 4.15 ERA) vs. Yankees LH CC Sabathia (0-0, 3.72)
Morton started the clinching game of the AL Division Series at Boston last Monday but did not factor in the decision, leaving after 4 1/3 innings. The New Jersey native surrendered seven hits and walked a pair but limited the damage to two runs in a game Houston went on to win 5-4. Morton earned a victory at New York on May 14, when he struck out 10 while allowing four runs on four hits and four walks in 5 2/3 frames.
Sabathia is coming off a performance in a clinching ALDS game as well and also lasted only 4 1/3 innings in Cleveland. The veteran registered nine strikeouts without walking a batter prior to his exit and was making his second ALDS start after working 5 1/3 solid frames in Game 2. Sabathia is 9-5 with a 4.46 ERA in 21 career postseason appearances - 20 starts - and is facing the Astros for the first time since posting a win in Houston on July 26, 2016.
TRENDS:
* Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 League Championship games.
* Astros are 4-0 in Morton's last 4 starts.
* Yankees are 1-10 in their last 11 League Championship games.
* Yankees are 13-3 in Sabathia's last 16 home starts.
* Over is 6-0 in Astros' last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
* Under is 5-0 in Sabathia's last 5 starts vs. American League West.
* Home team is 45-15 in Cederstrom's last 60 games behind home plate.
CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the home chalk Yankees at a rate of 63 percent and the Over is picking up 63 percent of the totals action.