MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Sunday, May 21st, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
MLB Knowledge
National League
Brewers @ Cubs
Anderson is 0-0, 6.10 in his last four starts, all of which went over the total.
Arrieta is 1-3, 9.45 in his last four starts; six of his last seven starts went over.
Brewers won nine of their last 12 games- six of their last eight games went over the total. Cubs are 7-3 in last ten home games; over is 13-1 in last 14 games at Wrigley Field.
Phillies @ Pirates
Nola is 2-0, 4.50 in three starts this season (over 2-1).
Kuhl is 0-4, 9.13 in his last six starts (over 4-4).
Phillies lost 13 of last 16 games; over is 9-2-1 in their last 12 road games. Pittsburgh won five of last seven games; over is 4-1-1 in their last six games.
Nationals @ Braves
Strasburg is 2-0, 4.08 in his last three starts; three of his last four starts went over total.
Garcia is 1-1, 4.63 in his last four starts (over 4-2-1).
Washington lost seven of its last eight road games; over is 8-4 in their last 12 games. Atlanta won seven of last nine games; over is 7-1-2 in their last ten home games.
Rockies @ Reds
Freeland is 3-1, 2.87 in his last five starts (under 7-1).
Arroyo is 1-1, 6.20 in his last four starts (over 6-2).
Colorado won seven of last eleven road games; 18-20 runs scored in first two games of this series. Reds lost seven of last eight games; over is 6-0 in their last six games.
Giants @ Cardinals
Cain is 1-1, 6.30 in his last four starts, all of which went over the total.
Wainwright 3-0, 4.40 in his last five starts; over is 5-1 in his last six outings.
Giants won seven of last eight games; four of their last six games went over. St Louis is 3-8 in its last 11 home games; over is 11-4 in their last 15 home games.
Diamondbacks @ Padres
Godley is 1-0, 1.93 in three starts this year (over 2-1); all those starts were at home.
Richard is 0-3, 6.67 in his last five starts; over is 3-1 in his home starts.
Arizona won its last five games; under is 7-3 in their last ten road games. San Diego lost ten of last 12 games. Over is 12-4 in their last 16 home games.
Marlins @ Dodgers
Worley is making his first ’17 start; he is 33-30, 3.75 in 85 career MLB starts and is 2-5, 4.43 in eight AAA starts this season.
McCarthy is 1-1, 5.56 in his last four starts (over 3-3).
Miami lost ten of its last 12 games; four of their last five games went over. Dodgers won three of last four games; over is 7-2-2 in their last 11 home games.
American League
Blue Jays @ Orioles
Estrada is 1-1, 6.00 in his last three starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five starts.
Miley is 0-1, 3.23 in his last six starts; three of his last four starts went over.
Blue Jays lost five of last six games; over is 10-3 in their last 13 road games. Baltimore lost six of its last nine games; over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games.
Bronx @ Tampa Bay
Sabathia is 1-2, 7.24 in his last five starts; under is 3-2 in his road starts.
Archer is 1-2, 4.74 in his last six starts; over is 6-1 in his last seven starts.
New York lost its last three games; over is 14-6 in their last 20 games. Tampa Bay won six of last eight games; over is 10-1-1 in Rays’ last 12 games.
Rangers @ Tigers
Darvish is 3-0, 2.38 in his last five starts; under is 5-1 in his last six outings.
Boyd is 0-2, 7.88 in his last three starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven starts.
Rangers won 10 of their last 11 games; five of last seven Ranger games went over total. Detroit won four of last five games; over is 4-1-1 in their last six games.
Royals @ Twins
Young is 0-0, 12.15 in two starts this season (over 2-0). Kennedy is 0-3, 3.28 in six starts this season- Royals scored 10 runs in the six games (over 3-3).
Mejia is 0-1, 6.52 in three starts this season (under 2-0-1). Hughes is 0-1, 6.06 in his last three starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
Kansas City won seven of its last 11 games; over is 5-3 in their last eight road games. Minnesota lost three of last five home games; over is 7-4 in last 11 games at Target Field.
Indians @ Astros
Salazar is 0-2, 8.76 in his last three starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
Musgrove is 2-0, 2.31 in his last two starts; under is 4-1 in his home starts.
Indians won five of last seven road games; four of last six Cleveland games went over total, but under is 13-1 in their last 14 road tilts. Houston won nine of last 12 games but lost last two; their last three games stayed under the total.
White Sox @ Mariners
Holland is 1-1, 5.25 in his last four starts, all of which went over.
Looks like another bullpen game for the Mariners.
White Sox lost ten of their last 14 games; over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games. Seattle lost seven of its last ten games; over is 12-6-1 in their last 19 games.
Red Sox @ A’s
Rodriguez is 2-0, 2.40 in his last five starts (under 6-1).
Triggs is 2-1, 2.59 in his last four starts; under is 3-2 in his home starts.
Red Sox are 4-7 in their last 11 games; over is 8-2 in their last ten road games. Oakland won four of last five games; over is 15-6 in their last 21 games.
Interleague
Angels @ Mets
Chavez is 1-2, 4.32 in his last four starts (under 5-3).
Milone is 0-1, 5.91 in two starts for the Mets (over 1-0-1).
Angels won four of their last six games but lost last two; under is 14-6 in their last 20 road games. Mets lost seven of their last nine games but won last two; over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.
Record with this pitcher starting
National League
Wsh-Atl: Strasburg 6-2; Garcia 4-3
Mil-Chi: Anderson 4-4; Arrieta 4-4
Phil-Pitt: Nola 2-1; Kuhl 2-6
Col-Cin: Freeland 6-2; Arroyo 5-3
SF-StL: Cain 5-3; Wainwright 4-4
Az-SD: Godley 2-1; Richard 3-6
Mia-LA: Worley 0-0; McCarthy 4-2
American League
NY-TB: Sabathia 6-2; Archer 5-4
Clev-Hst: Salazar 3-5; Musgrove 4-4
KC-Min: Young 2-0 Kennedy 1-5; Mejia 0-3 Hughes 6-2
Bos-A’s: Rodriguez 5-2; Triggs 6-2
Tor-Balt: Estrada 4-5; Miley 5-3
Tex-Det: Darvish 6-3; Boyd 3-5
Chi-Sea: Holland 4-4; Unknown
Interleague
LAA-NYM: Chavez 3-5; Milone 0-2 (1-2)
Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Wsh-Atl: Strasburg 1-8; Garcia 2-7
Mil-Chi: Anderson 1-8; Arrieta 3-8
Phil-Pitt: Nola 0-3; Kuhl 4-8
Col-Cin: Freeland 1-8; Arroyo 4-8
SF-StL: Cain 4-8; Wainwright 1-8
Az-SD: Godley 0-3; Richard 2-9
Mia-LA: Worley 0-0; McCarthy 1-6
American League
NY-TB: Sabathia 2-8; Archer 2-9
Clev-Hst: Salazar 4-8; Musgrove 2-8
KC-Min: Young 1-2 Kennedy 1-6; Mejia 1-3 Hughes 3-5
Bos-A’s: Rodriguez 2-7; Triggs 3-8
Tor-Balt: Estrada 3-9; Miley 2-7
Tex-Det: Darvish 1-9; Boyd 1-8
Chi-Sea: Holland 2-8; Unknown
Interleague
LAA-NYM: Chavez 0-8; Milone 0-5
Umpires
National League
Wsh-Atl: Underdogs won three of last four Rackley games.
Mil-Chi: Under is 5-2 in Hoye games this season.
Phil-Pitt: Under is 3-1-1 in last five Carlson games.
Col-Cin: Three of last four Segal games stayed under.
SF-StL: Last seven Hallion games went over the total.
Az-SD: Under is 10-3 in last thirteen DeJesus games.
Mia-LA: Under is 5-2 in Nauert games this season.
American League
NY-TB: Last six O’Nora games went over the total.
Clev-Hst: Four of last six Scheurwater games went over.
KC-Min: Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Miller games. Under is 10-3 in last thirteen Blakney games.
Bos-A’s: Over is 6-2 in Muchlinski games this season.
Tor-Balt: Four of last six Kulpa games stayed under.
Tex-Det: Under is 5-1-1 in Baker games this season.
Chi-Sea: Under is 4-0-1 in last five Davis games.
Interleague
LAA-NYM: Four of last five Morales games went over.
Sunday's Diamond Notes
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
Hottest team: Rangers (10-1 past 11 games overall)
The Rangers saw their 10-game winning streak go up in smoke against Justin Verlander and Tigers at Comerica Park on Saturday. All good things must come to an end, but it doesn't mean the Rangers need to follow up their win streak with a losing skid. They'll turn to Yu Darvish for Sunday's series finale on national television. Texas has won each of Darvish's past five outings, they're 6-1 in his past seven on the road and they're 5-2 in his past seven assignments against teams with an overall winning mark. In addition, he enters well rested. The Rangers are 8-2 across Darvish's past 10 outings with four days of rest.
Coldest team Blue Jays (1-5 past six games overall, 4-8 past 12 road games)
The Blue Jays wrap up a three-game set on Sunday and they're looking to avoid the sweep. Toronto continues to limp along with just eight victories over their past 25 road games, although they're 9-4 in their past 13 road games against a left-handed starter. They have been solid behind Marco Estrada lately, going 7-3 in his past 10 road assignments facing off against a team with a winning overall record. Toronto has won just once in the past six outings and they're just 1-7 over the past eight outings vs. LHP.
Hottest pitcher: Andrew Triggs, Athletics (5-2, 2.12 ERA)
Triggs has come out of nowhere to rank fifth overall in the majors in ERA. A big key to his success has been his ability to keep the ball down and in the park, allowing just two homers across 46 2/3 innings over eight starts. Opponents are hitting just .209 against Triggs and he has posted a respectable 1.03 WHIP in eight outings. The A's have won four straight outings at home while going 4-1 in their past five overall. In addition, the A's are 6-2 in their past eight tries against a left-handed starter and 6-2 in Triggs' past eight assignments. He'll look to add to Boston's woes in the Bay Area, as they're 16-35 over their past 51 trips to Oaktown.
Coldest pitcher: Bronson Arroyo, Reds (3-3, 6.31 ERA)
Arroyo's record isn't terrible, but it's more the result of good run support and nothing he has been doing. He has coughed up at least four earned runs in four of his past eight outings, and 45 hits with 13 walks over 41 1/3 innings this season. Cincinnati has won just once in the past eight games and they're 19-39 in their past 58 against left-handed starting pitching. The good news for bettors is that the Reds are 4-1 in Arroyo's past five home outings against the Rockies.
Biggest UNDER run: Royals (6-2 past eight games)
The 'under' hit in Friday's series opener in Minnesota, and the 'under' is 7-5 in the past 12 road outings for Kansas City. However, the 'over' is 3-0-2 in the previous five meetings this season. The 'under' is 8-2 in Kansas City's past 10 tries against a left-handed starter and an amazing 16-4-1 in the past 21 for the Royals against a team with a winning overall record. The under is also 10-2-1 in Ian Kennedy's past 13 road starts while going 8-1-2 in his past 11 road starts against a team with a winning record.
Biggest OVER run: Mets (6-2-1 past nine games)
The 'over' has been the play for the Mets lately, going 32-14-6 in their past 52 games overall, including an impressive 17-6-4 mark in their past 27 outings at Citi Field. If you think that's impressive you'll really be bowled over by the fact the 'over' is 19-3-4 in New York's past 26 against right-handed starting pitching and 13-2-1 in their past 16 games after scoring five or more runs in their previous outing. The 'over' will be put to the test against the Halos, as the 'under' is 22-9 in their past 31 road outings. However, the 'over' is 4-1 in the past five for the Angels against left-handed starting pitching.
Matchup to watch: Tigers vs. Rangers
The Tigers cooled off the Rangers in Saturday's middle game, snapping a 10-game winning streak. They'll turn to southpaw Matthew Boyd trying to piece together a win streak. He was bounced around for seven earned runs, eight hits and two walks over 2 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Orioles last time out. He has also yielded at least three earned runs in each of his past four assignments. The Tigers are just 1-5 over Boyd's past six home outings, however, and 0-4 in his past four starts overall. The Rangers, on the other hand, are 5-0 in Darvish's past five outings nad 6-1 in his past seven assignments on the road.
Betcha didn’t know: The White Sox piled up 16 runs in Saturday's rout of the Mariners in Safeco Field, forcing Dillon Overton to work in relief. That left an open spot in the rotation for Sunday's series finale, so the club will recall Chris Heston from Triple-A Tacoma. He was pasted for five runs and seven hits across two innings in a relief outing on April 25, his only appearance of the season at the big-league level. It might be another successful outing for the White Sox offense unless Heston turns things around.
Biggest public favorite: Cubs (-200) vs. Brewers
Biggest public underdog: Giants (+155) at Cardinals
Biggest line move: Cubs (-175 to -200) vs. Brewers
Tigers host Rangers
By: StatFox.com
The Rangers meet the Tigers in a big Sunday night matchup at Comerica Park.
It has been an up-and-down season for both the Rangers and the Tigers in 2017, but both teams are still right in the thick of things in their respective divisions. This matchup promises to be a good one, as both teams know that they can make a statement by coming away with a victory on the national stage. The starters in this ESPN game will be RHP Yu Darvish (4-2, 2.76 ERA, 61 K) for the Rangers and LHP Matthew Boyd (2-3, 5.18 ERA, 30 K) for the Tigers. This might seem like a lopsided battle on the mound, but it could be a good one. While Darvish has been excellent to start the season, Boyd is also capable of turning in some gems. He has allowed three or fewer earned runs in seven of his appearances this season, but he has also been roughed up on occasion. It’s just important that he finds a way to limit his walks here.
Yu Darvish is going to be starting for the Rangers on Sunday, and the righty has been ridiculous recently. Darvish has allowed two or fewer earned runs in four of his past five starts, and he has allowed one or fewer in four of his nine starts this season. He is very much a candidate to win the AL Cy Young Award, and he should be in for a big performance on Sunday. The last time Darvish faced the Tigers was Aug. 12, 2016, and he allowed just two earned runs in 6.2 innings of work in that outing. He’s a lot healthier now than he was then, so he’ll be confident when he heads out to the hill. Offensively, one guy that could be in for a big game for Texas is 1B Mike Napoli. In Napoli’s career against Matthew Boyd, he is 2-for-5 with a homer and two RBI. That is obviously a small sample size, but it’s hard to imagine that he won’t be feeling good about his chances to take him yard again on Sunday. Especially considering the fact that Boyd is coming off of his worst performance of the season.
If the Tigers are going to win on Sunday night then they will need Boyd to be more like the guy he was earlier in the season than the guy he was in his most recent start. Boyd was awful when he faced the Orioles on May 16, allowing seven earned runs on eight hits in only 2.1 innings of work. That can’t happen again on Sunday or this game could get out of hand fast. It’s very likely that Darvish is going to pitch well, so Boyd will need to be prepared to duel with him here. If anybody is going to get to Darvish on this Tigers offense then that would be either 2B Ian Kinsler or 3B Miguel Cabrera. Kinsler is 2-for-6 with two doubles against the righty in his career, and Cabrera is even better with a .333 batting average, three doubles, and three RBI. If Cabrera can get it going in that game then it would be big for both him and Detroit, as it has not been the best of seasons for the slugger.