MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, May 16th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
MLB Knowledge
National League
Nationals @ Pirates
Strasburg is 2-1, 3.51 in his last four starts (under 5-2).
Kuhl is 0-3, 8.24 in his last five starts (under 4-3).
Washington won three of its last four games; they’re 4-2 in road series openers. Over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Pittsburgh won three of last four home games; they’re 3-2 in home series openers. Under is 4-1 in their last five home games.
Reds @ Cubs
Arroyo is 3-0, 4.79 in his last five starts (over 5-2).
Lackey is 2-0, 3.50 in his last three starts (over 5-2).
Reds lost seven of last nine road games; they’re 3-2 in road series openers. Under is 4-1 in their last five games. Cubs lost seven of last nine games, are 1-4 in home series openers. Over is 9-1 in last ten games at Wrigley Field.
Mets @ Diamondbacks
Milone is 1-1, 4.74 in four starts this year (over 4-0).
Greinke is 3-0, 2.33 in his last four starts (over 5-3).
Mets lost last five games; their last ten road games went over the total. Arizona is 5-7 in its last 12 games. Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
Brewers @ Padres
Nelson is 0-2, 6.04 in his last five starts (under 4-3).
Richard is 0-2, 6.00 in his last four starts (under 5-3).
Brewers won six of their last eight games. Under is 4-2 in their last six road games. San Diego lost five of last seven games. Over is 9-2 in their last 11 home games.
Dodgers @ Giants
Hill is making his first start since April 16: he is 1-1, 3.38 in two starts (under 2-0).
Blach is 0-2, 5.73 in his four starts this year (under 3-1).
Dodgers won seven of last ten games; over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. San Francisco won five of last six games; under is 13-4-2 in their home games this season.
American League
Rays @ Indians
Odorizzi is 2-1, 2.16 in his last five starts (under 5-1).
Salazar is 1-2, 6.75 in his last four starts (under 5-2).
Tampa Bay won four of last five road games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Cleveland lost three of last four games; under is 13-3 in their last sixteen games.
Orioles @ Tigers
Miley is 1-1, 2.45 in seven starts this year (over 4-3).
Boyd is 0-2, 4.32 in his last four starts (under 4-1-1 in his last six).
Baltimore lost last four games, all lost by bullpen; they’re 2-4 in road series openers. Over is 4-2 in their last six games. Detroit won three of last four games; they’re 4-1 in home series openers. Four of their last five games stayed under.
Bronx @ Kansas City
Sabathia is 0-2, 9.58 in his last four starts, three of which went over total.
Hammel is 1-3, 7.58 in his last four starts (under 4-3).
New York lost four of last five games; they’re 3-3 in road series openers. Over is 11-4 in their last fifteen games. Kansas City won six of its last seven games; they’re 4-3 in home series openers. Under is 8-2 in their last ten home games.
White Sox @ Angels
Holland is 2-2, 5.97 in his last five starts, four of which went over total.
Ramirez is 1-3, 4.04 in six starts this season (under 5-1).
White Sox lost seven of their last nine games. Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Angels are 5-8 in their last 13 games; under is 6-1 in their last seven home games.
A’s @ Mariners
Triggs is 2-1, 2.95 in his last three starts (under 4-3).
DeJong is 0-2, 8.56 in three starts this season (over 2-0-1).
Oakland lost five of its last six games; over is 12-4 in their last 16 games. Seattle lost four of its last five games; over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games.
Interleague
Astros @ Marlins
Keuchel is 6-0, 1.84 in eight starts this season (over 4-4).
Koehler is 0-0, 6.28 in his last three starts (over 5-1 in his last six).
Astros are 6-1 in last seven games; over is 8-6 in their last 14 games. Miami lost five of its last six games; over is 6-3 in their last nine games.
Braves @ Blue Jays
Garcia is 1-2, 4.81 in seven starts this year (under 2-0-1 in last three).
Estrada is 2-1, 2.37 in his last six starts (under 4-3-1).
Braves lost seven of last nine games; three of their last four games stayed under. Toronto won its last five games; under is 6-2-1 in their last eight home games.
Phillies @ Rangers
Eickhoff is 0-2, 8.40 in his last three starts (over 3-1-1 in his last five).
Darvish is 2-0, 2.67 in his last four starts; under is 4-1 in his last five starts.
Phillies lost five of their last six road games; they’re 3-3 in road series openers. Over is 10-1-3 in their last 14 road games. Texas won its last six games; they’re 4-3 in home series openers. Under is 12-4-1 in their last 17 home games.
Rockies @ Twins
Freeland is 2-1, 2.49 in his last four starts (under 7-0).
Hughes is 2-0, 4.70 in his last four starts (over 4-2 in his last six starts).
Colorado won six of its last nine games; they’re 4-1 in road series openers. Under is 10-4 in their last 14 road games. Minnesota won four of last five games; they’re 4-2 in home series openers. Over is 6-1 in their last seven home games.
Red Sox @ Cardinals
Rodriguez is 1-0, 1.88 in his last four starts (under 6-0).
Lynn is 4-0, 1.86 in his last four starts (over 5-2).
Boston lost four of last six games; they’re 1-4 in road series openers. Over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games. St Louis won eight of last nine games; they’re 3-4 in home series openers. Over is 16-4-1 in their last 21 games.
Record with this pitcher starting
National League
Wsh-Pitt: Strasburg 5-2; Kuhl 2-5
Cin-Chi: Arroyo 5-2 (5-0 last 5); Lackey 4-3
NY-Az: Milone 0-1 (1-3); Greinke 5-3
Mil-SD: Nelson 2-5 (0-5 last 5); Richard 3-5
LA-SF: Hill 1-1; Blach 0-4
American League
TB-Clev: Odorizzi 3-3; Salazar 3-4
Balt-Det: Miley 4-3; Boyd 3-4
NY-KC: Sabathia 5-2; Hammel 1-6
Chi-LA: Holland 4-3; Ramirez 3-3
A’s-Sea: Triggs 5-2; DeJong 1-2
Interleague
Hst-Mia: Keuchel 7-1; Koehler 3-4
Atl-Tor: Garcia 3-3; Estrada 4-4
Phil-Tex: Eickhoff 1-6; Darvish 5-3 (4-0 last 4)
Col-Minn: Freeland 5-2; Hughes 6-1
Bos-StL: Rodriguez 4-2; Lynn 5-2 (5-0 last 5)
Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Wsh-Pitt: Strasburg 0-7; Kuhl 3-7
Cin-Chi: Arroyo 2-7; Lackey 4-7
NY-Az: Milone 0-4; Greinke 0-8
Mil-SD: Nelson 2-7; Richard 1-8
LA-SF: Hill 0-2; Blach 1-4
American League
TB-Clev: Odorizzi 3-6; Salazar 3-7
Balt-Det: Miley 1-6; Boyd 0-7
NY-KC: Sabathia 2-7; Hammel 1-7
Chi-LA: Holland 2-7; Ramirez 5-6
A’s-Sea: Triggs 2-7; DeJong 2-3
Interleague
Hst-Mia: Keuchel 1-8; Koehler 5-7
Atl-Tor: Garcia 2-6; Estrada 2-8
Phil-Tex: Eickhoff 1-7; Darvish 1-8
Col-Minn: Freeland 1-6; Hughes 3-7
Bos-StL: Rodriguez 2-6; Lynn 2-7
Umpires
National League
NY-Az: Home team won last eight Wegner games.
Mil-SD: Over is 4-2-1 in last seven Miller games.
LA-SF: Four of five Whitson games went over the total.
American League
TB-Clev: Three of last four Morales games went over total.
Chi-LAA: Last three HGibson games stayed under total.
A’s-Sea: Underdogs won four of last five Demuth games.
Interleague
Hst-Mia: Over is 5-2 in Barry games this season.
Atl-Tor: Four of last five Segal games stayed under total.
Armadillosports.com
MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Angels
Niether team a peg to hang your hopes on at the moment, might want to consider 'Under' in this matchup.
Halos have kept 'Under' gamblers happy in seven of eight overall (0-7-1 O/U) and in five of seven in front of the home audience (1-5-1 O/U). On the other side, Pale Hose have also been kind to 'Under' gamblers in an opposing park playing 'Under' in six of eight (2-6 O/U).
'Under' has been the right choice in this series (0-7-1 O/U) and in JC Ramirez's last six starts for Angels (1-5 O/U). Additionally, 'Under' has paid dividends in when left-hander Derek Holland faces Halos (0-5-1 O/U). The clincher, Halos have a habit of playing 'Under' vs the A.L. Central. In the last thirteen such games the result has been 12 'Under', 1 'Over'. Pale Hose also have habit of keeping score low vs AL West (3-11-1 O/U).
Tuesday's Diamond Notes
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
Hottest team: Rangers (6-0 last six)
Texas stumbled out of the gate by starting 5-10 following playoff appearances the last two seasons. However, the Rangers have picked things up of late by winning 11 of their past 15 games at Globe Life Park, including five straight victories at home. Texas completed home sweeps of San Diego and Oakland, while needing comebacks in all five wins, including a pair of walk-off victories.
The Rangers begin a three-game home series with the Phillies prior to a tough nine-game road swing through Detroit, Boston, and Toronto. Texas is taking advantage of facing below .500 teams during this current winning stretch as Philadelphia is the fourth straight team with a losing record facing the Rangers. Yu Darvish heads to the mound in Tuesday’s opener, as the right-hander is unbeaten in his last four starts, while Texas has won each of his last three home outings after losing the first two to Cleveland and Oakland.
Coldest team: Orioles (0-4 last four)
Baltimore continues its road trip after getting swept at Kansas City this past weekend. The loss that hurts the most is Sunday’s 9-8 defeat to the Royals after the Orioles squandered a 5-0 lead. The O’s have dropped six of their last seven games away from Camden Yards as they travel to Detroit to face a Tigers’ squad that is returning home from a 4-5 west coast swing.
Detroit has won five of its past six series openers, but the Tigers struggled with the Orioles last season by compiling a 2-5 record in seven meetings. Southpaw Wade Miley received some bad luck in his previous start as the Orioles couldn’t hold onto a 6-2 lead heading into the eighth inning as Baltimore lost at Washington, 7-6. The good news is the Orioles own a 3-1 record when Miley starts on the highway.
Hottest pitcher: Dallas Keuchel, Astros (6-0, 1.69 ERA)
Keuchel is not only the hottest hurler of late, but also the best pitcher in baseball this season. The Houston southpaw is coming off his sixth victory of the season last Thursday by beating the Yankees, 3-2 as a short road underdog. Keuchel allowed one unearned run in six innings of work as the Astros improved to 4-0 in his four starts away from Minute Maid Park. The 2015 Cy Young winner gets the ball at Miami as the Astros look to improve to 8-1 the last nine games.
Coldest pitcher: Jason Hammel, Royals (1-4, 5.97 ERA)
Kansas City is heating up at the right time by winning six of the past seven contests, but Hammel is responsible for the only loss in this stretch. Hammel was knocked around by the Rays, 12-1 as he went seven innings and gave up 13 hits and seven runs last Wednesday. The right-hander has one victory in seven starts this season, but it did come in the underdog role against Cleveland earlier this month as the Royals are a short ‘dog on Tuesday against the Yankees.
Biggest OVER run: Mets (15-1-3 last 19)
New York may not be putting up wins of late after dropping its fifth straight game on Monday at Arizona, but the Mets are cashing OVERS at a rapid pace. The Mets have allowed at least six runs during each contest of this five-game skid, while going 9-0-1 to the OVER in the past 10 games away from Citi Field. That OVER streak could come to an end against Arizona as Zack Greinke takes the mound for the D-backs, coming off five consecutive quality starts, but Arizona is 4-1 to the OVER in his five home outings.
Biggest UNDER run: Tigers (4-1 last five)
Detroit is back home after a lengthy road swing, as its offense seeks some consistency. The Tigers scored only four runs in the final three games against the Angels after putting up seven runs in the series opener. Detroit is receiving solid pitching from its starters as each hurler has gone into the sixth inning in six straight games. Matt Boyd has yielded three earned runs or less in six consecutive outings for Detroit, but the Tigers have scored three runs or less in five of seven of his seven starts this season.
Matchup to watch: Red Sox vs. Cardinals
Boston ended its long championship drought in 2004 by sweeping St. Louis in the World Series, while beating the Cardinals again for the title in 2013. These two squads meet for an interleague showdown at Busch Stadium for a brief two-game set as the Cardinals try to stay on fire.
St. Louis has won eight of its past nine games, while coming off back-to-back home victories over the defending champion Cubs. The Cardinals started the season at 3-9, but have vaulted into first place of the NL Central in nearly a month’s span. One of the main reasons for that improvement has been the pitching of Lance Lynn, who is 4-0 in his last five trips to the mound, while allowing six earned runs in this stretch.
The Red Sox have stumbled to a 2-4 mark the previous six contests after plating 17 runs at Minnesota on May 7. Eduardo Rodriguez hasn’t received a decision in his last three outings for Boston, but the southpaw has tossed six innings in each of his past four starts. Rodriguez faces a St. Louis club that owns a 3-3 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season, while the Cardinals have seen a southpaw starter only twice in the past 25 contests.
Betcha didn’t know: The biggest interleague series by name may be the Red Sox and Cardinals, but two first-place squads meet in Minnesota as the Twins host the Rockies. Colorado has fared well away from Coors Field this season, especially in series openers by posting a 4-1 record. The Twins have also been respectable in home Game 1’s by going 4-2, including three straight wins in this situation.
Biggest public favorite: Cubs (-200) vs. Reds
Biggest public underdog: Rockies (+105) at Twins
Biggest line move: Tigers (-105 to -125) vs. Orioles
Red-hot Cards host Red Sox
By: StatFox.com
The Cardinals will be going for their ninth win in 10 games when they host the Red Sox on Tuesday.
Boston will be hoping to win its third game in five contests on Tuesday, but that is not going to be easy against a red-hot St. Louis squad. The Cardinals are playing like one of the best teams in baseball right now, as they have now won eight of their past nine games. Their pitching has been absurd recently, allowing only six runs total in the past three contests. They have also been good offensively, racking up double digits in hits in seven of their past 10 games. The starters in this matchup on Tuesday are going to be LHP Eduardo Rodriguez (1-1, 2.80 ERA, 42 K) for Boston and RHP Lance Lynn (4-1, 2.75 ERA, 36 K) for St. Louis. Both guys have pitched very well this season, so it wouldn’t be too shocking if this game went Under the total. One trend that doesn’t work in Boston’s favor is that the team is just 2-8 against the money line in road games with a line of +125 to -125. The Sox are, however, an impressive 8-2 against the money line over the past three seasons when coming off a loss by six runs or more versus a division rival.
Eduardo Rodriguez is on the mound for the Red Sox tonight, and the lefty has been dealing this season. In his past four starts, Rodriguez has allowed a total of five earned runs in 24 innings of work. He has given the Red Sox a quality start in each of those games, and it’d be big if he can do that once again on Tuesday. It won’t be easy, though. He’s facing a dangerous Cardinals lineup that knows how to make good contact with the ball. That means that if Rodriguez isn’t missing bats then he might get beat up a bit here. Offensively, one guy that must come through for the Sox is OF Mookie Betts (.296 BA, 6 HR, 25 RBI). Betts has gone hitless in two of the past three games, and Boston lost both of those games. He is far too important to this team to not show up, so he’ll need to find a way to produce on Tuesday. One guy that has been reliable for this team is SS Xander Bogaerts (.339 BA, 0 HR, 11 RBI). The shortstop has doubled in six of his past eight games, which is an impressive number. He’ll hope to do it again on Tuesday.
The Cardinals are on fire right now and will be sending Lance Lynn to the mound to keep it going. Lynn got banged around a bit in his last start, allowing four earned runs in just four innings of work. He walked four batters in that game against the Marlins, and he also let up two homers. If he can’t avoid making that many mistakes again on Tuesday then the Cardinals are likely going to drop this one at home. Two guys that will need to show up offensively for St. Louis are 3B Jedd Gyorko (.333 BA, 7 HR, 18 RBI) and C Yadier Molina (.270 BA, 3 HR, 14 RBI). Both guys are playing pretty well this season, and they need to produce in this one as well.