Welcome, Guest
Username: Password: Remember me
Read and discuss F1 Indy Car, NASCAR Sprint Cup, Xfinity & Camping World Truck Series News, Betting, Odds, Trends, Picks and Predictions

NASCAR Toyota 500 Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends

NASCAR Toyota 500 Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends 11 months 3 weeks ago #521209

  • Shazman
  • Shazman's Avatar
  • Offline
  • Moderator
  • Posts: 47150
  • Thank you received: 453
  • Karma: 63
Betting news, trends, odds and predictions for from various handicappers and websites for Wednesday 5/20/20
The administrator has disabled public write access.

NASCAR Toyota 500 Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends 11 months 3 weeks ago #521216

  • Shazman
  • Shazman's Avatar
  • Offline
  • Moderator
  • Posts: 47150
  • Thank you received: 453
  • Karma: 63
By Micah Roberts

NASCAR Cup Series
Toyota 500 Betting Picks
Date: Wednesday, May 20, 2020
Venue: Darlington Raceway
Television-Time: FS1, 7:30 p.m. ET
Kevin Harvick came off the hauler for Sunday’s race at Darlington in tip-top shape ready to roll without any practices or qualifying and proved they did it best as he led 159 of the 293 laps to capture the 50th Cup Series win of his career. With a couple of days to rest before Wednesday’s shorter race at Darlington, he’s now the favorite to win and crew chief Rodney Childers said they’ll probably use that same car which could mean bad news for the rest of the field.



Wednesday’s Toyota 500 is only 228 laps which equates to about one less pit stop from what we saw in Sunday's race where there were only 10 lead changes between six different drivers and 10 cautions. When Harvick got out front he was fastest on the short and long runs with runner-up Alex Bowman looking almost as good as he led 41 laps and Brad Keselowski led 80 laps before finishing a disappointing 13th-place.
NASCAR Cup Odds - Darlington

Kevin Harvick +350
Kyle Busch +700
Brad Keselowski +750
Denny Hamlin +800
Martin Truex Jr. +850
Alex Bowman +900
Chase Elliott +900
Joey Logano +900
Kurt Busch +1400
William Byron +2000
More NASCAR Futures

As thrilled as I was that real racing was back, it was kind of a boring race which is unusual for Darlington and probably more about the situation and no practices. What we’ll get Wednesday night should offer more competitive racing with other teams stepping up based on what they learned. Expect race favorite Harvick to be fast again.

“It’s gonna be a little bit different,” Harvick said after Sunday’s win. “Hopefully, we have at least one more race before we come back with the XFINITY cars. It’ll be night, so I think you definitely have to figure out what you want to do with your car.”

So between the race being at night, the race being shorter and Sunday’s race used as a practice of sorts for the crew to work on getting faster, there should be plenty of optimism for betting other drivers to win. Or at least that’s the way I see it, anyway.
NASCAR Betting Analysis - Darlington
The team that appears best equipped to beat Harvick is Hendrick Motorsports with all four of its drivers showing signs of being a possible Darlington winner. Just like Harvick, they came fast right off the hauler but we still don’t know the full story of how good they are because half the team bowed out after just one stage. Jimmie Johnson was leading with less than a half lap to go in the first stage when he wrecked himself into Chris Buescher. And then William Byron, who won the first stage, had a tire go down to start stage 2.

The two other Hendrick drivers both finished in the top-4 with Alex Bowman being runner-up and Chase Elliott finishing fourth. Elliott didn’t look like a contender all race sitting around 12th and then saved his best for last for a career-best finish. Bowman also had his best career finish and showed he’s got what it takes to be successful at the tough track. He won on the gritty surface of Fontana and did a great job again of saving his tires during longer runs. The Circa sportsbooks had both drivers at 12/1 odds to win last week and both are 17/2 (Bet $100 to win $850) this time around.

William Byron had 30/1 odds in Sunday's race and though he's dropped to 16/1 odds for Wednesday, he still offer somes value. Before his day was ruined, he was blazing fast and seemed to have a good game plan for attacking the track. I thought for a moment that he was going to win the race. I was impressed. Perhaps Wednesday night in front of a nationally televised audience on FS1 is where he will get his first career Cup win.

I came into Sunday’s race being skeptical of the four Joe Gibbs Racing cars even though I bet Denny Hamlin, but I think they all learned a lot from the race, and will be good to go for a win Wednesday. At one point in the final stage, Kyle Busch was fifth and all the other Gibbs cars were in the top-10. Busch had a lug nut issue and had to pit again and finished 26th, but Martin Truex Jr. battled strong with a sixth-place finish, Erik Jones did the same to finish eighth and Hamlin plugged away with a solid fifth-place finish.

Hamlin seemed like he stayed in the same position all day and was faster in the long runs. He saves his tires better than anyone and his finish dropped his career average at Darlington to 7.6 and also gave him his eighth top-five finish in 15 Cup starts. He’s a two-time winner at Darlington and I’m looking for him to win there again Wednesday.
Toyota 500 - Top-5 Finish Prediction:

1) #11 Denny Hamlin (8/1)
2) #4 Kevin Harvick (6/1)
3) #88 Alex Bowman (17/2)
4) #24 William Byron (16/1)
5) #2 Brad Keselowski (11/1)
The administrator has disabled public write access.

Top Stories

    Heat vs. Bucks, 5/15/21 NBA Predictions, Odds & DFS Notes Heat vs. Bucks NBA Prediction The Heat and Bucks square off in Milwaukee at 8:00 p.m. ET on Saturday night. With the Bucks laying 2.5 points as a home favorite and the total sitting at 231.5 points, what’s the safest bet when it comes to this matchup?
    Lakers vs. Pacers, 5/15/21 NBA Predictions, Odds & DFS Notes Lakers vs. Pacers NBA Prediction With the Lakers laying seven points as a road favorite against the Pacers and the total sitting at 227.5, what’s the best bet on the board when it comes to the 1:00 p.m. ET tip-off in Indianapolis?
    Cubs vs. Tigers, 5/15/21 MLB Betting Predictions & DFS Notes Cubs vs. Tigers MLB Prediction The Cubs took the first game of their series against the Tigers and the two teams will meet again on Saturday afternoon at 4:10 p.m. ET in Detroit. Will the Cubs also win Game 2 or is there a better play on the board?
    Angels vs. Red Sox, 5/15/21 MLB Betting Predictions & DFS Notes Angels vs. Red Sox MLB Prediction Following their come-from-behind victory on Friday night, the Red Sox will look to take Game 2 of the three-game series versus the Angels on Saturday afternoon. With Dylan Bundy set to face Martin Perez, will Boston pull off the small upset?
    Bruins vs. Capitals, 5/15/21 NHL Predictions & Betting Odds Bruins vs. Capitals NHL Prediction The Bruins haven’t had much success versus the Capitals, especially in D.C. Will that change on Saturday night when the Capitals host the Bruins at 7:15 p.m. ET?
    Braves vs. Brewers, 5/14/21 MLB Betting Predictions & DFS Notes Braves vs. Brewers MLB Prediction Despite losing two of three to the Cardinals over the last three days, are the Brewers a sound play as a home favorite on Friday night when they open a new series versus the Braves in Milwaukee at 8:10 p.m. ET?
    Pelicans vs. Warriors, 5/14/21 NBA Predictions, Odds & DFS Notes Pelicans vs. Warriors NBA Prediction The Pelicans and Warriors have a lot of scoring power and will meet in San Francsico on Friday night at 9:30 p.m. ET. Despite both sides' ability to score in bunches, is the under actually the safest bet tonight?
    Kings vs. Grizzlies, 5/14/21 NBA Predictions, Odds & DFS Notes Kings vs. Grizzlies NBA Prediction The under has been highly profitable when the Kings and Grizzlies have met in previous matchups and the two teams will meet again in Memphis on Friday at 9:00 p.m. ET. Is the under the best play on the board tonight?
    Cardinals vs. Padres, 5/14/21 MLB Betting Predictions & DFS Notes Cardinals vs. Padres MLB Prediction The Cardinals are coming off an impressive series versus the Brewers in Milwaukee where they took two of three from their NL Central rivals. Will they continue their excellent play in Game 1 of their series versus the Padres at 10:10 p.m. ET on Friday?
    Maple Leafs vs. Jets, 5/14/21 NHL Predictions & Betting Odds Maple Leafs vs. Jets NHL Prediction The Maple Leafs and Jets meet on Friday night in Winnipeg where the host is a home underdog. With the Maple Leafs listed as a favorite and the total sitting at 6 goals, what’s the safest play for this matchup?