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Go Bowling 400 Betting News and Notes

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(@blade)
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Kansas Speedway Data

Season Race #: 11 of 36 (05-13-17)
Track Size: 1.5-miles
Banking/Turn 1 & 2: 17 to 20 degrees
Banking/Turn 3 & 4: 17 to 20 degrees
Banking/Frontstretch: 10 degrees
Banking/Backstretch: 5 degrees
Frontstretch Length: 2,685 feet
Backstretch Length: 2,207 feet
Race Length: 267 laps / 400 miles
Stage 1 & 2 Length: 80 laps (each)
Final Stage Length: 107 laps

Top 10 Driver Ratings at Kansas

Jimmie Johnson 110.6
Matt Kenseth 108.1
Kevin Harvick 105.3
Martin Truex Jr. 95.7
Kasey Kahne 91.4
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 90.0
Brad Keselowski 89.9
Kyle Larson 87.8
Joey Logano 87.6
Kurt Busch 87.6

Note: Driver Ratings compiled from 2005-2016 races (18 total) among active drivers at Kansas Speedway.

Qualifying/Race Data

2016 pole winner:
Martin Truex Jr., Toyota Camry
190.921 mph, 28.284 secs. 05-06-16

2016 race winner:
Kyle Busch, Toyota Camry
141.909 mph, (02:49:20), 05-07-16

Track qualifying record:
Kevin Harvick, Chevrolet SS
197.773 mph, 27.304 secs. 10-03-14

Track race record:
Denny Hamlin, Toyota Camry
144.122 mph, (02:46:44), 04-22-12

 
Posted : May 10, 2017 12:44 pm
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Kansas - Driver Tale of the Tape

Kurt Busch 30/1 (No. 41 Stewart-Haas Racing Ford Fusion)

· Two top fives, seven top 10s; one pole
· Average finish of 15.889, sixth-best
· Average Running Position of 15.015, 10th-best
· Driver Rating of 87.6, ninth-best
· 142 Fastest Laps Run, eighth-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 169.084, 11th-fastest
· 2852 Laps in the Top 15 (60.0), ninth-most
· 557 Quality Passes, seventh-most

Kyle Busch 8/1 (No. 18 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota Camry)

· One win, four top fives, six top 10s
· Average finish of 17.353, 10th-best
· Average Running Position of 15.901, 13th-best
· Driver Rating of 85.0, 12th-best
· 100 Fastest Laps Run, fourth-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 168.991, 13th-fastest
· 2673 Laps in the Top 15 (59.5), 11th-most
· 560 Quality Passes, sixth-most

Dale Earnhardt Jr 30/1 (No. 88 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet SS)

· Three top fives, nine top 10s; one pole
· Average finish of 15.938, seventh-best
· Average Running Position of 15.045, 11th-best
· Driver Rating of 90.0, sixth-best
· 148 Fastest Laps Run, seventh-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 169.139, 10th-fastest
· 2531 Laps in the Top 15 (59.9), 10th-most
· 554 Quality Passes, eighth-most

Chase Elliott 10/1 (No. 24 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet SS)

· One top 10
· Average finish of 20.000, 12th-best
· Average Running Position of 14.947, ninth-best
· Driver Rating of 83.9, 13th-best
· 27 Fastest Laps Run, second-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 169.455, sixth-fastest
· 260 Laps in the Top 15 (48.7), 13th-most
· 56 Quality Passes, 13th-most

Denny Hamlin 25/1 (No. 11 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota Camry)

· One win, four top fives, five top 10s
· Average finish of 16.647, eighth-best
· Average Running Position of 14.366, eighth-best
· Driver Rating of 86.5, 11th-best
· 76 Fastest Laps Run, sixth-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 169.156, ninth-fastest
· 2848 Laps in the Top 15 (63.4), eighth-most
· 577 Quality Passes, fifth-most

Kevin Harvick 6/1 (No. 4 Stewart-Haas Racing Ford Fusion)

· Two wins, six top fives, 11 top 10s; three poles
· Average finish of 8.889, second-best
· Average Running Position of 9.829, third-best
· Driver Rating of 105.3, third-best
· 345 Fastest Laps Run, 12th-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 169.828, second-fastest
· 3658 Laps in the Top 15 (76.9), third-most
· 658 Quality Passes, second-most

Jimmie Johnson 6/1 (No. 48 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet SS)

· Three wins, nine top fives, 17 top 10s; three poles
· Average finish of 7.667, series-best
· Average Running Position of 9.346, series-best
· Driver Rating of 110.6, series-best
· 557 Fastest Laps Run, 13th-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 169.916, series-fastest
· 3976 Laps in the Top 15 (83.6), series-most
· 827 Quality Passes, series-most

Kasey Kahne 40/1 (No. 5 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet SS)

· Five top fives, nine top 10s; three poles
· Average finish of 13.444, fourth-best
· Average Running Position of 13.214, fifth-best
· Driver Rating of 91.4, fifth-best
· 173 Fastest Laps Run, 10th-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 169.266, seventh-fastest
· 3172 Laps in the Top 15 (66.7), sixth-most
· 656 Quality Passes, third-most

Matt Kenseth 20/1 (No. 20 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota Camry)

· Two wins, seven top fives, 13 top 10s; three poles
· Average finish of 10.944, third-best
· Average Running Position of 9.710, second-best
· Driver Rating of 108.1, second-best
· 367 Fastest Laps Run, 11th-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 169.733, third-fastest
· 3768 Laps in the Top 15 (79.2), second-most
· 618 Quality Passes, fourth-most

Brad Keselowski 6/1 (No. 2 Team Penske Ford Fusion)

· One win, two top fives, seven top 10s; one pole
· Average finish of 13.929, fifth-best
· Average Running Position of 13.408, sixth-best
· Driver Rating of 89.9, seventh-best
· 94 Fastest Laps Run, ninth-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 169.022, 12th-fastest
· 2653 Laps in the Top 15 (70.8 ), fourth-most
· 541 Quality Passes, ninth-most

Kyle Larson 6/1 (No. 42 Chip Ganassi Racing Chevrolet SS)

· One top five, one top 10
· Average finish of 20.500, 13th-best
· Average Running Position of 13.738, seventh-best
· Driver Rating of 87.8, eighth-best
· 94 Fastest Laps Run, series-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 169.570, fourth-fastest
· 1032 Laps in the Top 15 (64.3), seventh-most
· 241 Quality Passes, 12th-most

Joey Logano 8/1 (No. 22 Team Penske Ford Fusion)

· Two wins, six top fives, six top 10s; one pole
· Average finish of 17.667, 11th-best
· Average Running Position of 15.614, 12th-best
· Driver Rating of 87.6, 10th-best
· 180 Fastest Laps Run, third-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 169.198, eighth-fastest
· 2208 Laps in the Top 15 (55.0), 12th-most
· 436 Quality Passes, 11th-most

Martin Truex Jr 6/1 (No. 78 Furniture Row Racing Toyota Camry)

· Four top fives, five top 10s; one pole
· Average finish of 16.765, ninth-best
· Average Running Position of 12.376, fourth-best
· Driver Rating of 95.7, fourth-best
· 273 Fastest Laps Run, fifth-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 169.491, fifth-fastest
· 3009 Laps in the Top 15 (67.0), fifth-most
· 490 Quality Passes, 10th-most

 
Posted : May 10, 2017 12:46 pm
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Go Bowling 400 Preview
By Micah Roberts
VegasInsider.com

I'm still smiling ear-to-ear with Ricky Stenhouse, Jr.'s inaugural Cup win coming at Talladega last week and paying at 50-to-1 odds. He's the eighth different driver to win in the first 10 races and I'm loving the appearance of parity, but the Stenhouse win capped off all the typical drama of Talladega very well.

I want more of it, but we go Kansas Speedway's 1.5-mile cookie-cutter. I'm not terribly excited, but it's Saturday night, the lights are on and I'm hoping for a great night of thrills. Maybe a couple a post-race rifts? Hopefully. The craziest part of this season so far me is Joe Gibbs Racing not winning a race yet, and it's not likely to happen Saturday night at Kansas Speedway, either. These type of 1.5-mile tracks used to be JGR's bread and butter, but they no longer have any speed on them. They're no where near being close to where Team Penske or Kyle Larson is. Kyle Busch, who won this race last season, only has four top-10 finishes this season. Denny Hamlin and Matt Kenseth also have only four top-10s.

Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano each have a series-leading six top-five finishes.

I'm told the JGR lack of speed is likely to continue through the regular season and that the Toyota guys will have something spicy-fast ready for the playoffs, which if started right now Kenseth wouldn't be eligible to participate.

This is the fourth of 11 races on 1.5-mile tracks this season. Keselowski won at Atlanta, Martin Truex, Jr. won at Las Vegas and Jimmie Johnson won at Texas. All three of those tracks are banked steeper than Kansas and run much faster. Larson finished second in all three of those races. Logano and Keselowski were each sixth or better in all three and Chase Elliott was fifth, fourth and ninth. Between the four JGR drivers, they combined for just one top-five: Kenseth's third-place at Atlanta.

I think we're going to see much of the same patterns from the first three races on similar tracks, and I think we can also throw Fontana in as great reference tool, a race where the same dominant guys did well with Larson winning and Keselowski, Truex and Logano all in the top-five. Looking at those four races should help you find the winner this weekend, but let's glance over some past Kansas history just to get a feel for who has shown to like how the track runs.

Kenseth has two wins and a track record 774 laps led in 22 starts, but he's a hard look this week with no speed. Kyle Busch has finished in the top-five in his last four Kansas starts, but he's a hard sell as well under current circumstances despite a nice four race run.

"We ran third there in the fall of 2014," Busch said. "I wasn’t there in the spring race of 2015 since that was the last race I was recovering from my injury, but (Erik) Jones ran up front until he ended up wrecking. Last fall, Adam (Stevens) and the M&M’S guys did an awesome job and we ran top-five again. The last few races there, the track really has started to change and the groove is starting to spread out, and it makes me more comfortable when a track gets worn in."

Kevin Harvick is an interesting candidate this week just because of his history which has seen him finish first or second at Kansas in five of his last seven starts. He's got two wins and has led 549 laps. The thing that makes him stand out most as a good bet this week is leading a race-high 292 laps at Atlanta and 77 laps at Texas.

Of course, Jimmie Johnson is going to be in the mix because he always is with. If fact, no one has been better than Johnson at Kansas, ever. His 8.9 average finish in 21 starts is an all-time record and his three wins is tied with Jeff Gordon.

“Kansas is a pretty intense track," Johnson said. "Last fall we were all over that racetrack, driving with some crazy intensity. I don’t think it’s going to change any going back this weekend. I know we have a different downforce package this time but we will use that entire racetrack and hopefully the Lowe’s team will put on a good show for the fans.”

Johnson is also a solid candidate to win Saturday night just because he won at Texas last month which was the last race on a 1.5-mile track.

We're not going to see any long shots hit this week like Stenhouse, but Ryan Blaney looks to be worthy as the top candidate at 30-to-1 or higher. He finished fifth in this race last year, but his Texas performance last month where he won the first two stages and led a race-high 148 laps was an eye-opener for me. They've got something special cooking with the No. 21, which uses Penske equipment.

One other driver to take notice of in final practices on Friday is Clint Bowyer who hails from Emporia, Kansas and is looking for his first top-10 at home since 2013.

“Kansas Speedway this weekend in Kansas, I finally get to go home and I can’t wait to get there,” Bowyer said. “Hopefully, Saturday night I can get my first win at home. That would be huge. We’d have a heck of a party. Everyone would be invited.”

Bowyer has finished 11th or better on all three 1.5-mile tracks this season. Also, his last win came on a 1.5-mile layout at Charlotte in 2012. It's been a while for Bowyer, but a win is coming soon.

The best thing of all about the race being on Saturday night is that no Mother will have to see their child harmed on Sunday brcause of racing. It's a dangerous sport and that's part of the reason Bill France never had races on Mother's Day. Well, that and gate receipts weren't expected to ever be very good on that day. "Momma likes NASCAR too, but on this day she's No. 1 and I'm taking care of her."

Happy Mothers Day to all the wonderful Moms out there. And most of all, thank you all for your unconditional love and sacrifice. We all may not say it enough, but we all mean it and are thinking it every day.

Top-5 Finish Prediction:

1) #4 Kevin Harvick (8/1)
2) #42 Kyle Larson (6/1)
3) #2 Brad Keselowski (7/1)
4) #22 Joey Logano (8/1)
5) #78 Martin Truex Jr. (8/1)

 
Posted : May 10, 2017 12:47 pm
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Kansas Fantasy Racing Preview
By: Jeff Wackerlin
Racingone.com

Detailed driver notes and statistics to help set your fantasy racing lineup for Saturday night's Go Bowling 400 at Kansas Speedway.

Who's HOT at Kansas

• Kevin Harvick has posted two wins, three runner-up finishes and has led the most laps (466) in the last seven races.
• Joey Logano and Matt Kenseth are the only other multiple winners in the nine races since Kansas was repaved and reconfigured.
• Kyle Busch has finished in the top five in his last four starts, including a win in this event last year.
• Jimmie Johnson has finished in the top five in three of the last four races, including a win in this event in 2015.
• Martin Truex Jr., defending race pole winner, has combined to lead the most laps (267) in the last two spring races.

Who to Keep an Eye On at Kansas

• Brad Keselowski, Kurt Busch, Austin Dillon and Ryan Newman each have finished in the top 10 in three of the last five Kansas races.
• Kyle Larson has finished second in all three races at 1.5-mile tracks this season.
• Along with Larson, Chase Elliott, Jamie McMurray, Keselowski, Logano and Truex have finished in the top 10 in all races at 1.5-mile tracks this season.
• Ryan Blaney led a race-high 148 laps in the last race at a 1.5-mile track - Texas.
• AJ Allmendinger finished eighth in both races at Kansas last season.
• Kasey Kahne (Atlanta) and Dale Earnhardt Jr. (Texas) each have one top-five finish at a 1.5-mile track this season.
• Denny Hamlin, the last winner at Kansas on the old surface, has combined to lead 122 laps and post an 8.0 average finish in the last three races of the season. He also has one top 10 at a 1.5-mile track in 2017 - sixth at Las Vegas.
• Clint Bowyer (11.8 ) and Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (14.1) each have a top-10 ranked average finish in the first 10 races of the season.

MRN.com Staff Picks

Jeff Wackerlin: Kevin Harvick
Pete Pistone: Kevin Harvick
Robbie Mays: Brad Keselowski
Tyler Burnett: Martin Truex Jr.
John Singler: Kyle Busch

Driver Notes - Ordered by Average Finish (Top 15) in the Last Five Races at Kansas

Kyle Busch has finished in the top five in his last four starts at Kansas, including a win in this event last year. Busch, who led 69 laps last year in this race, has yet to lead a lap or post a top-10 finish in the three races at 1.5-mile tracks this season.

Kevin Harvick posted a 1.5 average finish in the two races at Kansas last season, including a win in the fall race. Harvick has posted a 5.8 average in his six track starts with Stewart-Hass Racing and has leads all drivers in laps led (328) in that span. This season, Harvick has two poles and has led the most laps (369) in the three races at 1.5-mile tracks. This weekend, Harvick will return in the same car (chassis No. 929) that he dominated the Atlanta race earlier this season, leading 292 laps up until a pit road penalty.

Ryan Blaney has finished in the top 10 in two of his four starts at Kansas. His fifth-place finish in this event last year is his best and the second of five top fives in his career so far. Blaney led a race-high 148 laps and finished 12th at the last 1.5-mile track (Texas) this season.

Matt Kenseth finished in the top 10 in both races last season at Kansas and led 116 laps in the fall race. Kenseth's last of two wins at Kansas came in this event in 2013, which was his first track start with Joe Gibbs Racing. This season, Kenseth ranks seventh in average finish (9.3) - but has yet to lead a lap -in the three races at 1.5-mile tracks.

Ryan Newman scored his seventh top 10 at Kansas in this event last season. Newman, who won at Kansas back in 2003, has only combined to lead eight laps in the last 10 races at the 1.5-mile track. This season, Newman's best finish in the three races at 1.5-mile tracks came at Las Vegas - 17th.

Joey Logano has finished in the top five in six of his last seven starts at Kansas, including wins in 2014 and 2015 fall races. Last year in this event, Logano finished 38th after getting swept up in a late-race accident not of his doing. This season, Logano holds the third-best average finish (4.3) in the three races at 1.5-mile tracks. Last fall, Logano participated in the Goodyear tire test at Kansas.

Martin Truex Jr. led a race-high 172 laps in this event last year, but finished 14th after a broken head bolt off the brake caliper. Truex has led the most laps in the last two spring events at Kansas, also leading 95 laps in 2015. This season, Truex ranks second in laps led (199) and fourth in average finish (5.7) in the three races at 1.5-mile tracks. He won at Las Vegas. Last fall, Truex participated in the Goodyear tire test at Kansas.

Jimmie Johnson scored his third Kansas win in this event in 2015. His only finish (17th) outside the top five in the last four Kansas races came in this event last year. Johnson is the latest winner at a 1.5-mile track, taking the checkered flag at Texas last month. Last fall, Johnson participated in the Goodyear tire test at Kansas.

AJ Allmendinger finished eighth in both races at Kansas last season, his first top 10s in seven track starts with JTG Daugherty Racing. This season, Allmendinger has posted a 23.3 average finish in the three races at 1.5-mile tracks this season with his best finish (20th) coming at Texas Motor Speedway.

Kasey Kahne is coming off his ninth top 10 in 19 starts at Kansas. This season, Kahne has posted an 18.0 average finish in the three races at 1.5-mile tracks. He finished fourth at the first 1.5-mile track of the year - Atlanta.

Kurt Busch has finished eighth or better in three of his last four starts at Kansas. This season, Busch has yet to lead a lap in the three races at 1.5-mile tracks, but does have two top-10 finishes. This weekend, Busch will return in the same car (chassis No. 1040) that he finished 17th with at Auto Club Speedway.

Austin Dillon finished sixth in both races at Kansas in 2016. The finishes help lowered his overall average finish to 18.3 in seven starts. Dillon will look to use Kansas to turnaround his not so good record at 1.5-mile tracks this season where he has a 30.0 average finish.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. looks to continue the momentum from his first Cup win last weekend to record his first top 10 at Kansas. Stenhouse's best finish at Kansas was 11th in his first of eight starts at the track in 2013. This season, Stenhouse has a 20.0 average finish in three starts at 1.5-mile tracks.

Dale Earnhardt Jr. scored his last of nine top 10s (third) at Kansas in this event in 2013. Earnhardt is coming off his first top 10 of the season in the three races at 1.5-mile tracks with a fifth-place finish at Texas.

Chase Elliott finished ninth at Kansas in this event last year. In the fall race, Elliott finished 31st after tire issues. This season, Elliott has been solid at 1.5-mile tracks finishing in the top 10 in all three races, including two top fives.

 
Posted : May 11, 2017 9:03 pm
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Go Bowling 400 - Drivers to Bet
StatFox.com

The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series heads to Kansas Speedway for the Go Bowling 400 on Saturday. The drivers most recently competed in the GEICO 500, which was won by Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Kyle Busch led the race for 48 laps, but he was unable to come away with the victory. Now the drivers move on to Kansas City, where Busch could once again perform pretty well. Busch won this race a year ago, marking the third race won here by a Joe Gibbs Racing driver. That is more than any other team, but Hendrick Motorsports is close with two. The manufacturer that has been the most successful in this race is Toyota, though. Busch drove a Toyota a year ago, and it was the third victory by a Toyota driver in this event. With that out of the way, let’s now take a look at some of the best values to win on Saturday:

Brad Keselowski (13-to-2) - Brad Keselowski knows what it takes to get the job done in Kansas City, as proven by his Go Bowling 400 victory back in 2011. Not only has Keselowski won at Kansas Speedway, but he also happens to be driving better than anybody coming into this race. Keselowski has really had a remarkable season, finishing inside the top-five six times. He has also finished outside the top-10 only twice on the year, which is actually shocking. His consistency makes it very hard to pass up on him at 13-to-2, especially somewhere he has won before.

Kyle Busch (8-to-1) - As previously mentioned, Kyle Busch is the defending champion heading into Saturday’s race. While it might not be considered likely that he’ll win two years in a row, his odds are still very tough to pass up at 8-to-1. Busch is coming off of a very good race at Talladega, where he came in third and led the race for the most amounts of laps of any driver. While that is not the same as coming away with a win, his confidence should be high. He’ll also be eager to earn a win, as he has not yet won this season.

Matt Kenseth (15-to-1) - Matt Kenseth is struggling a bit coming into this race, but he should be able to turn things around and make things interesting on Saturday. Kenseth was the winner of the Go Bowling 400 back in 2013, and he has finished inside the top-10 at each of the three races here since. In fact, he has finished inside the top-10 at every single Go Bowling 400 since this race started here in 2011. He knows how to give himself a chance to win here, and that is good enough for somebody getting 15-to-1 odds.

Ryan Newman (65-to-1) - It’s been a good year for Ryan Newman, who won the Camping World 500 in Phoenix in the fourth race of the season. Not only does Newman have a victory to his name this year, but the 39-year-old has finished inside the top-10 on two other occasions. He is competing for a top spot in more races than usual, and this race on Saturday should be a good one for him. The fact that he is getting 65-to-1 odds is rather crazy, and he is worth a quarter-unit for this weekend.

 
Posted : May 11, 2017 9:05 pm
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