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College Football Betting News and Notes Thursday, October 27th, 2016

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College Football betting trends, odds and predictions for Thursday, October 27th, 2016 from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : October 25, 2016 2:33 pm
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OHIO U (5 - 3) at TOLEDO (6 - 1) - 10/27/2016, 7:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 75-50 ATS (+20.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
TOLEDO is 61-40 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
TOLEDO is 61-40 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TOLEDO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

AKRON (5 - 3) at BUFFALO (1 - 6) - 10/27/2016, 7:30 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-1 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

VIRGINIA TECH (5 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (5 - 2) - 10/27/2016, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

APPALACHIAN ST (5 - 2) at GA SOUTHERN (4 - 3) - 10/27/2016, 7:30 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GA SOUTHERN is 1-1 against the spread versus APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
GA SOUTHERN is 1-1 straight up against APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CALIFORNIA (4 - 3) at USC (4 - 3) - 10/27/2016, 10:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
USC is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 1-1 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

VIRGINIA TECH vs. PITTSBURGH
Virginia Tech is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
Virginia Tech is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Virginia Tech
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Virginia Tech

AKRON vs. BUFFALO
Akron is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Akron's last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Akron
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Akron

OHIO vs. TOLEDO
Ohio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toledo
Ohio is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toledo
Toledo is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toledo's last 6 games at home

APPALACHIAN STATE vs. GA SOUTHERN
Appalachian State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Appalachian State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
Ga Southern is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ga Southern's last 7 games

CALIFORNIA vs. SOUTHERN CAL
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of California's last 12 games when playing Southern Cal
California is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Cal
Southern Cal is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against California
Southern Cal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against California

Ohio at Toledo
Ohio: 4-12 ATS as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points
Toledo: 50-28 ATS as a home favorite

Akron at Buffalo
Akron: 1-5 ATS after gaining 325 or more passing yards in last game
Buffalo:5-2 ATS after a loss by 21 or more points

Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh
Virginia Tech: 16-5 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7
Pittsburgh: 1-8 ATS in home lined games

Appalachian State at Georgia Southern
Appalachian St: 1-6 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games
Georgia S: 15-7 ATS in games played on a grass field

California at USC
California: 15-5 ATS in road games after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game
USC: USC 3-11 ATS off a win against a conference rival

 
Posted : October 25, 2016 2:36 pm
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NCAAF Knowledge

Toledo is 6-1 with only loss 55-53 at gun at BYU. Rockets scored 36 pts/game in winning last three games, by 15-7-14 points. Toledo is 6-7-1 in last 14 games as a home favorite, 2-1 this year- they won their last five games with Ohio U (2-3 vs spread) but teams last met in 2010. Bobcats lost 43-40/31-13 in last two visits here, last of which was in ’07. Ohio won its last two road games 17-7/14-10; Bobcats are 4-1 in last five games as a road underdog. MAC home favorites are 3-10 vs spread this season.

Buffalo lost its last four games by average score of 38-13, giving up average of 369.7 rushing yards/game the last three games. Bulls are 4-2 as home dogs under Leipold, 2-1 this year. Akron won three of last four games, and scored 42.7 pts/game in winning last three road games SU- they’re 2-6-1 as road favorite under Bowden. Buffalo is 5-2 in last seven games with Akron; favorites covered three of last four series games. Zips lost last four visits here, losing 55-24/51-10 in last two. MAC home underdogs are 3-6 vs spread this season. Four of last five Buffalo games stayed under total.

Virginia Tech whacked UNC/Syracuse recently, but lost at Syracuse in between; since 2012, Hokies are 4-10 as a road favorite, 1-1 this year. Underdogs covered seven of last nine Virginia Tech-Pitt games; Panthers won six of last seven series games. Hokies lost last four visits here, by 5-18-3-31 points. Pitt scored 36+ points in its last six games, winning last three; they’re 1-4 in last five games as a home underdog. Underdogs are 5-1 vs spread in last six series games played here. ACC home underdogs are 2-6 vs spread. Last six Pitt games went over the total.

Appalachian State won its first three Sun Belt games by combined score of 78-22; ASU is 6-1 as a road favorite since jumping to I-A ball, 2-0 this year. Georgia Southern lost three of last four games, but they were all on road. Eagles won SU in their only game as a home dog since jump to I-A, beating Western Michigan LY. Home favorites won/covered both Appalachian State-Georgia Southern games; ASU lost 34-14 in last visit here, two years ago. Eagles ran ball for 408 yards in their win in 2014, only 188 in LY’s loss. Sun Belt home underdogs are 4-3 vs spread.

USC won its last 12 games with Cal, covering nine of last 11; Trojans beat Cal 38-30/27-21 last two years. Golden Bears lost last seven visits to Coliseum, but went 4-3 vs spread in those games. USC is 20-12 in last 32 games as a home favorite, 2-1 this year; they gained 523+ TY in winning last three games after a 1-3 start. Cal allowed 43+ points in five of last six games; Bears are 7-4 in last 11 games as a road underdog. Pac-12 home favorites are 9-7 vs spread this season. Cal ran 116 plays from scrimmage in OT win over Oregon LW. Five of Trojans’ last six games stayed under total. Over is 6-1 in Cal’s games.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : October 25, 2016 2:50 pm
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ACC Report - Week 9
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com

Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh

A pair of 5-2 teams hook up in the Steel City, and it's a very important game in the Coastal Division, as each team looks to keep a one in the loss column to keep pace with North Carolina, who is on a bye this week. The Hokies have been a difficult team to figure out. They throttled Miami last week, rebounding after a loss at Syracuse when they were 23-point favorites. The Hokies are still 6-2 ATS in their past eight ACC games despite that loss to the Orange two weeks ago, and they're 22-10 ATS in their past 32 on Thursday after spanking the Hurricanes last Thursday. Pitt has covered just five of their past 22 games at home, and two of their past nine overall. However, they're coming off a bye and are 6-2-1 ATS in their past nine following a week off. And in this series, the Hokies are 1-8 ATS in the past nine meetings, and 0-6 ATS in their past six trips to Pittsburgh. The Hokies are 4 1/2-point favorites as of Wednesday morning, and the underdog is 8-1 ATS in the past nine in this series, with the home team 4-1 ATS in the past five.

 
Posted : October 26, 2016 10:39 am
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Pac-12 Report - Week 9
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com

California at Southern California

The Golden Bears hit the road to battle USC. The line opened with the Trojans favored by 14, and has been bet up to -16 1/2 with a total of 75 1/2. Cal is coming off a high-scoring win against visiting Oregon last weekend, while USC throttled Arizona in the desert by a 48-14 count, winning for the third straight game while cashing against the spread for the second time in three ties. One thing that has been consistent for USC is the 'under' hitting in five of the past six games, a complete opposite of Cal. The 'over' has hit in six of seven games for the Golden Bears this season. Cal is 4-1 ATS in their past five against a team wit ha winning record, but they're 3-7 ATS in their past 10 conference games and 2-6 ATS in their past eight on the road. For USC, they're 4-9 ATS in their past 13 overall, and 2-5 ATS in their past seven against a team with a winning record. In this series, the favorite has cashed in six of the past seven against the spread, while the road team is 4-1 ATS in the past five. Cal is 7-3 ATS in their past 10 trips to USC, but just 1-6 ATS in the past seven meetings overall. Total bettors might be interested in the fact the 'under' is 10-2 in the past 12 meetings, and 5-1 in the past six at USC.

 
Posted : October 26, 2016 10:40 am
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Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh
By Joe Nelson
VegasInsider.com

Virginia Tech was a big winner in ACC action last Thursday and the Hokies will hope to do it again this week on the road in a second straight primetime Coastal Division clash. Upstart Pittsburgh has impressed as the second highest scoring team in the ACC and the Panthers have won the past two meetings in this series.

Here is a look at the ESPN matchup Thursday night to kick off the final college football weekend in October.

Match-up: Virginia Tech Hokies at Pittsburgh Panthers
Venue: Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Time/TV: Thursday, Oct. 27, 7:00 PM ET
Line: Virginia Tech -4½, Over/Under 57
Last Meeting: 2015, Pittsburgh (+3½) 17, at Virginia Tech 13

Virginia Tech and Pittsburgh are both 5-2 for successful starts to the season. The Hokies have an extra ACC win at this point but with just one conference loss both teams are serious threats in the Coastal Division race with the winner of this game certainly gaining a favorable position with Virginia Tech clearly in the driver’s seat if they win this game.

2015 Coastal champion North Carolina is 4-1 in league play with a one-point win over Pittsburgh but a 34-3 loss to Virginia Tech. The Tar Heels will be expected to win out as Virginia Tech can’t afford to fall a game behind even though the Hokies will also be expected to win the remaining ACC games.

Pittsburgh can stay on pace with the division leader for the moment with a win this week but the Panthers have a much tougher path to the title, already losing the tiebreaker with North Carolina and with road games at Miami and at Clemson in November. The Panthers actually could realistically slip to 5-5 and be on the bowl bubble heading to home games with Duke and Syracuse to close the season as the upcoming schedule is difficult.

Pittsburgh has won the past two meetings in this series with a 21-16 home win in 2015 as a very slight home favorite and a 17-13 win as a slight underdog in Blacksburg last season. The Panthers were off last week with nearly two weeks to prepare for this matchup looking to extend a three-game winning streak.

Panthers games have frequently featured exciting finishes this season as Pittsburgh has two three-point wins and both losses came in high-scoring back-and-forth road games, falling by seven at Oklahoma State, and by just one at North Carolina. Pittsburgh has averaged over 38 points per game but the Panthers are also allowing over 31 points per game. Pittsburgh has had some good fortune this season with a +5 turnover margin and with five non-offensive touchdowns including three interception return scores.

Virginia Tech has featured similar scoring production as well although blowout wins over FCS Liberty, Boston College, and East Carolina are skewing the results a bit. The two losses for the Hokies came by 21 points vs. Tennessee and by 14 points at Syracuse with turnovers playing a big factor in those results. Virginia Tech owns an even turnover margin this season and a Hokies defense with a reputation for big plays doesn’t have a defensive score yet this season.

Former Memphis head coach Justin Fuente stepped into a favorable situation taking over a stable program after the long tenure of Frank Beamer. Virginia Tech has been to a bowl game every season since 1993 and that run looks ready to continue. This season’s team has been substantially improved defensively allowing just 4.4 yards per play this season and surrendering just 302 yards per game, both big improvements compared to last season. The Hokies have been especially tough against the run allowing just 2.9 yards per carry with longtime Beamer assistant Bud Foster still running the defense.

On offense the results have been strong albeit a bit erratic for the Hokies with junior Jerod Evans posting great numbers with 19 touchdowns and only two interceptions. Evans has added over 400 rushing yards to boost the ground game that is led by sophomore Travon McMillian who passed 1,000 yards as a freshman last season.

Pittsburgh finished 8-5 last season for a successful first season for Pat Narduzzi, with the Panthers hoping to have some coaching stability after losing Todd Graham and Paul Chryst in the past five years. Nathan Peterman is senior quarterback that has built on a fine 2015 season with stronger results in 2016, completing 63 percent of his passes and with only two interceptions in 158 attempts. James Conner has been a great comeback story for the Panthers in the backfield while sophomore speedster Quadree Henderson has been a threat in the running and passing games as a big play threat.

The Panthers have been the far worse defensive team allowing 6.0 yards per play this season for regression compared to last season’s numbers. The Panthers have been stout against the run but they are allowing nearly 300 passing yards per game. Getting big leads early has been a factor in those numbers however as Pittsburgh had substantial early leads on Penn State and North Carolina before tight finishes in splitting those marquee contests.

Historical Trends:

Virginia Tech has struggled in this series that has been recently renewed with Pittsburgh following Virginia Tech to the ACC after the teams were Big East members.

The Hokies are 2-10 ATS in the past 12 meetings going back to 1996 including holding only one S/U win (2013) since 2001.

Under Beamer the Hokies had an impressive road favorite run going 21-7 ATS from 2004 through 2011 but since 2012 Virginia Tech is just 4-11 ATS in the road favorite role, splitting this season with a win at North Carolina and the upset loss at Syracuse as an over three-touchdown favorite.

Pittsburgh is just 6-16-2 ATS at home since 2013 but going further back Pittsburgh is 25-18 ATS as a home underdog since 1996 including the outright win over Louisville last season in the last instance.

 
Posted : October 26, 2016 11:00 am
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Hokies visit Pittsburgh
By Sportsbook.ag

Virginia Tech (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) vs. Pittsburgh (5-2 SU, 2-5 ATS)

Sportsbook.ag Odds: Virginia Tech (-4.5)

We've got a huge game in the ACC Coastal division on Thursday as two programs are looking to catch North Carolina in the wide open division.

Virginia Tech and Pittsburgh enter this Thursday game with identical 5-2 SU records, but both only have one loss in conference play and a second this week would be devastating to their division championship hopes. It's the second straight week we get Virginia Tech in primetime on a Thursday night, but after they looked so good at home in dismantling Miami last week, this week they are out on the road in hostile territory.

The last time Virginia Tech were the visitors it was an ugly 31-17 loss at Syracuse as 23-point favorites and Hokies fans are hoping that the good version of this Tech team shows up in a much more critical game this week.

Pitt enters this contest having won three in a row (1-2 ATS) thanks to a dramatic shift in culture for the school. The Panthers were always thought of as a defensive-first, pound the ball type of program, but they've recruited plenty of offensive playmakers the past few years and it's paying off now. Pitt has scored at least 36 points in every game since their opener and are beating opponents with this offensive attack. Predictably, their defense has taken a hit and has allowed 31+ in five of their last six, but with the way the offense can put up points, Pitt never feels like they are out of a game anymore.

Yet, it's that Pitt defense that has to be concerning to backers, especially after a national audience saw Virginia Tech look so good against Miami last week. Giving up 30+ a week is great when you are expected to win as a favorite, but that methodology doesn't have the same results when that team is an underdog. Pittsburgh's defense is going to have to step up their play this week if they are going to cover the number or win outright and that's a troubling prospect to some.

I am not in that group though as head coach Pat Narduzzi comes from a strong defensive background from his time as Michigan State's defensive coordinator and he'll have his guys ready for the bright lights. Pittsburgh's defense isn't going to come close to becoming one of the country's best defenses overnight, but if they can limit long drives to field goal attempts and perhaps even take one score off the board it will be a big improvement.

Narduzzi knows he's got the offense to give him a chance each week, and it's likely he's spent a lot of his prep time this week in the defensive meeting rooms getting his guys prepared to slow down Virginia Tech's offense. Given Narduzzi's pedigree, and the fact that Virginia Tech had tremendous struggles on the road last time, Pittsburgh is a very live dog in this spot this week.

While some may argue that Tech's struggles on the road vs. Syracuse were in part because they were looking ahead to their big home game vs. Miami – a rival they hadn't beaten for awhile – this is not a good spot for them to bounce back much. They are just 4-10 ATS after winning by 20+ points in their last 14 opportunities, and 2-8 ATS after allowing 280+ yards through the air. Virginia Tech is also entering a house of horrors for the school as they are 0-6 ATS in their last six trips to Pittsburgh, and 1-8 ATS in the last nine meetings with the Panthers overall.

Pittsburgh is used to being the underdog in this rivalry and has won three of the four games outright as dogs since these two schools became conference rivals again in 2012. This week's game could very well end up with an identical result for the Panthers as they'll have a chance to win this game late.

Best Bet: Take Pittsburgh +4.5

 
Posted : October 26, 2016 11:01 am
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NCAAF Games of the Day: Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh, California at USC
By Covers.com

Virginia Tech Hokies at Pittsburgh Panthers (+3.5, 57.5)

With a decisive 37-16 victory over Miami (Fla.) on Oct. 20, Virginia Tech returned to the national rankings after a week's absence, but a tough road game at Pittsburgh on Thursday could make that return short-lived and end hopes of an ACC Coastal championship. North Carolina, Pittsburgh and Virginia Tech each have one loss, but the Hokies control their own destiny due to its 34-3 win over the Tar Heels with a remaining conference slate of Duke, Georgia Tech and Virginia.

The No. 25 Hokies shouldn't get overconfident because they've dropped four straight games at Pittsburgh despite being ranked and favored three times. Last season in Blacksburg, the Panthers sacked quarterback Brenden Motley seven times and held Virginia Tech to 100 total yards in a 17-13 triumph. Junior college transfer Jerod Evans, who supplanted Motley this season and leads the conference in passer efficiency (166.9), will undoubtedly provide a bigger challenge to a beleaguered Pitt defense. The Panthers have been off since Oct. 15 when quarterback Nathan Peterman threw two TDs and James Conner added 90 yards and two rushing scores as Pittsburgh won its third straight game, 45-31 at Virginia.

LINE HISTORY: Virginia Tech opened the week as 3.5-point home favorites, crept up to 4.5 by Tuesday, but the spread dropped back down to the opening number of 3.5 on Wednesday. The total opened at 59 and dropped down to the current number of 57.5. Check out the complete line history here.

WEATHER REPORT: The weather will be overcast and cool (temperatures in the upper-40's) at Heinz Field on Thursday night. Wind shouldn't be a factor, but there is a 60 percent chance of showers during the first half...tapering off as the evening progresses.

ABOUT VIRGINIA TECH (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS, 4-3 O/U): Evans, who threw for 259 yards and two TDs against Miami and added another 98 yards and a score on the ground, has completed 62.9 percent of his 186 passes for 1,605 yards with 19 TDs against just two interceptions. The Hokies amassed a season-high 251 rush yards against the Hurricanes, led by Travon McMillian's 131, but Pittsburgh allows just 96.6 rush yards per contest - best in the ACC. Linebackers Andrew Motuapuaka (team-high 59 tackles) and Tremaine Edmunds (54 tackles, team-high 11 tackles for loss), spark a Virginia Tech defense that ranks tied for 16th nationally in points allowed per game (17.9).

ABOUT PITTSBURGH (5-2 SU, 2-5 ATS, 6-1 O/U): Peterman ranks fourth in the ACC in passer efficiency (150.3, 11 TDs, 2 INT) and has been sacked a conference-low five times, but the Hokies got to Miami quarterback Brad Kaaya for eight sacks. Conner (531 yards, 9 total TDs) leads a ground game that ranks second in the ACC (239.1 yards per game) and Jester Weah is the top receiver with 19 catches for 402 yards and four touchdowns. Defensive end Ejuan Price leads the nation with nine sacks and the Panthers share the conference lead with 25, but the Panthers have only three interceptions and rank 11th in the conference in total defense (395.4) and 13th in passer efficiency defense (144.4).

TRENDS:

* Hokies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
* Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Under is 13-3 in Hokies last 16 games following a bye week.
* Over is 6-0 in Panthers last 6 games overall.
* Hokies are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is favoring the home underdogs at a rate of 54 percent and Over is picking up more of the totals wagers at 53 percent.

California Golden Bears at Southern California Trojans (-16.5, 76)

California has played back-to-back overtime games and will be coming off a short week when they travel to USC to face the well-rested Trojans in a Pac-12 game Thursday night at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. The Golden Bears beat host Oregon 52-49 in double-overtime Friday night while USC enjoyed a bye last weekend, marking the first time a Pac-12 team played on a short week against a team coming off bye.

Fatigue might be the only thing that can slow a California offense that ranks second in the conference in scoring (43.7 points), and has put up at least 40 points in six of seven games this season. Davis Webb has done very well for the Golden Bears after taking over at quarterback for No. 1 overall draft pick Jared Goff, and he enters this game leading the nation in pass attempts (362), fourth in passing yards (2,581) and second in touchdown throws (27). He'll be up against an increasingly confident USC defense that has held opponents to 20 points or fewer in each of its last three games, a big reason for its three-game winning streak. Another has been the steady play of quarterback Sam Darnold, who has 11 touchdown passes and one interception since taking over as the starter in the fourth game -- completing 100-of-150 attempts overall.

LINE HISTORY: USC opened as 14-point home favorites in this late night rivalry game and during the week that number was bet all of the way up to the current point spread of -16.5. The total hit the board at 75.5 and has gone up slightly to 76. Check out the complete line history here.

WEATHER REPORT: This is a little bit unusual for Los Angeles, but there is actually a 60 percent chance of rain throughout the game tonight at the L.A. Memorial Coliseum. Temperatures will be in the mid-70's and wind will not be a factor.

ABOUT CALIFORNIA (4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS, 6-1 O/U): The Golden Bears have their weaknesses and they're mainly on defense, where they rank second-to-last in the Pac-12 in points allowed, surrendering an average of 41.3 -- including at least 40 five times. That's one of the reasons California has been unable to remain consistent this season, failing to win two straight games or lose two in a row. USC didn't offer California running back Khalfani Muhammad a scholarship when he was at Notre Dame High School in Sherman Oaks, and he could be looking for another big game after combining for 313 rushing yards in the last two contests.

ABOUT USC (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS, 2-5 O/U): During the three-game winning streak, USC's offensive line has played a large role as the Trojans have posted at least 157 rushing yards in each win and Darnold has been sacked just once. USC might be without running back Justin Davis (high ankle sprain) for a second straight game, but Ronald Jones II and Aca’Cedric Ware did a fine job picking up the slack against Arizona. The Trojans will also need to find a replacement for wide receiver/punt returner Steven Mitchell Jr., who tore his ACL during a punt return against Arizona.

TRENDS:

* Golden Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
* Trojans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
* Over is 8-1 in Golden Bears last 9 games overall.
* Under is 6-0 in Trojans last 6 games on grass.
* Under is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is favoring the road underdogs at a rate of 71 percent and Over is picking up more of the totals wagers at 53 percent.

 
Posted : October 27, 2016 12:45 pm
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