NBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Monday, January 23rd, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NBA Knowledge
Washington won seven of last nine games, is 7-5 as a road underdog. Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Charlotte won nine of last ten home games, is 7-2 in its last nine games as a home favorite. Hornets’ last five games stayed under the total. Home side won last six Washington-Charlotte games; Wizards lost last two visits here, by 14-4 points. Last four series games went over total.
Sacramento lost five in row, eight of last nine games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games, 8-10 as road underdogs. Kings’ last three games stayed under total. Detroit won its last three games, is 1-7 in last eight games as a home favorite. Over is 7-3 in their last 10 games. Pistons won six of last eight games with the Kings, but lost 100-94 in Sacramento Jan 10; Kings lost last four visits to Motor City (1-2-1 vs spread). Six of last seven series games stayed under.
San Antonio won its last three games by 8-14-3 points; they’re 12-7 as road favorites. Over is 11-2 in their last 13 games. Brooklyn lost 12 of last 13 games but covered last three; they’re 10-9 as home underdogs. Four of their last five games went over. San Antonio won its last three games with the Nets by 27-27-29 points; Spurs lost two of last three visits here, in series where host won six of last seven meetings. Under is 7-2-1 in last ten series games.
Golden State won its last seven games (6-1 vs spread); they’re 12-10 as road favorites, but 1-6 vs spread if they played night before. Miami won/covered its last three home games; they’re 4-7 as home underdogs. Under is 5-1 in their last six games. Warriors won their last five games with Miami but Heat covered last three; Golden State won last four visits to South Beach (3-1 vs spread). Five of last seven series games went over.
Clippers are without Paul/Griffin here; they lost five of last seven games with Atlanta, losing four of last five visits here (1-4 vs spread, over 4-1). Clippers are 0-2 since Paul injured his thumb, losing by 3-25 points. Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Hawks are 11-2 in their last 13 games (9-3 vs spread in last 12), covering five of last six home games. Four of their last five games went over the total.
Houston is 3-4 in its last seven games, splitting last four on road; Rockets are 11-6 vs spread as road favorites- their last four games stayed under. Milwaukee lost its last five games (0-5 vs spread); they’re 4-3 as home underdogs. Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games. Rockets won six of last seven games with Milwaukee, winning three of last four visits here (2-2 vs the spread, over 3-1).
Cleveland lost four of last six games, three of last four road; Cavaliers are 6-9 as road favorites. Three of their last four games went over. Pelicans lost three of last four games, are 4-2 as home underdogs. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Home side won eight of last nine Cleveland-New Orleans games; Cavaliers lost last four visits to Bourbon Street (1-3 vs spread). Six of their last nine games went over total.
Knicks lost 13 of last 16 games, are 5-6 vs spread in last 11 road games. Three of their last four games went over. Indiana won its last five home games (4-1 vs spread); they’re 10-6 as a home favorite. Three of their last four games stayed under total. Pacers won eight of last nine games with New York, winning last five series games played here (4-1 vs spread). Under is 7-3 in last 10 series (0-2 in last two).
Oklahoma City lost three of last four games, is 2-5 in its last seven games as a road underdog. Four of their last six games stayed under total. Jazz won their last six games, are 4-2 vs spread in last six home games. Last four Utah games went over the total. Thunder won six of last eight games with Utah; teams split last four games played here. Eight of last nine series games stayed under.
AArmadillo
Monday’s NBA Game of the Day: Thunder at Jazz
Covers.com
Oklahoma City Thunder at Utah Jazz (-6, 203)
The Oklahoma City Thunder are limping toward the end of a long road trip and now must visit the hottest team in the NBA in the Utah Jazz on Monday night. The Thunder have dropped three of four to begin their six-game trip and two in a row by a total of 43 points, although they have been afforded four full days off since Wednesday's 122-100 setback at Golden State.
The hope is that more days of practice will help the squad establish some consistency. "It's really focusing on practice. We lost games we feel like we should have won," guard Anthony Morrow told the team website Saturday. "We just have to lock in on some things and clean some things up. There's no better way to do that than practice. Everybody came in focused today and locked in." Utah's six-game winning streak is its longest of the season and it has not lost at home since before Christmas. George Hill scored a season-high 30 points in Saturday's 109-100 win over Indiana as the Jazz inched closer toward to the top four spots in the Western Conference.
LINE HISTORY: The Jazz opened as 6-point home favorites and that line has yet to move as of Sunday evening. The total hit the betting board at 202 and was bumped quickly to the current number of 203.
INJURY REPORT:
Thunder - C S. Adams (Questionable, concussion).
Jazz - SG R. Hood (Early Feb, knee).
POWER RANKINGS: Thunder (-3.8 ) - Jazz (-8.7) + home court (-3) = Jazz -7.9
ABOUT THE THUNDER (25-19 SU, 23-20-1 ATS, 19-25 O/U): Oklahoma City was outrebounded 46-36 at Golden State and awaits the return of center Steven Adams, who has missed two straight games due to a concussion and is questionable for this one. Russell Westbrook did his thing in the most recent loss with his NBA-high 21st triple-double (27 points, 15 rebounds and 13 assists) and Enes Kanter chipped in 22 points and nine boards off the bench. Westbrook was off the mark (7-for-25) in a 20-point loss at Utah earlier this season.
ABOUT THE JAZZ (29-16 SU, 21-23-1 ATS, 22-23 O/U): Center Rudy Gobert's streak of consecutive games with at least 10 rebounds reached 30 in the win over the Pacers, leaving him one shy of matching DeAndre Jordan (Dec. 12, 2013-Feb. 9, 2014) for the fifth-longest run since the start of the 1997-98 season. The big man has also hit on 39-of-53 shots over a six-game stretch. Hill, who missed the win over the Thunder earlier in the season, is shooting 54.4 percent from long range in 12 home games.
TRENDS:
* Thunder are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
* Jazz are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.
* Under is 8-1 in Thunder last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Over is 7-1 in Jazz last 8 Monday games.
* Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Utah.
CONSENSUS: 65 percent of the picks are siding with the road underdog Oklahoma City Thunder and Under is picking up 60 percent of the totals wagers.
Monday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
Game of the Night – Thunder at Jazz
The top two teams in the Northwest division meet in Salt Lake City as Utah owns a 3½-game edge over Oklahoma City. The Jazz (29-16 SU, 21-23-1 ATS) are riding a six-game winning streak following Friday’s 109-100 victory over the Pacers as seven-point home favorites. Jazz guard George Hill burned his former team for 30 points, while forward Gordon Hayward dropped 27 points to lift Utah to its sixth straight victory at Vivint Smart Home Arena. Utah snapped a three-game ATS skid with the cover in Friday’s win, while the Jazz own a 3-1 ATS mark in its last four home contests.
Oklahoma City (25-19 SU, 23-20-1 ATS) continues a six-game road trip, while coming off consecutive blowout losses to the Clippers and Warriors. The Thunder has been off since Thursday’s 121-100 setback at Golden State as 15-point underdogs, as Russell Westbrook posted a triple-double with 27 points, 15 rebounds, and 13 assists. However, Westbrook also committed 10 turnovers, while the Thunder dropped to 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS the last nine games in the road underdog role.
Last season, the Thunder captured all four meetings with the Jazz, but Utah claimed the first matchups this season. The Jazz routed the Thunder on December 14 in Salt Lake, 109-89 as 7½-point favorites, led by Rodney Hood’s 25 points. Utah torched OKC from the floor by knocking down 58% of its shots, while connecting on 13-of-23 three-point attempts. However, the Thunder did play that game with no rest as Billy Donovan’s squad lost the night before in Portland, 114-95.
Staying Golden
Westbrook’s old buddy Kevin Durant and the Warriors cruised to another road victory on Sunday by trouncing the Magic, 118-98. Golden State and Orlando were tied at 50-50 at halftime, but the Warriors outscored the Magic, 42-24 in the third quarter to help secure a cover as 14-point favorites. Steve Kerr’s team has won seven consecutive games, including each of its last three away from Oracle Arena by double-digits.
Golden State travels south to Miami on Monday night to face the suddenly streaking Heat. Miami looks to close out its homestand with a perfect 4-0 record following victories over Houston, Dallas, and Milwaukee. The Heat have cashed in four of the past five games, including in a 107-95 setback at Golden State as 14½-point underdogs on January 10 in Oakland. Golden State has fared well at American Airlines Arena over the years by winning four straight in Miami, while topping the 114-point mark in each of the last three trips.
CP3 Straight Losses?
The Clippers have struggled without Chris Paul this season by compiling a 2-7 record with the All-Star point guard out. Los Angeles had won seven straight games prior to Paul’s thumb injury against Oklahoma City, but the Clippers have dropped two in a row with losses to the Timberwolves and Nuggets. The Clippers venture east to Atlanta to face a Hawks’ squad that has captured victories in 11 of its past 13 games. Since losing at home to Minnesota on December 21, Atlanta has won six of its previous eight games at Philips Arena, while covering in five of those victories. The Hawks have owned the Clippers recently by grabbing four of the past six matchups since November 2012, while winning three of the last four against Los Angeles at Philips Arena.
Buzzing Back
The Hornets began January by dropping seven of their first eight games, but Charlotte has rebounded of late with three consecutive victories. Charlotte continues a five-game homestand against Washington in a critical divisional matchup before Golden State comes to town on Wednesday. The Hornets’ offense has woken up by posting 107, 113, and 112 points during this hot streak, while cashing the UNDER in five consecutive games.
The Wizards had their four-game winning streak disappear at the buzzer in Saturday’s 113-112 setback at Detroit, but Washington managed a cover as two-point ‘dogs. Washington is riding a five-game ATS hot streak, while eclipsing the OVER in five of the past seven contests away from Verizon Center. The home team has won six consecutive meetings in this series, as Washington held off Charlotte as two-point home ‘dogs in mid-December, 109-106.
Not That Easy
The Cavaliers venture to New Orleans before returning home for three games as the Cavaliers try to bounce back from Saturday’s overtime setback to the Spurs. Cleveland has dropped three of its past four games away from Quicken Loans Arena, while scoring below 92 points in each of those defeats. The Cavs struggled offensively against the Pelicans in their last meeting earlier this month, holding off New Orleans, 90-82, but Kyrie Irving sat out for Cleveland.
The Pelicans are coming off their most embarrassing defensive performance of the season by allowing 143 points in a 29-point home loss to a Nets’ team who had lost their previous 11 games. However, New Orleans owns a solid 7-2 ATS mark as a home underdog this season, while winning the last five home matchups with Cleveland since 2010.
What the Buck?
Milwaukee is free-falling of late by losing five consecutive games, including all three on its most recent trip at Houston, Orlando, and Miami. The Bucks’ offense was nowhere to be found by getting held to 97 points in each of those defeats, while allowing at least 100 points in 10 straight contests. Milwaukee gets another shot at Houston for the second time in a week as the Rockets invade BMO Harris Bradley Center.
The Rockets have alternated wins and losses in each of their past six games, while coming off a 119-95 blowout of the Grizzlies on Saturday. Houston has rolled on the road of late by compiling a 10-3 SU and 9-4 ATS record in its previous 12 contests away from Toyota Center. The Rockets have had success in Wisconsin over the years by winning three of the past four visits to Milwaukee, but the Bucks came out with a 128-121 triumph as three-point ‘dogs last season.
Head-to-Head Trends
The Spurs have captured four of the last five meetings with the Nets, including a 130-101 home blowout last month. However, San Antonio has lost two of the last three visits to Barclays Center as the Spurs embark on a three-game road swing.
Detroit has won six of the past eight matchups with Sacramento since January 2013 as the two teams meet up at the Palace of Auburn Hills. The Kings knocked off the Pistons at Golden 1 Center earlier this month, 100-94 as Sacramento looks to end a six-game skid in the Motor City dating back to 2011.
The Pacers have had their way with the Knicks recently by winning eight of the last nine meetings since January 2015. However, the only victory by New York in this stretch came at home against Indiana in late December, 118-111. Indiana picked up revenge by lighting up New York in early January, 123-109.