NCAAB betting trends, odds and predictions for Sunday, January 22nd, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NCAAB Knowledge
Seton Hall lost its last three games (all on road) after a 12-3 start, losing last game by 30 at Villanova. Pirates won both their Big East home games, over Marquette/DePaul. Hall turns ball over 23% of time in Big East games, making just 60.2% on foul line. St John’s lost four of last five games, losing last two road games, by 15 at Xavier, 28 at Georgetown. Johnnies are playing fastest tempo in league. Seton Hall won three of last four games with St John’s, winning last two in Newark, 78-67/79-60. Big East home favorites of 8+ points are 9-2-1 vs spread.
Northwestern won its last three games by 8-9-35 points as they try to make NCAAs for first time; Wildcats are 4-2 in Big 14, with four of those six games on road- they’re 3-1 on road, with only loss at Michigan State by 9. Ohio State won its last two games by total of six points after an 0-4 start in Big 14- they’re 1-1 at home, beating Michigan State, losing by 1 to Purdue. Buckeyes won their last 12 games with Northwestern, winning last 11 meetings here, last four all by 8+ points. Home teams are 6-5 vs spread in Big 14 games with spread of 2 or less points.
George Mason is 2-3 in A-14, 1-1 on road, losing at St Bonaventure by 10, winning at St Joe’s. Patriots hold opponents to 28.8% on arc. George Mason is 4-1 vs Richmond in A-14 games, winning 78-74 (+13) here LY. home side won four of last five series games. Spiders won five of last six games, are tied for first in A-14; they’re 2-0 in A-14 home games, beating Fordham by 8, Bonnies by 17. Richmond shoots 58.9% inside arc, has best eFG% in league. A-14 home favorites of 7 or less points are 6-8 against the spread this month.
Northern Kentucky lost its last three games by 9-10-9 points; Norse are shooting 38% on arc, have best eFG% in league. Detroit lost 106-88 Friday night after winning its previous two games; Titans are 2-5 in Horizon, 1-3 on road, losing by 14-7-18 points. Road team won all three Horizon matchups between Detroit/Northern Kentucky; Norse won first meeting this year, 81-70 in Motor City on Dec 29- they made 14-30 on arc in game they trailed 39-34 at the half. Horizon League home favorites of 9+ points are 3-5 against the spread.
Oakland is 5-2 in Horizon, 3-0 on road, with wins by 12-1-9 points; both their Horizon losses came at home. Grizzlies are better on defense this year but are shooting just 26.2% on arc in Horizon games. Oakland won five of last six games with Wright State, beating Raiders 81-62 on Dec 29, a win that avenged in LY’s Horizon tourney. Wright lost last two visits here, by 8-26 points. Raiders are 4-3 in Horizon, 2-1 at home, beating Cleveland St/Detroit, losing by 5 to Youngstown. Horizon road favorites are 7-2 against the spread.
Xavier was 0-3 since Myles Davis returned to team; he played 10 mpg in those games, but is now gone. Musketeers are 2-1 in Big East home games, beating Providence/St John’s- they lost last home game to Creighton. Xavier is 6-2 vs Georgetown in Big East meetings; Musketeers won two of three played here- they won first meeting this year 81-76 on New Year’s Eve, outscoring Hoyas 29-14 on foul line. Hoyas are 0-2 on Big East road, losing by 10 at Marquette, 6 at Providence. Big East home favorites of 9+ points are 8-2 vs spread.
VCU lost its last two games by total of 8 points after getting beat at buzzer by Fordham last game; Rams are 2-0 at home in A-14, beating UMass by 17, Geo Wash by 30- they’re turning ball over 20.6% of time in A-14 games. LaSalle won its last five games; four of those were at home. Explorers are 1-1 on A-14 road, losing by 11 at Dayton but winning at Rhode Island. LaSalle/VCU split their four A-14 meetings, going 1-1 in each building. Two of last three series games went OT. A-14 favorites of 7+ points are 9-10 vs spread.
Milwaukee split its last four games after a 4-13 start; Panthers are 2-1 at home in Horizon, losing to Wright St by 3, beating No Kentucky/Cleveland St. Milwaukee won six of last seven games with Youngstown, winning last three played here by 6-15-28 points; they lost in double OT at Youngstown Dec 29, leading by 3 in last minute. Penguins won at Green Bay Friday, snapping 3-game skid; they’re 2-2 on Horizon road, with losses by 13-16 at No Kentucky/Detroit. Horizon home favorites of 5 or less points are 2-7 against the spread.
Memphis won five of its last six games, winning last game in OT at Houston; Tigers are 2-1 at home in AAC, beating UConn/USF, losing by 4 to SMU. Memphis won its last ten games with Central Florida; they beat UCF by 11-17 points LY. Knights lost last ten visits here, with six of last seven losses by 16+ points. UCF is 5-1 in AAC, with four of six games at home, despite turning ball over 23.9% of time- their only loss was by 15 at UConn- Knights won other road game, at Tulane. AAC home favorites of 6 or less points are 3-5 vs spread this season.
East Carolina lost its last five games, scoring 51 pts/game; they’re 0-2 on road in AAC, losing by 3 at UCF, 19 at Temple. Pirates are shooting only 20.7% on arc, 59.2% on line in league games. UConn lost six of last eight games, with three losses by 3 or less points; they’re down to seven man rotation. Huskies are 2-1 at home in AAC, losing to Houston by 16, but beating UCF and Temple. UConn won its last three games with East Carolina, by 13-11-18 points (2-1 vs spread). AAC double digit favorites are 4-6 against the spread this season.
Clemson lost its last five games after an 11-2 start; they really need a win- Tigers lost last two home games by total of 7 points, to UNC/Virginia. Clemson has worst eFG% defense in ACC games, forcing turnovers only 16.5% of time, after they bullied pre-conference opponents. Home side won eight of last ten Virginia Tech-Clemson games; Hokies lost last four visits here, by 9-2-7-21 points. Va Tech is 0-2 on ACC road, losing by 25 at NC State, 15 at Florida State; they won at Michigan in only other road game. ACC home favorites of 6 or less points are 9-6.
USC lost four of its last six games after a 14-0 start; they lost last two home games, to Arizona, Cal by total of 8 points. Trojans are shooting only 41.9% inside arc in league games. Arizona State lost its last three games, allowing 93.7 pts/game; Pac-12 teams are shooting 61.1% inside arc against the Sun Devils. ASU won six of last nine games with USC, but they lost two of last three visits to Galen Center, by 1-10 points. Home side won six of last seven series games. Pac-12 home favorites of 8 or less points are 7-4 against the spread.
Home side is 12-1 in last 13 Siena-Manhattan games; Saints lost last six visits to Draddy Gym, losing by 3-19-20-22-8-35 points. Siena beat Jaspers 89-76 in MAAC tourney last March. Siena won four of its last five games, losing at St Peter’s last game when their PG was suspended, but he is back here. Saints are 1-11 on road this season, with only win by 9 at Fairfield. Jaspers lost last two games by 15-11 points; they’re 2-7 in MAAC, 2-3 at home, with wins over Niagara/Rider. MAAC road favorites of 4 or less points are 4-3 vs spread.
Armadillosports.com
Sunday's Tip Sheet
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
This Sunday’s college hoops schedule closes things out with some coast-to-coast betting action in both the ACC and the Pac-12 in an ESPNU double header. The first game sends the Virginia Tech Hokies on the road to face the Clemson Tigers. Heading out west, Arizona State will go on the road to tangle with the USC Trojans.
Virginia Tech Hokies at Clemson Tigers
Opening Odds: Clemson -7
Betting Matchup
The Hokies were able to even their record to 3-3 straight-up in ACC play with Wednesday’s tight 62-61 victory against Georgia Tech, but after failing to cover as 12-point home favorites they are 2-4 against the spread. The total stayed UNDER the 145½-point closing line in that game after going OVER in four of their first five conference games. Senior forward Zach LeDay leads the team in scoring with 16.3 points per game and he has been able to exceed that scoring average in three of his last four games. Virginia Tech (14-4 SU, 7-7 ATS) is averaging 81.4 points and 35.6 rebounds a game and it is allowing an average of 71.7 points at the other end of the court.
Clemson’s football team’s recent national title has probably helped to deflect much of the attention away from its basketball team’s current five-game losing streak both SU and ATS. Thursday’s 92-60 loss to Louisville as five-point road underdogs dropped the Tigers to 11-7 SU and 7-9 ATS on the year. The total has now gone OVER in their last five games after allowing an average of 81.6 points during this slide. The one bright spot has been the play of senior forward Jaron Blossomgame with 17.9 PPG on a shooting percentage of 51.9 percent. His 10 points in the loss to Louisville was the first time he failed to cross the 20-point mark in his last five starts.
Betting Trends
The Hokies have covered in seven of their last nine Sunday games and they are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU win. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven road games.
The Tigers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games, but they are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points. The total has gone OVER in their last five games at home.
Head-to-head in this ACC tilt, the underdog has a 6-2 edge ATS in the last eight meetings and the total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in six of the last seven meetings in Clemson.
Arizona State Sun Devils at USC Trojans
Opening Odds: USC -9½
Betting Matchup
With just two SU wins in their first six conference games, the Sun Devils are 9-10 SU on the year. They have gone an even 3-3 ATS during this same span as part of an overall ATS record of 7-10-1. The total went OVER 180 points in Thursday’s 102-80 loss to UCLA as a heavy 19½-point road underdog and it has gone OVER in seven of Arizona State’s last eight contests. Senior guard Torian Graham (18.5 PPG) leads a Sun Devils’ offense that is averaging a respectable 81.5 points a game and he is coming off a 26-point night in the loss to the Bruins. The problem has been at the other end of the court with a defensive effort that is allowing 83.9 PPG.
USC’s impressive run through the nonconference portion of its schedule at 13-0 SU has not carried over to play in the Pac-12 with just three SU victories in its first seven conference games. The Trojans’ latest setback was at the hands of Arizona this past Thursday with a 73-66 loss as 3½-point home underdogs. They are now a costly 2-9 ATS in their last 11 outings and the total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven games. USC trailed by as many as 23 points in Thursday’s loss, but they were able to make a game of it behind junior guard Elijah Stewart’s team-high 20 points. He is one of three players on the team averaging at least 13 points a game.
Betting Trends
The Sun Devils are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games on the road and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games played on a Sunday. The total has gone OVER in their last four road games.
The Trojans have failed to cover in six of their last seven home games, but they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a SU loss. The total has gone OVER in eight of their last 11 games played at home.
The home team in this matchup has won six of the last eight meetings SU. Southern Cal has a 3-1 edge ATS in the last four games and the total has stayed UNDER in the last six meetings.