MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Saturday, October 29th, 2016 from various handicappers and websites.
MLB Knowledge
Kluber is 3-1, 0.74 in his first four postseason starts, all this month. Indians won four of his last five road starts.
Lackey is 2-1, 3.79 in his last seven starts, 8-5, 3.26 in 22 postseason starts. Cubs won six of his last seven home starts.
Cubs are 8-5 in playoffs this year, 4-2 at home; they’ve been shut out in four of their last eight games. Chicago is 8-1 in playoffs if they score a run. Obviously Chicago hasn’t been in World Series since 1945, Indians since 1997. Cleveland is 9-2 in playoffs, 4-1 on road- they’ve tossed shutouts in postseason.
Maddon is 25-27 as a playoff manager, 12-10 with Cubs. he lost 2008 World Series with Rays. Francona won World Series with Boston in 2004, 2007; he is 37-20 as a postseason manager.
Armadillosports.com
CLEVELAND (103 - 69) at CHICAGO CUBS (111 - 63) - 8:05 PM
COREY KLUBER (R) vs. JOHN LACKEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KLUBER is 34-34 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KLUBER is 13-20 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
KLUBER is 33-31 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 127-75 (+26.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 89-54 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LACKEY is 22-5 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 103-69 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-2 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in October games this season.
CLEVELAND is 97-65 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 73-40 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-2 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in playoff games this season.
CLEVELAND is 56-37 (+16.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 32-19 (+13.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1599-1686 (-260.0 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 856-786 (-154.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1542-1599 (-234.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1176-1251 (-196.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-1 (+1.9 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)
COREY KLUBER vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
KLUBER is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 0.66 and a WHIP of 0.585.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)
JOHN LACKEY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
LACKEY is 8-9 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.399.
His team's record is 10-10 (-3.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-9. (-1.7 units)
CLEVELAND vs. CHI CUBS
Cleveland is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
StatFox Super Situations
CLEVELAND at CHICAGO CUBS
Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (CLEVELAND) after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, playing on Saturday 39-32 over the last 5 seasons. ( 54.9% | 13.0 units ) 5-16 this year. ( 23.8% | -9.9 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends
MLB | CLEVELAND at CHICAGO CUBS
CLEVELAND is 14-3 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was: CLEVELAND (3.5) , OPPONENT (1.9)
Cleveland at Chicago
Kluber: 35-14 SU with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games
Lackey: 10-19 against the money line at home when the total is 6 to 6.5
Cubs host Indians in Game 5 of World Series
By: Brad Kallet
StatFox,com
In the final game at Wrigley Field in 2016, Jon Lester and the Cubs host Trevor Bauer and the Indians in Game 5 of the World Series.
The Cubs (103-58 ) will have a clear pitching advantage over the Indians (94-67) in the final game at Wrigley Field in 2016. LHP Jon Lester (19-5, 2.44 ERA during the regular season) will take the ball for Joe Maddon, and he’ll be opposed by Indians RHP Trevor Bauer (12-8, 4.26 ERA during the regular season). Lester threw eight scoreless innings against the Giants in the NLDS and allowed just two earned runs in 13 innings against the Dodgers in the NLCS, but he struggled in Game 1 of the Fall Classic. The lefty lost the series opener after allowing three earned runs on six hits in 5 2/3 innings. He also walked three and forced in a run after hitting LF Brandon Guyer with the bases loaded. Bauer earned a no-decision (3 ER in 4 2/3 IP) against the Red Sox in the ALDS and was pulled after just four batters in his ALCS start because his pinkie was bleeding. He took the loss in Game 2 of the World Series after allowing two earned runs on six hits in just 3 2/3 innings of work.
The Indians looked confident against Lester in Game 1, but it won’t be easy to replicate their success just five days later. 3B Jose Ramirez had three hits off Lester in Game 1, SS Francisco Lindor had two and C Roberto Perez hit a 388-foot homer off him. The Indians have seen a fair share of Lester, considering the amount of time he spent in the American League with the Red Sox. 1B Mike Napoli, his former teammate in Boston, has homered off Lester twice, and LF Rajai Davis and OF Coco Crisp have taken him deep as well. Look for manager Terry Francona to go to his bullpen early if Bauer gets into trouble. LHP Andrew Miller—the ALCS MVP—and RHP Cody Allen have been brilliant in relief for Cleveland.
The Cubs punished Bauer on Wednesday night, knocking him out in the fourth inning, and there’s no reason to think they won’t do it again. DH Kyle Schwarber and 1B Anthony Rizzo had RBI hits against him, and 3B Kris Bryant, IF Javier Baez, LF/2B Ben Zobrist and SS Addison Russell hit singles before Zach McAllister came out of the bullpen to replace Bauer. Schwarber hasn’t been cleared to play the field, so he more than likely won’t get a chance to face Bauer again. You can expect the left-handed slugger to pinch-hit late in the game, though. If the Cubs have a lead in the ninth inning, they’ll more than likely protect it behind dominant left-handed closer Aroldis Chapman. Lester, a two-time World Series champion and the co-MVP of the 2016 NLCS (along with Baez), has had a brilliant postseason career. In 124 2/3 playoff innings over 20 appearances (18 starts), Lester is 8-7 with a 2.60 ERA, and 108 strikeouts to 30 walks.